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Understanding Book Popularity on Goodreads

Published: 07 January 2018 Publication History

Abstract

Goodreads has launched the Readers Choice Awards since 2009 where users are able to nominate/vote books of their choice, released in the given year. In this work, we question if the number of votes that a book would receive (aka the popularity of the book) can be predicted based on the characteristics of various entities on Goodreads. We are successful in predicting the popularity of the books with high prediction accuracy (correlation coefficient ~0.61) and low RMSE (~1.25). User engagement and author's prestige are found to be crucial factors for book popularity.

References

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James W Hall. 2012. Hit Lit: Cracking the Code of the Twentieth Century's Biggest Bestsellers. Random House.
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Shoubin Kong, Qiaozhu Mei, Ling Feng, Fei Ye, and Zhe Zhao. 2014. Predicting Bursts and Popularity of Hashtags in Real-time. In Proc. of SIGIR. 927--930.
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Igor Kononenko, Edvard Simec, and Marko Robnik-Sikonja. 1997. Overcoming the myopia of inductive learning algorithms with RELIEFF. Applied Intelligence 7 (1997), 39--55.
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Zongyang Ma, Aixin Sun, and Gao Cong. 2013. On predicting the popularity of newly emerging hashtags in Twitter. JASIST (2013), 1399--1410.
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Suman Kalyan Maity, Abhishek Panigrahi, and Animesh Mukherjee. 2017. Book Reading Behavior on Goodreads Can Predict the Amazon Best Sellers. In Proc. of ASONAM.
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Suman Kalyan Maity, Ritvik Saraf, and Animesh Mukherjee. 2016. \#Bieber
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#Blast =#BieberBlast: Early Prediction of Popular Hashtag Compounds. In Proc. of CSCW.
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Oren Tsur and Ari Rappoport. 2012. What's in a Hashtag?: Content Based Prediction of the Spread of Ideas in Microblogging Communities. In Proc. of WSDM. 643--652.

Cited By

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  • (2024)Unveiling Emotional Intensity in Online Reviews: Adopting Advanced Machine Learning TechniquesAustralasian Marketing Journal10.1177/14413582241244808Online publication date: 6-Apr-2024
  • (2024)Preservation Preferences for Books and Websites as Cultural Heritage: A Conjoint AnalysisCollection Management10.1080/01462679.2024.2422600(1-19)Online publication date: 4-Nov-2024
  • (2023)Prediction Model of Book Popularity from Goodreads “To Read” and “Worst” Books2023 10th International Conference on ICT for Smart Society (ICISS)10.1109/ICISS59129.2023.10291619(1-7)Online publication date: 6-Sep-2023
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Information & Contributors

Information

Published In

cover image ACM Conferences
GROUP '18: Proceedings of the 2018 ACM International Conference on Supporting Group Work
January 2018
422 pages
ISBN:9781450355629
DOI:10.1145/3148330
Permission to make digital or hard copies of part or all of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for third-party components of this work must be honored. For all other uses, contact the Owner/Author.

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Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 07 January 2018

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Author Tags

  1. book popularity
  2. goodreads
  3. prediction

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GROUP '18
Sponsor:
GROUP '18: 2018 ACM Conference on Supporting Groupwork
January 7 - 10, 2018
Florida, Sanibel Island, USA

Acceptance Rates

GROUP '18 Paper Acceptance Rate 22 of 94 submissions, 23%;
Overall Acceptance Rate 125 of 405 submissions, 31%

Upcoming Conference

GROUP '25
The 2025 ACM International Conference on Supporting Group Work
January 12 - 15, 2025
Hilton Head , SC , USA

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Cited By

View all
  • (2024)Unveiling Emotional Intensity in Online Reviews: Adopting Advanced Machine Learning TechniquesAustralasian Marketing Journal10.1177/14413582241244808Online publication date: 6-Apr-2024
  • (2024)Preservation Preferences for Books and Websites as Cultural Heritage: A Conjoint AnalysisCollection Management10.1080/01462679.2024.2422600(1-19)Online publication date: 4-Nov-2024
  • (2023)Prediction Model of Book Popularity from Goodreads “To Read” and “Worst” Books2023 10th International Conference on ICT for Smart Society (ICISS)10.1109/ICISS59129.2023.10291619(1-7)Online publication date: 6-Sep-2023
  • (2022)Literary value in the era of big data. Operationalizing critical distance in professional and non-professional reviewsJournal of Cultural Analytics10.22148/001c.364467:2Online publication date: 16-Jun-2022
  • (2021)Tags, Borders, and CatalogsProceedings of the ACM on Human-Computer Interaction10.1145/34491035:CSCW1(1-29)Online publication date: 22-Apr-2021

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