Abstract
The main objective of this research is to propose a new hybrid model called genetic algorithms–support vector regression (GA–SVR). The proposed model consists of three stages. In the first stage, after lag selection, the most efficient features are selected using stepwise regression algorithm (SRA). Afterward, these variables are used in order to develop proposed model, in which the model uses support vector machines that the parameters of which are tuned by GA. Finally, evaluation of the proposed model is carried out by applying it on the test data set.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Cortes, C., & Vapnik, V. (1995). Support vector networks. Machine Learning, 20, 273–297.
Hoptro, R. G., Bramson, M. J., & Hall, T. J. (1991). Forecasting economic turning points with neural nets. Proceedings of the IEEE International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, 1, 347–352.
Huang, C.-F. (2012). A hybrid stock selection model using genetic algorithms and support vector regression. Applied Soft Computing, 12, 807–818.
Lahiri, S. K., & Ghanta, K. C. (2008). Prediction of pressure drop of slurry flow in pipeline by hybrid support vector regression and genetic algorithm model Chinese. Journal of Chemical Engineering, 16(6), 841–848.
Russell, S. J., & Norvig, P. (1995). Artificial intelligence: A modern approach. Englewood Cliffs: Prentice-Hall.
Weigend, A. S., Rumelhart, D. E., & Huberman, B. (1991). Generalisation by weightelimination with application to forecasting. Advances in Neural Information Processing, 90, 875–882.
William, L., Russell, P., & James, M. R. (2002). Forecasting the NYSE composite index with technical analysis, pattern recognizer, neural network, and genetic algorithm: a case study in romantic decision support. Decision Support Systems, 32, 361–377.
Zhang, X., DaKai, I., Jie, Z., & Anand, A. (2012). Genetic algorithm-support vector regression for high reliability SHM system based on FBG sensor network. Optics and Lasers in Engineering, 50(2), 148–153.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Emsia, E., Coskuner, C. Economic Growth Prediction Using Optimized Support Vector Machines. Comput Econ 48, 453–462 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-015-9528-1
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-015-9528-1