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Stability effects of arbitrage in exchange traded funds: an agent-based model

Published: 04 May 2022 Publication History

Abstract

An index-based exchange traded fund (ETF) with underlying securities that trade on the same market creates potential opportunities for arbitrage between price deviations in the ETF and the corresponding index. We examine whether ETF arbitrage transmits small volatility events, termed mini flash crashes, from one of its underlying symbols to another. We address this question in an agent-based, simulated market where agents can trade an ETF and its two underlying symbols. We explore multiple market configurations with active and inactive ETF arbitrageurs. Through empirical game-theoretic analysis, we find that when arbitrageurs actively trade, background traders' surplus increases because of the increased liquidity. Arbitrage helps the ETF more accurately track the index. We also observe that when one symbol experiences a mini flash crash, arbitrage transmits a price change in the opposite direction to the other symbol. The size of the mini flash crash depends more on the market configuration than the arbitrageurs, but the recovery of the mini flash crash is faster when arbitrageurs are present.

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Cited By

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  • (2024)Investigation of market impacts of arbitrage trading between an ETF and its underlying assets using an agent-based simulationFinance Research Letters10.1016/j.frl.2024.10586267(105862)Online publication date: Sep-2024
  • (2024)Impact of arbitrage trading between an ETF and its underlying assets on market liquidity of their markets using an agent-based simulationJournal of Computational Social Science10.1007/s42001-024-00324-07:3(2839-2870)Online publication date: 18-Sep-2024
  • (2023)Learning to Manipulate a Financial BenchmarkProceedings of the Fourth ACM International Conference on AI in Finance10.1145/3604237.3626847(592-600)Online publication date: 27-Nov-2023
  1. Stability effects of arbitrage in exchange traded funds: an agent-based model

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    cover image ACM Conferences
    ICAIF '21: Proceedings of the Second ACM International Conference on AI in Finance
    November 2021
    450 pages
    ISBN:9781450391481
    DOI:10.1145/3490354
    Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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    Published: 04 May 2022

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    Author Tags

    1. ETF arbitrage
    2. empirical game-theoretic analysis
    3. mini flash crash

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    View all
    • (2024)Investigation of market impacts of arbitrage trading between an ETF and its underlying assets using an agent-based simulationFinance Research Letters10.1016/j.frl.2024.10586267(105862)Online publication date: Sep-2024
    • (2024)Impact of arbitrage trading between an ETF and its underlying assets on market liquidity of their markets using an agent-based simulationJournal of Computational Social Science10.1007/s42001-024-00324-07:3(2839-2870)Online publication date: 18-Sep-2024
    • (2023)Learning to Manipulate a Financial BenchmarkProceedings of the Fourth ACM International Conference on AI in Finance10.1145/3604237.3626847(592-600)Online publication date: 27-Nov-2023

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