Abstract
The short term load forecasting (STLF) is required for the generation scheduling and the economic load dispatch at any time. The short term load forecast calculates the power requirement pattern for the forecasting day using known, similar previous weather conditions. This paper describes a new approach for the calculation of the short term load forecast that uses fuzzy inference system which is further optimized using an Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) algorithm. It takes into account the load of the previous day, maximum temperature, average humidity and also the day type for the calculation of the load values for the next day. The Euclidean norm considering the weather variables and type of the day with weights is used to get the similar days. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated on a typical load and weather data.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Rahman, S., Hazim, O.: A generalized knowledge-based short term load-forecasting technique. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 8(2), 508–514 (1993)
Moghram, I., Rahman, S.: Analysis and evaluation of five short term load forecasting techniques. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 4(4), 42–43 (1989)
Heinemann, G.T., Nordman, D.A., Plant, E.C.: The relationship between summer weather and summer loads- A regression analysis. IEEE Transactions Power Apparatus and Systems PAS-85(11), 1144–1154 (1996)
Papalexopoulos, A.D., Hesternberg, T.C.: A Regression based approach to short term load forecasting. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 5(4), 1535–1550 (1990)
Rahman, S., Shrestha, G.: A priority vector based technique for load forecasting. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 6(4), 1459–1464 (1993)
Rahman, S., Bhatnagar, R.: An Expert System based algorithm for short term load forecast. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 3(2), 392–399 (1988)
Jain, A., Srinivas, E., Rauta, R.: Short term load forecasting using fuzzy adaptive inference and similarity. World Congress on Nature and Biologically Inspired Computing (NaBIC), 1743–1748 (2009)
Srinivas, E., Jain, A.: A Methodology for Short Term Load Forecasting Using Fuzzy Logic and Similarity. In: The National Conference on Advances in Computational Intelligence Applications in Power, Control, Signal Processing and Telecommunications, NCACI (2009)
Gross, G., Galiana, F.: Short term load forecasting. In: Proc. IEEE, Special Issue on Computers in Power System Operations, pp. 1558–1573 (1987)
Khaled, M., Naggar, E.L., Khaled, A., Rumaih, A.L.: Electric load forecasting using genetic based algorithm, optimal filter Estimator and least squares technique. Comparative Study World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology, 134–142 (2005)
Bardran, I., Zayyat, H.E.L., Halsa, G.: Short Term and Medium Term load Forecasting for jordan’s power systems. American Journal of Applied Sciences 5(7), 763–768 (2008)
Maniezzo, V., Gamberdella, L.M., Lungi, F.B.: Ant Colony optimization. In: New Optimization Techniques in Engineering, pp. 101–117. Springer, Heidelberg (2004)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2011 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Jain, A., Singh, P.K., Singh, K.A. (2011). Short Term Load Forecasting Using Fuzzy Inference and Ant Colony Optimization. In: Panigrahi, B.K., Suganthan, P.N., Das, S., Satapathy, S.C. (eds) Swarm, Evolutionary, and Memetic Computing. SEMCCO 2011. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 7076. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-27172-4_74
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-27172-4_74
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-27171-7
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-27172-4
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)