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18 pages, 17053 KiB  
Article
Tracking the Expansion of Sonneratia apetala and Its Impact on Local Mangroves Using Time-Series Remote Sensing Data
by Xuesong Feng, Yingbin Deng, Weiping Zhong, Zhiyi Xie, Hua Liu, Zhao Li, Yiwen Jia, Xin Li, Renrong Chen, Xiaoyan Peng, Yan Deng, Mingmin Li, Miao Li and Dianfan Guo
Sustainability 2025, 17(3), 1069; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17031069 - 28 Jan 2025
Abstract
Mangroves play a crucial role in supporting the biodiversity of coastal wetlands, acting as a vital link between terrestrial and marine ecosystems. In mainland China, Sonneratia apetala, an invasive mangrove species, has recently become dominant in these environments. While it contributes to [...] Read more.
Mangroves play a crucial role in supporting the biodiversity of coastal wetlands, acting as a vital link between terrestrial and marine ecosystems. In mainland China, Sonneratia apetala, an invasive mangrove species, has recently become dominant in these environments. While it contributes to the stability of mangrove ecosystems and is widely used in coastal restoration efforts, its rapid growth poses a significant threat to the survival of native mangrove species. However, the spatiotemporal growth dynamics and landscape impacts of Sonneratia apetala remain underexplored in scholarly research. This study employs remote sensing and GIS techniques to analyze the growth patterns of Sonneratia apetala over a 14-year period along the eastern coast of the Leizhou Peninsula in China. The analysis revealed the following key findings: (1) The mangrove area expanded from 274.17 hm2 to 383.42 hm2, with an average annual growth rate of 2.84%. (2) The area of Sonneratia apetala increased from 115.15 hm2 in 2010 to 254.81 hm2 in 2023, with an average annual growth rate of 1.29%. The area of local mangrove species declined from 163.02 hm2 to 125.06 hm2 (a decrease from 22.11% to 16.96%), with an average annual growth rate of −1.66%. (3) The number of Sonneratia apetala patches increased from 139 to 324, while the area-weighted shape index rose from 3.4 to 7.81. The decline of native mangrove species, driven by the rapid spread of Sonneratia apetala, suggests that this species is encroaching on native mangrove habitats. Through geospatial analysis, this study provides valuable insights into how introduced species can reshape mangrove landscape structures and the broader implications for regional biodiversity. These findings clearly demonstrate that Sonneratia apetala is encroaching upon local mangrove habitats, highlighting the urgent need for strategic management and conservation efforts to mitigate the ecological impacts of the proliferation of this species. Furthermore, this research is important for coastal sustainability management strategies that balance ecological restoration with the preservation of native biodiversity, ensuring long-term ecosystem health and resilience. Full article
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<p>Satellite image (<b>left</b>) and drone images (<b>right</b>) of the study area.</p>
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<p>Workflow of this study.</p>
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<p>Images of <span class="html-italic">Sonneratia apetala</span> (<b>left</b>) and local mangroves (<b>right</b>) ((<b>a</b>) <span class="html-italic">Sonneratia apetala</span>; (<b>b</b>) Avicennia marina; (<b>c</b>) <span class="html-italic">Kandelia obovata</span>; (<b>d</b>) <span class="html-italic">Aegiceras corniculatum</span>).</p>
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<p>RMSE of classification in 2010, 2016, and 2022.</p>
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<p>Changes in mangrove areas from 2010 to 2023.</p>
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<p>Changes in the proportion of mangrove forests from 2010 to 2023.</p>
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<p>Average annual rate of change of mangrove forests from 2010 to 2023.</p>
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<p>Spatial pattern of <span class="html-italic">Sonneratia apetala</span> from 2010 to 2023.</p>
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<p>Classification results for 2010 (<b>a</b>) and 2011 (<b>b</b>).</p>
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<p>Classification results for 2016 (<b>a</b>) and 2017 (<b>b</b>).</p>
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<p>Classification results for 2015 (<b>a</b>) and 2016 (<b>b</b>).</p>
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<p>Landscape index change from 2010 to 2023 ((<b>a</b>) number of patches, (<b>b</b>) total edge length, (<b>c</b>) class area, (<b>d</b>) area-weighted mean shape index).</p>
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<p>Classification results for 2017 (<b>a</b>) and 2018 (<b>b</b>).</p>
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<p>Classification results for 2013 (<b>a</b>) and 2014 (<b>b</b>).</p>
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15 pages, 2536 KiB  
Article
A CiteSpace-Based Analysis of the Impact of Sea-Level Rise and Tropical Cyclones on Mangroves in the Context of Climate Change
by Siyu Liu, Yan Zhu, He Xiao, Jingliang Ye, Tingzhi Yang, Jin Ma and Dazhao Liu
Water 2024, 16(24), 3662; https://doi.org/10.3390/w16243662 - 19 Dec 2024
Viewed by 518
Abstract
This study aims to analyze the impact of sea-level rise and tropical cyclones on mangroves in the context of global climate change from 1993 to 2023, and to explore the development status, co-operative relationships and future trends in this research field. In order [...] Read more.
This study aims to analyze the impact of sea-level rise and tropical cyclones on mangroves in the context of global climate change from 1993 to 2023, and to explore the development status, co-operative relationships and future trends in this research field. In order to analyze future research directions for mangroves in the context of climate, this study also provides an important basis and reference for the development of research related to the mitigation of natural disasters. Using CNKI and the Web of Science as data sources, this study employs the bibliometric tool CiteSpace 6.3 R1 to conduct a quantitative and visual analysis of the research field. The research findings indicate the following: (1) The volume of publications in this field has been increasing year by year; especially since 2010, the rate of increase has accelerated, indicating an increased academic interest in this area. (2) From the authorship maps of the two data sources, it can be observed that the collaboration network is dense, indicating the existence of co-operative relationships among researchers. (3) From the analysis of the keywords, it is evident that, with the rise of artificial intelligence, the focus of keywords has gradually shifted from traditional mangrove mechanism research and ecosystem studies to research on mangroves that integrates big data, artificial intelligence, and high-resolution remote sensing data. (4) As time has progressed, areas of research interest have been shifting from the study of disturbances and damage to mangrove vegetation to the study of mangrove resilience and vulnerability in the context of natural disasters, their carbon sequestration capabilities, and their protective functions against wind and waves. The use of remote sensing technology for the monitoring and conservation of mangroves has emerged as a key area of focus for future research. In future research, there will be a focus on the adaptive capacity of mangroves to varying degrees of sea-level rise and the increasing frequency of tropical cyclones, as well as on what measures can be taken to enhance the resilience of mangrove ecosystems. Quantitative and visual analysis of the development trends in this field can provide a reference for the construction of a disaster monitoring platform for mangroves affected by sea-level rise and tropical cyclones, and can aid the development of research aimed at mitigating the impacts of natural disasters. Furthermore, the integration of remote sensing technology and ecological models can facilitate more detailed research, offering more effective tools and strategies for the conservation and management of mangroves. This approach also provides a reference point for developing a monitoring platform for mangrove disasters associated with sea-level rise and the impact of tropical cyclones. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Climate Risk Management, Sea Level Rise and Coastal Impacts)
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<p>In the years 1993–2023, the (<b>a</b>) CNKI and (<b>b</b>) Web of Science annual and total number of publications on the impact of sea-level rise and tropical cyclones on mangroves; (<b>c</b>) the annual publication volume and total annual publication volume of tropical cyclones in the context of climate change in the Web of Science.</p>
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<p>A web map of the authors of the article on the impact of sea level rise and tropical cyclones on mangroves for (<b>a</b>) CNKI, and (<b>b</b>) Web of Science; node size is proportional to publication frequency; outer deep red circles represent nodes with larger degree centrality, indicating key nodes with higher publication volume in the network.</p>
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<p>Knowledge map of research hotspot keywords in sea level rise and tropical cyclones in relation to mangrove studies in (<b>a</b>) CNKI and (<b>b</b>) Web of Science; node size is proportional to the frequency of co-citation; the outer dark circle indicates that the node has a larger degree centrality, making it a key node in the network of keywords.</p>
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<p>CNKI research hot keyword timeline diagram; the size of nodes is proportional to their frequency; the graph progresses from left to right, representing the passage of time; deep red circles indicate emergent nodes, signifying a high rate of frequency change within a certain period, to some extent representing shifts in research directions.</p>
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<p>Web of Science study of the key time lines of hot spots; the size of nodes is proportional to their frequency; the graph progresses from left to right, representing the passage of time; deep red circles indicate emergent nodes, signifying a high rate of frequency change within a certain period, to some extent representing shifts in research directions.</p>
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<p>Sea-level rise and the impact of tropical cyclones on mangrove forests and hot spots.</p>
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19 pages, 11101 KiB  
Article
An ML-Based Ensemble Approach for the Precision Classification of Mangroves, Trend Analysis, and Priority Reforestation Areas in Asir, Saudi Arabia
by Asma A. Al-Huqail, Zubairul Islam and Hanan F. Al-Harbi
Sustainability 2024, 16(23), 10355; https://doi.org/10.3390/su162310355 - 26 Nov 2024
Viewed by 970
Abstract
In the recent past, mangrove ecosystems have undergone significant transformation, necessitating precise classification, the assessment of ecological changes, and the identification of suitable sites for urgent replantation. Therefore, this study aims to address three key objectives: first, to map the current extent of [...] Read more.
