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A method for reducing the severity of epidemics by allocating vaccines according to centrality

Published: 20 September 2014 Publication History

Abstract

One long-standing question in epidemiological research is how best to allocate limited amounts of vaccine or similar preventative measures in order to minimize the severity of an epidemic. Much of the literature on the problem of vaccine allocation has focused on influenza epidemics and used mathematical models of epidemic spread to determine the effectiveness of proposed methods. Our work applies computational models of epidemics to the problem of geographically allocating a limited number of vaccines within several Texas counties. We developed a graph-based, stochastic model for epidemics that is based on the SEIR model, and tested vaccine allocation methods based on multiple centrality measures. This approach provides an alternative method for addressing the vaccine allocation problem, which can be combined with more conventional approaches to yield more effective epidemic suppression strategies. We found that allocation methods based on in-degree and inverse betweenness centralities tended to be the most effective at mitigating epidemics.

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Cited By

View all
  • (2021)Applying a Probabilistic Infection Model for studying contagion processes in contact networksJournal of Computational Science10.1016/j.jocs.2021.10141954(101419)Online publication date: Sep-2021
  • (2020)A Probabilistic Infection Model for Efficient Trace-Prediction of Disease Outbreaks in Contact NetworksComputational Science – ICCS 202010.1007/978-3-030-50371-0_50(676-689)Online publication date: 15-Jun-2020
  • (2018)Validation and Evaluation of Emergency Response Plans through Agent-Based Modeling and Simulationundefined10.12794/metadc1157648Online publication date: May-2018

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        cover image ACM Conferences
        BCB '14: Proceedings of the 5th ACM Conference on Bioinformatics, Computational Biology, and Health Informatics
        September 2014
        851 pages
        ISBN:9781450328944
        DOI:10.1145/2649387
        • General Chairs:
        • Pierre Baldi,
        • Wei Wang
        Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than the author(s) must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected].

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        New York, NY, United States

        Publication History

        Published: 20 September 2014

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        Author Tags

        1. centrality measures
        2. computational epidemiology
        3. health informatics
        4. vaccine distribution

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        • Texas Academy of Mathematics and Science

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        BCB '14
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        BCB '14: ACM-BCB '14
        September 20 - 23, 2014
        California, Newport Beach

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        Overall Acceptance Rate 254 of 885 submissions, 29%

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        Cited By

        View all
        • (2021)Applying a Probabilistic Infection Model for studying contagion processes in contact networksJournal of Computational Science10.1016/j.jocs.2021.10141954(101419)Online publication date: Sep-2021
        • (2020)A Probabilistic Infection Model for Efficient Trace-Prediction of Disease Outbreaks in Contact NetworksComputational Science – ICCS 202010.1007/978-3-030-50371-0_50(676-689)Online publication date: 15-Jun-2020
        • (2018)Validation and Evaluation of Emergency Response Plans through Agent-Based Modeling and Simulationundefined10.12794/metadc1157648Online publication date: May-2018

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