Food Swamps Predict Obesity Rates Better Than Food Deserts in the United States
Abstract
:1. Introduction
1.1. Food Deserts and Food Swamps
1.2. Study Objectives
2. Data and Empirical Strategy
2.1. Data
2.2. Measures
2.2.1. Dependent Variable: Adult Obesity Rates
2.2.2. Independent Variable: Food Swamps
2.3. Covariates
2.3.1. Food Deserts
2.3.2. Recreation/Fitness Facilities & Natural Amenities
2.3.3. Socio-Demographic Characteristics
2.4. Statistical Approach
2.4.1. OLS Regression Analysis: Testing Obesity as a Function of Food Swamps and Food Deserts
2.4.2. Instrumental Variable Approach: Two-Staged Least Squared (2SLS) Regression Analyses
- First Stage Equation:Food swamps = α0 + α1 (highway exit) + α2 (food desert) + α3 (recreation/fitnesscenters) + α4 (natural amenities)+ φ (neighborhood characteristics) + δi
- Second Stage Equation:
2.4.3. Stratification: Means of Travel to Work and Income Inequality
3. Results
3.1. Descriptive Statistics
3.2. Bivariate Analysis
3.3. OLS Regression Results
3.4. Instrument Variables (IV) Regression Results
4. Discussion
4.1. Food Swamps vs. Food Deserts
4.2. Food Swamp Measures
4.3. OLS vs. IV
4.4. Neighborhoods Characteristics
4.5. Limitations
5. Conclusions
5.1. Implications for Future Research on Zoning to Reduce Food Swamps
5.2. Implications for Zoning as an Obesity Prevention Strategy
Acknowledgments
Author Contributions
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Variable | Description | Data Source |
---|---|---|
Adult Obesity Rate | An estimate of the age-adjusted percentage of persons age 20 and older who are obese, where obesity is Body Mass Index (BMI) greater than or equal to 30 kilograms per meters squared. | Center for Disease Control |
BUILT ENVIRONMENT | ||
Grocery Stores NAICS:445110 | The number of supermarkets and grocery stores in the county. Grocery stores include establishments generally known as supermarkets and smaller grocery stores primarily engaged in retailing a general line of food, such as canned and frozen foods; fresh fruits and vegetables; and fresh and prepared meats, fish, and poultry. | U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns |
Specialized Food Stores NAICS 445200 | The number of specialized food stores in the county. Specialized food stores include establishments primarily engaged in retailing specialized lines of food, such as retail bakeries, meat and seafood markets, dairy stores, and produce markets. | U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns |
Farmers Markets | The number of Farmers Markets in the county. A farmers’ market is a retail outlet in which two or more vendors sell agricultural products directly to customers through a common marketing channel. At least 51 percent of retail sales are direct to consumers. | USDA Agricultural Marketing Service |
Supercenters NAICS:452910 | The number of supercenters and warehouse club stores in the county. Warehouse clubs and supercenters are primarily engaged in retailing a general line of groceries in combination with general lines of new merchandise. | U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns |
Fast Food Restaurants NAICS:722211 | The number of limited-service restaurants in the county. Limited-service restaurants include establishments primarily engaged in providing food services where patrons generally order or select items and pay before eating. Food and drink may be consumed on premises, taken out, or delivered to the customer’s location | U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns |
Convenience Stores/Food Marts NAICS:445120 and 447110 | The number of convenience stores in the county. Establishments known as convenience stores or food marts are primarily engaged in retailing a limited line of goods that include soda, snack foods, etc. | U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns |
Variables | Modified RFEI (v1) | Modified RFEI (v2) | Traditional RFEI |
---|---|---|---|
% Low income and Low access | −0.0317 *** | −0.0330 *** | −0.0170 ** |
(0.00924) | (0.0104) | (0.00831) | |
Bachelors degree (%) | 0.000565 | 0.00515 | −0.0375 *** |
(0.0111) | (0.0121) | (0.0108) | |
Black (%) | 0.0283 *** | 0.0295 *** | 0.0143 *** |
(0.00646) | (0.00672) | (0.00437) | |
Hispanic (%) | 0.0271 ** | 0.0293 ** | 0.0121 |
(0.0115) | (0.0116) | (0.00942) | |
Poverty Rate | 0.0139 | 0.0176 | 0.0113 |
(0.0129) | (0.0148) | (0.0111) | |
Square Miles | −7.37 × 105 | −8.26 × 105 | −4.49 × 105 |
(6.53 × 105) | (6.97 × 105) | (4.66 × 105) | |
Constant | 3.427 *** | 3.525 *** | 4.167 *** |
(0.359) | (0.399) | (0.284) | |
Observations | 3071 | 3071 | 3058 |
R-squared | 0.078 | 0.072 | 0.047 |
Key Variables | Obesity | Highway Exits |
---|---|---|
Obesity | ||
Highway Exits | −0.20 | |
Physical Activity Measures | ||
Fitness Center | −0.29 * | 0.84 * |
Natural Amenities | −0.36 * | 0.15 * |
Food Stores | ||
Fast Food Restaurants | −0.22 * | 0.86 * |
Full Service Restaurants | −0.26 * | 0.82 * |
Grocery Stores | −0.20 * | 0.74 * |
Supercenters | −0.18 * | 0.76 * |
Convenience Stores | −0.18 * | 0.86 * |
Specialized Food Stores | −0.23 * | 0.76 * |
Farmers Market | −0.29 * | 0.68 * |
Food Environment Measures | ||
% Low Access to Grocery Store | 0.024 | −0.09 * |
Traditional RFEI | 0.16 * | −0.07 * |
Expanded RFEI_1 | 0.11 * | 0.04 * |
Expanded RFEI_2 | 0.11 * | 0.05 * |
Demographics | ||
% Black | 0.41 * | 0.09 * |
%Hispanic | −0.25 * | 0.18 * |
Median Household Income | −0.47 * | 0.26 * |
Poverty Rate | 0.45 * | −0.08 * |
Population | −0.21 * | 0.86 * |
% Bachelor’s degree | −0.57 * | 0.32 * |
% Drove to work | 0.30 * | −0.02 |
%Public transportation to work | −0.24 * | 0.30 * |
% Walked to work | −0.18 * | −0.07 * |
Gini Index | 0.07 * | 0.15 * |
Other Key County Characteristics | ||
Gas stations with food | −0.16 * | 0.85 * |
Square Miles | −0.21 * | 0.14 * |
Area | −0.23 * | 0.84 * |
Metro | −0.14 * | 0.33 * |
Variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Food Swamp: Retail Food Environment Index (Modified v1) | 0.118 ** | ||||
(0.0582) | |||||
Food Swamp: Retail Food Environment Index (Modified v2) | 0.114 ** | ||||
(0.0503) | |||||
Food Swamp: Traditional RFEI | 0.123 *** | ||||
(0.0450) | |||||
Fast food retailers | 0.00769 * | ||||
(0.00390) | |||||
Fast food retailers/10,000 people | −0.0355 * | ||||
(0.0177) | |||||
% Low income and Low Access | 0.0151 | 0.0151 | 0.0140 | 0.00680 | 0.00775 |
(0.0145) | (0.0145) | (0.0148) | (0.0131) | (0.0132) | |
Total Food Store | 0.00148 ** | 0.00147 ** | 0.00149 ** | 0.00157 ** | −0.00234 |
(0.000569) | (0.000567) | (0.000569) | (0.000623) | (0.00216) | |
Recreational Facilities | −0.0273 *** | −0.0272 *** | −0.0269 *** | −0.0294 *** | −0.0331 *** |
(0.00796) | (0.00792) | (0.00795) | (0.00839) | (0.00797) | |
Natural Amenities | −1.043 *** | −1.043 *** | −1.033 *** | −1.038 *** | −1.049 *** |
