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Improving Ad Click Prediction by Considering Non-displayed Events

Published: 03 November 2019 Publication History

Abstract

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is the core problem of building advertising systems. Most existing state-of-the-art approaches model CTR prediction as binary classification problems, where displayed events with and without click feedbacks are respectively considered as positive and negative instances for training and offline validation. However, due to the selection mechanism applied in most advertising systems, a selection bias exists between distributions of displayed and non-displayed events. Conventional CTR models ignoring the bias may have inaccurate predictions and cause a loss of the revenue. To alleviate the bias, we need to conduct counterfactual learning by considering not only displayed events but also non-displayed events. In this paper, through a review of existing approaches of counterfactual learning, we point out some difficulties for applying these approaches for CTR prediction in a real-world advertising system. To overcome these difficulties, we propose a novel framework for counterfactual CTR prediction. In experiments, we compare our proposed framework against state-of-the-art conventional CTR models and existing counterfactual learning approaches. Experimental results show significant improvements.

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  • (2024)Comparative Study of Filtering Methods for Scientific Research Article RecommendationsBig Data and Cognitive Computing10.3390/bdcc81201908:12(190)Online publication date: 16-Dec-2024
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    cover image ACM Conferences
    CIKM '19: Proceedings of the 28th ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management
    November 2019
    3373 pages
    ISBN:9781450369763
    DOI:10.1145/3357384
    Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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    Published: 03 November 2019

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    Author Tags

    1. counterfactual learning
    2. ctr prediction
    3. missing not at random
    4. recommender system
    5. selection bias

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    Cited By

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    • (2024)Mitigating Sample Selection Bias with Robust Domain Adaption in Multimedia RecommendationProceedings of the 32nd ACM International Conference on Multimedia10.1145/3664647.3680615(7581-7590)Online publication date: 28-Oct-2024
    • (2024)Counterfactual Graph Convolutional Learning for Personalized RecommendationACM Transactions on Intelligent Systems and Technology10.1145/365563215:4(1-20)Online publication date: 1-Apr-2024
    • (2024)Effective Utilization of Large-scale Unobserved Data in Recommendation SystemsProceedings of the 33rd ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management10.1145/3627673.3680067(5070-5077)Online publication date: 21-Oct-2024
    • (2024)CIPL: Counterfactual Interactive Policy Learning to Eliminate Popularity Bias for Online RecommendationIEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems10.1109/TNNLS.2023.329992935:12(17123-17136)Online publication date: Dec-2024
    • (2024)CausalTAD: Causal Implicit Generative Model for Debiased Online Trajectory Anomaly Detection2024 IEEE 40th International Conference on Data Engineering (ICDE)10.1109/ICDE60146.2024.00341(4477-4490)Online publication date: 13-May-2024
    • (2024)Uncovering the Propensity Identification Problem in Debiased Recommendations2024 IEEE 40th International Conference on Data Engineering (ICDE)10.1109/ICDE60146.2024.00056(653-666)Online publication date: 13-May-2024
    • (2024)Modeling question difficulty for unbiased cognitive diagnosis: A causal perspectiveKnowledge-Based Systems10.1016/j.knosys.2024.111750294(111750)Online publication date: Jun-2024
    • (2024)Disentangled causal representation learning for debiasing recommendation with uniform dataApplied Intelligence10.1007/s10489-024-05497-954:8(6760-6775)Online publication date: 24-May-2024
    • (2024)Disentangled Causal Embedding with Unbiased Knowledge Distillation for RecommendationAdvanced Data Mining and Applications10.1007/978-981-96-0850-8_9(128-142)Online publication date: 24-Dec-2024
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