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Emerson Fernandes Marçal
(Emerson Fernandes Marcal)

Personal Details

First Name:Emerson
Middle Name:Fernandes
Last Name:Marcal
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pma289
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
https://sites.google.com/view/emersonmarcal/
Twitter: @EmersonFMarcal
Terminal Degree:2004 Departamento de Economia; Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade; Universidade de São Paulo (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

Escola de Economia de São Paulo (EESP)
Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV)

São Paulo, Brazil
http://economics-sp.fgv.br/
RePEc:edi:eegvfbr (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Marçal, Emerson & Simões, Oscar Rodrigues, 2024. "Current account and real effective exchange rate dynamics: the role of non-linear dynamics in Brazil," Textos para discussão 571, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  2. Bacciotti, Rafael & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2020. "Taxa de Desemprego no Brasil em quatro décadas: retropolação da PNAD contínua de 1976 a 2016," Textos para discussão 522, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  3. Pinto, Jeronymo Marcondes & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2019. "Cross-validation based forecasting method: a machine learning approach," Textos para discussão 498, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  4. Costa, Marisa Gomes da & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2019. "Deviations from covered interest parity: the role played by fundamentals, financial and political turmoils and market frictions," Textos para discussão 503, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  5. Barbosa, Bruno Tebaldi de Queiroz & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2018. "Modeling how macroeconomic shocks a ect regional employment: analyzing the Brazilian formal labor market using the global VAR approach," Textos para discussão 468, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  6. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Cunha, Ronan & Merlin, Giovanni Tondin & Simões, Oscar, 2017. "The aftermath of 2008 turmoil on Brazilian economy: Tsunami or “Marolinha”?," Textos para discussão 459, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  7. Silva, Anderson Moriya & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2017. "Descobrindo e avaliando modelos de predição para a inflação brasileira: uma análise a partir de uma gama ampla de indicadores," Textos para discussão 460, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  8. Caperoz, Marcelo & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Mattos, Enlinson, 2016. "A time series analysis of household income inequality in Brazil 1977-2013," Textos para discussão 434, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  9. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Zimmermann, Beatrice Aline & Mendonça, Diogo de Prince & Merlin, Giovanni Tondin & Simões, Oscar Rodrigues, 2016. "Assessing global economic activity linkages: an empirical exercise based on global autoregressive regression," Textos para discussão 416, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  10. Mendonça, Diogo de Prince & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Brito, Márcio Holland de, 2016. "Is fiscal policy effective in Brazil? An empirical analysis," Textos para discussão 433, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  11. Diogo De Prince Mendonça & Emerson Fernandes Marçal & Beatrice Zimmermann & Giovanni Merlin, 2016. "Does Mixed Frequency Vector Error Correction Model Add Relevant Information To Exchange Misalignment Calculus? Evidence For United States," Anais do XLII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 42nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 043, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  12. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Zimmermann, Beatrice Aline & Mendonça, Diogo de Prince & Merlin, Giovanni Tondin, 2015. "Addressing important econometric issues on how to construct theoretical based exchange rate misalignment estimates," Textos para discussão 401, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  13. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Zimmermann, Beatrice Aline & Mendonça, Diogo de Prince & Merlin, Giovanni Tondin, 2015. "Assessing interdependence among countries' fundamentals and its implications for exchange rate misalignment estimates: An empirical exercise based on GVAR," Textos para discussão 384, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  14. Veridiana De Andrade Nogueira & Rogério Mori & Emerson Fernandes Marçal, 2014. "Transmissãoda Variação Cambial Para As Taxas De Inflação No Brasil: Estimação Dopass-Through Através De Modelos De Vetores Autorregressivos Estruturaiscom Correção De Erros," Anais do XL Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 40th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 044, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  15. Emerson Fernandes Marçal & Carolina Ribeiro Veronesi Marinho, 2014. "A Estrutura A Termo Da Taxa De Juros E Aoferta De Títulos Públicos," Anais do XL Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 40th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 053, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  16. Carlos, Thiago Carlomagno & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2013. "Forecasting Brazilian inflation by its aggregate and disaggregated data: a test of predictive power by forecast horizon," Textos para discussão 346, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  17. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2013. "Exchange rate misalignments, interdependence, crises, and currency wars: an empirical assessment," Textos para discussão 348, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  18. Emerson Fernandes Marçal, 2013. "Estimando o Desalinhamento Cambial Brasileiro: Uma Análise de Robustez a Partir do Modelo Global com Mecanismo de Correção de Erros," Discussion Papers 1865, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
