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Predicting Absenteeism and Temporary Disability Using Machine Learning: a Systematic Review and Analysis

  • Systems-Level Quality Improvement
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Abstract

The main objective of this paper is to present a systematic analysis and review of the state of the art regarding the prediction of absenteeism and temporary incapacity using machine learning techniques. Moreover, the main contribution of this research is to reveal the most successful prediction models available in the literature. A systematic review of research papers published from 2010 to the present, related to the prediction of temporary disability and absenteeism in available in different research databases, is presented in this paper. The review focuses primarily on scientific databases such as Google Scholar, Science Direct, IEEE Xplore, Web of Science, and ResearchGate. A total of 58 articles were obtained from which, after removing duplicates and applying the search criteria, 18 have been included in the review. In total, 44% of the articles were published in 2019, representing a significant growth in scientific work regarding these indicators. This study also evidenced the interest of several countries. In addition, 56% of the articles were found to base their study on regression methods, 33% in classification, and 11% in grouping. After this systematic review, the efficiency and usefulness of artificial neural networks in predicting absenteeism and temporary incapacity are demonstrated. The studies regarding absenteeism and temporary disability at work are mainly conducted in Brazil and India, which are responsible for 44% of the analyzed papers followed by Saudi Arabia, and Australia which represented 22%. ANNs are the most used method in both classification and regression models representing 83% and 80% of the analyzed works, respectively. Only 10% of the literature use SVM, which is the less used method in regression models. Moreover, Naïve Bayes is the less used method in classification models representing 17%.

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Acknowledgments

This research has been partially supported by ATAM - Asociacion Telefonica Para Asistencia A Minusvalidos (https://atam.es/) under the project named “Revisión y mejora de un sistema predictivo inteligente de duración de bajas laborables basado en redes neuronales”.

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  1. Department of Signal Theory and Communications, Telematics Engineering University of Valladolid, Paseo de Belén, 15, 47011, Valladolid, Spain

    Isabel Herrera Montano, Susel Góngora Alonso, Miguel López-Coronado & Isabel de la Torre Díez

  2. Instituto de Telecomunicações, Universidade da Beira Interior, 6201-001, Covilhã, Portugal

    Gonçalo Marques

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  1. Isabel Herrera Montano
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Montano, I.H., Marques, G., Alonso, S.G. et al. Predicting Absenteeism and Temporary Disability Using Machine Learning: a Systematic Review and Analysis. J Med Syst 44, 162 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10916-020-01626-2

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