(0.194) | (0.193) | (0.196) | (0.201) | (0.201) | |
Low-fat milk: Soda Price | 1.653 | 1.648 | 1.670 | 1.936 | 2.250 |
(1.670) | (1.668) | (1.683) | (1.724) | (1.758) | |
Bachelors degree (%) | −0.301 *** | −0.302 *** | −0.301 *** | −0.290 *** | −0.294 *** |
(0.0347) | (0.0348) | (0.0338) | (0.0357) | (0.0346) | |
Black (%) | 0.0647 *** | 0.0647 *** | 0.0669 *** | 0.0663 *** | 0.0664 *** |
(0.0169) | (0.0170) | (0.0169) | (0.0169) | (0.0169) | |
Hispanic (%) | −0.0457 *** | −0.0458 *** | −0.0441 *** | −0.0422 *** | −0.0422 *** |
(0.0136) | (0.0137) | (0.0135) | (0.0135) | (0.0131) | |
Poverty Rate | 0.101 *** | 0.101 *** | 0.0964 *** | 0.105 *** | 0.103 *** |
(0.0297) | (0.0298) | (0.0298) | (0.0310) | (0.0312) | |
Square Miles | −6.14 × 105 | −6.08 × 105 | −6.78 × 105 | −6.10 × 105 | −6.33 × 105 |
(8.40 × 105) | (8.40 × 105) | (8.41 × 105) | (8.56 × 105) | (8.65 × 105) | |
Constant | 34.06 *** | 34.07 *** | 34.03 *** | 34.25 *** | 33.94 *** |
(1.573) | (1.567) | (1.577) | (1.573) | (1.605) | |
Observations | 3069 | 3069 | 3055 | 3108 | 3108 |
R-squared | 0.561 | 0.562 | 0.562 | 0.559 | 0.561 |
Variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Food Swamp: Retail Food Environment Index (Modified v1) | 1.165 *** | ||||
(0.350) | |||||
Food Swamp: Retail Food Environment Index (Modified v2) | 0.993 *** | ||||
(0.317) | |||||
Food Swamp: Traditional RFEI | 2.074 ** | ||||
(0.864) | |||||
Fast food retailers | 0.0952 | ||||
(0.0812) | |||||
Fast food retailers/10,000 people | 2.973 * | ||||
(1.595) | |||||
% Low income and Low Access | 0.0487 ** | 0.0446 ** | 0.0522 ** | −0.00416 | 0.176 * |
(0.0200) | (0.0200) | (0.0243) | (0.0194) | (0.0918) | |
Total Food Store | 0.00117 *** | 0.00114 *** | 0.00105 * | −0.0465 | −0.00107 |
(0.000395) | (0.000394) | (0.000584) | (0.0432) | (0.00185) | |
Recreational Facilities | −0.0171 ** | −0.0170** | −0.00340 | −0.0803 ** | 0.00712 |
(0.00695) | (0.00704) | (0.0119) | (0.0357) | (0.0300) | |
Natural Amenities | −1.140 *** | −1.132*** | −1.171 *** | −1.104 *** | −1.566 *** |
(0.223) | (0.215) | (0.259) | (0.234) | (0.532) | |
Low-fat milk: Soda Price | −0.404 | −0.191 | −1.762 | 5.698 * | 2.858 |
(1.657) | (1.635) | (1.956) | (3.087) | (2.891) | |
Bachelors degree (%) | −0.315 *** | −0.319*** | −0.268 *** | −0.262 *** | −0.865 ** |
(0.0337) | (0.0338) | (0.0370) | (0.0513) | (0.352) | |
Black (%) | 0.0397 | 0.0429 | 0.0444 * | 0.0676 *** | 0.0595 ** |
(0.0279) | (0.0266) | (0.0264) | (0.0187) | (0.0282) | |
Hispanic (%) | −0.0711 *** | −0.0689*** | −0.0663 *** | −0.0377 *** | −0.0696 *** |
(0.0151) | (0.0156) | (0.0179) | (0.0132) | (0.0202) | |
Poverty Rate | 0.0936 *** | 0.0917*** | 0.0854 ** | 0.0984 *** | −0.0472 |
(0.0322) | (0.0330) | (0.0343) | (0.0337) | (0.122) | |
Square Miles | −1.82 × 105 | −1.81 × 105 | −5.35 × 105 | −9.71 × 105 | −5.04 × 105 |
(0.000107) | (0.000103) | (0.000109) | (9.50 × 105) | (0.000247) | |
Constant | 32.64 *** | 32.92*** | 29.63 *** | 31.47 *** | 26.72 *** |
(1.972) | (1.891) | (3.008) | (2.263) | (4.658) | |
Observations | 3069 | 3069 | 3055 | 3108 | 3108 |
R-squared | 0.298 | 0.331 | 0.239 |
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Food Swamp Measure | Definition |
---|---|
Traditional Retail Food Environment Index (RFEI) [39] | |
Expanded RFEI #1 | |
Expanded RFEI #2 |
Food Type | Definition |
---|---|