  19. Marinho, Carolina Ribeiro Veronesi & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2013. "A estrutura a termo da taxa de juros brasileira e a oferta de títulos públicos," Textos para discussão 347, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  20. Emerson Fernandes Marçal, 2012. "O Mistério da Taxa de Câmbio Real Chinesa: Algumas Razões Que Podem Explicar a Diversidade dos Resultados," Discussion Papers 1769, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
  21. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2012. "Evaluating the existence of structural change in the brazilian term structure of interest: evidence based on cointegration models with structural break," Textos para discussão 314, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  22. Simões, Oscar Rodrigues & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2012. "Agregação temporal e não-linearidade afetam os testes da paridade do poder de compra: evidência a partir de dados brasileiros," Textos para discussão 310, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  23. Emerson Fernandes Marçal, 2011. "Estimando o Desalinhamento Cambial Brasileiro a Partir de Modelos Multivariados com Cointegração," Discussion Papers 1666, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
  24. Emerson Fernandes Marçal & Priscila Fernandes Ribeiro, 2011. "Levado pelos Fundamentos? Estimando o Desalinhamento Cambial Norte-Americano a partir de Técnicas de Cointegração," Discussion Papers 1674, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
  25. Leite, Fernando Scarpa Rezende & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2011. "Modelando a mudança estrutural do consumo e da renda agregados no Brasil: fatos estilizados a partir de um modelo de cointegração com parâmetros variando no tempo," Textos para discussão 293, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  26. Edward Bernard Bastiaan de Rivera y Rivera & Emerson FernandesMarçal & Diogenes Manoel Leiva Martin, 2011. "Rational Valuationformula And First Generation Models In Financial Economics: Firm-Levelbrazilian Market Efficiency Evidences From Dynamic Panel Unit Root Andcointegration Tests," Anais do XXXVII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 37th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 138, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  27. Emerson Fernandes Marçal & Márcio Holland De Brito, 2011. "Taxa De Câmbio, Rentabilidade E Quantumexportado: Existe Alguma Relação Afinal? Evidências Para O Brasil," Anais do XXXVIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 38th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 211, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  28. Emerson Fernandes Marçal & Fernando Barbi, 2010. "“Quo Vadis Real? Estimating the Brazilian Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in Vector Error Correction Model with Structural Change”," Working Papers 10-2010, Universidade de São Paulo, Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade de Ribeirão Preto.
  29. Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2009. "Testing the hypothesis of contagion using multivariate volatility models," Textos para discussão 174, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  30. Pereira, Pedro L. Valls & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Martin, Diógenes Manoel Leiva & Nakamura, Wilson Toshiro, 2009. "Evaluation of contagion or interdependence in the financial crises of Asia and Latin America, considering the macroeconomic fundamentals," Textos para discussão 177, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  31. Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2009. "Testing the long-run implications of the expectation hypothesis using cointegration techniques with structural change," Textos para discussão 175, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  32. Marçal, Emerson F. & Valls Pereira, Pedro L., 2008. "Testando A Hipótese De Contágio A Partir De Modelos Multivariados De Volatilidade [Testing the contagion hypotheses using multivariate volatility models]," MPRA Paper 10356, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  33. José Maria F. J. da Silveira & Emerson Fernandes Marçal, 2006. "Um Estudo Dos Efeitos De Alterações Do Preço Da Nafta Na Formação De Preços Da Cadeia Petroquímica," Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 18, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  34. Emerson Fernandes Marçal & Wagner Oliveira Monteiro & Marislei Nishijima, 2005. "Saldos Comerciais E Taxa De Câmbio Real: Uma Nova Análise Do Caso Brasileiro," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 078, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  35. Marçal, E.F. & Pedro L. Valls Pereira & Canuto, O., 2000. "Purchasing Parity Power: the empirical evidence for Brazil," Insper Working Papers wpe_1, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.

