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A Novel Approach to Identify Spatio-Temporal Crime Pattern in Dhaka City

Published: 03 June 2016 Publication History

Abstract

Street crime is a prevalent problem in developing countries like Bangladesh. Though this problem has been identified long before, no visible remedy or action can be seen to overcome or combat these street crimes in one of the most populated mega-cities, Dhaka, Bangladesh, of the world. In this paper, we propose a novel spatio-temporal street crime prediction model that exploits the historical street crime data of Dhaka city to predict the possibility of a crime in a particular region at a specific time. Our model captures both space and time proximity of past crimes while predicting a future crime. Experimental evaluation shows that our spatiotemporal prediction model can predict a future crime with 79.24% sensitivity and 68.2% specificity. As a proof of concept we develop an Android application that alerts a user about the possibility of different crimes in a place at a particular time.

References

[1]
Dmp crime data. http://www.dmp.gov.bd/application/index/page/DMP-Crime-Map/.
[2]
Ibm spss crime prediction and prevention. http://www.myurl.com.
[3]
Predpol. http://www.predpol.com/.
[4]
M. E. Ali, S. B. Rishta, L. Ansari, T. Hashem, and A. I. Khan. Safestreet: empowering women against street harassment using a privacy-aware location based application. In ICTD, pages 24:1--24:4, 2015.
[5]
D. Brown, J. Dalton, and H. Hoyle. Spatial forecast methods for terrorist events in urban environments. Lecture notes in computer science, 3073:426--435, 2004.
[6]
H. Liu and D. E. Brown. Criminal incident prediction using a point-pattern-based density model. International journal of forecasting, 19(4):603--622, 2003.
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D. W. Osgood. Poisson-based regression analysis of aggregate crime rates. Journal of quantitative criminology, 16(1):21--43, 2000.

Cited By

View all
  • (2021)Spatio-Temporal Crime Predictions by Leveraging Artificial Intelligence for Citizens Security in Smart CitiesIEEE Access10.1109/ACCESS.2021.30683069(47516-47529)Online publication date: 2021
  • (2020)Spatio-Temporal Crime HotSpot Detection and Prediction: A Systematic Literature ReviewIEEE Access10.1109/ACCESS.2020.30228088(166553-166574)Online publication date: 2020
  • (2019)Using Machine Learning for Prediction of Factors Affecting Crimes in Saudi ArabiaProceedings of the 2019 International Conference on Big Data Engineering10.1145/3341620.3341634(57-62)Online publication date: 11-Jun-2019
  • Show More Cited By

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Information & Contributors

Information

Published In

cover image ACM Other conferences
ICTD '16: Proceedings of the Eighth International Conference on Information and Communication Technologies and Development
June 2016
427 pages
ISBN:9781450343060
DOI:10.1145/2909609
Permission to make digital or hard copies of part or all of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for third-party components of this work must be honored. For all other uses, contact the Owner/Author.

In-Cooperation

  • Google Inc.
  • Microsoft: Microsoft
  • University of Michigan: University of Michigan

Publisher

Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 03 June 2016

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Author Tags

  1. Dhaka City
  2. Spatio-Temporal Prediction
  3. Street Crime

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  • Poster
  • Research
  • Refereed limited

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ICTD '16

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Overall Acceptance Rate 22 of 116 submissions, 19%

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Cited By

View all
  • (2021)Spatio-Temporal Crime Predictions by Leveraging Artificial Intelligence for Citizens Security in Smart CitiesIEEE Access10.1109/ACCESS.2021.30683069(47516-47529)Online publication date: 2021
  • (2020)Spatio-Temporal Crime HotSpot Detection and Prediction: A Systematic Literature ReviewIEEE Access10.1109/ACCESS.2020.30228088(166553-166574)Online publication date: 2020
  • (2019)Using Machine Learning for Prediction of Factors Affecting Crimes in Saudi ArabiaProceedings of the 2019 International Conference on Big Data Engineering10.1145/3341620.3341634(57-62)Online publication date: 11-Jun-2019
  • (2018)Machine Learning for the Developing WorldACM Transactions on Management Information Systems10.1145/32105489:2(1-14)Online publication date: 24-Aug-2018
  • (2018)Towards Safer (Smart) Cities: Discovering Urban Crime Patterns Using Logic-based Relational Machine Learning2018 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN)10.1109/IJCNN.2018.8489374(1-8)Online publication date: Jul-2018
  • (2018)Prediction of Crime Hot Spots Using Spatiotemporal Ordinary KrigingIntegrated Intelligent Computing, Communication and Security10.1007/978-981-10-8797-4_70(683-691)Online publication date: 15-Sep-2018

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