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Constructing and Embedding Abstract Event Causality Networks from Text Snippets

Published: 02 February 2017 Publication History

Abstract

In this paper, we formally define the problem of representing and leveraging abstract event causality to power downstream applications. We propose a novel solution to this problem, which build an abstract causality network and embed the causality network into a continuous vector space. The abstract causality network is generalized from a specific one, with abstract event nodes represented by frequently co-occurring word pairs. To perform the embedding task, we design a dual cause-effect transition model. Therefore, the proposed method can obtain general, frequent, and simple causality patterns, meanwhile, simplify event matching. Given the causality network and the learned embeddings, our model can be applied to a wide range of applications such as event prediction, event clustering and stock market movement prediction. Experimental results demonstrate that 1) the abstract causality network is effective for discovering high-level causality rules behind specific causal events; 2) the embedding models perform better than state-of-the-art link prediction techniques in predicting events; and 3) the event causality embedding is an easy-to-use and sophisticated feature for downstream applications such as stock market movement prediction.

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cover image ACM Conferences
WSDM '17: Proceedings of the Tenth ACM International Conference on Web Search and Data Mining
February 2017
868 pages
ISBN:9781450346757
DOI:10.1145/3018661
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Published: 02 February 2017

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Author Tags

  1. causality
  2. embedding methods
  3. event causality network
  4. event prediction
  5. stock price movement prediction

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WSDM '17 Paper Acceptance Rate 80 of 505 submissions, 16%;
Overall Acceptance Rate 498 of 2,863 submissions, 17%

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