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CN109299156A - Electronic device, the electric power data predicting abnormality method based on XGBoost and storage medium - Google Patents

Electronic device, the electric power data predicting abnormality method based on XGBoost and storage medium Download PDF

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CN109299156A
CN109299156A CN201810954347.8A CN201810954347A CN109299156A CN 109299156 A CN109299156 A CN 109299156A CN 201810954347 A CN201810954347 A CN 201810954347A CN 109299156 A CN109299156 A CN 109299156A
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data
electric power
power data
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model
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卢少烽
王玥
阮晓雯
徐亮
肖京
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Ping An Technology Shenzhen Co Ltd
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    • Y04S10/50Systems or methods supporting the power network operation or management, involving a certain degree of interaction with the load-side end user applications

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Abstract

The present invention proposes electronic device, electric power data predicting abnormality method and storage medium based on XGBoost, which comprises obtains electric power data of the predetermined building in the first time predefined section;The electric power data that method analysis obtains is determined using predetermined exceptional value, to obtain the first electric power data collection without exception and the first abnormal electric power data collection;The first abnormal power data set is substituted into the abnormal value prediction model that training is completed in advance and carries out exceptional value prediction, to predict the abnormal power data in the first abnormal power data set.It can be improved the accuracy that abnormal data is predicted in electric power data, provide reference data for the construction and popularization of smart grid.

Description

Electronic device, the electric power data predicting abnormality method based on XGBoost and storage medium
Technical field
The present invention relates to electric power data process field more particularly to a kind of electronic device, based on the electric power data of XGBoost Predicting abnormality method and storage medium.
Background technique
Electric power data (the electricity consumption historical record for referring to all kinds of buildings collected in electric system) be smart grid construction and Key reference factor in popularization and application, and electric power data mainly carries out daily meter reading by the meter reading personnel of power supply company at present And then by professional's logging data management system, on the one hand due in entire Data Input Process, by means of a large amount of Manpower complete, electric power data exception is easy to appear, on the other hand, in Data Input Process, it is possible to there is system therefore The logging data as caused by equipment faults itself reason such as barrier, line interruption is abnormal;And electric power data is abnormal in smart grid It will cause subjectively unimaginable accident in construction and application, for example, causing to miss certain building electricity consumption due to data exception It is disconnected, and so that the building circut breaking is occurred or the problems such as circuit burnout occur, in some instances it may even be possible to it will lead to the generation of accident.Cause This, how to predict the abnormal data in electric power data like clockwork is current urgent problem to be solved.
Summary of the invention
In view of this, the present invention proposes a kind of electronic device, the electric power data predicting abnormality method based on XGBoost and deposits Storage media can be improved the accuracy that abnormal data is predicted in electric power data, provide ginseng for the construction and popularization of smart grid Examine data.
Firstly, to achieve the above object, the present invention proposes a kind of electronic device, the electronic device include memory and The processor connecting with the memory, the processor is for executing the electricity based on XGBoost stored on the memory Force data predicting abnormality program, it is real when the electric power data predicting abnormality program based on XGBoost is executed by the processor Existing following steps:
A1, electric power data of the predetermined building in the first time predefined section is obtained;
A2, the electric power data that method analysis obtains is determined using predetermined exceptional value, it is without exception to obtain first Electric power data collection and the first abnormal electric power data collection;
A3, the first abnormal power data set is substituted into the abnormal value prediction model progress exceptional value that training is completed in advance Prediction, to predict the abnormal power data in the first abnormal power data set.
Preferably, in the step A2, predetermined exceptional value determines that method is that box figure identifies exceptional value method, The step A2 includes the following steps:
Determine the unit time in the described first predefined period;
The electric power data in determining each unit time is traversed respectively, is inquired in the electric power data in each unit time With the presence or absence of the data for being greater than the first predefined thresholds and with the presence or absence of the data less than the second predefined thresholds;
If having the data existed in the electric power data in the unit time greater than first predefined thresholds, or there are small In the data of second predefined thresholds, it is determined that there are abnormal power data in the electric power data in the unit time;
If having in the electric power data in the unit time, there is no the data greater than first predefined thresholds, and are not present Less than the data of second predefined thresholds, it is determined that abnormal power number is not present in the electric power data in the unit time According to;
The electric power data there are in the unit time of abnormal power data constitutes the described first abnormal electric power data Collection, the electric power data there is no in the unit time of abnormal power data constitute the first electric power data collection without exception.
Preferably, first predefined thresholds are as follows:
QU+1.5IQRQU+1.5QR
Second predefined thresholds are as follows:
QL-1.5IQRQL-1.5IQR
Wherein, QU is the upper quartile that statistics obtains, and indicates have 1/4 data bigger than him in total data, QL is system Obtained lower quartile is counted, indicates there are 1/4 data smaller than him in total data, it is QU and QL that IQR, which is quartile spacing, Difference.
