Abstract
Precipitation forecasting is a key constituent of hydrological cycle and is of principal significance in planning and management of water resources, in addition to arrangement of irrigational practices. This study focuses on assessing the potential of hybrid ANFIS-PSO (integrating Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System and Particle Swarm Optimization) and simple ANFIS models for precipitation forecasting at Nuapada district of Odisha, India. Evaluations of model performances were studied based on different statistical indices. Results revealed that hybrid ANFIS-PSO model provided superior accurateness compared to standalone ANFIS. In addition, analysis of results revealed that integrating optimisation algorithm with ANFIS can enhance its performance in monthly precipitation forecasting.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Choubin, B., Malekian, A., Samadi, S., Khalighi-Sigaroodi, S., Sajedi-Hosseini, F.: An ensemble forecast of semi-arid rainfall using large-scale climate predictors. Meteorol. Appl. 24(3), 376–386 (2017)
Eberhart, R., Kennedy, J.: A new optimizer using particle swarm theory. In: MHS'95. Proceedings of the Sixth International Symposium on Micro Machine and Human Science (pp. 39–43). IEEE (1995)
Jalalkamali, A.: Using of hybrid fuzzy models to predict spatiotemporal groundwater quality parameters. Earth Sci. Inf. 8(4), 885–894 (2015)
Jang, J.S.: ANFIS: adaptive-network-based fuzzy inference system. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. 23(3), 665–685 (1993)
Jang, J.S.R., Sun, C.T., Mizutani, E.: Neuro-fuzzy and soft computing-a computational approach to learning and machine intelligence [Book Review]. IEEE Trans. Autom. Control 42(10), 1482–1484 (1997)
Jeong, C., Shin, J.Y., Kim, T., Heo, J.H.: Monthly precipitation forecasting with a neuro-fuzzy model. Water Resour. Manage 26(15), 4467–4483 (2012)
Kennedy, J., Eberhart, R.: Particle swarm optimization. In: Proceedings of the IEEE international conference on neural networks, vol. 4, pp. 1942–1948. (1995)
Kisi, O., Sanikhani, H.: Prediction of long-term monthly precipitation using several soft computing methods without climatic data. Int. J. Climatol. 35(14), 4139–4150 (2015)
Liu, Z., Zhang, D., Peng, W.: A Novel ANFIS-PSO Network for forecasting oil flocculated asphaltene weight percentage at wide range of operation conditions. Pet. Sci. Technol. 36(14), 1044–1050 (2018)
Mamdani, E.H., Assilian, S.: An experiment in linguistic synthesis with a fuzzy logic controller. Int. J. Man Mach. Stud. 7(1), 1–13 (1975)
Mohammadi, K., Shamshirband, S., Petković, D., Yee, L., Mansor, Z.: Using ANFIS for selection of more relevant parameters to predict dew point temperature. Appl. Therm. Eng. 96, 311–319 (2016)
Mohammadi, K., Shamshirband, S., Tong, C.W., Alam, K.A., Petković, D.: Potential of adaptive neuro-fuzzy system for prediction of daily global solar radiation by day of the year. Energy Convers. Manage. 93, 406–413 (2015)
Mohanta, N.R., Patel, N., Beck, K., Samantaray, S., Sahoo, A.: Efficiency of river flow prediction in river using Wavelet-CANFIS: a case study. In: Intelligent Data Engineering and Analytics (pp. 435–443). Springer, Singapore (2021a)
Mohanta, N.R., Biswal, P., Kumari, S.S., Samantaray, S., Sahoo, A.: Estimation of sediment load using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system at indus river basin, India. In: Intelligent Data Engineering and Analytics (pp. 427–434). Springer, Singapore (2021b)
Nguyen, Q.H., Ly, H.B., Le, T.T., Nguyen, T.A., Phan, V.H., Tran, V.Q., Pham, B.T.: Parametric investigation of particle swarm optimization to improve the performance of the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system in determining the buckling capacity of circular opening steel beams. Materials 13(10), 2210 (2020)
Sahoo, A., Samantaray, S., Bankuru, S., Ghose, D.K.: Prediction of flood using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems: a case study. In: Smart Intelligent Computing and Applications (pp. 733–739). Springer, Singapore (2020)
Samantaray, S., Sahoo, A., Ghose, D.K.: Infiltration loss affects toward groundwater fluctuation through CANFIS in arid watershed: a case study. In: Smart Intelligent Computing and Applications (pp. 781–789). Springer, Singapore (2020a)
Samantaray, S., Sahoo, A., Ghose, D.K.: Prediction of sedimentation in an arid watershed using BPNN and ANFIS. In: ICT Analysis and Applications (pp. 295–302). Springer, Singapore (2020b)
Shamshirband, S., Gocić, M., Petković, D., Saboohi, H., Herawan, T., Kiah, M.L.M., Akib, S.: Soft-computing methodologies for precipitation estimation: a case study. IEEE J. Sel. Top. Appl. Earth Observations Remote Sens. 8(3), 1353–1358 (2014)
Sridharam, S., Sahoo, A., Samantaray, S., Ghose, D.K.: Assessment of flow discharge in a river basin through CFBPNN, LRNN and CANFIS. In: Communication Software and Networks (pp. 765–773). Springer, Singapore (2021)
Yaseen, Z.M., Ebtehaj, I., Kim, S., Sanikhani, H., Asadi, H., Ghareb, M.I., Bonakdari, H., Wan Mohtar, W.H.M., Al-Ansari, N., Shahid, S. Novel hybrid data-intelligence model for forecasting monthly rainfall with uncertainty analysis. Water 11(3), 502 (2019)
Zanganeh, M.: Improvement of the ANFIS-based wave predictor models by the Particle Swarm Optimization. J. Ocean Eng. Sci. 5(1), 84–99 (2020)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2022 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this paper
Cite this paper
Chaudhury, S., Samantaray, S., Sahoo, A., Bhagat, B., Biswakalyani, C., Satapathy, D.P. (2022). Hybrid ANFIS-PSO Model for Monthly Precipitation Forecasting. In: Bhateja, V., Tang, J., Satapathy, S.C., Peer, P., Das, R. (eds) Evolution in Computational Intelligence. Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies, vol 267. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-6616-2_33
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-6616-2_33
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-16-6615-5
Online ISBN: 978-981-16-6616-2
eBook Packages: Intelligent Technologies and RoboticsIntelligent Technologies and Robotics (R0)