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Neural Agent (Neugent) Models of Driver Behavior for Supporting ITS Simulations

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Abstract

This paper presents an agent-based neuro-fuzzy approach for modeling drivers’ compliance with travel advice under the influence of real-time traffic information. Fuzzy logic is combined with neural networks to capture the variability of drivers’ appraisal of the different route attributes as well as the variability in their perceptions of the various attribute levels. The accuracy of the models, in terms of predicting the categories of drivers likely to comply with traffic advice, was found to exceed 90%. A comparative evaluation with discrete choice models showed higher accuracies ranging between (91 and 96) percent compared to (50–73) percent for the binary choice models.

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Acknowledgements

At the time of undertaking this research, both authors were with the ITS Research Laboratory at the University of Queensland, Australia. The work reported in this paper was part of the second author’s PhD work. An earlier version of this paper was presented at the 10th Intelligent Transport Systems Asia-Pacific Forum, in Bangkok, Thailand (2009).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. AECOM, 540 Wickham Street, Brisbane, Queensland, 4006, Australia

    Hussein Dia

  2. Expressway Authority of Thailand, 2380, Phahonyothin Rd., Saenanikom, Bangkok, 10900, Thailand

    Sakda Panwai

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  1. Hussein Dia
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  2. Sakda Panwai
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Correspondence to Hussein Dia or Sakda Panwai.

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Dia, H., Panwai, S. Neural Agent (Neugent) Models of Driver Behavior for Supporting ITS Simulations. Int. J. ITS Res. 9, 23–36 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13177-010-0022-9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13177-010-0022-9

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