Title:Multiclass classification utilising an estimated algorithmic probability prior

Abstract:Methods of pattern recognition and machine learning are applied extensively in science, technology, and society. Hence, any advances in related theory may translate into large-scale impact. Here we explore how algorithmic information theory, especially algorithmic probability, may aid in a machine learning task. We study a multiclass supervised classification problem, namely learning the RNA molecule sequence-to-shape map, where the different possible shapes are taken to be the classes. The primary motivation for this work is a proof of concept example, where a concrete, well-motivated machine learning task can be aided by approximations to algorithmic probability. Our approach is based on directly estimating the class (i.e., shape) probabilities from shape complexities, and using the estimated probabilities as a prior in a Gaussian process learning problem. Naturally, with a large amount of training data, the prior has no significant influence on classification accuracy, but in the very small training data regime, we show that using the prior can substantially improve classification accuracy. To our knowledge, this work is one of the first to demonstrate how algorithmic probability can aid in a concrete, real-world, machine learning problem.