[go: up one dir, main page]
More Web Proxy on the site http://driver.im/ skip to main content
10.5555/1597348.1597371guideproceedingsArticle/Chapter ViewAbstractPublication PagesConference Proceedingsacm-pubtype
Article

Identifiability in causal Bayesian networks: a sound and complete algorithm

Published: 16 July 2006 Publication History

Abstract

This paper addresses the problem of identifying causal effects from nonexperimental data in a causal Bayesian network, i.e., a directed acyclic graph that represents causal relationships. The identifiability question asks whether it is possible to compute the probability of some set of (effect) variables given intervention on another set of (intervention) variables, in the presence of non-observable (i.e., hidden or latent) variables. It is well known that the answer to the question depends on the structure of the causal Bayesian network, the set of observable variables, the set of effect variables, and the set of intervention variables. Our work is based on the work of Tian, Pearl, Huang, and Valtorta (Tian & Pearl 2002a; 2002b; 2003; Huang & Valtorta 2006a) and extends it. We show that the identify algorithm that Tian and Pearl define and prove sound for semi-Markovian models can be transfered to general causal graphs and is not only sound, but also complete. This result effectively solves the identifiability question for causal Bayesian networks that Pearl posed in 1995 (Pearl 1995), by providing a sound and complete algorithm for identifiability.

References

[1]
Galles, D., and Pearl, J. 1995. Testing identifiability of causal effects. In Proceedings of the Eleventh Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI-95), 185-195.
[2]
Huang, Y., and Valtorta, M. 2006a. On the completeness of an identifiability algorithm for semi-markovian models, TR-2006-001. Technical report, University of South Carolina Department of Computer Science. available at http://www.cse.sc.edu/mgv/reports/tr2006-001.pdf.
[3]
Huang, Y., and Valtorta, M. 2006b. A study of identifiability in causal Bayesian networks, TR-2006-002. Technical report, University of South Carolina Department of Computer Science. available at http://www.cse.sc.edu/mgv/reports/tr2006-002.pdf.
[4]
Pearl, J., and Robins, J. M. 1995. Probabilistic evaluation of sequential plans from causal models with hidden variables. In Proceedings of the Eleventh Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI-95), 444-453.
[5]
Pearl, J. 1995. Causal diagrams for empirical research. Biometrika 82:669-710.
[6]
Pearl, J. 2000. Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference . New York, USA: Cambridge University Press.
[7]
Shpitser, I., and Pearl, J. 2006. Identification of joint interventional distributions in recursive semi-markovian causal models, R-327. Technical report, Cognitive Systems Laboratory, University of California at Los Angeles. available at http://ftp.cs.ucla.edu/pub/stat_ser/r327.pdf.
[8]
Tian, J., and Pearl, J. 2002a. A general identification condition for causal effects. In Proceedings of the Eighteenth National Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-02), 567-573.
[9]
Tian, J., and Pearl, J. 2002b. On the testable implications of causal models with hidden variables. In Proceedings of the Eighteenth Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence(UAI-02), 519-527.
[10]
Tian, J., and Pearl, J. 2003. On the identification of causal effects, 290-L. Technical report, Cognitive Systems Laboratory, University of California at Los Angeles. Extended version available at http://www.cs.iastate.edu/jtian/r290-L.pdf.
[11]
Verma, T. S. 1993. Graphical aspects of causal models, R-191. Technical report, Cognitive Systems Laboratory, University of California at Los Angeles.

Cited By

View all
  • (2015)Do-calculus when the true graph is unknownProceedings of the Thirty-First Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence10.5555/3020847.3020889(395-404)Online publication date: 12-Jul-2015
  • (2015)An empirical study of one of the simplest causal prediction algorithmsProceedings of the UAI 2015 Conference on Advances in Causal Inference - Volume 150410.5555/3020267.3020270(30-39)Online publication date: 16-Jul-2015
  • (2012)Causal inference by surrogate experimentsProceedings of the Twenty-Eighth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence10.5555/3020652.3020668(113-120)Online publication date: 14-Aug-2012
  • Show More Cited By

Recommendations

Comments

Please enable JavaScript to view thecomments powered by Disqus.

Information & Contributors

Information

Published In

cover image Guide Proceedings
AAAI'06: proceedings of the 21st national conference on Artificial intelligence - Volume 2
July 2006
1981 pages
ISBN:9781577352815

Sponsors

  • AAAI: American Association for Artificial Intelligence

Publisher

AAAI Press

Publication History

Published: 16 July 2006

Qualifiers

  • Article

Contributors

Other Metrics

Bibliometrics & Citations

Bibliometrics

Article Metrics

  • Downloads (Last 12 months)0
  • Downloads (Last 6 weeks)0
Reflects downloads up to 21 Dec 2024

Other Metrics

Citations

Cited By

View all
  • (2015)Do-calculus when the true graph is unknownProceedings of the Thirty-First Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence10.5555/3020847.3020889(395-404)Online publication date: 12-Jul-2015
  • (2015)An empirical study of one of the simplest causal prediction algorithmsProceedings of the UAI 2015 Conference on Advances in Causal Inference - Volume 150410.5555/3020267.3020270(30-39)Online publication date: 16-Jul-2015
  • (2012)Causal inference by surrogate experimentsProceedings of the Twenty-Eighth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence10.5555/3020652.3020668(113-120)Online publication date: 14-Aug-2012
  • (2010)Introduction to Causal InferenceThe Journal of Machine Learning Research10.5555/1756006.185990511(1643-1662)Online publication date: 1-Aug-2010
  • (2008)Complete Identification Methods for the Causal HierarchyThe Journal of Machine Learning Research10.5555/1390681.14427979(1941-1979)Online publication date: 1-Jun-2008
  • (2008)IDENTIFIABILITY IN CAUSAL BAYESIAN NETWORKSCybernetics and Systems10.1080/0196972080203959439:4(425-442)Online publication date: 1-May-2008
  • (2006)Identification of conditional interventional distributionsProceedings of the Twenty-Second Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence10.5555/3020419.3020472(437-444)Online publication date: 13-Jul-2006

View Options

View options

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Share this Publication link

Share on social media