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Analysis and Prediction of COVID-19 Data using Machine Learning Models

Published: 04 February 2022 Publication History

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has devastated the world by killing millions of people. The goal of this project is to utilize advanced machine learning models to analyze the global COVID-19 data and predict the future patterns of the COVID-19 pandemic. The COVID-19 data were downloaded from John Hopkins University and Worldometer between January 23, 2020, and April 26, 2021. Advanced machine learning techniques including polynomial regression, support vector regression, and Holt's double exponential smoothing were developed to predict the daily cases for three countries: the USA, India, and Brazil. Based on our experimental results, the USA and Brazil were predicted to decline in the total number of daily cases. However, the daily COVID-19 cases in India were predicted to increases as a new variant of the virus was massively spreading throughout the country. In conclusion, advanced machine learning techniques were efficient and effective to analyze and predict the global COVID-19 data.  Our models show good prediction results for all three countries. Brazil and the USA were expected to decline in daily COVID-19 cases as more vaccines become available to their residence. However, India was predicted to increase in daily COVID-19 cases.

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  • (2024)Методи машинного навчання в епідеміологічних дослідженняхScientific Bulletin of UNFU10.36930/4034040834:4(59-67)Online publication date: 23-May-2024

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      cover image ACM Other conferences
      ICCPR '21: Proceedings of the 2021 10th International Conference on Computing and Pattern Recognition
      October 2021
      393 pages
      ISBN:9781450390439
      DOI:10.1145/3497623
      Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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      Published: 04 February 2022

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      Author Tags

      1. COVID-19
      2. Machine learning
      3. exponential smoothing
      4. polynomial regression
      5. regression
      6. support vector regression

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      • (2024)Методи машинного навчання в епідеміологічних дослідженняхScientific Bulletin of UNFU10.36930/4034040834:4(59-67)Online publication date: 23-May-2024

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