Lafond et al., 2018 - Google Patents
How well do experience curves predict technological progress? A method for making distributional forecastsLafond et al., 2018
View PDF- Document ID
- 9997513160373702777
- Author
- Lafond F
- Bailey A
- Bakker J
- Rebois D
- Zadourian R
- McSharry P
- Farmer J
- Publication year
- Publication venue
- Technological Forecasting and Social Change
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Snippet
Experience curves are widely used to predict the cost benefits of increasing the deployment of a technology. But how good are such forecasts? Can one predict their accuracy a priori? In this paper we answer these questions by developing a method to make distributional …
- 238000005516 engineering process 0 abstract description 15
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