Preferably, in the step A3, the abnormal value prediction model that the preparatory training is completed is XGBoost model, The exceptional value and model include the training process of model and the test process of model, and the training process of the model includes:
E1, electric power data sample set of the predetermined target construction in the second time predefined section is obtained, The abnormality of the electric power data obtained is analyzed, to obtain the second data set without exception and the second abnormal data set;
F1, the training sample set and test sample that the data in the described second data set without exception are divided into preset ratio Collection modifies in the training sample set partial data at random to obtain abnormality test sample set;
G1, label is added to each sample data that the training sample is concentrated, the label is preset each sample Whether data are exceptional value;
H1, the electric power data that the training sample with the label is concentrated using the XGboost that pre-establishes touch type into Row supervised learning, to obtain abnormal value prediction model;
J1, model accuracy test is carried out to the obtained abnormal value prediction model, if test passes through, model training Terminate, if test does not pass through, increase the sample data that the training sample is concentrated, and repeat above-mentioned steps E1, F1, G1、H1。
Preferably, the test process of the model includes:
Exceptional value mark is carried out to the data in the abnormality test sample set according to obtained abnormal value prediction model, with It obtains with the electric power data collection marked extremely;
The data concentrated with the training sample after the electric power data collection that marks extremely and random modification that will be obtained into Row compares, if obtained after the abnormal data with the electric power data marked extremely concentration mark and the random modification Electric power data is compared, and the abnormal data of mark is that the probability value of the electric power data of modification is more than or equal to preset probability threshold Value, it is determined that the accuracy test of model is not passed through;
Alternatively, if after abnormal data and the random modification for concentrating mark with the electric power data marked extremely Obtained electric power data is compared, and the abnormal data of mark is that the probability value of the electric power data of modification is less than preset probability threshold value, Then pass through for the accuracy test of model.
In addition, in order to solve the above technical problems, the present invention also proposes a kind of electric power data predicting abnormality based on XGBoost Method, described method includes following steps:
S1, electric power data of the predetermined building in the first time predefined section is obtained;
S2, the electric power data that method analysis obtains is determined using predetermined exceptional value, it is without exception to obtain first Electric power data collection and the first abnormal electric power data collection;
S3, the first abnormal power data set is substituted into the abnormal value prediction model progress exceptional value that training is completed in advance Prediction, to predict the abnormal power data in the first abnormal power data set.
Preferably, in the step S2, predetermined exceptional value determines that method is that box figure identifies exceptional value method, The step S2 includes the following steps:
Determine the unit time in the described first predefined period;
The electric power data in determining each unit time is traversed respectively, is inquired in the electric power data in each unit time With the presence or absence of the data for being greater than the first predefined thresholds and with the presence or absence of the data less than the second predefined thresholds;
If having the data existed in the electric power data in the unit time greater than first predefined thresholds, or there are small In the data of second predefined thresholds, it is determined that there are abnormal power data in the electric power data in the unit time;
If having in the electric power data in the unit time, there is no the data greater than first predefined thresholds, and are not present Less than the data of second predefined thresholds, it is determined that abnormal power number is not present in the electric power data in the unit time According to;
The electric power data there are in the unit time of abnormal power data constitutes the described first abnormal electric power data Collection, the electric power data there is no in the unit time of abnormal power data constitute the first electric power data collection without exception.
Preferably, first predefined thresholds are as follows:
QU+1.5IQRQU+1.5QR
Second predefined thresholds are as follows:
QL-1.5IQRQL-1.5IQR
Wherein, QU is the upper quartile that statistics obtains, and indicates have 1/4 data bigger than him in total data, QL is system Obtained lower quartile is counted, indicates there are 1/4 data smaller than him in total data, it is QU and QL that IQR, which is quartile spacing, Difference.
Preferably, in the step S3, the abnormal value prediction model that the preparatory training is completed is XGBoost model, The exceptional value and model include the training process of model and the test process of model, and the training process of the model includes:
E2, electric power data sample set of the predetermined target construction in the second time predefined section is obtained, The abnormality of the electric power data obtained is analyzed, to obtain the second data set without exception and the second abnormal data set;
F2, the training sample set and test sample that the data in the described second data set without exception are divided into preset ratio Collection modifies in the training sample set partial data at random to obtain abnormality test sample set;
G2, label is added to each sample data that the training sample is concentrated, the label is preset each sample Whether data are exceptional value;
H2, the electric power data that the training sample with the label is concentrated using the XGboost that pre-establishes touch type into Row supervised learning, to obtain abnormal value prediction model;
J2, model accuracy test is carried out to the obtained abnormal value prediction model, if test passes through, model training Terminate, if test does not pass through, increase the sample data that the training sample is concentrated, and repeat above-mentioned steps E2, F2, G2、H2。
In addition, in order to solve the above-mentioned technical problem, the present invention also proposes a kind of computer readable storage medium, the calculating Machine readable storage medium storing program for executing is stored with the electric power data predicting abnormality program based on XGBoost, the electric power number based on XGBoost It can be executed by least one processor according to predicting abnormality program, so that the execution of at least one described processor is based on as described above The step of electric power data predicting abnormality method of XGBoost.
Electronic device proposed by the invention, the electric power data predicting abnormality method based on XGBoost and storage medium, it is first First obtain electric power data of the predetermined building in the first time predefined section;Then predetermined exceptional value is utilized The electric power data that method analysis obtains is determined, to obtain the first electric power data collection without exception and the first abnormal electric power data Collection;It is pre- that the first abnormal power data set is finally substituted into the abnormal value prediction model progress exceptional value that training is completed in advance It surveys, to predict the abnormal power data in the first abnormal power data set.It can be improved abnormal data in electric power data The accuracy of prediction provides reference data for the construction and popularization of smart grid.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is the schematic diagram of the optional hardware structure of electronic device one proposed by the present invention;
Fig. 2 is the program of the electric power data predicting abnormality program in one embodiment of electronic device of the present invention based on XGBoost Module diagram;
Fig. 3 is the implementation flow chart of the electric power data predicting abnormality method preferred embodiment the present invention is based on XGBoost.
