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Incremental Group-Level Popularity Prediction in Online Social Networks

Published: 14 September 2021 Publication History

Abstract

Predicting the popularity of web contents in online social networks is essential for many applications. However, existing works are usually under non-incremental settings. In other words, they have to rebuild models from scratch when new data occurs, which are inefficient in big data environments. It leads to an urgent need for incremental prediction, which can update previous results with new data and conduct prediction incrementally. Moreover, the promising direction of group-level popularity prediction has not been well treated, which explores fine-grained information while keeping a low cost. To this end, we identify the problem of incremental group-level popularity prediction, and propose a novel model IGPP to address it. We first predict the group-level popularity incrementally by exploiting the incremental CANDECOMP/PARAFCAC (CP) tensor decomposition algorithm. Then, to reduce the cumulative error by incremental prediction, we propose three strategies to restart the CP decomposition. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work that identifies and solves the problem of incremental group-level popularity prediction. Extensive experimental results show significant improvements of the IGPP method over other works both in the prediction accuracy and the efficiency.

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Information

Published In

cover image ACM Transactions on Internet Technology
ACM Transactions on Internet Technology  Volume 22, Issue 1
February 2022
717 pages
ISSN:1533-5399
EISSN:1557-6051
DOI:10.1145/3483347
  • Editor:
  • Ling Liu
Issue’s Table of Contents
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected].

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Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 14 September 2021
Accepted: 01 April 2021
Revised: 01 March 2021
Received: 01 October 2020
Published in TOIT Volume 22, Issue 1

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Author Tags

  1. Group level
  2. incremental approach
  3. information diffusion
  4. online social networks
  5. popularity prediction
  6. tensor analysis

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  • Research-article
  • Refereed

Funding Sources

  • NSFC
  • National Outstanding Youth Science Program of NSFC
  • Science and Technology Program of Changsha City kq
  • Open project of Zhejiang Lab

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  • (2024)Rumor Localization, Detection and Prediction in Social NetworkIEEE Transactions on Computational Social Systems10.1109/TCSS.2022.321692311:3(3168-3178)Online publication date: Jun-2024
  • (2024)The Influence of User Profile and Post Metadata on the Popularity of Image-Based Social Media: A Data Perspective2024 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Information and Communication (ICAIIC)10.1109/ICAIIC60209.2024.10463510(806-811)Online publication date: 19-Feb-2024
  • (2023)An Analysis of Machine Learning Techniques for Predicting and Evaluating the Popularity of Online News Articles2023 3rd International Conference on Advancement in Electronics & Communication Engineering (AECE)10.1109/AECE59614.2023.10428196(186-190)Online publication date: 23-Nov-2023
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  • (2022)Transformer-enhanced Hawkes process with decoupling training for information cascade predictionKnowledge-Based Systems10.1016/j.knosys.2022.109740255:COnline publication date: 14-Nov-2022

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