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Prediction of Sparse User-Item Consumption Rates with Zero-Inflated Poisson Regression

Published: 23 April 2018 Publication History

Abstract

In this paper we address the problem of building user models that can predict the rate at which individuals consume items from a finite set, including items they have consumed in the past and items that are new. This combination of repeat and new item consumption is common in applications such as listening to music, visiting web sites, and purchasing products. We use zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) regression models as the basis for our modeling approach, leading to a general framework for modeling user-item consumption rates over time. We show that these models are more flexible in capturing user behavior than alternatives such as well-known latent factor models based on matrix factorization. We compare the performance of ZIP regression and latent factor models on three different data sets involving music, restaurant reviews, and social media. The ZIP regression models are systematically more accurate across all three data sets and across different prediction metrics.

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  • (2024)"Yeah, this graph doesn't show that": Analysis of Online Engagement with Misleading Data VisualizationsProceedings of the 2024 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems10.1145/3613904.3642448(1-14)Online publication date: 11-May-2024
  • (2024)Exploiting Group-Level Behavior Pattern for Session-Based RecommendationIEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering10.1109/TKDE.2023.328031036:1(152-166)Online publication date: Jan-2024
  • (2024)Sequential-hierarchical attention network: Exploring the hierarchical intention feature in POI recommendationWorld Wide Web10.1007/s11280-024-01295-y27:6Online publication date: 1-Nov-2024
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      cover image ACM Other conferences
      WWW '18: Proceedings of the 2018 World Wide Web Conference
      April 2018
      2000 pages
      ISBN:9781450356398
      Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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      • IW3C2: International World Wide Web Conference Committee

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      International World Wide Web Conferences Steering Committee

      Republic and Canton of Geneva, Switzerland

      Publication History

      Published: 23 April 2018

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      Author Tags

      1. consumption rate modeling
      2. explore-exploit
      3. repeat consumption
      4. zero-inflated poisson

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      WWW '18
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      • IW3C2
      WWW '18: The Web Conference 2018
      April 23 - 27, 2018
      Lyon, France

      Acceptance Rates

      WWW '18 Paper Acceptance Rate 170 of 1,155 submissions, 15%;
      Overall Acceptance Rate 1,899 of 8,196 submissions, 23%

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      View all
      • (2024)"Yeah, this graph doesn't show that": Analysis of Online Engagement with Misleading Data VisualizationsProceedings of the 2024 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems10.1145/3613904.3642448(1-14)Online publication date: 11-May-2024
      • (2024)Exploiting Group-Level Behavior Pattern for Session-Based RecommendationIEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering10.1109/TKDE.2023.328031036:1(152-166)Online publication date: Jan-2024
      • (2024)Sequential-hierarchical attention network: Exploring the hierarchical intention feature in POI recommendationWorld Wide Web10.1007/s11280-024-01295-y27:6Online publication date: 1-Nov-2024
      • (2021)ZERO-INFLATED POISSON REGRESSION MODELS: APPLICATIONS IN THE SCIENCES AND SOCIAL SCIENCESAnnals of Financial Economics10.1142/S201049522150006816:02(2150006)Online publication date: 28-Jun-2021
      • (2021)SamWalker++: recommendation with informative sampling strategyIEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering10.1109/TKDE.2021.3102080(1-1)Online publication date: 2021
      • (2021)Dynamic road crime risk prediction with urban open dataFrontiers of Computer Science10.1007/s11704-021-0136-z16:1Online publication date: 19-Oct-2021
      • (2020)Modeling user exposure with recommendation influenceProceedings of the 35th Annual ACM Symposium on Applied Computing10.1145/3341105.3375760(1461-1464)Online publication date: 30-Mar-2020
      • (2020)A Hybrid Generative Model for Online User Behavior PredictionIEEE Access10.1109/ACCESS.2019.29625398(3761-3771)Online publication date: 2020
      • (2019)Modeling Item-Specific Temporal Dynamics of Repeat Consumption for Recommender SystemsThe World Wide Web Conference10.1145/3308558.3313594(1977-1987)Online publication date: 13-May-2019
      • (2019)SamWalker: Social Recommendation with Informative Sampling StrategyThe World Wide Web Conference10.1145/3308558.3313582(228-239)Online publication date: 13-May-2019

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