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CN109118763A - Vehicle flowrate prediction technique based on corrosion denoising deepness belief network - Google Patents

Vehicle flowrate prediction technique based on corrosion denoising deepness belief network Download PDF

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CN109118763A
CN109118763A CN201810986737.3A CN201810986737A CN109118763A CN 109118763 A CN109118763 A CN 109118763A CN 201810986737 A CN201810986737 A CN 201810986737A CN 109118763 A CN109118763 A CN 109118763A
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corrosion
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vehicle flowrate
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CN109118763B (en
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阮雅端
张园笛
葛嘉琦
王麟皇
曹小峰
陈启美
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Nanjing University
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Abstract

A kind of vehicle flowrate prediction technique based on corrosion denoising deepness belief network, vehicle flowrate prediction refers to the vehicle flowrate situation using the historical juncture to predict the vehicle flowrate situation at current and future moment, the present invention proposes random corrosion layer as a kind of regularization means, release the interdependence between a part of neuron, prediction model generalization ability is improved, over-fitting risk is reduced.In combination with concrete application scene, it is contemplated that the spatial coherence of vehicle flowrate and temporal regularity establish vehicle flowrate prediction model, realize that accurate, reliable, real-time vehicle flowrate prediction, effectively optimization traffic scheduling alleviate traffic pressure, improve the operational efficiency of road network.This has great significance to the development of intelligent transportation.

Description

Vehicle flowrate prediction technique based on corrosion denoising deepness belief network
Technical field
The invention belongs to field of artificial intelligence, are related to intelligent transportation and neural network learning systems technology, for one kind Vehicle flowrate prediction technique based on corrosion denoising deepness belief network.
Background technique
With the development of urbanization, traffic congestion has become a universal phenomenon, this has seriously affected the convenient of trip Property.Accurately, vehicle flowrate is predicted to be current intelligent transportation urgent problem to be solved reliably, in real time, this can effectively optimize traffic tune Degree alleviates traffic pressure, improves the operational efficiency of road network, promotes people's lives comfort level and fragrance.In recent years, artificial intelligence The development of energy has also pushed the flow of research of vehicle flowrate forecasting problem, and the method based on deep learning starts to be applied to intelligent friendship Logical field.The model robustness established based on such method is good, and learning ability is strong, can cope with traffic conditions complicated and changeable.It is logical The method using deep learning is crossed, in conjunction with concrete application scene, corresponding vehicle flowrate prediction model is established, to obtain preferable wagon flow Estimated performance is measured, has great significance to the development of intelligent transportation.
Vehicle flowrate prediction of the invention refers to the vehicle flowrate situation using the historical juncture to predict the current and future moment Vehicle flowrate situation.Most common vehicle flowrate prediction technique is time series models in early days, and as a kind of linear model, it has knot Structure is simple, the fast advantage of calculating speed, but it cannot handle traffic conditions complicated and changeable well, and precision of prediction is low.Traffic The potential rule of flow data be it is nonlinear, can freely learn any from training data using non-parametric machine learning method The function of form, preferably fitting prediction model.In machine learning, a variety of regression algorithms can be effectively used for forecasting traffic flow, such as Supporting vector machine model, K arest neighbors regression model, Random Forest model, neural network model etc..Neural network model is a kind of The model of human brain neural network is simulated, learning ability is powerful, does not need hand-designed feature, it is only necessary to input initial data, mould Type can learn corresponding Nonlinear Mapping relationship out, therefore be widely used.
With the increase of the prototype network number of plies, the mapping relations that neural network model can learn are based on regard to more complicated The training method of conventional counter propagation algorithm often makes deep layer network fall into locally optimal solution, reduces model performance, depth letter Network is read with layer-by-layer greedy pre-training algorithm to solve this problem.
When not taking pre-training strategy and directly deep layer network trained with the Back Propagation Algorithm based on gradient descent method, If weight parameter is too big when netinit, the awkward situation of local minimum is often fallen into, if weight when netinit Parameter is too small, will cause the phenomenon that gradient disappears.The successively method of greediness pre-training deep layer network, can make network comparatively fast find Globe optimum is a kind of appropriate initialization strategy.However, the overfitting problem in network does not still solve very well.