The embodiments will be further described with reference to the accompanying drawings for the realization, the function and the advantages of the object of the present invention.
Specific embodiment
In order to make the objectives, technical solutions, and advantages of the present invention clearer, with reference to the accompanying drawings and embodiments, right The present invention is further elaborated.It should be appreciated that described herein, specific examples are only used to explain the present invention, not For limiting the present invention.Based on the embodiments of the present invention, those of ordinary skill in the art are not before making creative work Every other embodiment obtained is put, shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
It should be noted that the description for being related to " first ", " second " etc. in the present invention is used for description purposes only, and cannot It is interpreted as its relative importance of indication or suggestion or implicitly indicates the quantity of indicated technical characteristic.Define as a result, " the One ", the feature of " second " can explicitly or implicitly include at least one of the features.In addition, the skill between each embodiment Art scheme can be combined with each other, but must be based on can be realized by those of ordinary skill in the art, when technical solution Will be understood that the combination of this technical solution is not present in conjunction with there is conflicting or cannot achieve when, also not the present invention claims Protection scope within.
As shown in fig.1, being the optional hardware structure schematic diagram of electronic device one proposed by the present invention.In the present embodiment, Electronic device 10 may include, but be not limited only to, and connection memory 11, processor 12, net can be in communication with each other by communication bus 14 Network interface 13.It should be pointed out that Fig. 1 illustrates only the electronic device 10 with component 11-14, it should be understood that simultaneously All components shown realistic are not applied, the implementation that can be substituted is more or less component.
Wherein, memory 11 includes at least a type of computer readable storage medium, computer readable storage medium Including flash memory, hard disk, multimedia card, card-type memory (for example, SD or DX memory etc.), random access storage device (RAM), quiet State random access storage device (SRAM), electrically erasable programmable read-only memory (EEPROM), can be compiled read-only memory (ROM) Journey read-only memory (PROM), magnetic storage, disk, CD etc..In some embodiments, memory 11 can be electronics dress Set 10 internal storage unit, such as the hard disk or memory of electronic device 10.In further embodiments, memory 11 can also be with It is the outer packet storage device of electronic device 10, such as the plug-in type hard disk being equipped on electronic device 10, intelligent memory card (Smart Media Card, SMC), secure digital (Secure Digital, SD) card, flash card (Flash Card) etc..Certainly, it stores Device 11 can also both including electronic device 10 internal storage unit and also including its outer packet storage device.In the present embodiment, storage Device 11 is installed on the operating system and types of applications software of electronic device 10, such as the electricity based on XGBoost commonly used in storage Force data predicting abnormality program etc..It has exported or will export in addition, memory 11 can be also used for temporarily storing Various types of data.
Processor 12 can be in some embodiments central processing unit (Central Processing Unit, CPU), Controller, microcontroller, microprocessor or other data processing chips.Processor 12 is commonly used in control electronic device 10 Overall operation.In the present embodiment, program code or processing data of the processor 12 for being stored in run memory 11, such as The electric power data predicting abnormality program based on XGBoost etc. of operation.
Network interface 13 may include radio network interface or wired network interface, and network interface 13 is commonly used in filling in electronics It sets and establishes communication connection between 10 and other electronic equipments.
Communication bus 14 is for realizing the communication connection between component 11-13.
Fig. 1 illustrates only the electronics dress of the electric power data predicting abnormality program with component 11-14 and based on XGBoost 10 are set, it should be understood that it is not required for implementing all components shown, more or less groups of the implementation that can be substituted Part.
Optionally, electronic device 10 can also include user interface (not shown in figure 1), and user interface may include display Device, input unit such as keyboard, wherein user interface can also be including standard wireline interface and wireless interface etc..
Optionally, in some embodiments, display can be light-emitting diode display, liquid crystal display, touch control type LCD and show Device and OLED touch device etc..Further, display is alternatively referred to as display screen or display unit, for being shown in electronic device Information is handled in 10 and for showing visual user interface.
Optionally, in some embodiments, electronic device 10 can also include that audio unit (does not show in audio unit Fig. 1 Out), audio unit can be in call signal reception pattern, call mode, logging mode, speech recognition mould in electronic device 10 When under the isotypes such as formula, broadcast reception mode, received or storage audio data is converted into audio signal;Further Ground, electronic device 10 can also include audio output unit, and the audio signal that audio output unit converts audio unit exports, And audio output unit can also provide the relevant audio output of specific function that executes to electronic device 10 (such as calling is believed Number receive sound, message sink sound etc.), audio output unit may include loudspeaker, buzzer etc..
Optionally, in some embodiments, electronic device 10 can also include alarm unit (not shown), alarm list Member can provide output and the generation of event is notified electron device 10.Typical event may include calling reception, message Reception, key signals input, touch input etc..Other than audio or video export, alarm unit can be with different sides Formula provides output with the generation of notification event.For example, alarm unit can provide output in the form of vibration, exhaled when receiving Cry, message or it is some other can make electronic device 10 enter communication pattern when, alarm unit can provide tactile output (that is, Vibration) to notify to user.
