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Forecasting of Extreme Weather Intensity Based on Grey Model

Published: 14 October 2022 Publication History

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a prediction method for extreme weather events. In order to evaluate and forecast the intensity of extreme weather events, we first quantify the intensity of extreme weather, using the T-Year weather events concept from a mathematical point of view. On this basis, the grey model, which has an excellent performance in short-term prediction, is then used to predict the occurrence rate of extreme weather events with specific intensities. The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified through an illustrative example using hail weather data in the United States.

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ICCIR '22: Proceedings of the 2022 2nd International Conference on Control and Intelligent Robotics
June 2022
905 pages
ISBN:9781450397179
DOI:10.1145/3548608
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

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Published: 14 October 2022

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