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ProphetForecast

Build sales forecast and user interest predictive models using Prophet.

View Jupyter Notebook:

https://nbviewer.org/github/juil/ProphetForecast/blob/master/forecasting_net_prophet.ipynb

Results

1. Analyze Google Traffic

Period Google Search Traffic
2016-2020 35172.5
May 2020 38181

2. Mine Search Traff 6B26 ic for Seasonality

Bar Graph - Hour of Day & Day of Week

Heatmap - Hour of Day & Day of Week

Search Trend by the Week of the Year

3. Test Correlation with Stock Price

close Search Trends Lagged Search Trends Stock Volatility Hourly Stock Return
close 1.000000 0.011918 0.012135 0.477935 0.022970
Search Trends 0.011918 1.000000 0.384292 -0.180868 -0.029732
Lagged Search Trends 0.012135 0.384292 1.000000 -0.119010 0.018147
Stock Volatility 0.477935 -0.180868 -0.119010 1.000000 0.046713
Hourly Stock Return 0.022970 -0.029732 0.018147 0.046713 1.000000

4. Prophet Time Series Model

Prophet Time Series Model

5. Forecast Revenue

Revenue Forecast

Code

Rendered in Google Colab

Libraries

# Install the required libraries
!pip install prophet
!pip install hvplot
!pip install holoviews
!pip install tabulate
!pip install numpy

*Starter code provided by edX.

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