In one embodiment, the electric power data predicting abnormality program based on XGBoost stored in memory 11 is processed When device 12 executes, following operation is realized:
A1, electric power data of the predetermined building in the first time predefined section is obtained;
It, can also be with it is to be appreciated that the predetermined building can be inpatient building in hospital, patient terminal It is the building in the places such as office block, family dependents' building, school instruction building, market, the first predefined period can be with The moon is unit, can also be unit in week, can also be as unit of day;If the electric power data obtained is described as unit of the moon First time predefined section, such as the Power system load data of the electricity consumption monthly every day in half a year;If being obtained as unit of week Electric power data be the first time predefined section, such as nearest two months in electricity consumption every day weekly electric load number According to;If the electric power data obtained is each daily in the first time predefined section, such as nearest 10 days as unit of day The Power system load data of hour electricity consumption.It is understood that the first predefined period can also as unit of hour, And the minimum unit of the electric power data obtained can be specific to need to use according to the predetermined building is practical to second grade The variation of electricity and determine, be not specifically limited in the present embodiment.
A2, the electric power data that method analysis obtains is determined using predetermined exceptional value, it is without exception to obtain first Electric power data collection and the first abnormal electric power data collection;
It is to be appreciated that since the electric power data got is manually to carry out meter reading, and typing by relevant staff To the electric power data of electric power data storage system, therefore, the electric power data is typically due to human factor, such as staff's mood Electric power data caused by bad exist it is abnormal, personnel relieve a sentry join it is indefinite caused by meter reading data it is abnormal etc., or can also be with The reason of by equipment itself, such as line interruption, data transmission link is impaired etc., and to cause electric power data to exist abnormal;Further, In the present embodiment, the predetermined exceptional value determine method be box figure identify exceptional value method, specifically include as Lower step: the unit time in the described first predefined period is determined;It is traversed in determining each unit time respectively Electric power data with the presence or absence of the data greater than the first predefined thresholds and is in the electric power data inquired in each unit time The no data existed less than the second predefined thresholds;Make a reservation for if having and existing in the electric power data in the unit time greater than described first The data of adopted threshold value, or there are the data for being less than second predefined thresholds, it is determined that the electric power number in the unit time There are abnormal power data in, and the electric power data in the unit time is the sample that the described first abnormal electric power data is concentrated Collection;If having in the electric power data in the unit time, there is no the data greater than first predefined thresholds, and there is no be less than The data of second predefined thresholds, it is determined that abnormal power data are not present in the electric power data in the unit time, it should Electric power data in unit time is the sample set that the described first electric power data without exception is concentrated;Wherein, described first is predetermined Adopted threshold value is QU+ 1.5IQRQU+1.5QR, second predefined thresholds are QL-1.5IQRQL-1.5IQR, wherein QU is system Obtained upper quartile is counted, indicates there are 1/4 data bigger than him in total data, QL is the lower quartile that statistics obtains, Indicate there are 1/4 data smaller than him in total data, IQR is quartile spacing, is the difference of QU and QL.
Specifically, in this example, it is assumed that the first predefined period is the then institute with the period of moon unit Every day that the predefined unit time is the middle of each month in the predefined first time period is stated, if having one day use in certain middle of the month There are exceptional values for the Power system load data of electricity, then the power load charge values of the daily electricity consumption of this month are the first abnormal power data The sample data of concentration, similarly, if exceptional value is not present in the Power system load data in the daily electricity consumption in certain middle of the month, the middle of the month The power load charge values of daily electricity consumption be sample data that the described first electric power data without exception is concentrated.It is to be appreciated that false If the first predefined period with unit around, then when the predefined unit time is described predefined first In weekly in every day, if the first predefined period, as unit of day, institute's predefined unit time is In the predefined first time daily in each hour.
A3, the first abnormal power data set is substituted into the abnormal value prediction model progress exceptional value that training is completed in advance Prediction, to predict the abnormal power data in the first abnormal power data set.
Specifically, the abnormal value prediction model that the preparatory training is completed is XGBoost model, the exceptional value and model The test process of training process and model including model, the training process of the model include:
E1, electric power data sample set of the predetermined target construction in the second time predefined section is obtained, The abnormality of the electric power data obtained is analyzed, to obtain the second data set without exception and the second abnormal data set;
It is to be appreciated that the first time predefined section can be identical with the second time predefined section, it is preferable that The second time predefined section is greater than the first time predefined section, and the first time predefined section is pre- with described second The chronomere for defining the period must be identical, if the first time predefined Duan Yiyue is unit, then described second is pre- Defining the period must be also as unit of the moon.It should be noted that during the abnormality for the electric power data that analysis obtains, Need to consider the ratio for the electric power data exceptional value for including in the predefined period obtained, if such as described first predefined Period and the second time predefined Duan Jun then need to consider as unit of the moon predefined described second as unit of the moon In period, the exceptional value ratio of electric power data in the Power system load data of electricity consumption every day monthly, if pre- described second There is the exceptional value ratio of certain month electric power data more than preset exceptional value proportion threshold value, such as 10% in the definition period, then It needs to carry out error condition analysis to the electric power data of this month based on experience value, alternatively, need to abandon the electric power data of this month, and The electric power data in more times is obtained as sample set.
F1, the training sample set and test sample that the data in the described second data set without exception are divided into preset ratio Collection modifies in the training sample set partial data at random to obtain abnormality test sample set;
Specifically, the ratio of the training sample set is typically larger than the ratio of the test sample collection, such as preferably, institute The ratio for stating training sample set and the test sample collection is 7:3.
G1, label is added to each sample data that the training sample is concentrated, the label is preset each sample Whether data are exceptional value;
Specifically, in this example, it is assumed that being exceptional value, then preset label is 1, it is assumed that is not exceptional value, then in advance If label be 0.
