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Zhu et al., 2017 - Google Patents

Deep and confident prediction for time series at uber

Zhu et al., 2017

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Document ID
16205512969420881837
Author
Zhu L
Laptev N
Publication year
Publication venue
2017 IEEE International Conference on Data Mining Workshops (ICDMW)

External Links

Snippet

Reliable uncertainty estimation for time series prediction is critical in many fields, including physics, biology, and manufacturing. At Uber, probabilistic time series forecasting is used for robust prediction of number of trips during special events, driver incentive allocation, as well …
Continue reading at arxiv.org (PDF) (other versions)

Classifications

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    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06N—COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N99/00—Subject matter not provided for in other groups of this subclass
    • G06N99/005—Learning machines, i.e. computer in which a programme is changed according to experience gained by the machine itself during a complete run
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06N—COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N3/00—Computer systems based on biological models
    • G06N3/02—Computer systems based on biological models using neural network models
    • G06N3/08—Learning methods
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management, e.g. organising, planning, scheduling or allocating time, human or machine resources; Enterprise planning; Organisational models
    • G06Q10/063—Operations research or analysis
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06N—COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N7/00—Computer systems based on specific mathematical models
    • G06N7/005—Probabilistic networks
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06N—COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N5/00—Computer systems utilising knowledge based models
    • G06N5/04—Inference methods or devices
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q40/00—Finance; Insurance; Tax strategies; Processing of corporate or income taxes
    • G06Q40/06—Investment, e.g. financial instruments, portfolio management or fund management
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06N—COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N3/00—Computer systems based on biological models
    • G06N3/12—Computer systems based on biological models using genetic models
    • G06N3/126—Genetic algorithms, i.e. information processing using digital simulations of the genetic system
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G05—CONTROLLING; REGULATING
    • G05B—CONTROL OR REGULATING SYSTEMS IN GENERAL; FUNCTIONAL ELEMENTS OF SUCH SYSTEMS; MONITORING OR TESTING ARRANGEMENTS FOR SUCH SYSTEMS OR ELEMENTS
    • G05B13/00—Adaptive control systems, i.e. systems automatically adjusting themselves to have a performance which is optimum according to some preassigned criterion
    • G05B13/02—Adaptive control systems, i.e. systems automatically adjusting themselves to have a performance which is optimum according to some preassigned criterion electric
    • G05B13/04—Adaptive control systems, i.e. systems automatically adjusting themselves to have a performance which is optimum according to some preassigned criterion electric involving the use of models or simulators
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G05—CONTROLLING; REGULATING
    • G05B—CONTROL OR REGULATING SYSTEMS IN GENERAL; FUNCTIONAL ELEMENTS OF SUCH SYSTEMS; MONITORING OR TESTING ARRANGEMENTS FOR SUCH SYSTEMS OR ELEMENTS
    • G05B13/00—Adaptive control systems, i.e. systems automatically adjusting themselves to have a performance which is optimum according to some preassigned criterion
    • G05B13/02—Adaptive control systems, i.e. systems automatically adjusting themselves to have a performance which is optimum according to some preassigned criterion electric
    • G05B13/0265—Adaptive control systems, i.e. systems automatically adjusting themselves to have a performance which is optimum according to some preassigned criterion electric the criterion being a learning criterion
    • G05B13/027—Adaptive control systems, i.e. systems automatically adjusting themselves to have a performance which is optimum according to some preassigned criterion electric the criterion being a learning criterion using neural networks only
    • G—PHYSICS
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    • G06K9/6247—Extracting features by transforming the feature space, e.g. multidimensional scaling; Mappings, e.g. subspace methods based on an approximation criterion, e.g. principal component analysis

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