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Comparison of analytical hierarchy process and certain factor models in landslide susceptibility mapping in Rwanda

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Abstract

The aim of this study was to compare the performance of the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Certain Factor (CF) models in landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) in the western province of Rwanda. At first, landslide inventory map was prepared using 96 points localized by field surveying. Then, 65.63% (63 of 96 landslides) were randomly selected for building landslide susceptibility and the remaining 34.37% (33 of 96 landslides) were used to validate the models. Eight conditioning factors: elevation, slope angles, distance to roads, land use and land cover, rainfall, lithology, soil texture, and normalized difference vegetation index were analysed. The produced susceptibility maps were zoned into very low, low, moderate, high, and very high susceptibility. The validation of landslides susceptibility maps was accomplished by the area under the curve (AUC) method. The CF model generated high accuracy and prediction rates (74.62 and 74.012%) than that of AHP model (73.063 and 73.83%), respectively. The produced landslide susceptibility maps can help to recognize landslide hazard mitigation and adaptation needs.

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Acknowledgements

The authors greatly thank the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences for this Ph.D. scholarship awarded. Authors are also grateful for the support in data collection and analysis from the CAS Research Centre for Ecology and Environment of Central Asia.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 818 South Beijing Road, Urumqi, 830011, Xinjiang, China

    Lamek Nahayo

  2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China

    Lamek Nahayo

  3. University of Lay Adventists of Kigali, P. O. Box 6392, Kigali, Rwanda

    Lamek Nahayo, Abias Maniragaba & Francois Xavier Nshimiyimana

  4. School of Sciences, College of Science and Technology, University of Rwanda, Kigali, Rwanda

    Egide Kalisa

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  1. Lamek Nahayo
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  2. Egide Kalisa
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  3. Abias Maniragaba
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  4. Francois Xavier Nshimiyimana
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Correspondence to Lamek Nahayo.

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Nahayo, L., Kalisa, E., Maniragaba, A. et al. Comparison of analytical hierarchy process and certain factor models in landslide susceptibility mapping in Rwanda. Model. Earth Syst. Environ. 5, 885–895 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-019-00575-1

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-019-00575-1

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