H1, the electric power data that the training sample with the label is concentrated using the XGboost that pre-establishes touch type into Row supervised learning, to obtain abnormal value prediction model;
Specifically, it is a kind of boost model based on decision tree structure that the XGboost, which touches type, similar with GBDT, but by Type is touched in XGboost to have carried out second level Taylor expansion to objective function and joined regularization term so that model have it is stronger Generalization ability can evade the risk of fitting, strong antijamming capability.Specifically, to the training sample set benefit with the label It being exercised supervision study, is inputted as sample and label with XGboost, the sample is the electric power data that the training sample is concentrated, The label is whether the electric power data that the training sample is concentrated is exceptional value, exports the training sample concentration for prediction Each electric power data be exceptional value probability.
F1, model accuracy test is carried out to the obtained abnormal value prediction model, if test passes through, model training Terminate, if test does not pass through, increase the sample data that the training sample is concentrated, and repeat above-mentioned steps E1, F1, G1、H1。
Specifically, the test process of the model includes: according to obtained abnormal value prediction model to the abnormality test Data in sample set carry out exceptional value mark, to obtain with the electric power data collection marked extremely;It will obtain with abnormal The electric power data collection of mark is compared with the data that the training sample after random modification is concentrated, if described with abnormal mark Electric power data concentrate the abnormal data of mark to obtain after the random modification electric power data compared with, the abnormal number of mark It is more than or equal to preset probability threshold value according to the probability value of the electric power data for modification, it is determined that test the accuracy of model Do not pass through;Alternatively, if after abnormal data and the random modification for concentrating mark with the electric power data marked extremely Obtained electric power data is compared, and the abnormal data of mark is that the probability value of the electric power data of modification is less than preset probability threshold value, Then pass through for the accuracy test of model.
By above-mentioned thing embodiment it is found that electronic device proposed by the present invention, obtains predetermined building first Electric power data in one time predefined section;Then the electric power number of method analysis acquisition is determined using predetermined exceptional value According to obtain the first electric power data collection without exception and the first abnormal electric power data collection;Finally by first abnormal power Data set substitutes into the abnormal value prediction model that training is completed in advance and carries out exceptional value prediction, to predict first abnormal power Abnormal power data in data set.It can be improved the accuracy that abnormal data is predicted in electric power data, for building for smart grid And if promoting and providing reference data.
In addition, the function that the electric power data predicting abnormality program of the invention based on XGBoost is realized according to its each section Can be different, it can be described with program module with the same function.It please refers to shown in Fig. 2, is that electronic device one of the present invention is real Apply the program module schematic diagram of the electric power data predicting abnormality program in example based on XGBoost.In the present embodiment, it is based on The difference for the function that the electric power data predicting abnormality program of XGBoost is realized according to its each section, can be divided into acquisition Module 201, analysis module 202 and prediction module 203.By above description it is found that the so-called program module of the present invention refers to The series of computation machine program instruction section that can complete specific function, than program more suitable for describing the electric power based on XGBoost Implementation procedure of the data exception Prediction program in electronic device 10.The functions or operations step that the module 201-203 is realized Rapid similar as above, and will not be described here in detail, illustratively, such as wherein:
Module 201 is obtained for obtaining electric power data of the predetermined building in the first time predefined section;
Analysis module 202 is used to determine the electric power data that method analysis obtains using predetermined exceptional value, to obtain First electric power data collection without exception and the first abnormal electric power data collection;
Prediction module 203, which is used to substituting into the first abnormal power data set into the exceptional value that training is completed in advance, predicts mould Type carries out exceptional value prediction, to predict the abnormal power data in the first abnormal power data set.
In addition, the present invention also proposes a kind of electric power data predicting abnormality method based on XGBoost, please refer to shown in Fig. 3, The electric power data predicting abnormality method based on XGBoost includes the following steps:
S301, electric power data of the predetermined building in the first time predefined section is obtained;
It, can also be with it is to be appreciated that the predetermined building can be inpatient building in hospital, patient terminal It is the building in the places such as office block, family dependents' building, school instruction building, market, the first predefined period can be with The moon is unit, can also be unit in week, can also be as unit of day;If the electric power data obtained is described as unit of the moon First time predefined section, such as the Power system load data of the electricity consumption monthly every day in half a year;If being obtained as unit of week Electric power data be the first time predefined section, such as nearest two months in electricity consumption every day weekly electric load number According to;If the electric power data obtained is each daily in the first time predefined section, such as nearest 10 days as unit of day The Power system load data of hour electricity consumption.It is understood that the first predefined period can also as unit of hour, And the minimum unit of the electric power data obtained can be specific to need to use according to the predetermined building is practical to second grade The variation of electricity and determine, be not specifically limited in the present embodiment.
