Stock Price Forecasting Based on Improved Particle Swarm Optimization Neural Network Algorithm
Abstract
1 Introduction
2 Literature Review
2.1 Application of Statistical Analysis Methods in Stock Price Forecasting
2.1.1 Classical Statistical Models Machine Learning Methods
2.2 Application of Data Mining Techniques in Stock Price Forecasting
2.2.1 Machine Learning Methods
2.2.2 Deep Learning Methods
2.2.3 Intelligent Optimization Algorithms
2.3 Conclusion
3 Traditional Statistical Analysis Methods
3.1 Moving Average Method
3.2 Exponential Smoothing Method
3.3 Autoregressive Moving Average Model
4 Neural Network Algorithm Based on Particle Optimization
4.1 Particle Optimization Algorithm
4.2 Introduction of Chaos Perturbation Factor and Mutation Factor
4.3 Neural Network Model
5 Experimental Design
5.1 Particle Swarm Optimization Neural Network Algorithm
5.2 Data Collection and Preprocessing
5.3 Experiment Setup and Parameter Selection
6 FOREcasting Results Analysis
6.1 Algorithm Performance and Accuracy Analysis
6.1.1 Algorithm effect and accuracy
Index/Stock | Algorithm | RMSE | MAE | Forecasting Accuracy(%) |
---|---|---|---|---|
CSI 300 Index | PSO Moving Average | 10.35 19.73 | 7.79 15.42 | 75.86 58.84 |
SVM | 12.67 | 11.68 | 69.56 | |
CSI 500 Index | PSO Moving Average | 12.84 20.16 | 9.56 15.92 | 75.46 57.86 |
SVM | 13.78 | 14.22 | 64.29 | |
Sg Micro Corp(300661) | PSO Moving Average | 8.68 16.27 | 6.82 12.33 | 80.57 64.12 |
SVM | 10.83 | 8.09 | 73.58 |
6.1.2 Forecasting time consumption and efficiency
7 Conclusion
Acknowledgments
References
Index Terms
- Stock Price Forecasting Based on Improved Particle Swarm Optimization Neural Network Algorithm
Recommendations
An improved cooperative quantum-behaved particle swarm optimization
Particle swarm optimization (PSO) is a population-based stochastic optimization. Its parameters are easy to control, and it operates easily. But, the particle swarm optimization is a local convergence algorithm. Quantum-behaved particle swarm ...
An Improved Particle Swarm Algorithm for Search Optimization
GCIS '09: Proceedings of the 2009 WRI Global Congress on Intelligent Systems - Volume 01To address the problem of space locus searching, a slowdown particle swarm optimization (SPSO) is proposed to improve the convergence performance of particle swarm from the position viewpoint. The particle swarm in SPSO is divided into many independent ...
A new decomposition ensemble model for stock price forecasting based on system clustering and particle swarm optimization
AbstractAccurate forecasting of stock prices has been a challenge in the securities market, while the stock price time series tend to be non-stationary, non-linear, and highly noisy. At present, the traditional method of decomposition and ...
Highlights- We propose a clustering reconstruction method based on modal complexity.
- Our ...
Comments
Please enable JavaScript to view thecomments powered by Disqus.Information & Contributors
Information
Published In
Publisher
Association for Computing Machinery
New York, NY, United States
Publication History
Check for updates
Author Tags
Qualifiers
- Research-article
Conference
Acceptance Rates
Contributors
Other Metrics
Bibliometrics & Citations
Bibliometrics
Article Metrics
- 0Total Citations
- 77Total Downloads
- Downloads (Last 12 months)77
- Downloads (Last 6 weeks)77
Other Metrics
Citations
View Options
View options
View or Download as a PDF file.
PDFeReader
View online with eReader.
eReaderHTML Format
View this article in HTML Format.
HTML FormatLogin options
Check if you have access through your login credentials or your institution to get full access on this article.
Sign in