Summary of the invention
The problem to be solved in the present invention is: neural network learning technology is more and more used for vehicle flowrate and predicts, but mesh Preceding neural net prediction method could be improved, to meet the technical need of vehicle flowrate prediction.
The technical solution of the present invention is as follows: the vehicle flowrate prediction technique based on corrosion denoising deepness belief network, is based on depth Belief network predicts the vehicle flowrate at current and future moment according to the vehicle flowrate of historical juncture, by the vehicle flowrate number of historical juncture According to training set and test set is divided into, using training set training deepness belief network model, the prediction of test set test model is used Performance obtains trained vehicle flowrate prediction model, and the vehicle flowrate for the current and future moment is predicted;Wherein, depth conviction The middle layer of network is limited Boltzmann machine by the corrosion removal stacked and constitutes, and it is limited that the corrosion removal, which is limited Boltzmann machine, The input terminal of Boltzmann machine adds a random corrosion layer, using the impaired output of this random corrosion layer as limited Boltzmann The visible layer of machine, hidden layer, which is not done, to be changed.
Further, random corrosion layer is realized by setting corrosion probability, and corrosion probability is a global hyper parameter, corrosion Probability is smaller, and more multi-neuron is retained, when corrosion probability is 0, random corrosion layer be degenerated to one it is common identical Image Planes, output only simply copy input;Corrosion probability is bigger, and more multi-neuron loses activity, the pass between neuron Connection property is weaker, and feature learning is more difficult, is determined by experiment reasonable corrosion probability value.
It is preferred that when establishing vehicle flowrate prediction model, in conjunction with the information of vehicle flowrate of upstream and downstream and adjacent segments Relevance and current time information of vehicle flowrate obtain prediction model frame to the dependence of historical juncture information of vehicle flowrate are as follows:
The bottom is prediction model data input layer, is inputted as X1, t-1, X1, t-2..., X1, t-d, X2, t-1, X2, t-2..., XM, t-d, wherein XI, jI-th of wagon detector is indicated in the vehicle flowrate at j moment, i=1 ..., m, m is total for wagon detector, t For prediction time, j=t-1 ... t-d, the i.e. input of prediction model be in road network all associated vehicle detectors at current time All information of vehicle flowrate between to the preceding d moment;
Middle layer is that the corrosion removal stacked is limited Boltzmann machine, and the corrosion removal is limited Boltzmann machine and is based on for one kind The production stochastic neural net of energy function, whole network are divided into two layers: visible layer and hidden layer, it is seen that layer is limited Bohr The hereby input layer of graceful machine, hidden layer are the feature extraction layer of limited Boltzmann machine;When pre-training vehicle flowrate prediction model, going The front end for corroding limited Boltzmann machine is a random corrosion layer, and input data is introduced into random corrosion layer, after corrosion Impaired output is used as visible layer, and vehicle flowrate prediction model finely tunes and do not have random corrosion layer when testing;
Top is prediction model logistic regression output layer, is exported as Y1, Y2, Y3..., Ym, wherein YiIndicate i-th of vehicle Vehicle flowrate of the detector in prediction time t.
It is preferred that training deepness belief network model specifically:
Step 1: pre-training corrosion removal is limited Boltzmann machine: setting corrosion probability, inputs as vehicle flowrate data, into heap Folded first layer corrosion removal is limited the random corrosion layer of Boltzmann machine, is corroded, is obtained impaired with preset corrosion probability Visible layer of the output as the limited Boltzmann machine of corrosion removal, obtains hidden layer character representation after energy generating function, then This hidden layer character representation carries out parameter update using log-likelihood function, makes parameter by the reconstruct input of energy generating function Under the conditions of limited Boltzmann machine probability distribution it is as eligible as possible, the output of hidden layer feature after pre-training is as next Corrosion removal is limited the input of Boltzmann machine;
Step 2: fixed pre-trained good corrosion removal is limited the weight and offset parameter of Boltzmann machine, starts pre- instruction Practice next corrosion removal and be limited Boltzmann machine, the input terminal that next corrosion removal is limited Boltzmann machine also closely follows one at random Corrosion layer, input are corroded with identical default corrosion probability, and for example previous corrosion removal of next training process is limited Bohr Hereby graceful machine, and so on, the output that each corrosion removal later is limited Boltzmann machine is introduced into next corrosion removal and is limited glass The random corrosion layer of the graceful machine of Wurz, then the input after destruction is continued to train as visible layer;
Step 3: after all corrosion removals of pre-training are limited Boltzmann machine, at the top of network model plus one layer of prediction is returned Layer is predicted for vehicle flowrate;
Step 4: thering is supervision to finely tune entire network model with Back Propagation Algorithm, first three period only updates the last layer net The weight and offset parameter of network, then update all layers of parameter, obtain final trained deepness belief network model.