In the recent past, mangrove ecosystems have undergone significant transformation, necessitating precise classification, the assessment of ecological changes, and the identification of suitable sites for urgent replantation. Therefore, this study aims to address three key objectives: first, to map the current extent of mangroves; second, to assess the ecological changes within these ecosystems; and third, to identify suitable areas for replantation, ensuring their sustainability across coastal Asir. The mangrove classification was conducted using an ensemble of machine learning models, utilizing the key spectral indices from Landsat 8 data for 2023. To analyze the ecological trends and to assess the changes over time, Landsat 5–8 data from 1991 to 2023 were used. Finally, a generalized additive model (GAM) identified the areas suitable for reforestation. The EC identified the mangrove area as 14.69 sq. km, with a 95.6% F1 score, 91.3% OA, and a KC of 0.83. The trends in the NDVI and LST increased (p = 0.029, 0.049), whereas the NDWI showed no significant change (p = 0.186). The GAM model demonstrated a strong fit (with an adjusted R2 of 0.89) and high predictive accuracy (R2 = 0.91) for mangrove priority reforestation suitability, confirmed by a 10-fold cross-validation and minimal bias in the residual diagnostics. The suitability varied across groups, with Group (e) showing the highest suitability at 77%. Moran’s I analysis revealed significant spatial clustering. This study provides actionable insights for mangrove reforestation, supporting the for sustainable development through targeted efforts that enhance ecological resilience in coastal regions. Full article
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<p>Geographical extent of the Asir mangrove ecosystems, showing the distribution of the reference samples (green for mangroves, red for non-mangroves) across the study area. The study area is divided into five areas (<b>a</b>–<b>e</b>), spanning from north to south. The mangrove distribution follows the pattern of thriving in protected areas such as lagoons, tidal flats, and wadis. The division aids in understanding the spatial variations in mangrove coverage, as detailed in <a href="#sustainability-16-10355-t001" class="html-table">Table 1</a>.</p>
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<p>Methodological framework for mangrove classification using Landsat 8 OLI data and ML classifiers. The process begins with atmospheric correction followed by the computation of the spectral indices. An annual mosaic (the median composite) is created and masked using spectral index and elevation data from ASTER GDEM. The normalized band values are input into the ML algorithms. The training and test samples are used for the model training and testing. The final output consists of mangrove/non-mangrove classifications, with an accuracy assessment performed to evaluate the model performance based on the reference data.</p>
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<p>Mangroves along the Asir coast in groups (<b>a</b>–<b>e</b>), classified via an ensemble model that is based on majority voting from RF, SVM, and XGB predictions (green). The red outline indicates the GMW dataset for comparison. The classified data highlight the detection of smaller, scattered mangrove patches that were not captured by the GMW dataset, highlighting the enhanced accuracy of the ensemble approach.</p>
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<p>Radar plot comparing the internal performance metrics.</p>
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<p>Radar plot comparing the independent performance metrics.</p>
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<p>NDVI trends with <span class="html-italic">p</span>-values &lt; 1 (which shows all trends) based on Kendall’s tau-b correlation (1991–2023) for the Asir mangroves. The subfigures represent trends for groups (<b>a</b>–<b>e</b>).</p>
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<p>LST trends with <span class="html-italic">p</span>-values &lt; 1 (which shows all trends) based on Kendall’s tau-b correlation (1991–2023) for the Asir mangroves. The subfigures represent trends for groups (<b>a</b>–<b>e</b>).</p>
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<p>NDWI trends with <span class="html-italic">p</span>-values &lt; 1 (which shows all trends) based on Kendall’s tau-b correlation (1991–2023) for the Asir mangroves. The subfigures represent trends for groups (<b>a</b>–<b>e</b>).</p>
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<p>Predicted suitability for mangrove plantations along the Asir coast via a generalized additive model (GAM). The subfigures represent trends for groups (<b>a</b>–<b>e</b>).</p>
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<p>Response curves of the predictors for predicting mangrove reforestation suitability via generalized additive model (GAM) analysis.</p>
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<p>Subfigures (<b>a</b>–<b>c</b>) represent mangroves narrow patches not classified due to Landsat 8 spatial resolution limitations.</p>
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27 pages, 16109 KiB  
Article
Satellite-Based Assessment of Rocket Launch and Coastal Change Impacts on Cape Canaveral Barrier Island, Florida, USA
by Hyun Jung Cho, Daniel Burow, Kelly M. San Antonio, Matthew J. McCarthy, Hannah V. Herrero, Yao Zhou, Stephen C. Medeiros, Calvin D. Colbert and Craig M. Jones
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(23), 4421; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16234421 - 26 Nov 2024
Viewed by 797
Abstract
The Cape Canaveral Barrier Island, home to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)’s Kennedy Space Center and the United States (U.S.) Space Force’s Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, is situated in a unique ecological transition zone that supports diverse wildlife. This study [...] Read more.
The Cape Canaveral Barrier Island, home to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)’s Kennedy Space Center and the United States (U.S.) Space Force’s Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, is situated in a unique ecological transition zone that supports diverse wildlife. This study evaluates the recent changes in vegetation cover (2016–2023) and dune elevation (2007–2017) within the Cape Canaveral Barrier Island using high-resolution optical satellite and light detection and ranging (LiDAR) data. The study period was chosen to depict the time period of a recent increase in rocket launches. The study objectives include assessing changes in vegetation communities, identifying detectable impacts of liquid propellant launches on nearby vegetation, and evaluating dune elevation and tide level shifts near launchpads. The results indicate vegetation cover changes, including mangrove expansion in wetland areas and the conversion of coastal strands to denser scrubs and hardwood forests, which were likely influenced by mild winters and fire management. While detectable impacts of rocket launches on nearby vegetation were observed, they were less severe than those caused by solid rocket motors. Compounding challenges, such as rising tide levels, beach erosion, and wetland loss, potentially threaten the resilience of launch operations and the surrounding habitats. The volume and scale of launches continue to increase, and a balance between space exploration and ecological conservation is required in this biodiverse region. This study focuses on the assessment of barrier islands’ shorelines. Full article
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Graphical abstract

Graphical abstract
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<p>The study location includes the launch AOI (open red polygon) within the Cape Canaveral Barrier Island and the control AOI (closed red polygon) within the Canaveral National Seashore (CANA), Florida. The study location is within east central Florida (upper right inset). The launch AOI contains the four launchpads of interest (Launch Complexes 39B, 39A, 41, and 40 from north to south) and is indicated within an open red polygon (lower right inset). AOI stands for area of interest.</p>
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<p>The 2016 and 2023 SVMs’ (support vector machines’) classification maps of the control site located within the Canaveral National Seashore, Florida. The WorldView imagery (copyright 2020 DigitalGlobe NextViewLicense) from 30 October 2016 and 11 January 2023 were used to produce the land cover classification maps.</p>
