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Online dynamic group-buying community analysis based on high frequency time series simulation

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Abstract

Group-buying often fails even when there are satisfactory quantities as not enough consumers join in the required time, which can waste seller, purchaser, and platform operator time resources; therefore, the group buying features require further research. Over a 3 weeks period, around 700 million click-stream records from 1,061,770 users from a stable and continuous time series were allocated to groups of 5 min frequency, and a hybrid neural network model developed to simulate group-buying behavior in four experiments, from which it was found that adding to the cart and adding as a favorite were significant group-buying behavior features, and shopping depth was the main demographic feature, but age was not. Compared with previous ambiguous online consumer feature conclusions on gender, the results revealed that the commodity feature was the main determinant for gender feature significance. The college student feature was found to be a pseudo feature, and should connect with other fixed effects such as low income or education level. This paper is the first to construct an online dynamic group-buying community, which is a new type of social network and could provide a new perspective for social commerce research. A big data neural network-based method for examining group-buying community behavior over time is proposed that can offer novel insights to online vendors for the development of targeted marketing campaigns.

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation (NSFC) Programs of China [71722014, and 71471141]. We appreciate the Youth Innovation Team of Shaanxi Universities “Big data and Business Intelligent Innovation Team”. We also appreciate Dr. Shan Liu for working as the corrsponding author.

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Appendices

Appendix 1: Abbreviations

See Table 9.

Table 9 Abbreviations in the tables or figures

Appendix 2: Data description and stationary test of the other three commodity

See Tables 10, 11, 12.

Table 10 Data description and stationary test of commodity 4520
Table 11 Data description and stationary test of commodity 6423
Table 12 Data description and stationary test of commodity 6421

Appendix 3: Core factor of shopping depth analysis

See Table 13.

Table 13 Core factor of shopping depth analysis

Appendix 4: Four customer features affection

See Fig. 11.

Fig. 11
figure 11

Four customer features affection

Appendix 5: Generalization ability test

See Table 14.

Table 14 Generalization ability test

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Zhu, Q., Zuo, R., Liu, S. et al. Online dynamic group-buying community analysis based on high frequency time series simulation. Electron Commer Res 20, 81–118 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10660-019-09380-5

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