Healthy food | Foods that (a) are comprised of at least one of the major food groups (vegetables, fruits, grains, dairy, and protein foods) equal to at least half the portion size that the Dietary Guidelines for Americans 2010 uses for measuring the nutrients in that food, and (b) contain only moderate amounts of saturated fats, added sugars, and sodium. |
Less healthy/Unhealthy food | Foods that are high in saturated fat, added sugar, and/or sodium, or that contribute little to meeting dietary recommendations. |
Variable | Median (Standard Deviation) |
---|---|
Health | |
Adult Obesity Rate (2009) | 30.5 (4.16) |
Physical Activity Measures | |
Fitness Center † | 2.0 (30.31) |
Natural Amenities Index (1 to 6) † | 3.0 (1.04) |
Food Stores | |
Fast Food Restaurants † | 15.0 (228.60) |
Grocery Stores † | 6.0 (76.80) |
Supercenters † | 0.0 (2.64) |
Convenience Stores † | 16.0 (87.50) |
Specialized Food Stores † | 1.0 (37.95) |
Farmers Market † | 1.0 (4.00) |
Food Environment Measures | |
Food Desert (% Low income and Low Access to Grocery Store) | 6.2 (8.37) |
Food Swamp (Traditional RFEI) | 3.5 (1.86) |
Food Swamp (Expanded RFEI_1) | 3.4 (2.14) |
Food Swamp (Expanded RFEI_2) | 3.6 (2.38) |
Fast food retail per 10,000 † | 5.8 (2.99) |
Number of fast food retailers † | 15.0 (228.58) |
Demographics | |
% Black | 1.9 (14.42) |
% Hispanic | 3.3 (13.20) |
Median Household Income † | $41,255 (10,742) |
% Female | 50.4 (2.35) |
Age over 65 † | 4000 (36,536.21) |
Poverty Rate | 15.9 (6.24) |
Population † | 25,970 (313,819.30) |
% Bachelor’s degree | 12.2 (5.35) |
% Drives to work | 80.2 (7.79) |
% Public transportation to work | 0.4 (3.07) |
% Walked to work | 2.5 (3.75) |
Gini Index † | 0.4 (0.04) |
Other Key County Characteristics | |
Highway exits † | 0.0 (33.51) |
Low-Fat Milk: Soda Price Ratio †,* | 30.2 (62.10) |
Square Miles † | 624.0 (1314.10) |
Food Environment Description | # of Counties |
---|---|
Expanded RFEI 1 (supercenters unhealthy) > 3.79 | 1470 |
Expanded RFEI 2 (supercenters healthy) > 4.02 | 1425 |
Traditional RFEI > 3.89 | 1419 |
Food Desert (% low income & low access) > 8.37 | 1193 |
Food Swamp Measures | Food Desert Measures (% Low Access to Grocery Store and Low Income) |
---|---|
Expanded RFEI | −0.10 ** |
Expanded RFEI 2 | −0.10 ** |
Traditional RFEI | −0.06 ** |
Variables | 1 | 2 | 3 |
---|---|---|---|
Retail Food Environment Index (Modified version 1) | 0.120 ** | ||
(0.0579) | |||
Retail Food Environment Index (Modified version 2) | 0.115 ** | ||
(0.0499) | |||
Traditional RFEI | 0.125 *** | ||
(0.0443) | |||
% Low Income and Low Access | 0.0149 | 0.0149 | 0.0138 |
(0.0144) | (0.0144) | (0.0148) | |
Recreational Facilities | −0.00742 | −0.00737 | −0.00694 |
(0.00454) | (0.00453) | (0.00453) | |
Natural Amenities | −1.049 *** | −1.049 *** | −1.039 *** |
(0.194) | (0.193) | (0.196) | |
Milk:Soda Price | 1.484 | 1.480 | 1.501 |
(1.658) | (1.656) | (1.670) | |
Constant | 34.25 *** | 34.26 *** | 34.23 *** |
(1.568) | (1.563) | (1.573) | |
Observations | 3069 | 3069 | 3055 |
R-squared | 0.559 | 0.560 | 0.560 |
Variables | RFEI Modified v1 | RFEI Modified v2 | Traditional RFEI |
---|---|---|---|
Highway exit coefficient | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
Highway exit p value | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
Instrument Test F test | 7.87 | 7.44 | 15.66 |
Variables | 1 | 2 | 3 |
---|---|---|---|
Retail Food Environment Index (Modified v1) | 1.510 *** | ||
