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A Development of a Prediction Model for Ungauged Catchment in the North of Thailand

Published: 08 January 2018 Publication History

Abstract

Flow data are essential for hydrological study, planning, and management to prevent drought and flood in a region. In catchments where flow data are not recorded or of poor quality, hydrological indices could be an alternative for predicting flow in ungauged catchments. This study demonstrates the methodology for predicting flow in ungauged catchments through the case study of 37 sub-catchments of the upper Ping catchment in northwest Thailand from 2006-2014. The regression method was applied to investigate the relationship between three flow indices including runoff coefficient, base flow index, and 95th percentile of flow, and catchment properties. The prediction interval of the regression relationship was used to condition rainfall-runoff model parameters. The model performance was tested by NSE* and reliability. The 95th percentile of flow was found to be the most informative index to regionalize flow followed by RC. The BFI had least contribution to the prediction of flow with poor NSE* and large uncertainty. The 95th percentile of flow and RC generally worked well for small sub-catchments.

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ICCMS '18: Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Computer Modeling and Simulation
January 2018
310 pages
ISBN:9781450363396
DOI:10.1145/3177457
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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  • University of Canberra: University of Canberra
  • University of Technology Sydney

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Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 08 January 2018

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Author Tags

  1. Ping basin
  2. flow indices
  3. hydrological response indices
  4. predictions in ungagged basin
  5. regionalization
  6. regression analysis

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