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17 pages, 7042 KiB  
Article
Overvoltage Simulation Analysis and Suppression of Breaking in a 35 kV Shunt Reactor
by Jing Chen, Xiaoyue Chen, Siying Feng, Xinmeng Liu and Qin Liu
Energies 2025, 18(5), 1274; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18051274 - 5 Mar 2025
Abstract
When a 35 kV distribution network has the problem of insufficient reactive power, the input of a shunt reactor is a common compensation method. Vacuum circuit breakers are widely used in 35 kV distribution networks because of their superior arc extinguishing performance and [...] Read more.
When a 35 kV distribution network has the problem of insufficient reactive power, the input of a shunt reactor is a common compensation method. Vacuum circuit breakers are widely used in 35 kV distribution networks because of their superior arc extinguishing performance and convenient maintenance. However, in recent years, accidents involving vacuum circuit breakers breaking shunt reactors have occurred more frequently in China, such as high-frequency phase-to-phase short circuits, inter-turn burning losses, bus outlet short circuits, etc., which can cause serious damage and pose a greater threat to the safety of the power system. This paper focuses on the switching overvoltage generated by the vacuum circuit breaker cutting off the shunt reactor. Firstly, the mechanism of overvoltage generation is analyzed theoretically. It is concluded that the equivalent chopping current of the other two phases caused by the continuous reignition of the first open phase is the root cause of the high-amplitude interphase overvoltage. Based on the MODELS custom programming module in EMTP/ATP, according to the process of breaking and reigniting the circuit breaker, this paper uses Fortran language to compile the program and establishes a model of a vacuum circuit breaker, including power frequency current interception, high-frequency current, zero-crossing, breaking, and arc reignition modules. The vacuum circuit breaker is simulated for hundreds of continuous reignitions in milliseconds. Finally, a simulation study on the overvoltage suppression measures of a 35 kV shunt reactor is carried out. The comprehensive comparison of various suppression measures provides a reference for the reasonable selection of actual engineering conditions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section F3: Power Electronics)
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Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>35 kV shunt reactor configuration diagram.</p>
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<p>Current chopping diagram.</p>
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<p>The simulation waveform of the 35 kV shunt reactor in 3 A cut-off breaking. (<b>a</b>) Three-phase ground voltage waveform on the shunt side. (<b>b</b>) Anti-side interphase voltage waveform. (<b>c</b>) Circuit breaker three-phase break recovery voltage waveform. (<b>d</b>) Bus-side three-phase voltage waveform.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3 Cont.
<p>The simulation waveform of the 35 kV shunt reactor in 3 A cut-off breaking. (<b>a</b>) Three-phase ground voltage waveform on the shunt side. (<b>b</b>) Anti-side interphase voltage waveform. (<b>c</b>) Circuit breaker three-phase break recovery voltage waveform. (<b>d</b>) Bus-side three-phase voltage waveform.</p>
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<p>The recovery voltage rise speed of the circuit breaker fracture when the cut-off value is 3 A.</p>
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<p>The three-phase current flowing through the circuit breaker when phase A is reburned once.</p>
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<p>The simulation waveform of the 35 kV shunt reactor at one reignition. (<b>a</b>) Three-phase ground voltage waveform on the shunt side. (<b>b</b>) Anti-side interphase voltage waveform. (<b>c</b>) Circuit breaker three-phase break recovery voltage waveform. (<b>d</b>) Bus-side three-phase voltage waveform.</p>
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<p>Equivalent cut-off waveform diagram.</p>
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<p>Main modules of a vacuum circuit breaker program.</p>
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<p>Simulation model of vacuum circuit breaker.</p>
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<p>Working programming flow chart for the vacuum circuit breaker.</p>
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<p>The current of the vacuum circuit breaker during the continuous reburning of the first open phase A phase.</p>
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<p>Simulation waveform of the equivalent cut-off current of the back open phase of the circuit breaker. (<b>a</b>) B-phase current waveform. (<b>b</b>) C-phase current waveform.</p>
Full article ">Figure 13
<p>The simulation waveform of the 35 kV shunt reactor under equivalent current interception. (<b>a</b>) Parallel anti-side relative ground overvoltage simulation waveform. (<b>b</b>) Parallel phase-to-phase overvoltage simulation waveform. (<b>c</b>) Bus-side overvoltage simulation waveform relative to the ground. (<b>d</b>) Bus- side phase-to-phase overvoltage simulation waveform.</p>
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<p>In situ switching diagram of the shunt reactor. (<b>a</b>) Parallel reactor on-site switching schematic diagram one. (<b>b</b>) In situ switching schematic diagram two of the shunt reactor.</p>
Full article ">Figure 14 Cont.
