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Learning Social Meta-knowledge for Nowcasting Human Mobility in Disaster

Published: 30 April 2023 Publication History

Abstract

Human mobility nowcasting is a fundamental research problem for intelligent transportation planning, disaster responses and management, etc. In particular, human mobility under big disasters such as hurricanes and pandemics deviates from its daily routine to a large extent, which makes the task more challenging. Existing works mainly focus on traffic or crowd flow prediction in normal situations. To tackle this problem, in this study, disaster-related Twitter data is incorporated as a covariate to understand the public awareness and attention about the disaster events and thus perceive their impacts on the human mobility. Accordingly, we propose a Meta-knowledge-Memorizable Spatio-Temporal Network (MemeSTN), which leverages memory network and meta-learning to fuse social media and human mobility data. Extensive experiments over three real-world disasters including Japan 2019 typhoon season, Japan 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, and US 2019 hurricane season were conducted to illustrate the effectiveness of our proposed solution. Compared to the state-of-the-art spatio-temporal deep models and multivariate-time-series deep models, our model can achieve superior performance for nowcasting human mobility in disaster situations at both country level and state level.

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Cited By

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  • (2024)Multi-modality spatio-temporal forecasting via self-supervised learningProceedings of the Thirty-Third International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence10.24963/ijcai.2024/223(2018-2026)Online publication date: 3-Aug-2024
  • (2024)Physics-informed Neural ODE for Post-disaster Mobility RecoveryProceedings of the 30th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining10.1145/3637528.3672027(1587-1598)Online publication date: 25-Aug-2024
  • (2024)Heterogeneity-Informed Meta-Parameter Learning for Spatiotemporal Time Series ForecastingProceedings of the 30th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining10.1145/3637528.3671961(631-641)Online publication date: 25-Aug-2024
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cover image ACM Conferences
WWW '23: Proceedings of the ACM Web Conference 2023
April 2023
4293 pages
ISBN:9781450394161
DOI:10.1145/3543507
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than the author(s) must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected].

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Published: 30 April 2023

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Author Tags

  1. COVID-19
  2. disaster
  3. human mobility
  4. hurricane
  5. meta-learning.
  6. multivariate time series
  7. spatiotemporal modeling
  8. twitter
  9. typhoon

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WWW '23
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WWW '23: The ACM Web Conference 2023
April 30 - May 4, 2023
TX, Austin, USA

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Overall Acceptance Rate 1,899 of 8,196 submissions, 23%

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Cited By

View all
  • (2024)Multi-modality spatio-temporal forecasting via self-supervised learningProceedings of the Thirty-Third International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence10.24963/ijcai.2024/223(2018-2026)Online publication date: 3-Aug-2024
  • (2024)Physics-informed Neural ODE for Post-disaster Mobility RecoveryProceedings of the 30th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining10.1145/3637528.3672027(1587-1598)Online publication date: 25-Aug-2024
  • (2024)Heterogeneity-Informed Meta-Parameter Learning for Spatiotemporal Time Series ForecastingProceedings of the 30th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining10.1145/3637528.3671961(631-641)Online publication date: 25-Aug-2024
  • (2024)UniTime: A Language-Empowered Unified Model for Cross-Domain Time Series ForecastingProceedings of the ACM Web Conference 202410.1145/3589334.3645434(4095-4106)Online publication date: 13-May-2024
  • (2024)Forecasting Lifespan of Crowded Events With Acoustic Synthesis-Inspired Segmental Long Short-Term MemoryIEEE Access10.1109/ACCESS.2024.341750912(87309-87322)Online publication date: 2024
  • (2023)Learning Gaussian mixture representations for tensor time series forecastingProceedings of the Thirty-Second International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence10.24963/ijcai.2023/231(2077-2085)Online publication date: 19-Aug-2023
  • (2023)MemDA: Forecasting Urban Time Series with Memory-based Drift AdaptationProceedings of the 32nd ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management10.1145/3583780.3614962(193-202)Online publication date: 21-Oct-2023

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