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<p>Land cover classification maps of the Cape Canaveral Barrier Island’s launch site. The WorldView imagery (copyright 2020 DigitalGlobe NextViewLicense) from 8 October 2016 (<b>left</b>) and 4 August 2023 (<b>right</b>) was used to produce the land cover classification maps. The four launchpads are labeled: Launch Complex (LC)-39B, LC-39A, Space Launch Complexes (SLC)-41, and SLC-40 (top to bottom). The maps were created using ArcGIS software and ArcGIS Online basemap by ESRI (Copyright © Esri. All rights reserved).</p>
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<p>Spectral profiles of four vegetation classes: coastal marsh, mangroves, foredune/strand, and scrub/hammock. The spectral profiles are the mean reflectance values at the WorldView eight bands, calculated from the WorldView imagery of 8 October 2016 and 4 August 2023. Standard deviations within each band/class combination are displayed as bars below the lines.</p>
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<p>Land cover classification maps of the Cape Canaveral Barrier Island’s launch site. The WorldView imagery (copyright 2020 DigitalGlobe NextViewLicense) from 8 October 2016 and 4 August 2023 were used to produce the land cover classification maps. Top to bottom panels: the vicinities of Launch Complex (LC) 39B, LC-39A, and Space Launch Complex (SLC)-41/40, respectively. The maps were created using ArcGIS software and ArcGIS Online basemap by ESRI (Copyright © Esri. All rights reserved).</p>
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<p>Color infrared displays of the WorldView imagery (Bands 7, 5, and 3, where band centers correspond to 833, 659, and 546 nm, respectively; copyright 2020 DigitalGlobe NextViewLicense) of 8 October 2016 (<b>left</b>), 16 July 2018 (<b>center</b>), and 4 August 2023 (<b>right</b>). The areas of marsh thinning from 2016 to 2023 are indicated with yellow open circles. The impounded areas for mosquito control are shown, which have limited hydrologic connection to the lagoon, as they are separated with dikes (indicated with yellow arrows). The seasonal water level in this region is highest in October and lowest between July and August. (<a href="https://psmsl.org/data/obtaining/stations/2123.php" target="_blank">https://psmsl.org/data/obtaining/stations/2123.php</a> (accessed on 1 August 2024)). The MSL was 0.93 m in October 2016, 0.59 m in July 2018, and 0.67 m in August 2023.</p>
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<p>The areas of 2016–2023 land cover (LC) changes from coastal marsh to mangroves (<b>top left</b>) and from foredune/strand to coastal scrub/hammock (<b>top right</b>). The areas of the LC change from coastal marshes to mangroves at the vicinities of the launchpads are denoted with pink (<b>bottom left</b>); and the areas of the LC change from foredune/strand to scrub/hammock are denoted with red (<b>bottom right</b>). The maps were created using ArcGIS software and ArcGIS Online basemap by ESRI (Copyright © Esri. All rights reserved).</p>
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<p>(<b>A</b>) Changes in NDVI values on and surrounding Launch Complex (LC)-39A and the nearby LC-39B before, two days after, and about one month after the 28 July 2023 Falcon Heavy rocket launch from LC-39A. (<b>B</b>) Changes in NDVI values on and surrounding LC-39A and the nearby LC-39B before, two days after, and about one month after the 28 December 2023 Falcon Heavy rocket launch from LC-39A. The open red oval indicates damage associated with the rocket launches. There was no rocket launch from LC-39B (<b>Aii</b>,<b>Aiv</b>,<b>Bii</b>,<b>Biv</b>). (<b>i</b>,<b>ii</b>) NDVI difference before and two days after rocket launches from LC-39A. (<b>iii</b>,<b>iv</b>) NDVI changes one month after the rocket launches.</p>
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<p>Mean dune elevation for control (Canaveral National Seashore-CANA) and launch sites over time. Shaded area represents one standard deviation. Timings of Tropical Storm Fay, Hurricane Matthew, and Hurricane Irma are indicated.</p>
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<p>(<b>A</b>) dune elevation changes at the control site between 2006 and 2016 (mean transect length is ~50 m). (<b>B</b>) dune elevation changes in between Launch Complexes 39A and 39B between 2007 and 2017 (mean transect length is ~45 m). (<b>C</b>) dune elevation changes at Launch Complex 39A between 2007 and 2017 (mean transect length is ~45 m). (<b>D</b>) dune elevation changes at Space Launch Complex 41 and 40 between 2006 and 2016 (mean transect length is ~200 m). Locations of the 15 transects, perpendicular to the shorelines, used to generate dune elevation profiles (four images on the left). The dune elevation profiles (mean values of the 15 transects at each location) are indicated using blue (2006 for control site and 2007 for launch site) or red lines (2016 for control site and 2017 for launch site). Error bars indicate standard deviation. The extent of the Kennedy Space Center’s 2013–2014 dune restoration is indicated with a long red line parallel to the shoreline in C.</p>
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<p>(<b>A</b>) dune elevation changes at the control site between 2006 and 2016 (mean transect length is ~50 m). (<b>B</b>) dune elevation changes in between Launch Complexes 39A and 39B between 2007 and 2017 (mean transect length is ~45 m). (<b>C</b>) dune elevation changes at Launch Complex 39A between 2007 and 2017 (mean transect length is ~45 m). (<b>D</b>) dune elevation changes at Space Launch Complex 41 and 40 between 2006 and 2016 (mean transect length is ~200 m). Locations of the 15 transects, perpendicular to the shorelines, used to generate dune elevation profiles (four images on the left). The dune elevation profiles (mean values of the 15 transects at each location) are indicated using blue (2006 for control site and 2007 for launch site) or red lines (2016 for control site and 2017 for launch site). Error bars indicate standard deviation. The extent of the Kennedy Space Center’s 2013–2014 dune restoration is indicated with a long red line parallel to the shoreline in C.</p>
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<p>Color infrared images of beach near the Kennedy Space Center’s Launch Complex 39A as indicated by the open red rectangle. Beach erosion and dune vegetation loss (a 40–50 m beach retreat between 2010 and 2023) is observed, as indicated by the open yellow oval along the shoreline near LC-39A. WorldView imagery: copyright 2020 DigitalGlobe NextViewLicense.</p>
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<p>Kernel density estimation plot of elevations across the natural land cover classes from the 2016 SVM classification. The elevations were derived from the 2016 LiDAR data described in <a href="#remotesensing-16-04421-t003" class="html-table">Table 3</a>.</p>
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<p>Projected sea-level rise scenarios surrounding LC-39A, based on current mean sea level (MSL, m) from August 2023 to July 2024. The images show MSL water level (red) in 2024 (<b>left</b>) and projected in 2084 (<b>right</b>) within the land surrounding LC-39A.</p>
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<p>Projected MHHW levels at Trident Pier relative to the year 2000 from the NOAA Sea Level Rise Viewer.</p>
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<p>Areas surrounding LC-39A that are hydrologically connected to the ocean and would be inundated at various levels of MHHW that are possible by 2080.</p>
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<p>Number of days reaching at or below the freezing temperature (0 °C) per year between January 2005 and December 2023. Air temperature data were collected from the Global Historical Climatology Network daily (GHCNd) station near the Kennedy Space Center (Merritt Island, FL, USA).</p>
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<p><b>Left</b>: areas of burns from prescribed fires in 2011 (low right red polygon) and 2012/2017 (upper left red polygon). The data were obtained from the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (MTBS) website (mtbs.gov). <b>Right</b>: land cover change (from 2016 to 2023) hot spot map is presented to compare the locations of burns.</p>
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22 pages, 6416 KiB  
Article
Assessing Compound Coastal–Fluvial Flood Impacts and Resilience Under Extreme Scenarios in Demak, Indonesia
by Asrini Chrysanti, Ariz Adhani, Ismail Naufal Azkiarizqi, Mohammad Bagus Adityawan, Muhammad Syahril Badri Kusuma and Muhammad Cahyono
Sustainability 2024, 16(23), 10315; https://doi.org/10.3390/su162310315 - 25 Nov 2024
Viewed by 770
Abstract
Demak is highly vulnerable to flooding from both fluvial and coastal storms, facing increasing pressures on its sustainability and resilience due to multiple compounding flood hazards. This study assesses the inundation hazards in Demak coastal areas by modeling the impacts of compound flooding. [...] Read more.