It is preferred that using test set test model estimated performance when, evaluation criterion use average absolute percentage Error MAPE:
Wherein YiIt is practical vehicle flowrate,It is prediction vehicle flowrate, N is test sample number.
When training deepness belief network model, the hyper parameter that needs to adjust are as follows: the corrosion removal of stacking is limited Boltzmann machine Quantity Nlayer, each corrosion removal be limited the hidden node quantity N of Boltzmann machinenode, each corrosion removal be limited Boltzmann machine Pre-training period Nepoch, prediction current time vehicle flowrate needed for historical time segment number d and corrosion probability Clevel;With net Lattice search determines that hyper parameter is arranged according to MAPE error function, and to reduce search space, all corrosion removals are limited Bohr hereby The hidden node quantity N of graceful machinenodeIdentical, pre-training period NepochIt is identical, corrosion probability Clevel is identical.
Corrosion layer of the invention is considered as a kind of regularization means.Its mechanism of action is the nerve for corroding this layer at random Member, i.e., each node have certain probability to be damaged inactivation.This probability is the corrosion probability pre-set.Before not corroding, Each neuron can participate in the training of network, mutually coordinated, some neuron is to the extraction of feature by other dependence mind Influence through member, there are complicated correlations.This complicated correlation is one of the main reason for leading to over-fitting.Random corrosion layer The interdependence between a part of neuron can be removed, the neuron co-ordination remained is forced, weakens fixed correlation, Promote network robustness and generalization ability.
This corrosion is random random, so a different visible layer can be obtained each cycle of training, into One step, obtain the limited Boltzmann machine of different structure.Such operation, which is equivalent to, has trained several heterogeneous networks structures, so The result of average these types of network structure afterwards.The operation of this average heterogeneous networks structure can improve model generalization ability, to subtracting Light over-fitting is helpful.
The method that the present invention utilizes deep learning, is based on deepness belief network, and training basic building unit is limited Bohr hereby When graceful machine, random corrosion layer is added in input terminal, denoising mechanism is merged, improves network generalization, reduce the risk of over-fitting. In combination with concrete application scene, it is noted that the relevance of the information of vehicle flowrate of upstream and downstream and adjacent segments and current time Information of vehicle flowrate is to the dependence of historical juncture information of vehicle flowrate, in network structure design by the space correlation of information of vehicle flowrate Property and temporal regularity take into account, and establish the vehicle flowrate prediction neural network model for having high accuracy.This can be with Good anticipation is provided for traffic scheduling, alleviates traffic pressure.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is that corrosion removal is limited Boltzmann machine training structure figure.
Fig. 2 is the vehicle flowrate prediction model structure chart based on corrosion denoising deepness belief network.
Fig. 3 is the vehicle flowrate prediction model training flow chart based on corrosion denoising deepness belief network.
Fig. 4 is the method for the present invention working day day car volume forecasting effect picture.
Fig. 5 is the method for the present invention working day continuous five overhead traveling cranes volume forecasting effect picture.
Specific embodiment
The method that the present invention utilizes deep learning, is transformed conventional depth belief network, is had more with further Representative feature improves model generalization ability, effectively mitigation overfitting problem.Conventional depth belief network is limited by what is stacked Boltzmann machine is built-up, the innovation of the invention consists in that, input terminal when training in each limited Boltzmann machine adds one A random corrosion layer, using the output of this random corrosion layer as new visible layer, hidden layer, which is not done, to be changed.
Corrosion probability is a global hyper parameter.Corrosion probability is smaller, and more multi-neuron is retained, when corrosion probability is 0 When, random corrosion layer is degenerated to a common identical Image Planes, and output only simply copies input;Corrosion probability is got over Greatly, more multi-neuron loses activity, and the relevance between neuron is weaker, and feature learning is more difficult.So needing to pass through experiment Reasonable corrosion probability value is set.