Articles

  1. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2024. "Testing rational expectations in a cointegrated VAR with structural change," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
  2. Jeronymo Marcondes Pinto & Emerson Fernandes Marçal, 2023. "An artificial intelligence approach to forecasting when there are structural breaks: a reinforcement learning-based framework for fast switching," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(4), pages 1729-1759, October.
  3. Diogo de Prince & Emerson Fernandes Marçal & Pedro L. Valls Pereira, 2022. "Forecasting Industrial Production Using Its Aggregated and Disaggregated Series or a Combination of Both: Evidence from One Emerging Market Economy," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-34, June.
  4. Jeronymo Marcondes Pinto & Emerson Fernandes Marçal, 2021. "Industrial Output Growth Forecast: A Machine Learning Approach Based on Cross-Validation," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, vol. 67(4), pages 337-351.
  5. Holland, Marcio & Marçal, Emerson & de Prince, Diogo, 2020. "Is fiscal policy effective in Brazil? An empirical analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 40-52.
  6. Caparoz, Marcel & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Mattos, Enlinson, 2019. "A time series analysis of household income inequality in Brazil 1977 to 2013," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 73(4), December.
  7. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Zimmermann, Beatrice & de Prince, Diogo & Merlin, Giovanni, 2018. "Assessing interdependence among countries' fundamentals and its implications for exchange rate misalignment estimates: An empirical exercise based on GVAR," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 72(4), December.
  8. Emerson Fernandes Marçal & Eli Hadad Junior, 2016. "Is It Possible to Beat the Random Walk Model in Exchange Rate Forecasting? More Evidence for Brazilian Case," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 14(1), pages 65-88.
  9. Thiago Carlomagno Carlo & Emerson Fernandes Marçal, 2016. "Forecasting Brazilian inflation by its aggregate and disaggregated data: a test of predictive power by forecast horizon," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(50), pages 4846-4860, October.
  10. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2014. "Desalinhamentos Cambiais, Interdependência, Crises, Guerras cambiais: Uma avaliação empírica," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 68(2), June.
  11. Vera Thorstensen & Emerson Marçal & Lucas Ferraz, 2014. "Trade rules and exchange rate misalignments: in search for a WTO solution," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 34(3), pages 370-395.
  12. Edward Bernard Bastiaan de Rivera y Rivera & Diógenes Manoel Leiva Martin & Emerson Fernandes Marçal & Leonardo Fernando Cruz Basso, 2012. "Present value model between prices and dividends with constant and time-varying expected returns: enterprise-level Brazilian stock market evidence from non-stationary panels," Brazilian Business Review, Fucape Business School, vol. 9(4), pages 51-86, October.
  13. Simões, Oscar R. & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2012. "Agregação temporal e não-linearidade afetam os testes da paridade do poder de compra: Evidência a partir de dados brasileiros," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 66(3), October.
  14. Emerson Fernandes Marcal & Pedro Valls Pereira & Diogenes Manoel Leiva Martin & Wilson Toshiro Nakamura, 2011. "Evaluation of contagion or interdependence in the financial crises of Asia and Latin America, considering the macroeconomic fundamentals," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(19), pages 2365-2379.
  15. Emerson Fernandes Marçal & Marislei Nishijima & Wagner Oliveira Monteiro, 2009. "Saldos Comerciais e Taxa de Câmbio Real: Uma Nova Análise do Caso Brasileiro," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 10(2), pages 333-356.
  16. Carlos Marcelo Lauretti & Eduardo Kazuo Kayo & Emerson Fernandes Marçal, 2009. "Market Overreaction to Intangible Information," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 7(2), pages 215-236.
  17. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2008. "Testing the Hypothesis of Contagion Using Multivariate Volatility Models," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 28(2), November.
  18. Emerson Fernandes Marçal, 2006. "Há Realmente uma Tendência a Deterioração dos Termos de Troca? Uma Análise dos Dados Brasileiros," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 7(2), pages 307-329.
  19. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Pereira, Pedro Luiz Valls & Filho, Otaviano Canuto dos Santos, 2003. "Paridade do Poder de Compra: Testando Dados Brasileiros," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 57(1), January.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Mendonça, Diogo de Prince & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Brito, Márcio Holland de, 2016. "Is fiscal policy effective in Brazil? An empirical analysis," Textos para discussão 433, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Feng-Li Lin & Wen-Yi Chen, 2020. "Did the Consumption Voucher Scheme Stimulate the Economy? Evidence from Smooth Time-Varying Cointegration Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-16, June.