(0.434) | |||
Retail Food Environment Index (Modified v2) | 1.277 *** | ||
(0.383) | |||
Traditional RFEI | 2.604 ** | ||
(1.076) | |||
% Low Income and Low Access | 0.0596 ** | 0.0540 ** | 0.0624 ** |
−0.0235 | −0.023 | −0.0302 | |
Recreational Facilities | 0.000735 | 0.000188 | 0.0154 |
−0.00438 | −0.00438 | −0.01 | |
Natural Amenities | −1.177 *** | −1.165 *** | −1.212 *** |
−0.242 | −0.231 | −0.291 | |
Low-Fat Milk:Soda Price | −1.202 | −0.9 | −2.797 |
−1.779 | −1.73 | −2.237 | |
Constant | 32.31 *** | 32.68 *** | 28.57 *** |
−2.209 | −2.09 | −3.501 | |
Observations | 3069 | 3069 | 3055 |
Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) | 3.95 | 3.81 | 5.21 |
Variables | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Driving and Public Transportation Combined < 80% | Driving and Public Transportation Combined > 80% | Gini Coefficient < 0.41 | Gini Coefficient > 0.41 | |
Traditional RFEI | 2.452 ** | 4.016 | 2.737 ** | 1.564 ** |
(1.218) | (3.946) | (1.277) | (0.686) | |
Low Income and Low Access to Grocery Store | 0.0932 ** | −0.0794 | 0.0414 | 0.0690 * |
(0.0402) | (0.121) | (0.0279) | (0.0409) | |
Recreational Facilities | 0.0131 * | 0.0384 | 0.0178 | 0.0107 |
(0.00773) | (0.0554) | (0.0112) | (0.0231) | |
Natural Amenities | −1.349 *** | −1.337 * | −1.235 *** | −1.100 *** |
(0.356) | (0.745) | (0.318) | (0.294) | |
Low-Fat Milk:Soda Price | −2.095 | −4.081 | −3.685 | 2.108 |
(2.962) | (4.382) | (2.620) | (2.374) | |
Bachelor‘s Degree (%) | −0.266 *** | −0.288 *** | −0.269 *** | −0.253 *** |
(0.0426) | (0.0754) | (0.0456) | (0.0512) | |
Black (%) | 0.0441 * | 0.0391 | 0.0392 | 0.0204 |
(0.0247) | (0.0515) | (0.0303) | (0.0357) | |
Hispanic (%) | −0.0649 *** | −0.0857 * | −0.0812 *** | −0.00185 |
(0.0233) | (0.0440) | (0.0218) | (0.0185) | |
Poverty Rate (%) | 0.0580 | 0.0891 | 0.0948 ** | 0.0685 |
(0.0572) | (0.0691) | (0.0454) | (0.0447) | |
Square Miles | −9.09 × 105 | 5.19 × 106 | −3.38 × 105 | −5.95 × 105 |
(0.000119) | (0.000433) | (0.000140) | (0.000123) | |
Constant | 29.49 *** | 24.97 ** | 29.00 *** | 27.75 *** |
(3.395) | (10.25) | (3.461) | (3.706) | |
Observations | 1230 | 1825 | 2442 | 613 |
© 2017 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
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Cooksey-Stowers, K.; Schwartz, M.B.; Brownell, K.D. Food Swamps Predict Obesity Rates Better Than Food Deserts in the United States. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2017, 14, 1366. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph14111366
Cooksey-Stowers K, Schwartz MB, Brownell KD. Food Swamps Predict Obesity Rates Better Than Food Deserts in the United States. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2017; 14(11):1366. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph14111366
Chicago/Turabian StyleCooksey-Stowers, Kristen, Marlene B. Schwartz, and Kelly D. Brownell. 2017. "Food Swamps Predict Obesity Rates Better Than Food Deserts in the United States" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 14, no. 11: 1366. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph14111366
APA StyleCooksey-Stowers, K., Schwartz, M. B., & Brownell, K. D. (2017). Food Swamps Predict Obesity Rates Better Than Food Deserts in the United States. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 14(11), 1366. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph14111366