S302, the electric power data that method analysis obtains is determined using predetermined exceptional value, it is without exception to obtain first Electric power data collection and the first abnormal electric power data collection;
It is to be appreciated that since the electric power data got is manually to carry out meter reading, and typing by relevant staff To the electric power data of electric power data storage system, therefore, the electric power data is typically due to human factor, such as staff's mood Electric power data caused by bad exist it is abnormal, personnel relieve a sentry join it is indefinite caused by meter reading data it is abnormal etc., or can also be with The reason of by equipment itself, such as line interruption, data transmission link is impaired etc., and to cause electric power data to exist abnormal;Further, In the present embodiment, the predetermined exceptional value determine method be box figure identify exceptional value method, specifically include as Lower step: the unit time in the described first predefined period is determined;It is traversed in determining each unit time respectively Electric power data with the presence or absence of the data greater than the first predefined thresholds and is in the electric power data inquired in each unit time The no data existed less than the second predefined thresholds;Make a reservation for if having and existing in the electric power data in the unit time greater than described first The data of adopted threshold value, or there are the data for being less than second predefined thresholds, it is determined that the electric power number in the unit time There are abnormal power data in, and the electric power data in the unit time is the sample that the described first abnormal electric power data is concentrated Collection;If having in the electric power data in the unit time, there is no the data greater than first predefined thresholds, and there is no be less than The data of second predefined thresholds, it is determined that abnormal power data are not present in the electric power data in the unit time, it should Electric power data in unit time is the sample set that the described first electric power data without exception is concentrated;Wherein, described first is predetermined Adopted threshold value is QU+1.5IQRQU+1.5QR, and second predefined thresholds are QL-1.5IQRQL-1.5IQR, wherein QU is system Obtained upper quartile is counted, indicates there are 1/4 data bigger than him in total data, QL is the lower quartile that statistics obtains, Indicate there are 1/4 data smaller than him in total data, IQR is quartile spacing, is the difference of QU and QL.
Specifically, in this example, it is assumed that the first predefined period is the then institute with the period of moon unit Every day that the predefined unit time is the middle of each month in the predefined first time period is stated, if having one day use in certain middle of the month There are exceptional values for the Power system load data of electricity, then the power load charge values of the daily electricity consumption of this month are the first abnormal power data The sample data of concentration, similarly, if exceptional value is not present in the Power system load data in the daily electricity consumption in certain middle of the month, the middle of the month The power load charge values of daily electricity consumption be sample data that the described first electric power data without exception is concentrated.It is to be appreciated that false If the first predefined period with unit around, then when the predefined unit time is described predefined first In weekly in every day, if the first predefined period, as unit of day, institute's predefined unit time is In the predefined first time daily in each hour.
S303, the abnormal value prediction model progress that the first abnormal power data set is substituted into training completion in advance are abnormal Value prediction, to predict the abnormal power data in the first abnormal power data set.
Specifically, the abnormal value prediction model that the preparatory training is completed is XGBoost model, the exceptional value and model The test process of training process and model including model, the training process of the model include:
E2, electric power data sample set of the predetermined target construction in the second time predefined section is obtained, The abnormality of the electric power data obtained is analyzed, to obtain the second data set without exception and the second abnormal data set;
It is to be appreciated that the first time predefined section can be identical with the second time predefined section, it is preferable that The second time predefined section is greater than the first time predefined section, and the first time predefined section is pre- with described second The chronomere for defining the period must be identical, if the first time predefined Duan Yiyue is unit, then described second is pre- Defining the period must be also as unit of the moon.It should be noted that during the abnormality for the electric power data that analysis obtains, Need to consider the ratio for the electric power data exceptional value for including in the predefined period obtained, if such as described first predefined Period and the second time predefined Duan Jun then need to consider as unit of the moon predefined described second as unit of the moon In period, the exceptional value ratio of electric power data in the Power system load data of electricity consumption every day monthly, if pre- described second There is the exceptional value ratio of certain month electric power data more than preset exceptional value proportion threshold value, such as 10% in the definition period, then It needs to carry out error condition analysis to the electric power data of this month based on experience value, alternatively, need to abandon the electric power data of this month, and The electric power data in more times is obtained as sample set.
F2, the training sample set and test sample that the data in the described second data set without exception are divided into preset ratio Collection modifies in the training sample set partial data at random to obtain abnormality test sample set;
Specifically, the ratio of the training sample set is typically larger than the ratio of the test sample collection, such as preferably, institute The ratio for stating training sample set and the test sample collection is 7:3.
G2, label is added to each sample data that the training sample is concentrated, the label is preset each sample Whether data are exceptional value;
Specifically, in this example, it is assumed that being exceptional value, then preset label is 1, it is assumed that is not exceptional value, then in advance If label be 0.
H2, the electric power data that the training sample with the label is concentrated using the XGboost that pre-establishes touch type into Row supervised learning, to obtain abnormal value prediction model;
Specifically, it is a kind of boost model based on decision tree structure that the XGboost, which touches type, similar with GBDT, but by Type is touched in XGboost to have carried out second level Taylor expansion to objective function and joined regularization term so that model have it is stronger Generalization ability can evade the risk of fitting, strong antijamming capability.Specifically, to the training sample set benefit with the label It being exercised supervision study, is inputted as sample and label with XGboost, the sample is the electric power data that the training sample is concentrated, The label is whether the electric power data that the training sample is concentrated is exceptional value, exports the training sample concentration for prediction Each electric power data be exceptional value probability.
F2, model accuracy test is carried out to the obtained abnormal value prediction model, if test passes through, model training Terminate, if test does not pass through, increase the sample data that the training sample is concentrated, and repeat above-mentioned steps E2, F2, G2、H2。
Specifically, the test process of the model includes: according to obtained abnormal value prediction model to the abnormality test Data in sample set carry out exceptional value mark, to obtain with the electric power data collection marked extremely;It will obtain with abnormal The electric power data collection of mark is compared with the data that the training sample after random modification is concentrated, if described with abnormal mark Electric power data concentrate the abnormal data of mark to obtain after the random modification electric power data compared with, the abnormal number of mark It is more than or equal to preset probability threshold value according to the probability value of the electric power data for modification, it is determined that test the accuracy of model Do not pass through;Alternatively, if after abnormal data and the random modification for concentrating mark with the electric power data marked extremely Obtained electric power data is compared, and the abnormal data of mark is that the probability value of the electric power data of modification is less than preset probability threshold value, Then pass through for the accuracy test of model.
