Abstract
The changes in China’s stock market are inseparable from the country’s economic development and macroeconomic regulation and control and have far-reaching significance in promoting China’s national economic growth. Compared with the Western developed capital market, China’s current stock market’s main smart investment strategy still has certain defects. Based on the SVM model, this paper establishes a predictive model that combines kernel parameters and parameter optimization to model. The mesh search method, genetic algorithm, and particle swarm optimization algorithm are used to optimize the parameters of the SVM under various kernel functions such as radial basis kernel function. The algorithm and particle swarm optimization algorithm optimize the parameters of the SVM to strengthen the applicability of the model in practice. The empirical results show that under the three-parameter optimization algorithms, the prediction results are higher than the random prediction accuracy, which indicates that it is effective to optimize the model by adjusting the parameters of the SVM. Among them, the SVM using the genetic algorithm parameter optimization under the radial basis kernel function shows the better prediction effect, which is the closest to the real value in the stock market forecast. The particle swarm algorithm supports the vector machine to predict the effect is slightly lower than the grid. Search method. In addition, through comparison experiments, the guess accuracy of BP neural network is worse than that of the support vector machine model before the adjustment. Finally, this paper uses the well-trained model to plan the stock smart investment plan.
Similar content being viewed by others
Explore related subjects
Discover the latest articles, news and stories from top researchers in related subjects.References
Chen X, Li W, Shiyang H, Liu X (2019) Quality of information disclosure, property rights, and bank loans: a bank heterogeneity perspective. China J Account Res 12(01):63–92
Bildirici M (2019) The chaotic behavior among the oil prices, expectation of investors and stock returns: TAR-TR-GARCH copula and TAR-TR-TGARCH copula. Pet Sci 16(01):217–228
Huang C (2019) US Stock Market Efficiency: EMH or AMH?. AEIC Academic Exchange Information Centre (China). In: Proceedings of 2019 4th international conference on financial innovation and economic development (ICFIED 2019) (Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research, VOL.76). AEIC Academic Exchange Information Centre (China): International Conference on Humanities and Social Science Research, p 5
Cheng C (2018) Application of Monte Carlo simulation based on GARCH model in risk measurement of stock market in China. Institute of Management Science and Industrial Engineering. In: Proceedings of 2018 international conference on management science and industrial economy development (MSIED 2018). Institute of Management Science and Industrial Engineering: International Society of Computer Science and Electronic Technology, p 3
Zeng JL (2018) Analysis of the impact of crude oil futures price on China’s a-share oil stock price based on optimized genetic algorithms. International Information and Engineering Association. In: Proceedings of 2018 international conference on data processing, artificial intelligence, and communications (DPAIC 2018). International Information and Engineering Association: International Society of Computer Science and Electronic Technology, p 5
Mei W (2018) Stock price prediction based on ARIMA-SVM model. Institute of Management Science and Industrial Engineering. In: Proceedings of 2018 international conference on big data and artificial intelligence (ICBDAI 2018). Institute of Management Science and Industrial Engineering: Computer Science and Electronic Technology International Society, p 7
Saimai AY, Suzhen Y, Laiti·A (2019) Research on the relationship between stock price and exchange rate fluctuation in China—an empirical analysis based on VAR model. J Beijing Finance Trade Voc Coll (02):21–25
Jing C, Ling W (2019) Analysis of the factors affecting the stock price index of China’s listed insurance companies. China Collect Econ 12:117–118
Yin H, Wang P (2019) Heterogeneity change of capital flow impact, investor emotion and stock liquidity. J Dalian Univ Technol (Social Science Edition), 2019(03)
Li Y, Liu H, Ge L (2019) An empirical analysis of the impact of stock liquidity on China’s stock market efficiency. Stat Decis Mak 35(06):168–172
Hao X, Yuxi S (2019) Research on the relationship between stock turnover rate and return rate. SAR Econ 03:93–95
Qing Y, Chenwei W (2019) Global stock index prediction based on deep learning LSTM neural network. Stat Res 03:65–77
Peipei K, Tao J (2019) Study on stock investment decision based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process. Econ Res Guide 09:67–71
Peng Y, Liu Y, Zhang R (2019) Modeling and analysis of stock price forecast based on LSTM. Comput Eng Appl 55(11):209–212
Wang Z, Xie W, Li B (2019) Variable step size BLSTM integrated learning stock forecast. J Huaqiao Univ (Nat Sci) 40(02):269–276
Yuzhi L, Zhuyuan Y, Xinguo G, Cuiling H, Chunju W (2019) Stock forecasting based on wavelet neural network. J Yunnan National Univ Nat Sci Ed 28(02):156–159
Qianfeng W (2019) Rolling force prediction of rolling mill based on improved support vector machine algorithm. Forging Stamp Technol 04:131–137
Yiqing L, Wushan C (2019) Study on face detection of support vector machine based on PCA. Comput Meas Control 27(03):49–54
Yuan Y, Yu S, Wang C, Zhou A (2019) A classification model of surrounding rock stability based on grid search method for support vector machine. Geol Prospect 55(02):608–613
Shixiang Z (2019) Automobile sales forecast based on genetic algorithm optimized support vector machine. Bus Manag 01:128–131
Lei Z, Mengxi Y, Chaoen X, Youheng D (2018) Hardware Trojan detection based on optimized support vector machine algorithm. Appl Electr Techn 44(11):17–20
Pan X, Wu F (2018) Study on ACC optimization algorithm based on SVM in intrusion detection. J Longyan Univ 36(05):18–22
Qiu Z, Qian Y, Zhang Y, Zhang W (2018) Gas turbine fault diagnosis based on artificial bee colony algorithm optimized support vector machine. Therm Power Eng 33(09):39–43+57
Can C, Li Jianyong X, Wensheng NM (2018) Tool wear state recognition based on support vector machine and particle filter. J Vib Shock 37(17):48–55+71
Jin W (2018) Human motion recognition method based on support vector machine optimization. Electr Des Eng 26(17):6–9+16
Hajiaghaei-Keshteli M, Fathollahi Fard AM (2019) Sustainable closed-loop supply chain network design with discount supposition. Neural Comput Appl 31(9):5343–5377
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by National Nature Science Foundation of China (NSFC) (No. 71673265).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
There are no conflicts of interests of this work.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Li, X., Sun, Y. Stock intelligent investment strategy based on support vector machine parameter optimization algorithm. Neural Comput & Applic 32, 1765–1775 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-019-04566-2
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-019-04566-2