Abstract
Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) have been essentially used as regression models to predict the concentration of one or more pollutants usually requiring information collected from air quality stations. In this work we consider a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) with one hidden layer as a classifier of the impact of air quality on human health, using only traffic and meteorological data as inputs. Our data was obtained from a specific urban area and constitutes a 2-class problem: above or below the legal limits of specific pollutant concentrations. The results show that an MLP with 40 to 50 hidden neurons and trained with the cross-entropy cost function, is able to achieve a mean error around 11%, meaning that air quality impacts can be predicted with good accuracy using only traffic and meteorological data. The use of an ANN without air quality inputs constitutes a significant achievement because governments may therefore minimize the use of such expensive stations.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Bishop, C.M.: Neural Networks for Pattern Recognition. Oxford University Press (1995)
Cai, M., Yin, Y., Xie, M.: Prediction of hourly air pollutant concentrations near urban arterials using artificial neural network approach. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 14, 32–41 (2009)
Chan, K.Y., Jian, L.: Identification of significant factors for air pollution levels using a neural network based knowledge discovery system. Neurocomputing 99, 564–569 (2013)
Cybenko, G.: Aproximation by superpositios of a sigmoidal function. Math. Control Signals System 2, 303–314 (1989)
Directive 2008/50/EC: European Parliament and of the Council of 21 May 2008 on ambient air quality and cleaner air for Europe entered into force on 11June 2008
Haykin, S.: Neural Networks and Learning Machines, 3rd edn. Prentice Hall (2009)
Ibarra-Berastegi, G., Elias, A., Barona, A., Saenz, J., Ezcurra, A., Argandona, J.D.: From diagnosis to prognosis for forecasting air pollution using neural networks: Air pollution monitoring in Bilbao. Environmental Modelling & Software 23, 622–637 (2008)
Marques de Sá, J., Silva, L.M., Santos, J.M., Alexandre, L.A.: Minimum Error Entropy Classification. SCI, vol. 420. Springer (2012)
MathWorks, MATLAB and Statistics Toolbox Release 2012, The MathWorks, Inc., Natick, Massachusetts, United States (2012)
Matsuoka, K., Yi, J.: Backpropagation based on the logarithmic error function and elimination of local minima. In: Proceedings of the 1990 IEEE International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (1991)
Nagendra, S.S.M., Khare, M.: Modelling urban air quality using artificial neural network. Clean Techn. Environ. Policy 7, 116–126 (2005)
Slini, T., Kaprara, A., Karatzas, K., Moussiopoulos, N.: PM10 forecasting for Thessaloniki, Greece. Environmental Modelling & Software 21, 559–565 (2006)
Solla, S., Levin, E., Fleisher, M.: Accelerated learning in layered neural networks. Complex Systems 2(6), 625–639 (1988)
Viotti, P., Liuti, G., Di, P.: Atmospheric urban pollution: applications of an artificial neural network (ANN) to the city of Perugia. Ecological Modelling 148, 27–46 (2002)
Voukantsis, D., Karatzas, K., Kukkonen, J., Rasanen, T., Karppinen, A., Kolehmainen, M.: Intercomparison of air quality data using principal component analysis, and forecasting of PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations using artificial neural networks. Thessaloniki and Helsinki, Science of The Total Environment 409, 1266–1276 (2011)
Zolghadri, A., Cazaurang, F.: Adaptive nonlinear state-space modeling for the prediction of daily mean PM10 concentrations. Environmental Modelling & Software 21, 885–894 (2006)
WMO, Guide to meteorological instruments and methods of observation, 6th edn., World Meteorological Organization, No. 8 (1996)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Fontes, T., Silva, L.M., Pereira, S.R., Coelho, M.C. (2013). Application of Artificial Neural Networks to Predict the Impact of Traffic Emissions on Human Health. In: Correia, L., Reis, L.P., Cascalho, J. (eds) Progress in Artificial Intelligence. EPIA 2013. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 8154. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-40669-0_3
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-40669-0_3
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-40668-3
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-40669-0
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)