Input after corrosion layer, limited Boltzmann machine obtain a part of nodes inactivation input layer, be equivalent to by Noise pollution has been arrived, so they not only want the Energy distribution of analog network node, also to have removed the influence of corrosion noise.It incite somebody to action this The novel Boltzmann machine that invention proposes is referred to as corrosion removal and is limited Boltzmann machine, and this corrosion removal of training is limited Boltzmann Function forces Hidden unit to acquire more robust feature, obtains the stronger network of generalization.
Based on above-mentioned several points, therefore the vehicle flowrate prediction technique of the invention based on corrosion denoising deepness belief network can be with Traffic conditions complicated and changeable are coped with, while in view of the spatial coherence of information of vehicle flowrate and time rule when model structure design Rule property, further increases prediction accuracy.
Concrete model frame of the invention are as follows:
The bottom is model data input layer, is inputted as X1, t-1, X1, t-2..., X1, t-d;X2, t-1, X2, t-2...; XM, t-1..., XM, t-d, wherein XI, jI-th of wagon detector is indicated in the vehicle flowrate at j moment, i=1 ..., m, m is vehicle inspection Survey device sum, t is prediction time, j=t-1 ... t-d, the i.e. input of model be in road network all associated vehicle detectors preceding The information of vehicle flowrate of d period.This fully demonstrates the spatial coherence and temporal regularity that model considers vehicle flowrate, empty Between correlation show as upstream and downstream section vehicle flowrate and adjacent segments vehicle flowrate and can largely influence currently to be predicted section Vehicle flowrate, temporal regularity show as having apparent vehicle flowrate tendency information between the continuous period;
Middle layer is that the corrosion removal stacked is limited Boltzmann machine and the most important basic building unit of model.Go corruption Losing limited Boltzmann machine is a kind of production stochastic neural net based on energy function, and whole network is divided into two layers: visible Layer and hidden layer, it is seen that layer is the input layer of limited Boltzmann machine, and hidden layer is the feature extraction layer of limited Boltzmann machine, In the situation known to visible layer state, all hidden nodes are conditional samplings, similarly, in the situation known to hidden layer state Under, all visible node layers are conditional samplings;
It is a random corrosion in the front end that corrosion removal is limited Boltzmann machine when pre-training vehicle flowrate prediction model Layer, input data are introduced into random corrosion layer, and the impaired output after corrosion is as visible layer, the fine tuning of vehicle flowrate prediction model and survey There is no random corrosion layer when examination;
Top is that model logic returns output layer, is exported as Y1, Y2, Y3..., Ym, wherein YiIndicate i-th of vehicle detection Vehicle flowrate of the device in prediction time t.
Below in conjunction with attached drawing, the present invention is further described.
Corrosion removal is limited Boltzmann machine training process as shown in Figure 1, input first passes around a random corrosion layer, each Neuron has certain probability to be damaged by corrosion, and releases the complicated correlation between a part of neuron, enhances generalization ability.Institute With compared to the limited Boltzmann machine of tradition, corrosion removal, which is limited Boltzmann machine, will not only simulate hidden layer and visible layer Energy distribution State, the corrosion noise that also remove input influence, it has to the useful information for the neuron for going study to remain at random, most After learn more expressive feature.
Random corrosion process:
maskp~Bernoulli (1-Clevel) (1)
vp=maskp*xp (2)
Wherein Clevel is corrosion probability, maskpIt is the neuron state after random corrosion layer, meets The distribution of Bernoulli stochastic variable, the probability that the probability that each variable has 1-Clevel is 1, Clever is 0, and state 1 indicates mind It is not damaged through member is intact, state 0 indicates that neuron is corroded damage.xpIndicate original complete input, vpIndicate by corrosion layer it Corrosion removal afterwards is limited the visible layer of Boltzmann machine.
