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Inception-embedded attention memory fully-connected network for short-term wind power prediction

Published: 01 July 2023 Publication History

Abstract

With the increasing demand for energy in the world today, wind energy has turned out to be an attractive alternative to traditional fossil energy sources because of the characteristics of being clean, non-polluting, and easily accessible. Reliably predicting wind power is vital to improving energy utilization and ensuring the stability of power system operation. However, because of the uncertainty and instability of wind energy, accurately predicting wind power is still challenging. Therefore, this study proposes an Inception-embedded attention memory fully-connected network short-term wind power prediction model, incorporating improved attention mechanisms. As a result, the Inception-embedded attention memory fully-connected network can give reliable wind power predictions. This study utilizes a dataset of about 400 days from Natal and compares the Inception-embedded attention memory fully-connected network with 23 algorithms including EffiientNet, NasNet, and ResNet. The comparison results show that the Inception-embedded attention memory fully-connected network obtains reliable wind power prediction one day ahead and outperforms all other compared algorithms by more than 40% in all evaluation metrics.

Highlights

The problem of short-term wind power prediction is considered.
An improvement of the attention mechanism is made and applied to the prediction task.
An Inception-embedded attention memory fully-connected network is proposed.
Forming CNNs, RNNs, and an improved attention mechanism into a combination.
Optimal prediction accuracy and evaluation metrics are obtained by proposed model.

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Cited By

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  • (2024)Interpretable multi-graph convolution network integrating spatio-temporal attention and dynamic combination for wind power forecastingExpert Systems with Applications: An International Journal10.1016/j.eswa.2024.124766255:PCOnline publication date: 1-Dec-2024
  • (2024)Fractional-order Q-learning based on modal decomposition and convolutional neural networks for voltage control of smart gridsApplied Soft Computing10.1016/j.asoc.2024.111825162:COnline publication date: 1-Sep-2024

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Information

Published In

cover image Applied Soft Computing
Applied Soft Computing  Volume 141, Issue C
Jul 2023
395 pages

Publisher

Elsevier Science Publishers B. V.

Netherlands

Publication History

Published: 01 July 2023

Author Tags

  1. Short-term wind power prediction
  2. Inception-embedded attention memory fully-connected network
  3. Improved attention mechanism

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  • (2024)Interpretable multi-graph convolution network integrating spatio-temporal attention and dynamic combination for wind power forecastingExpert Systems with Applications: An International Journal10.1016/j.eswa.2024.124766255:PCOnline publication date: 1-Dec-2024
  • (2024)Fractional-order Q-learning based on modal decomposition and convolutional neural networks for voltage control of smart gridsApplied Soft Computing10.1016/j.asoc.2024.111825162:COnline publication date: 1-Sep-2024

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