By above-mentioned thing embodiment it is found that the electric power data predicting abnormality method proposed by the present invention based on XGBoost, first Obtain electric power data of the predetermined building in the first time predefined section;Then true using predetermined exceptional value The electric power data that method analysis obtains is determined, to obtain the first electric power data collection without exception and the first abnormal electric power data collection; The first abnormal power data set is finally substituted into the abnormal value prediction model that training is completed in advance and carries out exceptional value prediction, with Predict the abnormal power data in the first abnormal power data set.It can be improved what abnormal data in electric power data was predicted Accuracy provides reference data for the construction and popularization of smart grid.
In addition, the present invention also proposes a kind of computer readable storage medium, stored on the computer readable storage medium There is the electric power data predicting abnormality program based on XGBoost, the electric power data predicting abnormality program based on XGBoost is located It manages and realizes following operation when device executes:
Obtain electric power data of the predetermined building in the first time predefined section;
The electric power data that method analysis obtains is determined using predetermined exceptional value, to obtain the first electric power without exception Data set and the first abnormal electric power data collection;
It is pre- that the first abnormal power data set is substituted into the abnormal value prediction model progress exceptional value that training is completed in advance It surveys, to predict the abnormal power data in the first abnormal power data set.
Computer readable storage medium of the present invention, specific implementation process and electronic device and the electricity based on XGBoost Force data predicting abnormality method is similar, and details are not described herein.
By above-mentioned analysis it is found that computer readable storage medium of the invention, obtains predetermined building first Electric power data in the first time predefined section;Then the electric power of method analysis acquisition is determined using predetermined exceptional value Data, to obtain the first electric power data collection without exception and the first abnormal electric power data collection;It is finally abnormal electric by described first Force data collection substitutes into the abnormal value prediction model that training is completed in advance and carries out exceptional value prediction, abnormal electric to predict described first The abnormal power data that force data is concentrated.It can be improved the accuracy that abnormal data is predicted in electric power data, be smart grid Construction and popularization provide reference data.
Through the above description of the embodiments, those skilled in the art can be understood that above-described embodiment side Method can be realized by means of software and necessary general hardware platform, naturally it is also possible to by hardware, but in many cases The former is more preferably embodiment.Based on this understanding, technical solution of the present invention substantially in other words does the prior art The part contributed out can be embodied in the form of software products, which is stored in a storage medium In (such as ROM/RAM, magnetic disk, CD), including some instructions are used so that a terminal device (can be mobile phone, computer, clothes Business device, air conditioner or the network equipment etc.) execute method described in each embodiment of the present invention.The above is only of the invention excellent Embodiment is selected, is not intended to limit the scope of the invention, it is all using made by description of the invention and accompanying drawing content etc. Structure or equivalent process transformation are imitated, is applied directly or indirectly in other relevant technical fields, and is similarly included in the present invention Scope of patent protection in.

Claims (10)

1. a kind of electronic device, which is characterized in that the electronic device includes memory and the processing that connect with the memory Device, the processor are described for executing the electric power data predicting abnormality program based on XGBoost stored on the memory Electric power data predicting abnormality program based on XGBoost realizes following steps when being executed by the processor:
A1, electric power data of the predetermined building in the first time predefined section is obtained;
A2, the electric power data that method analysis obtains is determined using predetermined exceptional value, to obtain the first electric power without exception Data set and the first abnormal electric power data collection;
A3, the abnormal value prediction model progress exceptional value that the first abnormal power data set is substituted into training completion in advance are pre- It surveys, to predict the abnormal power data in the first abnormal power data set.
2. electronic device as described in claim 1, which is characterized in that in the step A2, predetermined exceptional value is true Determining method is that box figure identifies exceptional value method, and the step A2 includes the following steps:
Determine the unit time in the described first predefined period;
Traverse the electric power data in determining each unit time respectively, inquire in the electric power data in each unit time whether In the presence of the data for being greater than the first predefined thresholds and with the presence or absence of the data less than the second predefined thresholds;
If there are the data existed in the electric power data in the unit time greater than first predefined thresholds, or exists and be less than institute State the data of the second predefined thresholds, it is determined that there are abnormal power data in the electric power data in the unit time;
If having in the electric power data in the unit time, there is no the data greater than first predefined thresholds, and there is no be less than The data of second predefined thresholds, it is determined that abnormal power data are not present in the electric power data in the unit time;
The electric power data there are in the unit time of abnormal power data constitutes the described first abnormal electric power data collection, institute The electric power data stated in the unit time there is no abnormal power data constitutes the first electric power data collection without exception.
3. electronic device as claimed in claim 2, which is characterized in that first predefined thresholds are as follows:
QU+1.5IQRQU+1.5QR
Second predefined thresholds are as follows:
QL-1.5IQRQL-1.5IQR
Wherein, QU is the upper quartile that statistics obtains, and indicates have 1/4 data bigger than him in total data, QL is to count The lower quartile arrived indicates have 1/4 data smaller than him in total data, and IQR is quartile spacing, is the difference of QU and QL Value.