When training corrosion removal is limited Boltzmann machine, damaged data enters limited Boltzmann machine, forces Hidden unit sharp More robust feature is acquired with the neuron connection relationship remained at random, reconstructs and original does not damage data.This step Rapid network is divided into two layers: visible layer and hidden layer.Visible layer is impaired input, and hidden layer is feature extraction layer.Limited glass ear The hereby energy function of graceful machine are as follows:
Wherein v is visible layer unit, and h is Hidden unit, and a and b are the biasing of visible layer unit and Hidden unit respectively, under Marking p and q is unit number, and w is weight matrix.
Corrosion removal, which is limited Boltzmann machine interlayer, connection, and connectionless in layer.Therefore, the feelings known to visible layer state Under condition, all hidden nodes are conditional samplings, and similarly, in the situation known to hidden layer state, all visible node layers are items Part is independent.So there is the following conditions new probability formula:
Wherein sigm (x) is a S type logical function, is 1/ [1+exp (x)].
Pre-training corrosion removal is limited the process of Boltzmann machine as shown in Figure 1, specifically describing are as follows:
Step 1: input is introduced into random corrosion layer, and each node has certain probability to be damaged by corrosion, and releases a part mind Through the interdependence between member, the visible layer list of Boltzmann machine is then limited using the damaged data of output as corrosion removal Member;
Step 2: random initializtion weight matrix w and bias vector a, b, according to visible layer unit v0State, pass through formula (4), Hidden unit h is obtained0State;
Step 3: according to Hidden unit h0State, visible layer unit v is reconstructed by formula (5)1State;
Step 4: formula (4) are utilized again, according to visible layer unit v1State, reconstruct Hidden unit h1State;
Step 5: weight matrix w and bias vector a, b are updated using following formula:
Wherein E (vphq)inputIndicate the expectation of input data distribution, E (vphq)reconIndicate the expectation of reconstruct data distribution.
The training process for being limited Boltzmann machine from corrosion removal can see, and whole process does not use the label letter of data Breath, this is advantageous in the scene for lacking label information.So it is both generation model and an a unsupervised model.
It stacks corrosion removal and is limited Boltzmann machine, customize input layer and output layer, obtain that the present invention is based on depth conviction nets The vehicle flowrate prediction model of network, as shown in Figure 2.Mainly there are three parts for model of the invention:
The bottom is model data input layer, is inputted as X1, t-1, X1, t-2..., X1, t-d;X2, t-1, X2, t-2...; XM, t-1..., XM, t-d, wherein XI, jI-th of wagon detector is indicated in the vehicle flowrate at j moment, m indicates wagon detector sum, I.e. the input of model be road network in all associated vehicle detectors the preceding d period information of vehicle flowrate.This fully demonstrates mould Type considers the spatial coherence and temporal regularity of vehicle flowrate, and spatial coherence shows as upstream and downstream section vehicle flowrate and phase Adjacent section vehicle flowrate can largely influence currently to be predicted section vehicle flowrate, and temporal regularity shows as the continuous period Between have apparent vehicle flowrate tendency information;
Middle layer is that the corrosion removal stacked is limited Boltzmann machine and the most important basic building unit of model, is one Production stochastic neural net of the kind based on energy function.When pre-training vehicle flowrate prediction model, Bohr is limited hereby in corrosion removal The front end of graceful machine is a random corrosion layer, and input data is introduced into random corrosion layer, and the impaired output after corrosion is used as can See that layer, vehicle flowrate prediction model finely tune and do not have random corrosion layer when testing;
Top is that model logic returns output layer, is exported as Y1, Y2, Y3..., Ym, wherein YiIndicate i-th of vehicle detection Vehicle flowrate of the device in prediction time t.
The whole training process flow chart of vehicle flowrate prediction model based on corrosion denoising deepness belief network of the invention As shown in figure 3, being summarized as follows:
Step 1: setting corrosion probability inputs as vehicle flowrate data, and the corrosion removal into model first layer is limited Bohr hereby The random corrosion layer of graceful machine, is corroded with preset corrosion probability, is released the interdependence between a part of neuron, is obtained Impaired output is limited the visible layer of Boltzmann machine as corrosion removal, obtains hidden layer mark sheet after energy generates model Show, then this hidden layer character representation is generated model according to energy and obtains reconstruct input, log-likelihood function is utilized according to result Right value update is carried out, keeps the limited Boltzmann machine probability distribution under Parameter Conditions as eligible as possible, it is hidden after pre-training Layer feature output is limited the input of Boltzmann machine as next corrosion removal;
Step 2: fixed pre-trained good corrosion removal is limited the weight and offset parameter of Boltzmann machine, starts pre- instruction Practice second corrosion removal and is limited Boltzmann machine, and so on, each feature extraction output later is all introduced into next Corrosion removal is limited the random corrosion layer of Boltzmann machine, then the input after destruction is continued to train as visible layer;
Step 3: after all corrosion removals of pre-training are limited Boltzmann machine, at the top of network model plus one layer of prediction is returned Layer is predicted for vehicle flowrate;
Step 4: thering is supervision to finely tune entire network model with Back Propagation Algorithm, preceding several periods only update the last layer net The weight and offset parameter of network, then update all layers of parameter.
According to the evaluation criterion MAPE function and test result of model performance, determine the hyper parameter of model: stacking goes corruption Lose limited Boltzmann machine quantity Nlayer, each corrosion removal be limited the hidden node quantity N of Boltzmann machinenode, each go corruption Lose the pre-training period N of limited Boltzmann machineepoch, prediction current time vehicle flowrate needed for historical time segment number d and Corrosion probability Clevel.Then under conditions of determining model specific framework, further training pattern, adjustment weight matrix and partially Vector is set, model performance is optimal.Wherein, to reduce search space, all corrosion removals are limited the hidden of Boltzmann machine Node layer quantity NnodeIdentical, pre-training period NepochIt is identical, corrosion probability Clevel is identical.
Corrosion denoising deepness belief network frame of the invention has the following advantages:
First, it is a kind of generative probabilistic model;
Second, it can be used unlabeled data and carrys out unsupervised learning;
Third, first pre-training network, compared to the method for random initializtion, this algorithm can more preferably optimize whole network Weight, prevent optimization fall into locally optimal solution;
4th, when model pre-training, the front end that each corrosion removal is limited Boltzmann machine is a random corrosion layer, is used It removes the cross correlation between a part of neuron, improves model generalization ability, study has more representative characteristic, mitigated Fitting problems.
Fig. 4 is that the vehicle flowrate prediction technique prediction in one day of the invention based on corrosion denoising deepness belief network shows feelings Condition, Fig. 5 are the prediction techniques of proposition in a Friday workaday prediction performance situation.As can be seen that under the method for the present invention Prediction curve and practical vehicle flowrate curve co-insides degree are very high, can also have very high prediction quasi- in the case where vehicle flowrate fluctuates biggish situation True rate.

Claims (6)

1. based on the vehicle flowrate prediction technique of corrosion denoising deepness belief network, it is characterized in that based on deepness belief network according to going through The vehicle flowrate at history moment predicts the vehicle flowrate at current and future moment, by the vehicle flowrate data of historical juncture be divided into training set and Test set is trained using training set training deepness belief network model using the estimated performance of test set test model Vehicle flowrate prediction model, for the current and future moment vehicle flowrate predict;Wherein, the middle layer of deepness belief network is by heap Folded corrosion removal is limited Boltzmann machine and constitutes, and it is the input in limited Boltzmann machine that the corrosion removal, which is limited Boltzmann machine, End plus a random corrosion layer, using the impaired output of this random corrosion layer as the visible layer of limited Boltzmann machine, hidden layer It does not do and changes.
2. the vehicle flowrate prediction technique according to claim 1 based on corrosion denoising deepness belief network, it is characterized in that with Machine corrosion layer realizes that corrosion probability is a global hyper parameter, and corrosion probability is smaller, more multi-neuron by setting corrosion probability It is retained, when corrosion probability is 0, random corrosion layer is degenerated to a common identical Image Planes, exports only simple Ground duplication input;Corrosion probability is bigger, and more multi-neuron loses activity, and the relevance between neuron is weaker, and feature learning is got over Difficulty is determined by experiment reasonable corrosion probability value.
