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Bidding strategy of a microgrid in the deregulated electricity market

Published: 03 November 2015 Publication History

Abstract

A risk bidding methodology is proposed to help prosumers formulating optimal quantity-price bids for the day-ahead energy market. A prosumer is the manager of a Low Voltage (LV) Micro-Grid (MG), connected to the main electric grid, where generators are paired with renewable energy sources (RES). To present the optimal bidding in the wholesale electricity market, the prosumers need to resolve a short-term management problem and need to identify all infiuencing variables (i.e. energy exchange, internal production, level of storage, Photovoltaic power plants (PV)). They also have to take into account the uncertainty in RES energy production to evaluate different risks associated with their tolerance preferences.
A heterogenous MG which pairs traditional thermal and electrical generators with a PV power production is simulated. An economic model based on genetic algorithms is proposed to formulate the optimal bidding. Although in literature it is possible to find similar decision support models, one of the main original contributions of this work is to estimate the RES input of the proposed model with Analogs Ensemble (AnEn) approach, which is used here to provide day-ahead PV energy forecasting. The results of the model are analyzed evaluating the risk associated with the different prosumer's choices by the expected utility theory. The analyzed case study uses on residential MG and different prosumer risk tolerances (adverse, neutral and incline). Results are shown to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.

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cover image ACM Conferences
UrbanGIS'15: Proceedings of the 1st International ACM SIGSPATIAL Workshop on Smart Cities and Urban Analytics
November 2015
128 pages
ISBN:9781450339735
DOI:10.1145/2835022
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Published: 03 November 2015

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Author Tags

  1. Analogs Ensemble
  2. Energy Market
  3. Forecasting
  4. Micro-Grids
  5. Optimization Model
  6. Risk Management

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