4. electronic device as claimed in claim 3, which is characterized in that in the step A3, what the preparatory training was completed Abnormal value prediction model is XGBoost model, and the exceptional value and model include the training process of model and the test of model The training process of journey, the model includes:
E1, electric power data sample set of the predetermined target construction in the second time predefined section, analysis are obtained The abnormality of the electric power data of acquisition, to obtain the second data set without exception and the second abnormal data set;
F1, the training sample set and test sample collection that the data in the described second data set without exception are divided into preset ratio, with Machine maintenance changes in the training sample set partial data to obtain abnormality test sample set;
G1, label is added to each sample data that the training sample is concentrated, the label is preset each sample data It whether is exceptional value;
H1, the electric power data concentrated to the training sample with the label are touched type using the XGboost pre-established and are supervised Educational inspector practises, to obtain abnormal value prediction model;
J1, model accuracy test is carried out to the obtained abnormal value prediction model, if test passes through, model training knot Beam increases the sample data that the training sample is concentrated if test does not pass through, and repeat above-mentioned steps E1, F1, G1, H1。
5. electronic device as claimed in claim 4, which is characterized in that the test process of the model includes:
Exceptional value mark is carried out to the data in the abnormality test sample set according to obtained abnormal value prediction model, to obtain With the electric power data collection marked extremely;
The obtained data concentrated with the electric power data collection marked extremely with the training sample after random modification are compared Compared with if the electric power for concentrating the abnormal data of mark and the random modification to obtain later with the electric power data marked extremely Data are compared, and the abnormal data of mark is that the probability value of the electric power data of modification is more than or equal to preset probability threshold value, then It determines and the accuracy test of model is not passed through;
Alternatively, if described concentrate the abnormal data of mark and the random modification to obtain later with the electric power data marked extremely Electric power data compare, the abnormal data of mark is that the probability value of the electric power data of modification is less than preset probability threshold value, then needle The accuracy test of model is passed through.
6. a kind of electric power data predicting abnormality method based on XGBoost, which is characterized in that described method includes following steps:
S1, electric power data of the predetermined building in the first time predefined section is obtained;
S2, the electric power data that method analysis obtains is determined using predetermined exceptional value, to obtain the first electric power without exception Data set and the first abnormal electric power data collection;
S3, the abnormal value prediction model progress exceptional value that the first abnormal power data set is substituted into training completion in advance are pre- It surveys, to predict the abnormal power data in the first abnormal power data set.
7. the electric power data predicting abnormality method based on XGBoost as claimed in claim 6, which is characterized in that in the step In rapid S2, predetermined exceptional value determines that method is that box figure identifies exceptional value method, and the step S2 includes the following steps:
Determine the unit time in the described first predefined period;
Traverse the electric power data in determining each unit time respectively, inquire in the electric power data in each unit time whether In the presence of the data for being greater than the first predefined thresholds and with the presence or absence of the data less than the second predefined thresholds;
If there are the data existed in the electric power data in the unit time greater than first predefined thresholds, or exists and be less than institute State the data of the second predefined thresholds, it is determined that there are abnormal power data in the electric power data in the unit time;
If having in the electric power data in the unit time, there is no the data greater than first predefined thresholds, and there is no be less than The data of second predefined thresholds, it is determined that abnormal power data are not present in the electric power data in the unit time;
The electric power data there are in the unit time of abnormal power data constitutes the described first abnormal electric power data collection, institute The electric power data stated in the unit time there is no abnormal power data constitutes the first electric power data collection without exception.
8. the electric power data predicting abnormality method based on XGBoost as claimed in claim 7, which is characterized in that described first Predefined thresholds are as follows:
QU+1.5IQRQU+1.5QR
Second predefined thresholds are as follows:
QL-1.5IQRQL-1.5IQR
Wherein, QU is the upper quartile that statistics obtains, and indicates have 1/4 data bigger than him in total data, QL is to count The lower quartile arrived indicates have 1/4 data smaller than him in total data, and IQR is quartile spacing, is the difference of QU and QL Value.
9. the electric power data predicting abnormality method based on XGBoost as claimed in claim 8, which is characterized in that in the step In rapid S3, the abnormal value prediction model that the preparatory training is completed is XGBoost model, and the exceptional value and model include model Training process and model test process, the training process of the model includes:
E2, electric power data sample set of the predetermined target construction in the second time predefined section, analysis are obtained The abnormality of the electric power data of acquisition, to obtain the second data set without exception and the second abnormal data set;
F2, the training sample set and test sample collection that the data in the described second data set without exception are divided into preset ratio, with Machine maintenance changes in the training sample set partial data to obtain abnormality test sample set;
G2, label is added to each sample data that the training sample is concentrated, the label is preset each sample data It whether is exceptional value;
H2, the electric power data concentrated to the training sample with the label are touched type using the XGboost pre-established and are supervised Educational inspector practises, to obtain abnormal value prediction model;
J2, model accuracy test is carried out to the obtained abnormal value prediction model, if test passes through, model training knot Beam increases the sample data that the training sample is concentrated if test does not pass through, and repeat above-mentioned steps E2, F2, G2, H2。
10. a kind of computer readable storage medium, the computer-readable recording medium storage has the electric power number based on XGBoost According to predicting abnormality program, the electric power data predicting abnormality program based on XGBoost can be executed by least one processor, with The electric power data based on XGBoost for executing at least one described processor as described in any one of claim 6-9 is abnormal The step of prediction technique.
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