  2. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Zimmermann, Beatrice Aline & Mendonça, Diogo de Prince & Merlin, Giovanni Tondin, 2015. "Assessing interdependence among countries' fundamentals and its implications for exchange rate misalignment estimates: An empirical exercise based on GVAR," Textos para discussão 384, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Considine, Jennifer & Galkin, Phillip & Hatipoglu, Emre & Aldayel, Abdullah, 2023. "The effects of a shock to critical minerals prices on the world oil price and inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).

  3. Carlos, Thiago Carlomagno & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2013. "Forecasting Brazilian inflation by its aggregate and disaggregated data: a test of predictive power by forecast horizon," Textos para discussão 346, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. D.V. Firsov & T.C. Chernyshevа, 2021. "Review of Successful Practices of Applying Nowcasting in Socio-Economic Forecasting," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 20(2), pages 269-293.
    2. Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal, 2018. "Forecasting UK consumer price inflation using inflation forecasts," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(3), pages 367-378.
    3. Carlos Medel, 2021. "Forecasting Brazilian Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Assessing the Predictive Role of Trading Partners," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 900, Central Bank of Chile.
    4. Olofin, S.O. & Salisu, A.A & Tule, M.K, 2020. "Revised Small Macro-Econometric Model Of The Nigerian Economy," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 20(1), pages 97-116.

  4. Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2009. "Testing the hypothesis of contagion using multivariate volatility models," Textos para discussão 174, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Boubaker, Heni & Raza, Syed Ali, 2016. "On the dynamic dependence and asymmetric co-movement between the US and Central and Eastern European transition markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 459(C), pages 9-23.
    2. de Oliveira, Felipe A. & Maia, Sinézio F. & de Jesus, Diego P. & Besarria, Cássio da N., 2018. "Which information matters to market risk spreading in Brazil? Volatility transmission modelling using MGARCH-BEKK, DCC, t-Copulas," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 83-100.
    3. Diego Ferreira & Andreza A. Palma, 2022. "On the subprime crisis and the Latin American financial markets: A regime switching skew‐normal approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3300-3314, July.
    4. Rafał SIEDLECKI & Daniel PAPLA, 2016. "Conditional Correlation Coefficient As A Tool For Analysis Of Contagion In Financial Markets And Real Economy Indexes Based On The Synthetic Ratio," ECONOMIC COMPUTATION AND ECONOMIC CYBERNETICS STUDIES AND RESEARCH, Faculty of Economic Cybernetics, Statistics and Informatics, vol. 50(4), pages 287-299.
    5. Carvalho, João Vinícius de França & Chiann, Chang, 2013. "Redes Bayesianas: Um método para avaliação de interdependência e contágio em séries temporais multivariadas," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(2), June.

  5. Pereira, Pedro L. Valls & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Martin, Diógenes Manoel Leiva & Nakamura, Wilson Toshiro, 2009. "Evaluation of contagion or interdependence in the financial crises of Asia and Latin America, considering the macroeconomic fundamentals," Textos para discussão 177, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Boubaker, Heni & Raza, Syed Ali, 2016. "On the dynamic dependence and asymmetric co-movement between the US and Central and Eastern European transition markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 459(C), pages 9-23.
    2. Maximilian-Benedikt Herwarth Kohn & Pedro L. Valls Pereira, 2017. "Speculative bubbles and contagion: Analysis of volatility’s clusters during the DotCom bubble based on the dynamic conditional correlation model," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1411453-141, January.
    3. Nistor, Costel & Dumitriu, Ramona & Stefanescu, Razvan, 2012. "Impact of the global crisis on the linkages between CAC 40 and indexes from CEE countries," MPRA Paper 42511, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 18 Sep 2012.
    4. Shegorika Rajwani & Dilip Kumar, 2019. "Measuring Dependence Between the USA and the Asian Economies: A Time-varying Copula Approach," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 20(4), pages 962-980, August.
    5. Rotta, Pedro Nielsen & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2013. "Analysis of contagion from the constant conditional correlation model with Markov regime switching," Textos para discussão 340, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
    6. Ribeiro, André L.P. & Hotta, Luiz K., 2013. "An analysis of contagion among Asian countries using the canonical model of contagion," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 62-69.
    7. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Tsagkanos, Athanasios & Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2019. "Integration and risk contagion in financial crises: Evidence from international stock markets," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 350-365.
    8. Ahmad, Wasim & Sehgal, Sanjay & Bhanumurthy, N.R., 2013. "Eurozone crisis and BRIICKS stock markets: Contagion or market interdependence?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 209-225.
    9. Wasim Ahmad & N.R. Bhanumurthy & Sanjay Sehgal, 2014. "The Eurozone crisis and its contagion effects on the European stock markets," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 31(3), pages 325-352, July.
    10. Woon Sau Leung & Nicholas Taylor, 2013. "Testing for contagion: the impact of US structured markets on international financial markets," Chapters, in: Adrian R. Bell & Chris Brooks & Marcel Prokopczuk (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Finance, chapter 11, pages 256-284, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    11. Neha Seth & Monica Sighania, 2017. "Financial market contagion: selective review of reviews," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(4), pages 391-408, November.
    12. A. Maghyereh & B. Awartani, 2012. "Return and volatility spillovers between Dubai financial market and Abu Dhabi Stock Exchange in the UAE," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(10), pages 837-848, May.