Demak is highly vulnerable to flooding from both fluvial and coastal storms, facing increasing pressures on its sustainability and resilience due to multiple compounding flood hazards. This study assesses the inundation hazards in Demak coastal areas by modeling the impacts of compound flooding. We modeled eight scenarios incorporating long-term forces, such as sea level rise (SLR) and land subsidence (LS), as well as immediate forces, like storm surges, wind waves, and river discharge. Our findings reveal that immediate forces primarily increase inundation depth, while long-term forces expand the inundation area. Combined effects from storm tides and other factors resulted in a 10–20% increase in flood extent compared to individual forces. Fluvial flooding mostly impacts areas near river outlets, but the combination of river discharge and storm tides produces flood extents similar to those caused by SLR. Land subsidence emerged as the primary driver of coastal flooding, while other factors, adding just 25% to area increase, significantly impacted inundation depth. These findings underscore the effectiveness of mangroves in mitigating floods in low-lying areas against immediate forces. However, the resilience and sustainability of the Demak region are challenged by SLR, LS, and the need to integrate these factors into a comprehensive flood mitigation strategy. Full article
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<p>The location of the study area. The green line indicates four sub-districts in the Demak Regency. The white square indicates the location of the study area in Java Island.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Skew surge profile of selected storm events. The data are collected from the Semarang tidal monitoring station. The water level residuals are extracted from the observed water level and astronomical tide prediction. Observed water level and predicted storm events on (<b>b</b>) 1 December 2017; (<b>c</b>) 23 May 2018; (<b>d</b>) 7 April 2020; and (<b>e</b>) 3 June 2020.</p>
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<p>Return periods for (<b>a</b>) significant wave height and (<b>b</b>) wave period.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Watersheds of rivers that flow into the Demak Delta. Main river discharge: (<b>b</b>) 50-year return-period flood discharge; (<b>c</b>) flow duration curve (FDC) calibration of the Sacramento model and observation of Buyaran River discharge.</p>
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<p>Model domain: (<b>a</b>) the first model domain covers the area from Kendal City to Jepara City. Storm wave and high tidal forcing boundary conditions are used in this domain. (<b>b</b>) The second model domain covers a smaller area of Semarang City and some parts of southeastern Jepara City. No additional forcing was added to this domain. The smallest grid with the highest resolution was implemented in our area of interest: Demak Regency.</p>
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<p>Flowchart for the scenario simulated for the future projection of flood hazards. The gray background color indicates different forcings implemented in this study.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Skew surge abstracted at an extreme storm event (1 December 2017); (<b>b</b>) boundary condition for high-water spring and wind wave (blue); storm tides in the SH-WS scenario (orange); storm tides with SLR for the SS-SLR scenario (green).</p>
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<p>Maximum inundation depth values for the following scenarios: (<b>a</b>) baseline scenario; (<b>b</b>) storm tide scenario (SH-WS); (<b>c</b>) high-water spring and sea level rise scenario (SH-SLR); (<b>d</b>) high-water spring and land subsidence scenario (SH-LS). The inundation depth changes for all scenarios can be seen in <a href="#app1-sustainability-16-10315" class="html-app">Figure S4</a>. The red triangle in <a href="#sustainability-16-10315-f008" class="html-fig">Figure 8</a>a indicates the Wulan River outlet and the yellow line indicates sub-district region.</p>
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<p>Maximum inundation increases based on the baseline (HWS scenario): (<b>a</b>–<b>d</b>) single forcing scenarios; (<b>e</b>–<b>h</b>) compound scenarios under the storm tide condition. A visualization map of inundation depth increases can be seen in <a href="#app1-sustainability-16-10315" class="html-app">Figure S4</a>.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Water depth distribution during flooding period, data collected for the Bonang region, and (<b>b</b>) maximum inundation depth distribution for all simulated scenarios.</p>
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<p>Maximum inundation depth for compound scenarios: (<b>a</b>) storm tide and river discharge (SS-DR); (<b>b</b>) storm tide and sea level rise scenario (SS-SLR); (<b>c</b>) storm tide and land subsidence scenario (SS-LS); (<b>d</b>) worst-case (WC) scenario. Yellow line indicates sub-district region.</p>
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<p>Inundation depth distribution for all simulated scenarios.</p>
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<p>Flooding extent at higher topographical elevations (above MSL): (<b>a</b>) HWS (828.01 Ha inundated); (<b>b</b>) storm tide (1525.26 Ha inundated) (<b>c</b>) worst-case scenario (6315.31 Ha inundated). The yellow line indicates sub-district region.</p>
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25 pages, 10748 KiB  
Article
Advancing Coastal Flood Risk Prediction Utilizing a GeoAI Approach by Considering Mangroves as an Eco-DRR Strategy
by Tri Atmaja, Martiwi Diah Setiawati, Kiyo Kurisu and Kensuke Fukushi
Hydrology 2024, 11(12), 198; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology11120198 - 23 Nov 2024
Viewed by 1059
Abstract
Traditional coastal flood risk prediction often overlooks critical geographic features, underscoring the need for accurate risk prediction in coastal cities to ensure resilience. This study enhances the prediction of coastal flood occurrence by utilizing the Geospatial Artificial Intelligence (GeoAI) approach. This approach employed [...] Read more.
Traditional coastal flood risk prediction often overlooks critical geographic features, underscoring the need for accurate risk prediction in coastal cities to ensure resilience. This study enhances the prediction of coastal flood occurrence by utilizing the Geospatial Artificial Intelligence (GeoAI) approach. This approach employed models—random forest (RF), k-nearest neighbor (kNN), and artificial neural networks (ANN)—and compared them to the IPCC risk framework. This study used El Salvador as a demonstration case. The models incorporated seven input variables: extreme sea level, coastline proximity, elevation, slope, mangrove distance, population, and settlement type. With a recall score of 0.67 and precision of 0.86, the RF model outperformed the other models and the IPCC approach, which could avoid imbalanced datasets and standard scaler issues. The RF model improved the reliability of flood risk assessments by reducing false negatives. Based on the RF model output, scenario analysis predicted a significant increase in flood occurrences by 2100, mainly under RCP8.5 with SSP5. The study also highlights that the continuous mangrove along the coastline will reduce coastal flood occurrences. The GeoAI approach results suggest its potential for coastal flood risk management, emphasizing the need to integrate natural defenses, such as mangroves, for coastal resilience. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activities on Wetland Hydrology)
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<p>Workflow for coastal flood risk prediction utilizing the GeoAI approach compared to the IPCC risk approach. The data under (*) and (**) indicated that the data had been projected for future ESL and population change following RCP and SSP scenarios, respectively.</p>
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<p>Coastal flood pathways and key variables adapted from [<a href="#B72-hydrology-11-00198" class="html-bibr">72</a>].</p>
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<p>Coastal flood occurrences and seven key forcing variables in El Salvador.</p>
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<p>Comparison of historical coastal flood occurrence 2000–2018 (<b>a</b>) and prediction of coastal flood at the baseline period in El Salvador case based on RF model (<b>b</b>), kNN model (<b>c</b>), and ANN model (<b>d</b>).</p>
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<p>Comparison of model performance using classification report and accuracy, specifically RF model (<b>a</b>), kNN model (<b>b</b>), and ANN model (<b>c</b>).</p>
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<p>Feature importance.</p>
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<p>Coastal flood risk assessment and its performance based on the IPCC risk approach overlaid with historical flood data in El Salvador. The same weighting method (<b>a</b>) and its performance (<b>c</b>) and the adjusted weight method based on RF feature importance (<b>b</b>) and its performance (<b>d</b>).</p>
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<p>RF model evaluation report for baseline and projection.</p>
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<p>Coastal flood prediction in the baseline and projection periods in 2050 and 2100 using RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, as well as SSP1 to SSP5 scenarios based on RF Model results in El Salvador. Cf is defined as the frequency of coastal flood occurrence.</p>
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<p>Percentage of coastal flood occurrence at baseline and projection based on RF Model. Cf means coastal flood, while cfo represents coastal flood occurrence.</p>
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<p>Coastal flood prediction in the baseline and projection periods in 2050 and 2100 using RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, as well as SSP1 to SSP5 scenarios based on RF Model results in El Salvador.</p>
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13 pages, 6339 KiB  
Article
Harnessing Biomass and Blue Carbon Potential: Estimating Carbon Stocks in the Vital Wetlands of Eastern Sumatra, Indonesia
by Mohammad Basyuni, Andi Aznan Aznawi, Muhammad Rafli, Jeli Manogu Tua Tinumbunan, Erika Trinita Gultom, Revani Dwi Arisindy Lubis, Hegi Alfarado Sianturi, Elham Sumarga, Erizal Mukhtar, Bejo Slamet, Erni Jumilawaty, Rudhi Pribadi, Rama Riana Sitinjak and Shigeyuki Baba
Land 2024, 13(11), 1960; https://doi.org/10.3390/land13111960 - 20 Nov 2024
Viewed by 843
Abstract
Global warming is a critical factor driving climate change, impacting every aspect of life on Earth. The escalating concentration of greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere, the primary contributor to global warming, necessitates immediate action through effective climate mitigation strategies. This study aimed to [...] Read more.