<p>In situ switching diagram of the shunt reactor. (<b>a</b>) Parallel reactor on-site switching schematic diagram one. (<b>b</b>) In situ switching schematic diagram two of the shunt reactor.</p>
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<p>Schematic diagram of the RC absorption device.</p>
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<p>Common arrester schematic diagrams. (<b>a</b>) Four star lightning arrester. (<b>b</b>) Six-phase lightning arrester.</p>
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19 pages, 12844 KiB  
Article
Inter-Software Reproducibility of Quantitative Values of Myocardial Blood Flow and Coronary Flow Reserve Acquired by [13N]NH3 MPI PET/CT and the Effect of Motion Correction Tools
by Oscar Isaac Mendoza-Ibañez, Riemer H. J. A. Slart, Erick Alexanderson-Rosas, Tonantzin Samara Martinez-Lucio, Friso M. van der Zant, Remco J. J. Knol and Sergiy V. Lazarenko
Diagnostics 2025, 15(5), 613; https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics15050613 - 4 Mar 2025
Viewed by 35
Abstract
Background: The choice of software package (SP) for image processing affects the reproducibility of myocardial blood flow (MBF) values in [13N]NH3 PET/CT scans. However, the impact of motion correction (MC) tools—integrated software motion correction (ISMC) or data-driven motion correction (DDMC)—on [...] Read more.
Background: The choice of software package (SP) for image processing affects the reproducibility of myocardial blood flow (MBF) values in [13N]NH3 PET/CT scans. However, the impact of motion correction (MC) tools—integrated software motion correction (ISMC) or data-driven motion correction (DDMC)—on the inter-software reproducibility of MBF has not been studied. This research aims to evaluate reproducibility among three commonly used SPs and the role of MC. Methods: Thirty-six PET/CT studies from patients without myocardial ischemia or infarction were processed using QPET, Corridor-4DM (4DM), and syngo.MBF (syngo). MBF and coronary flow reserve (CFR) values were obtained without motion correction (NMC) and with ISMC and DDMC. Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC) and Bland-Altman (BA) plots were used to analyze agreement. Results: Good or excellent reproducibility (ICC ≥ 0.77) was found for rest-MBF values, regardless of the SPs or use of MC. In contrast, stress-MBF and CFR values presented mostly a moderate agreement when NMC was used. The RCA territory consistently had the lowest agreement in stress-MBF and CFR in the comparisons involving QPET. The use of MC, particularly DDMC, enhanced the reproducibility of most of the stress-MBF and CFR values by improving ICCs and reducing bias and limits of agreement (LoA) in BA analysis. Conclusions: MBF quantification agreement between SPs is strong for rest-MBF values but suboptimal for stress-MBF and CFR values. MC tools, especially DDMC, are recommended for improving reproducibility in stress-MBF assessments, although differences in SP reproducibility up to 0.77 mL/g/min in global stress-MBF and up to 0.88 in global CFR remain despite the use of MC. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue PET/CT Diagnostics and Theranostics)
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Figure 1
<p>Functioning of the DDMC algorithm. (<b>A</b>) Direct Volume Histogram (DVH) constructed by the DDMC at sec = 85. (<b>B</b>) Process of heart signature (REF) detection in DDMC. The red box denoted the REF located within a predefined search range (SER) [gray box]. (<b>C</b>) DDMC normalized cross-correlation (NCC) matches in a stress acquisition up to sec = 250. The red solid line denotes the threshold of 85% established to assure reliable motion tracking. