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Model uncertainty approximation using a copula-based approach for reliability based design optimization

Published: 01 December 2016 Publication History

Abstract

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) has been widely used to design engineering products with minimum cost function while meeting reliability constraints. Although uncertainties, such as aleatory uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty, have been well considered in RBDO, they are mainly considered for model input parameters. Model uncertainty, i.e., the uncertainty of model bias indicating the inherent model inadequacy for representing the real physical system, is typically overlooked in RBDO. This paper addresses model uncertainty approximation in a product design space and further integrates the model uncertainty into RBDO. In particular, a copula-based bias modeling approach is proposed and results are demonstrated by two vehicle design problems.

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  • (2020)Uncertainty quantification and statistical model validation for an offshore jacket structure panel given limited test data and simulation modelStructural and Multidisciplinary Optimization10.1007/s00158-020-02520-861:6(2305-2318)Online publication date: 1-Jun-2020
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Published In

cover image Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization
Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization  Volume 54, Issue 6
December 2016
317 pages

Publisher

Springer-Verlag

Berlin, Heidelberg

Publication History

Published: 01 December 2016

Author Tags

  1. Bias correction
  2. Copula modeling
  3. Model uncertainty
  4. Reliability-based design optimization
  5. Vehicle design

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  • (2021)Modeling, analysis, and optimization under uncertainties: a reviewStructural and Multidisciplinary Optimization10.1007/s00158-021-03026-764:5(2909-2945)Online publication date: 1-Nov-2021
  • (2020)Sensitivity-based adaptive sequential sampling for metamodel uncertainty reduction in multilevel systemsStructural and Multidisciplinary Optimization10.1007/s00158-020-02673-662:3(1473-1496)Online publication date: 1-Sep-2020
  • (2020)Uncertainty quantification and statistical model validation for an offshore jacket structure panel given limited test data and simulation modelStructural and Multidisciplinary Optimization10.1007/s00158-020-02520-861:6(2305-2318)Online publication date: 1-Jun-2020
  • (2020)Determination of sample size for input variables in RBDO through bi-objective confidence-based design optimization under input model uncertaintyStructural and Multidisciplinary Optimization10.1007/s00158-019-02357-w61:1(253-266)Online publication date: 1-Jan-2020
  • (2018)Confidence-based reliability assessment considering limited numbers of both input and output test dataStructural and Multidisciplinary Optimization10.5555/3214124.321415557:5(2027-2043)Online publication date: 1-May-2018
  • (2018)Time-dependent concurrent reliability-based design optimization integrating experiment-based model validationStructural and Multidisciplinary Optimization10.1007/s00158-017-1823-057:4(1523-1531)Online publication date: 1-Apr-2018

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