3. the vehicle flowrate prediction technique according to claim 1 or 2 based on corrosion denoising deepness belief network, it is characterized in that When establishing vehicle flowrate prediction model, in conjunction with the relevance and current time vehicle of upstream and downstream and the information of vehicle flowrate of adjacent segments Flow information obtains prediction model frame to the dependence of historical juncture information of vehicle flowrate are as follows:
The bottom is prediction model data input layer, is inputted as X1, t-1, X1, t-2..., X1, t-d, X2, t-1, X2, t-2..., XM, t-d, Middle XI, jI-th of wagon detector is indicated in the vehicle flowrate at j moment, i=1 ..., m, m is total for wagon detector, and t is prediction Moment, j=t-1 ... t-d, the i.e. input of prediction model are all associated vehicle detectors in road network at current time to preceding d All information of vehicle flowrate between a moment;
Middle layer is that the corrosion removal stacked is limited Boltzmann machine, and it is that one kind is based on energy that the corrosion removal, which is limited Boltzmann machine, The production stochastic neural net of function, whole network are divided into two layers: visible layer and hidden layer, it is seen that layer is limited Boltzmann The input layer of machine, hidden layer are the feature extraction layer of limited Boltzmann machine;When pre-training vehicle flowrate prediction model, in corrosion removal The front end of limited Boltzmann machine is a random corrosion layer, and input data is introduced into random corrosion layer, impaired after corrosion Output is used as visible layer, and vehicle flowrate prediction model finely tunes and do not have random corrosion layer when testing;
Top is prediction model logistic regression output layer, is exported as Y1, Y2, Y3..., Ym, wherein YiIndicate i-th of vehicle detection Vehicle flowrate of the device in prediction time t.
4. the vehicle flowrate prediction technique according to claim 1 or 2 based on corrosion denoising deepness belief network, it is characterized in that Training deepness belief network model specifically:
Step 1: pre-training corrosion removal is limited Boltzmann machine: setting corrosion probability, inputs as vehicle flowrate data, into stacking First layer corrosion removal is limited the random corrosion layer of Boltzmann machine, is corroded with preset corrosion probability, obtains impaired output It is limited the visible layer of Boltzmann machine as corrosion removal, hidden layer character representation is obtained after energy generating function, then this Hidden layer character representation carries out parameter update using log-likelihood function, makes Parameter Conditions by the reconstruct input of energy generating function Under limited Boltzmann machine probability distribution it is as eligible as possible, the output of hidden layer feature after pre-training goes corruption as next Lose the input of limited Boltzmann machine;
Step 2: fixed pre-trained good corrosion removal is limited the weight and offset parameter of Boltzmann machine, starts under pre-training One corrosion removal is limited Boltzmann machine, and the input terminal that next corrosion removal is limited Boltzmann machine also closely follows a random corrosion Layer, input are corroded with identical default corrosion probability, and for example previous corrosion removal of next training process is limited Boltzmann Machine, and so on, the output that each corrosion removal later is limited Boltzmann machine is introduced into next corrosion removal and is limited Bohr hereby The random corrosion layer of graceful machine, then the input after destruction is continued to train as visible layer;
Step 3: after all corrosion removals of pre-training are limited Boltzmann machine, at the top of network model plus one layer of prediction returns layer, It is predicted for vehicle flowrate;
Step 4: thering is supervision to finely tune entire network model with Back Propagation Algorithm, first three period only updates the last layer network Weight and offset parameter then update all layers of parameter, obtain final trained deepness belief network model.
5. the vehicle flowrate prediction technique according to claim 1 or 2 based on corrosion denoising deepness belief network, it is characterized in that Using test set test model estimated performance when, evaluation criterion use average absolute percentage error MAPE:
Wherein YiIt is practical vehicle flowrate,It is prediction vehicle flowrate, N is test sample number.
6. the vehicle flowrate prediction technique according to claim 1 or 2 based on corrosion denoising deepness belief network, it is characterized in that When training deepness belief network model, the hyper parameter that needs to adjust are as follows: the corrosion removal of stacking is limited Boltzmann machine quantity Nlayer、 Each corrosion removal is limited the hidden node quantity N of Boltzmann machinenode, each corrosion removal be limited pre-training week of Boltzmann machine Phase Nepoch, prediction current time vehicle flowrate needed for historical time segment number d and corrosion probability Clevel;With grid data service, Determine that hyper parameter is arranged according to MAPE error function, to reduce search space, all corrosion removals are limited Boltzmann machine Hidden node quantity NnodeIdentical, pre-training period NepochIt is identical, corrosion probability Clevel is identical.
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