Global warming is a critical factor driving climate change, impacting every aspect of life on Earth. The escalating concentration of greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere, the primary contributor to global warming, necessitates immediate action through effective climate mitigation strategies. This study aimed to quantify the biomass and blue carbon stocks in the eastern coastal mangrove forests of North Sumatra and Aceh Provinces in Indonesia, focusing on key sites in Langkat, Deli Serdang, Batu Bara, Tanjung Balai, and Aceh Tamiang Regencies. We measured carbon stock in three carbon pools: biomass (above and below ground), necromass, and soil. By analyzing tree stands using parameters such as tree height and diameter at breast height within circular plots (7 m in radius, 125 m apart), we gathered fundamental data on forest structure, species composition, and above- and below-ground biomass. Additionally, we collected soil samples at various points and depths, measuring the amount of wood, stems, or branches (necromass) that fell to or died on the forest floor. Data were collected in plots along a line transect, comprising three transects and six circular plots each. Sixteen diverse mangrove species were found, demonstrating rich mangrove biodiversity. The mangrove forests in the five regencies exhibited significant carbon storage potential, with estimated average above-ground carbon ranging from 96 to 356 MgC/ha and average below-ground carbon from 28 to 153 MgC/ha. The estimated average deadwood carbon varied between 50 and 91 MgC/ha, while soil carbon ranged from 1200 to 2500 MgC/ha. These findings underscore the significant carbon storage potential of these mangrove forests, highlighting their importance to global carbon cycling and climate change mitigation. This research contributes to a broader understanding of mangroves as vital blue carbon ecosystems, emphasizing the necessity of conservation efforts such as forest restoration and rehabilitation to enhance their role in stabilizing coastal areas and improving global climate resilience. Full article
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<p>Research sites in Aceh Tamiang (<b>A</b>) of Aceh Province, and Langkat (<b>B</b>), Serdang Bedagai (<b>C</b>), Batubara (<b>D</b>), and Asahan Regency (<b>E</b>) of North Sumatra Province, Indonesia.</p>
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<p>Standard plot design and size for measuring mangrove forest carbon stocks [<a href="#B13-land-13-01960" class="html-bibr">13</a>].</p>
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<p>Data collection field for dead wood using non-destructive line intersection technique.</p>
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<p>Soil carbon levels of mangrove forest in each location (data are mean ± SD (<span class="html-italic">n</span> = 15)).</p>
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<p>Deadwood carbon of mangrove forest in each location (data are mean ± SD (<span class="html-italic">n</span> = 15)).</p>
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20 pages, 6529 KiB  
Article
Spatial Differentiation of Mangrove Aboveground Biomass and Identification of Its Main Environmental Drivers in Qinglan Harbor Mangrove Nature Reserve
by Kaiyue Wang, Meihuijuan Jiang, Yating Li, Shengnan Kong, Yilun Gao, Yingying Huang, Penghua Qiu, Yanli Yang and Siang Wan
Sustainability 2024, 16(19), 8408; https://doi.org/10.3390/su16198408 - 27 Sep 2024
Viewed by 1117
Abstract
In the Bamen Bay area of the Qinglan Harbor Mangrove Provincial Nature Reserve in Wenchang, Hainan Province, China, mangrove aboveground biomass (AGB) was estimated using high-resolution UAV ortho-imagery and UAV LiDAR data. The spatial distribution characteristics of AGB were studied using global Moran’s [...] Read more.
In the Bamen Bay area of the Qinglan Harbor Mangrove Provincial Nature Reserve in Wenchang, Hainan Province, China, mangrove aboveground biomass (AGB) was estimated using high-resolution UAV ortho-imagery and UAV LiDAR data. The spatial distribution characteristics of AGB were studied using global Moran’s I index and hotspot analysis. Optimal geographic detectors and regression models were employed to analyze the relationship between AGB and key environmental factors. The results indicate that (1) the average AGB in the study area was 141.22 Mg/ha, with significant spatial variation. High AGB values were concentrated in the southwestern and northeastern regions, while low values were mainly found in the central and southeastern regions. (2) Plant species, water pH, soil total potassium, salinity, dissolved oxygen, elevation, soil organic matter, soil total phosphorus, and soil total nitrogen were identified as major factors influencing the spatial distribution of AGB. The interaction results indicate either bifactor enhancement or nonlinear enhancement, showing a significantly higher impact compared with single factors. (3) Comprehensive regression model results reveal that soil total nitrogen was the primary factor affecting AGB, followed by soil total potassium, with water pH having the least impact. Factors positively correlated with AGB promoted biomass growth, while elevation negatively affected AGB, inhibiting biomass accumulation. The findings provide critical insights that can guide targeted conservation efforts and management strategies aimed at enhancing mangrove ecosystem health and resilience, particularly by focusing on key areas identified for potential improvement and by addressing the complex interactions among environmental factors. Full article
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<p>Location of the study area and distribution of sampling points. The total area of mangrove habitat in the study area is 210 ha.</p>
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<p>Spatial distribution of mangrove plant species.</p>
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<p>Scatter diagram of verification results of mangrove AGB inversion model.</p>
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<p>Overview of the framework.</p>
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<p>Statistical diagram of AGB grid frequency of mangrove plant grid.</p>
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<p>Spatial distribution of environmental factors.</p>
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<p>Spatial distribution of environmental factors.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Moran’s I scatter plot; (<b>b</b>) hotspot analysis of aboveground biomass of mangrove plants.</p>
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<p>Two-factor interaction detection. Diagonal entries reflect the correlation between the specified independent and dependent variables.</p>
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<p>Spatial distribution of regression coefficients of influencing factors on mangrove AGB.</p>
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22 pages, 3135 KiB  
Review
Current Status of Remote Sensing for Studying the Impacts of Hurricanes on Mangrove Forests in the Coastal United States
by Abhilash Dutta Roy, Daria Agnieszka Karpowicz, Ian Hendy, Stefanie M. Rog, Michael S. Watt, Ruth Reef, Eben North Broadbent, Emma F. Asbridge, Amare Gebrie, Tarig Ali and Midhun Mohan
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(19), 3596; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16193596 - 26 Sep 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2200
Abstract
Hurricane incidents have become increasingly frequent along the coastal United States and have had a negative impact on the mangrove forests and their ecosystem services across the southeastern region. Mangroves play a key role in providing coastal protection during hurricanes by attenuating storm [...] Read more.
Hurricane incidents have become increasingly frequent along the coastal United States and have had a negative impact on the mangrove forests and their ecosystem services across the southeastern region. Mangroves play a key role in providing coastal protection during hurricanes by attenuating storm surges and reducing erosion. However, their resilience is being increasingly compromised due to climate change through sea level rises and the greater intensity of storms. This article examines the role of remote sensing tools in studying the impacts of hurricanes on mangrove forests in the coastal United States. Our results show that various remote sensing tools including satellite imagery, Light detection and ranging (LiDAR) and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have been used to detect mangrove damage, monitor their recovery and analyze their 3D structural changes. Landsat 8 OLI (14%) has been particularly useful in long-term assessments, followed by Landsat 5 TM (9%) and NASA G-LiHT LiDAR (8%). Random forest (24%) and linear regression (24%) models were the most common modeling techniques, with the former being the most frequently used method for classifying satellite images. Some studies have shown significant mangrove canopy loss after major hurricanes, and damage was seen to vary spatially based on factors such as proximity to oceans, elevation and canopy structure, with taller mangroves typically experiencing greater damage. Recovery rates after hurricane-induced damage also vary, as some areas were seen to show rapid regrowth within months while others remained impacted after many years. The current challenges include capturing fine-scale changes owing to the dearth of remote sensing data with high temporal and spatial resolution. This review provides insights into the current remote sensing applications used in hurricane-prone mangrove habitats and is intended to guide future research directions, inform coastal management strategies and support conservation efforts. Full article
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<p>PRISMA workflow representing the systematic literature review process.</p>
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<p>Applications of remote sensing for studying impacts of hurricanes on mangroves.</p>
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<p>Coastal southeastern United States showing some locations where studies on hurricane impact on mangroves were carried out, that included (<b>A</b>) Everglades National Park, Florida, (<b>B</b>) Florida Keys, (<b>C</b>) Port Fourchon, Louisiana, (<b>D</b>) (Inset): Puerto Rico.</p>
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<p>The regional frequency of remote sensing based peer-reviewed articles published on studying impacts of hurricanes on mangroves in the United States from January 2010 to September 2024.</p>
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<p>Percentage breakdown of sensors used for studying impacts of hurricanes on mangroves in the United States from January 2010 to September 2024.</p>
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<p>Data analysis methods used to study the impacts of hurricanes on mangroves in the United States from January 2010 to September 2024.</p>
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18 pages, 1033 KiB  
Opinion
Mangrove-Based Carbon Market Projects: 15 Considerations for Engaging and Supporting Local Communities
by Daria Agnieszka Karpowicz, Midhun Mohan, Michael S. Watt, Jorge F. Montenegro, Shalini A. L. King, Pandi P. Selvam, Manickam Nithyanandan, Barakalla Robyn, Tarig Ali, Meshal M. Abdullah, Willie Doaemo and Ewane Basil Ewane
Diversity 2024, 16(9), 574; https://doi.org/10.3390/d16090574 - 12 Sep 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2965
Abstract
Mangroves provide numerous ecological, social, and economic benefits that include carbon sequestration, habitat for biodiversity, food, recreation and leisure, income, and coastal resilience. In this regard, mangrove-based carbon market projects (MbCMP), involving mangrove conservation, protection, and restoration, are a nature-based solution (NbS) for [...] Read more.
