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HyperStar2: Easy Distribution Fitting of Correlated Data

Published: 17 April 2017 Publication History

Abstract

In this paper, we present HyperStar2, a tool for fitting Markov Arrival Processes (MAPs) to empirical data. HyperStar2 uses a two-step approach, where the first step is cluster-based fitting of phase-type distributions and the second step is the construction of a correlation matrix. In the first step, we use the cluster-based algorithm for Hyper-Erlang distribution fitting from HyperStar hyper2012. Based on the Hyper-Erlang fitting result and the clusters of samples, in the second step we construct the correlation matrix.
The tool targets engineers and scientists who need distribution fitting for non-standard distributions but have little interest in the underlying theory. Therefore the tool has a GUI that offers graphical presentation of the data, the fitted distribution and the empirical as well as theoretical autocorrelation. We discuss the use of HyperStar2 in common application scenarios and the fitting algorithms behind it.
We provide some numerical examples, which show the abilities and limits of the fitting tool. We find that HyperStar2 can fit distributions very well but for some auto-correlation structures ProFiDo provides better results for auto-correlation.

References

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Philipp Reinecke, Tilman Krauß, and Katinka Wolter. Cluster-based fitting of phase-type distributions to empirical data. Computers & Mathematics with Applications, 64(12):3840--3851, 2012.
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Alma Riska, Mark Squillante, Shun-Zheng Yu, Zhen Liu, and L Zhang. Matrix-analytic analysis of a map/ph/1 queue fitted to web server data. Matrix-Analytic Methods; Theory and Applications, pages 333--356, 2002.
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Peter Buchholz. An em-algorithm for map fitting from real traffic data. In International Conference on Modelling Techniques and Tools for Computer Performance Evaluation, pages 218--236. Springer, 2003.
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Lothar Breuer. An em algorithm for batch markovian arrival processes and its comparison to a simpler estimation procedure. Annals of Operations Research, 112(1--4):123--138, 2002.
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Peter Buchholz and Andriy Panchenko. A two-step em algorithm for map fitting. In International Symposium on Computer and Information Sciences, pages 217--227. Springer, 2004.
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Falko Bause, Peter Buchholz, and Jan Kriege. Profido-the processes fitting toolkit dortmund. In Quantitative Evaluation of Systems (QEST), 2010 Seventh International Conference on the, pages 87--96. IEEE, 2010.
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Giuliano Casale, Eddy Z Zhang, and Evgenia Smirni. Kpc-toolbox: Simple yet effective trace fitting using markovian arrival processes. In Quantitative Evaluation of Systems, 2008. QEST'08. Fifth International Conference on, pages 83--92. IEEE, 2008.

Cited By

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  • (2024)Adaption of Stochastic Models (ASMo) - A Tool for Input Modeling -Quantitative Evaluation of Systems and Formal Modeling and Analysis of Timed Systems10.1007/978-3-031-68416-6_5(72-89)Online publication date: 10-Sep-2024
  • (2020)A Reactive Batching Strategy of Apache Kafka for Reliable Stream Processing in Real-time2020 IEEE 31st International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering (ISSRE)10.1109/ISSRE5003.2020.00028(207-217)Online publication date: Oct-2020
  • (2019)Performance Prediction for the Apache Kafka Messaging System2019 IEEE 21st International Conference on High Performance Computing and Communications; IEEE 17th International Conference on Smart City; IEEE 5th International Conference on Data Science and Systems (HPCC/SmartCity/DSS)10.1109/HPCC/SmartCity/DSS.2019.00036(154-161)Online publication date: Aug-2019

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Published In

cover image ACM Conferences
ICPE '17: Proceedings of the 8th ACM/SPEC on International Conference on Performance Engineering
April 2017
450 pages
ISBN:9781450344043
DOI:10.1145/3030207
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than the author(s) must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected].

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Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 17 April 2017

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Author Tags

  1. map fitting
  2. phase-type fitting
  3. probability distribution fitting
  4. tool description

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ICPE '17 Paper Acceptance Rate 27 of 83 submissions, 33%;
Overall Acceptance Rate 252 of 851 submissions, 30%

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View all
  • (2024)Adaption of Stochastic Models (ASMo) - A Tool for Input Modeling -Quantitative Evaluation of Systems and Formal Modeling and Analysis of Timed Systems10.1007/978-3-031-68416-6_5(72-89)Online publication date: 10-Sep-2024
  • (2020)A Reactive Batching Strategy of Apache Kafka for Reliable Stream Processing in Real-time2020 IEEE 31st International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering (ISSRE)10.1109/ISSRE5003.2020.00028(207-217)Online publication date: Oct-2020
  • (2019)Performance Prediction for the Apache Kafka Messaging System2019 IEEE 21st International Conference on High Performance Computing and Communications; IEEE 17th International Conference on Smart City; IEEE 5th International Conference on Data Science and Systems (HPCC/SmartCity/DSS)10.1109/HPCC/SmartCity/DSS.2019.00036(154-161)Online publication date: Aug-2019

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