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A Framework for Selecting a Selection Procedure

Published: 01 August 2012 Publication History

Abstract

For many discrete simulation optimization applications, it is often difficult to decide which Ranking and Selection (R&S) procedure to use. To efficiently compare R&S procedures, we present a three-layer performance evaluation process. We show that the two most popular performance formulations, namely the Bayesian formulation and the indifference zone formulation, have a common representation analogous to convex risk measures used in mathematical finance. We then specify how a decision maker can impose a performance requirement on R&S procedures that is more adequate for her risk attitude than the indifference zone or the Bayesian performance requirements. Such a performance requirement partitions the space of R&S procedures into acceptable and nonacceptable procedures. The minimal computational budget required for a procedure to become acceptable introduces an easy-to-interpret preference order on the set of R&S policies. We demonstrate with a numerical example how the introduced framework can be used to guide the choice of selection procedure in practice.

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Cited By

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  • (2022)Cooperative solutions to exploration tasks under speed and budget constraintsJournal of Simulation10.1080/17477778.2022.204379217:6(676-687)Online publication date: 15-Mar-2022
  • (2015)Multi-criteria Selection in Design Science Projects --- A Procedure for Selecting Foresight Methods at the Front End of InnovationProceedings of the 10th International Conference on New Horizons in Design Science: Broadening the Research Agenda - Volume 907310.1007/978-3-319-18714-3_19(295-310)Online publication date: 20-May-2015
  • (2011)A Bayesian approach to stochastic root findingProceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference10.5555/2431518.2432000(4038-4050)Online publication date: 11-Dec-2011

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Published In

cover image ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation
ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation  Volume 22, Issue 3
August 2012
115 pages
ISSN:1049-3301
EISSN:1558-1195
DOI:10.1145/2331140
Issue’s Table of Contents
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Association for Computing Machinery

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Publication History

Published: 01 August 2012
Accepted: 01 May 2012
Revised: 01 March 2012
Received: 01 April 2011
Published in TOMACS Volume 22, Issue 3

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Author Tags

  1. Bayesian
  2. Ranking and selection
  3. acceptable procedures
  4. convex risk measures
  5. decision theory
  6. indifference zone
  7. robustness analysis

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Cited By

View all
  • (2022)Cooperative solutions to exploration tasks under speed and budget constraintsJournal of Simulation10.1080/17477778.2022.204379217:6(676-687)Online publication date: 15-Mar-2022
  • (2015)Multi-criteria Selection in Design Science Projects --- A Procedure for Selecting Foresight Methods at the Front End of InnovationProceedings of the 10th International Conference on New Horizons in Design Science: Broadening the Research Agenda - Volume 907310.1007/978-3-319-18714-3_19(295-310)Online publication date: 20-May-2015
  • (2011)A Bayesian approach to stochastic root findingProceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference10.5555/2431518.2432000(4038-4050)Online publication date: 11-Dec-2011

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