Mangroves provide numerous ecological, social, and economic benefits that include carbon sequestration, habitat for biodiversity, food, recreation and leisure, income, and coastal resilience. In this regard, mangrove-based carbon market projects (MbCMP), involving mangrove conservation, protection, and restoration, are a nature-based solution (NbS) for climate change mitigation. Despite the proliferation of blue carbon projects, a highly publicized need for local community participation by developers, and existing project implementation standards, local communities are usually left out for several reasons, such as a lack of capacity to engage in business-to-business (B2B) market agreements and communication gaps. Local communities need to be engaged and supported at all stages of the MbCMP development process to enable them to protect their ecological, economic, and social interests as custodians of such a critical ecosystem. In this paper, we provided 15 strategic considerations and recommendations to engage and secure the interests of local communities in the growing mangrove carbon market trade. The 15 considerations are grouped into four recommendation categories: (i) project development and community engagement, (ii) capacity building and educational activities, (iii) transparency in resource allocation and distribution, and (iv) partnerships with local entities and long-term monitoring. We expect our study to increase local participation and community-level ecological, social, and economic benefits from MbCMP by incorporating equitable benefit-sharing mechanisms in a B2B conservation-agreement model. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Biodiversity and Conservation of Mangroves)
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<p>Recommendations and considerations for engaging and supporting local communities in mangrove-based carbon market projects.</p>
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27 pages, 1930 KiB  
Review
Mangrove Biodiversity and Conservation: Setting Key Functional Groups and Risks of Climate-Induced Functional Disruption
by Alexander C. Ferreira, Elizabeth C. Ashton, Raymond D. Ward, Ian Hendy and Luiz D. Lacerda
Diversity 2024, 16(7), 423; https://doi.org/10.3390/d16070423 - 19 Jul 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 3192
Abstract
Climate change (CC) represents an increasing threat to mangroves worldwide and can amplify impacts caused by local anthropogenic activities. The direct effects of CC on mangrove forests have been extensively discussed, but indirect impacts such as the alteration of ecological processes driven by [...] Read more.
Climate change (CC) represents an increasing threat to mangroves worldwide and can amplify impacts caused by local anthropogenic activities. The direct effects of CC on mangrove forests have been extensively discussed, but indirect impacts such as the alteration of ecological processes driven by specific functional groups of the biota are poorly investigated. Ecological roles of key functional groups (FGs) in mangroves from the Atlantic–Caribbean–East Pacific (ACEP) and Indo-West Pacific (IWP) regions are reviewed, and impacts from CC mediated by these FGs are explored. Disruption by CC of ecological processes, driven by key FGs, can reinforce direct effects and amplify the loss of ecological functionality and further degradation of mangrove forests. Biogeochemistry mediator microbiotas of the soil, bioturbators, especially semiterrestrial crabs (Ocypodoids and Grapsoids) and herbivores (crustaceans and Insects), would be the most affected FG in both regions. Effects of climate change can vary regionally in the function of the combination of direct and indirect drivers, further eroding biodiversity and mangrove resilience, and impairing the predictability of ecosystem behaviour. This means that public policies to manage and conserve mangroves, as well as rehabilitation/restoration programs, should take into consideration the pressures of CC in specific regions and the response of key FGs to these pressures. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Biodiversity and Conservation of Mangroves)
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<p>Specific diversity of worldwide mangroves. Colours indicate the number of catalogued regional species, but considering that local stands have only limited sets of regional species. The Americas–Caribbean and West Africa are the ACEP region, and from East Africa towards the East, this is the IWP region [Adapted from ‘World Atlas of Mangroves’, [<a href="#B9-diversity-16-00423" class="html-bibr">9</a>]].</p>
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<p>Fauna of mangroves. (<b>A</b>) Langurs (<span class="html-italic">Presbytis</span> sp.); (<b>B</b>) <span class="html-italic">Episesarma versicolor</span>; (<b>C</b>) mudskipper (in their burrow); (<b>D</b>) <span class="html-italic">Goniopsis cruentata</span> (eating a <span class="html-italic">Rhizophora</span> propagule); (<b>E</b>) teredinid (<span class="html-italic">Neoteredo</span> sp.) (circle shows the anterior portion of an exposed individual, surrounded by calcified galleries); (<b>F</b>) fiddler crab (<span class="html-italic">Tubuca</span> sp.); (<b>G</b>) <span class="html-italic">Dysphania</span> sp. (herbivore, larva feeds on <span class="html-italic">Kandelia candel</span>). All images from IWP, except (<b>D</b>,<b>E</b>) from ACEP. [Credits: E. Ashton (<b>A</b>,<b>B</b>,<b>F</b>,<b>G</b>); M. Zimmer (<b>C</b>); C.E. Alencar (<b>D</b>); A. Ferreira (<b>E</b>)].</p>
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<p>Effects of climate change (in green box) on FGs and the direct effects of FGs on the forest (blue boxes). The numbers of the effects do not necessarily express event order and are (1) disruption to soil biogeochemical processes; (2) decreased nutrient availability &gt; impact on forest productivity; (3) changing forest structure and biomass/C stock; (4) changes in propagule recruitment patterns; (5) changing existing forest zonation patterns; (6) decrease in forest structural resistance; (7) decrease/increase sediment aeration by sediment reworking; (8) mass defoliation; (9) disruption to tree development; (10) disruption to pollination and reproductive output; (11) decrease in inputs of OM, litter and deadwood processing, and nutrient cycling reduction. [Note: For more (indirect) effects see <a href="#diversity-16-00423-t002" class="html-table">Table 2</a>. The herbivore FG includes the several mobile Grapsoids (<span class="html-italic">Sesarmids</span> in IWP and <span class="html-italic">G. cruentata</span> (Grapsidae) and a few <span class="html-italic">Sesarmids</span> in ACEP) that live in forest soil and climb trunks and roots, also with omnivore and preying habits (in red circles). Some of these crabs are simultaneously bioturbator/burrowers and major Herbivores (in blue circles)].</p>
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19 pages, 7388 KiB  
Article
An Interdisciplinary Approach to Understand the Resilience of Agrosystems in the Sahel and West Africa
by Luc Descroix, Anne Luxereau, Laurent A. Lambert, Olivier Ruë, Arona Diedhiou, Aïda Diongue-Niang, Amadou Hamath Dia, Fabrice Gangneron, Sylvie Paméla Manga, Ange B. Diedhiou, Julien Andrieu, Patrick Chevalier and Bakary Faty
Sustainability 2024, 16(13), 5555; https://doi.org/10.3390/su16135555 - 28 Jun 2024
Viewed by 1147
Abstract
Sub-Saharan African farmers have long been portrayed with very negative representations, at least since the beginning of coordinated European colonialism in the late 19th century. In the Sahel-Sudan area, agrosystems have been described as overgrazed, forests as endangered, and soils as overexploited, with [...] Read more.