  6. Marçal, Emerson F. & Valls Pereira, Pedro L., 2008. "Testando A Hipótese De Contágio A Partir De Modelos Multivariados De Volatilidade [Testing the contagion hypotheses using multivariate volatility models]," MPRA Paper 10356, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Pereira, Pedro L. Valls & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Martin, Diógenes Manoel Leiva & Nakamura, Wilson Toshiro, 2009. "Evaluation of contagion or interdependence in the financial crises of Asia and Latin America, considering the macroeconomic fundamentals," Textos para discussão 177, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).

Articles

  1. Holland, Marcio & Marçal, Emerson & de Prince, Diogo, 2020. "Is fiscal policy effective in Brazil? An empirical analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 40-52.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Zimmermann, Beatrice & de Prince, Diogo & Merlin, Giovanni, 2018. "Assessing interdependence among countries' fundamentals and its implications for exchange rate misalignment estimates: An empirical exercise based on GVAR," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 72(4), December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Thiago Carlomagno Carlo & Emerson Fernandes Marçal, 2016. "Forecasting Brazilian inflation by its aggregate and disaggregated data: a test of predictive power by forecast horizon," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(50), pages 4846-4860, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Vera Thorstensen & Emerson Marçal & Lucas Ferraz, 2014. "Trade rules and exchange rate misalignments: in search for a WTO solution," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 34(3), pages 370-395.

    Cited by:

    1. Ramos-Herrera, María del Carmen & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón, 2023. "Economic growth and deviations from the equilibrium exchange rate," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 764-786.
    2. Ahmed Derbali, 2021. "The misalignment of real effective exchange rate: Evidence from Tunisia," IHEID Working Papers 04-2021, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.

  5. Emerson Fernandes Marcal & Pedro Valls Pereira & Diogenes Manoel Leiva Martin & Wilson Toshiro Nakamura, 2011. "Evaluation of contagion or interdependence in the financial crises of Asia and Latin America, considering the macroeconomic fundamentals," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(19), pages 2365-2379.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2008. "Testing the Hypothesis of Contagion Using Multivariate Volatility Models," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 28(2), November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Pereira, Pedro Luiz Valls & Filho, Otaviano Canuto dos Santos, 2003. "Paridade do Poder de Compra: Testando Dados Brasileiros," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 57(1), January.

    Cited by:

    1. Simões, Oscar R. & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2012. "Agregação temporal e não-linearidade afetam os testes da paridade do poder de compra: Evidência a partir de dados brasileiros," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 66(3), October.

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 13 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (5) 2009-07-03 2015-09-05 2015-09-05 2017-01-22 2018-03-05. Author is listed
  2. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (3) 2008-09-13 2009-07-03 2019-02-25
  3. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (2) 2013-12-29 2019-02-25
  4. NEP-LAM: Central and South America (2) 2011-07-02 2017-01-22
  5. NEP-BIG: Big Data (1) 2019-02-25
  6. NEP-CMP: Computational Economics (1) 2019-02-25
  7. NEP-CWA: Central and Western Asia (1) 2013-06-30
  8. NEP-EEC: European Economics (1) 2015-09-05
  9. NEP-HIS: Business, Economic and Financial History (1) 2009-07-03
  10. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (1) 2024-11-04
  11. NEP-OPM: Open Economy Macroeconomics (1) 2024-11-04
  12. NEP-PBE: Public Economics (1) 2017-01-22
  13. NEP-SEA: South East Asia (1) 2009-07-03
  14. NEP-URE: Urban and Real Estate Economics (1) 2018-03-05

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