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The use of simulation in the development and empirical validation of analytic models for emergency services

Published: 01 January 1974 Publication History

Abstract

Simulation models are generally costly tools to use in systems analysis. Whenever applicable, one prefers to use a simple analytic model. However, in many cases, the conditions assumed by solvable analytic models do not hold in the real world. But a simulation can be used to suggest an approximate model and to determine how good an approximation an analytic model is. We show how simulations of New York City's fire and police operations have been used to develop and validate simple analytic models which are now being used to determine the deployment of resources in these two services.

References

[1]
Carter, G., and E. Ignall, "A Simulation Model of Fire Department Operations," IEEE-System Science and Cybernetics, Vol. 6, No. 4, October 1970.
[2]
Carter, G., E. Ignall, and W. E. Walker, "A Simulation Model of the New York City Fire Department: Its Use in Deployment Analysis," Proceedings of the 1973 Winter Simulation Conference.
[3]
Cobham, A., "Priority Assignment in Waiting Time Problems," J. Operations Research Society of America, Vol. 3, P. 547, 1955.
[4]
Kolesar, P., and E. H. Blum, "Square Root Laws for Fire Engine Response Distances," "Management Science," Vol. 19, No. 12, August 1973.
[5]
Kolesar, P., and W. E. Walker, "A Description of the New York City Police Department Patrol Simulation Model," The New York City-Rand Institute,* WN-8178-NYC, April 1973.
[6]
Larson, R. C., Urban Police Patrol Analysis, The MIT Press, 1972.

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    cover image ACM Conferences
    WSC '74: Proceedings of the 7th conference on Winter simulation - Volume 2
    January 1974
    839 pages

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    Winter Simulation Conference

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    Published: 01 January 1974

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    • (2024)Simulative assessment of patrol car allocation and response timeEuropean Journal of Operational Research10.1016/j.ejor.2024.12.035Online publication date: Dec-2024
    • (2021)Ride alongProceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference10.5555/3522802.3522853(1-12)Online publication date: 13-Dec-2021
    • (2021)Ride Along: Using Simulation To Staff The Ithaca Police Department2021 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC)10.1109/WSC52266.2021.9715323(1-12)Online publication date: 12-Dec-2021
    • (1977)Simulation modeling of the criminal justice system and processProceedings of the 9th conference on Winter simulation - Volume 110.5555/800251.807547(246-256)Online publication date: 5-Dec-1977

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