Sub-Saharan African farmers have long been portrayed with very negative representations, at least since the beginning of coordinated European colonialism in the late 19th century. In the Sahel-Sudan area, agrosystems have been described as overgrazed, forests as endangered, and soils as overexploited, with local and traditional “archaic” practices. Against this background, the objective of this article is to focus on these agrosystems’ resilience, for which several criteria have been monitored. The approach used in this research was to synthesize observations from a large amount of material gathered over multiple years by the authors, drawing on our long-term commitment to, and inter-disciplinary study of, the evolution of surface hydrology, ecosystems, and agrosystems of West Africa. The positive trends in rainfall and streamflows, reinforced by farmer’s practices, confirm the overall regreening and reforestation of the Sahel-Sudan strip, especially in areas with high population densities, including the mangrove areas. The intensification of agricultural systems and the recovery of the water-holding capacity of soils and catchments explain the recorded general increase in terms of food self-sufficiency in the Sahel, as well as in crops yields and food production. Finally, we compare the neo-Malthusian discourse to the actual resilience of these agrosystems. The article concludes with a recommendation calling for the empowerment of smallholder farmers to take greater advantage of the current wet period. Overall, the speed of change in knowledge and know-how transfer and implementation, and the farmers’ ability to adapt to ecological and economic crises, must be highlighted. Far from being resistant to change, West African agriculturalists innovate, experiment, borrow, transform, and choose according to their situation, projects, and social issues. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Water Management)
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<p>Net primary productivity of West Africa (MODIS data, 2024).</p>
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<p>Standard precipitation index from 1920 to 2020 in the whole West African Sahel.</p>
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<p>Sahelian major rivers discharge evolution ([<a href="#B16-sustainability-16-05555" class="html-bibr">16</a>], actualized).</p>
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<p>The Sahel’s regreening [<a href="#B16-sustainability-16-05555" class="html-bibr">16</a>] according to [<a href="#B35-sustainability-16-05555" class="html-bibr">35</a>,<a href="#B37-sustainability-16-05555" class="html-bibr">37</a>,<a href="#B38-sustainability-16-05555" class="html-bibr">38</a>]: areas of NDVI increases and decreases for different periods and different sources.</p>
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<p>Change in tree cover density and distribution in Galma, Niger (400 mm rainfall) between 1975 (<b>a</b>) and (<b>b</b>) 2003 [<a href="#B8-sustainability-16-05555" class="html-bibr">8</a>].</p>
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<p>Diversified old agroforestry park with (<b>a</b>) <span class="html-italic">Combretaceaes</span>, <span class="html-italic">Ficus</span>, <span class="html-italic">Bauhinia</span>, <span class="html-italic">Cassia</span>, <span class="html-italic">Tamarindus</span>, <span class="html-italic">Piliostigma</span>, and <span class="html-italic">Lannea</span> in the Maradi area (2002); (<b>b</b>) about ten years agroforestry park, consisting mainly of <span class="html-italic">Guiera</span> and some <span class="html-italic">Bauhinia</span> (2008). (Niger) (ph. A. Luxereau).</p>
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<p>Evolution of depletion coefficients of rivers in Gambia (<b>a</b>), the Senegal (<b>b</b>), and the Niger River Basin (<b>c</b>) since the 1950s [<a href="#B17-sustainability-16-05555" class="html-bibr">17</a>].</p>
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<p>Evolution of depletion coefficients of rivers in Gambia (<b>a</b>), the Senegal (<b>b</b>), and the Niger River Basin (<b>c</b>) since the 1950s [<a href="#B17-sustainability-16-05555" class="html-bibr">17</a>].</p>
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<p>Evolution of cereal self-sufficiency in the Sahelian countries (Senegal, Mauritania, Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, and Chad, pooled), showing an increasing self-sufficiency rate [<a href="#B61-sustainability-16-05555" class="html-bibr">61</a>].</p>
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<p>Distribution of variables in their statistical space (Ru = runoff; M = mangrove area; V = NDVI; Ra = rainfall; C = cereal production; P = population).</p>
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<p>Distribution of samples in their statistical space.</p>
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<p>Vegetation evolution in green color, between 2000 ((<b>a</b>,<b>c</b>) panels) and 2020 ((<b>b</b>,<b>d</b>) panels), in the Bafing basin ((<b>a</b>,<b>b</b>) panels) (Guinea, name of the Upper Senegal River basin), and zoom on the area of Labé ((<b>c</b>,<b>d</b>) panels) (the major city of the range), the most densely populated area [<a href="#B69-sustainability-16-05555" class="html-bibr">69</a>] (The grey sector westward is the suburbs of Labé).</p>
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15 pages, 2239 KiB  
Article
Assessing the Productivity of the Matang Mangrove Forest Reserve: Review of One of the Best-Managed Mangrove Forests
by Waseem Razzaq Khan, Mohammad Nazre, Seemab Akram, Shoaib Ahmad Anees, Kaleem Mehmood, Faridah Hanum Ibrahim, Syeed SaifulAzry Osman Al Edrus, Abdul Latiff, Zohari Ahmad Fitri, Muhammad Yaseen, Ping Li and Xiaoshan Zhu
Forests 2024, 15(5), 747; https://doi.org/10.3390/f15050747 - 25 Apr 2024
Cited by 8 | Viewed by 3109
Abstract
Mangrove ecosystems are crucial for biodiversity and coastal protection but face threats from climate change and human activities. This review assesses the productivity of the Matang Mangrove Forest Reserve (MMFR) in Malaysia, which is recognised as one of the best-managed mangrove forests, while [...] Read more.
Mangrove ecosystems are crucial for biodiversity and coastal protection but face threats from climate change and human activities. This review assesses the productivity of the Matang Mangrove Forest Reserve (MMFR) in Malaysia, which is recognised as one of the best-managed mangrove forests, while also addressing challenges such as deforestation and climate change-induced factors. This review explores the concept of productivity in mangrove forests, highlighting their role in carbon sequestration and discussing litterfall measurements as fundamental metrics for assessing primary productivity. An analysis of historical changes in MMFR’s biomass and productivity revealed fluctuations influenced by logging, reforestation, and climatic conditions. Trends in MMFR productivity indicate a concerning decline attributed to anthropogenic activities such as aquaculture and industrial projects. A regression analysis conducted on Rhizophora apiculata data with age as the predictor and AGB as the response variable indicated a positive trend (slope = 3.61, R-squared = 0.686), suggesting a quantitative increase in AGB with age. Further analysis revealed a significant negative trend in MMFR’s overall productivity over years (coefficient = −3.974, p < 0.05) with a strong inverse relationship (rho = −0.818, p < 0.05), indicating declining AGB trends. Despite these challenges, this review underscores the significance of sustainable management practices, effective conservation efforts, and community engagement in maintaining mangrove ecosystem health and productivity. In conclusion, sharing management lessons from MMFR can contribute to global conservation and sustainable mangrove forest management efforts, fostering resilience in these vital ecosystems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Biodiversity, Health, and Ecosystem Services of Mangroves)
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<p>Map of the Mangrove Forest Reserve: (<b>a</b>) Location of Matang Mangrove Forest Reserve in Peninsular Malaysia, (<b>b</b>) Matang Mangrove Forest Reserve, and (<b>c</b>) Compartments in Matang Mangrove Forest Reserve [<a href="#B39-forests-15-00747" class="html-bibr">39</a>].</p>
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<p>Relationship between age and aboveground biomass (AGB) of <span class="html-italic">Rhizophora apiculata</span>.</p>
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<p>Temporal trends in AGB (t/ha) of mangrove ecosystems over years.</p>
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<p>A schematic outlining the primary nutrient sources, which include tidal flushing, nitrogen fixation, microbial activity, leaf litter, and abundant macrofauna, as well as the distinctive nutrient management mechanisms inherent to mangrove ecosystems [<a href="#B66-forests-15-00747" class="html-bibr">66</a>].</p>
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52 pages, 5719 KiB  
Review
Coastal Restoration Challenges and Strategies for Small Island Developing States in the Face of Sea Level Rise and Climate Change
by Edwin A. Hernández-Delgado
Coasts 2024, 4(2), 235-286; https://doi.org/10.3390/coasts4020014 - 1 Apr 2024
Cited by 7 | Viewed by 7198
Abstract
The climate crisis poses a grave threat to numerous small island developing states (SIDS), intensifying risks from extreme weather events and sea level rise (SLR). This vulnerability heightens the dangers of coastal erosion, chronic water quality degradation, and dwindling coastal resources, demanding global [...] Read more.
The climate crisis poses a grave threat to numerous small island developing states (SIDS), intensifying risks from extreme weather events and sea level rise (SLR). This vulnerability heightens the dangers of coastal erosion, chronic water quality degradation, and dwindling coastal resources, demanding global attention. The resultant loss of ecological persistence, functional services, and ecosystem resilience jeopardizes protection against wave action and SLR, endangering coastal habitats’ economic value, food security, infrastructure, and livelihoods. Implementing integrated strategies is imperative. A thorough discussion of available strategies and best management practices for coastal ecosystem restoration is presented in the context of SIDS needs, threats, and major constraints. Solutions must encompass enhanced green infrastructure restoration (coral reefs, seagrass meadows, mangroves/wetlands, urban shorelines), sustainable development practices, circular economy principles, and the adoption of ecological restoration policies. This requires securing creative and sustainable funding, promoting green job creation, and fostering local stakeholder engagement. Tailored to each island’s reality, solutions must overcome numerous socio-economic, logistical, and political obstacles. Despite challenges, timely opportunities exist for coastal habitat restoration and climate change adaptation policies. Integrated strategies spanning disciplines and stakeholders necessitate significant political will. Full article
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<p>Conceptual diagram of the characteristics of small island developing states (SIDS). Colonial island states often share similar characteristics, but often have additional characteristics which enhance their vulnerability to disasters.</p>
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<p>Conceptual diagram of the most common consequences of climate change impacts on coral reefs, seagrass meadows, mangroves, sand beaches/dunes, and urban shorelines in small island developing states (SIDS). Declining ecological condition of coastal ecosystems will result in a net long-term loss of their ecological persistence, resilience, ecosystem services, benefits, and socio-economic values. Consequently, restoration cost is projected to increase. Social vulnerability will increase as a function of increased risks of exposure to climate change impacts and the chronic degradation of coastal ecosystems. Figure adapted from Unsworth et al. [<a href="#B79-coasts-04-00014" class="html-bibr">79</a>].</p>
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<p>Conceptual diagram of the most common political and socio-economic obstacles and challenges faced by small island developing states (SIDS) that might limit their ability to adapt to and mitigate projected impacts of climate change and SLR.</p>
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<p>Conceptual diagram of the most common co-benefits of green, hybrid (green/gray), and gray coastal infrastructure, beyond their original functionality protecting coastlines and built infrastructure. <span class="html-italic">Green infrastructure</span> refers to coral reefs, seagrass meadows, mangroves, salt flats, tidal marshes, wetlands, oyster reefs, sandy beaches, and sand dunes. <span class="html-italic">Coastal ecosystem restoration</span> refers to any activity involving natural habitat enhancement with specific objectives of protecting the shoreline and numerous co-benefits (i.e., biodiversity enhancement, depleted species recovery, fisheries management, enhanced essential fish habitats, etc.). <span class="html-italic">Hybrid infrastructure</span> refers to the incorporation of coastal reengineering (i.e., artificial reefs, living shorelines, submerged breakwaters, groins, beach renourishment) that promotes shoreline protection and/or beach stabilization, but can also promote biodiversity enhancement. <span class="html-italic">Gray infrastructure</span> refers to building any hardened artificial structure along or adjacent to the shoreline to protect infrastructure and life from disasters. Figure adapted from Kuwae and Crook [<a href="#B192-coasts-04-00014" class="html-bibr">192</a>].</p>
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<p>Conceptual model of challenges and benefits of alternative financing strategies to implement green/gray coastal restoration in SIDS.</p>
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<p>Conceptual integration of critical planning and implementation steps necessary to achieve successful coral reef ecological restoration in SIDS. These actions should be implemented within a larger framework that should integrate coastal zone management, climate change adaptation and mitigation, and the incorporation of a national coastal ecosystem restoration plan. Figure adapted from Quigley et al. [<a href="#B241-coasts-04-00014" class="html-bibr">241</a>].</p>
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<p>Model of numerous benefits derived from the ecological restoration of coral reef, seagrass, and mangrove ecosystems. Enhancing the scale of restoration interventions, as well as the diversity of restored ecosystems, will improve obtained benefits to society, including socio-economic resilience, improved livelihood and well-being, job opportunities, and other cultural benefits.</p>
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<p>Conceptual array of socio-economic benefits derived from the ecological restoration of the coastal green infrastructure in SIDS.</p>
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<p>Fundamental steps for the participatory planning, financing, implementation, accountability, and adaptability for the strategic development of a successful coastal restoration public policy for SIDS.</p>
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13 pages, 1522 KiB  
Article
Horizontal Rates of Wetland Migration Appear Unlikely to Keep Pace with Shoreline Transgression under Conditions of 21st Century Accelerating Sea Level Rise along the Mid-Atlantic and Southeastern USA
by Randall W. Parkinson
Coasts 2024, 4(1), 213-225; https://doi.org/10.3390/coasts4010012 - 14 Mar 2024
Viewed by 2033
Abstract
This investigation evaluated two fundamental assumptions of wetland inundation models designed to emulate landscape evolution and resiliency under conditions of sea level rise: that they can (1) migrate landward at the same rate as the transgressing shoreline and (2) immediately replace the plant [...] Read more.
This investigation evaluated two fundamental assumptions of wetland inundation models designed to emulate landscape evolution and resiliency under conditions of sea level rise: that they can (1) migrate landward at the same rate as the transgressing shoreline and (2) immediately replace the plant community into which they are onlapping. Rates of wetland (e.g., marsh, mangrove) migration were culled from 11 study areas located in five regions of focus: Delaware Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Pamlico Sound, South Florida, and Northwest Florida. The average rate of marsh migration (n = 14) was 3.7 m yr−1. The average rate of South Florida mangrove migration (n = 4) was 38.0 m yr−1. The average rate of upland forest retreat (n = 4) was 3.4 m yr−1. Theoretical rates of shoreline transgression were calculated using site-specific landscape slope and scenario-based NOAA sea level rise elevations in 2050. Rates of shoreline transgression over the marsh landscape averaged 94 m yr−1. The average rate of shoreline transgression in the mangrove-dominated areas of South Florida was 153.2 m yr−1. The calculated rates of shoreline transgression were much faster than the observed horizontal marsh migration, and by 2050, the offset or gap between them averaged 2700 m and ranged between 292 and 5531 m. In South Florida, the gap average was 3516 m and ranged between 2766 m and 4563 m. At sites where both horizontal marsh migration and forest retreat rates were available, the distance or gap between them in 2050 averaged 47 m. Therefore, the results of this study are inconsistent with the two fundamental assumptions of many wetland inundation models and suggest that they may overestimate their resilience under conditions of 21st century accelerating sea level rise. Full article
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<p>Google Earth image showing location of regions of focus and related data-source study areas (<a href="#coasts-04-00012-t001" class="html-table">Table 1</a>). Also indicated are the locations of NOAA tide gauge stations considered in this analysis.</p>
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<p>Average slope of landscape (black lines) calculated between present shoreline (0, 0) and first elevation contour (1.524 m or 5 ft) of study area-specific USGS 7.5′ topographic map, unless defined previously in a reference, considered during this investigation (see <a href="#app1-coasts-04-00012" class="html-app">Supplementary Materials, Table S1</a>). Slope locations (i.e., alphanumeric labels) shown in <a href="#coasts-04-00012-f001" class="html-fig">Figure 1</a>. Landscape slope is truncated if the threshold elevation (i.e., 1.524 m) was not reached at 3 km inland. Also shown are sea level elevation (horizontal blue line) and the theoretical distance of wetland upslope (e.g., inland) migration (black circles) in 2050 relative to 2020. The intersection of landscape slope and sea level elevation represents location of shoreline in 2050. Wetland migration distances vary within and between focus regions and study areas as a function of the magnitude of the rate of migration (<a href="#coasts-04-00012-t001" class="html-table">Table 1</a>) and slope of the landscape (<a href="#coasts-04-00012-t002" class="html-table">Table 2</a>). Note that focus regions 4 (South Florida) and 5 (Northwest Florida) have been combined into a Florida summary.</p>
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<p>Correlation between rates of horizontal marsh migration and (<b>A</b>) contemporaneous rate of sea level rise or (<b>B</b>) topographic slope. Also shown are trendlines and associated coefficients of determination. Rate of sea level rise and slope values were obtained from <a href="#coasts-04-00012-t001" class="html-table">Table 1</a> and <a href="#coasts-04-00012-t002" class="html-table">Table 2</a>, respectively.</p>
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<p>Average distance (m) of modern horizontal wetland migration and shoreline transgression calculated to occur between 2020 (<span class="html-italic">x</span>-axis value = 0) and 2050 plotted as a function of focus area. In all examples, the distance of shoreline transgression exceeds that of wetland migration.</p>
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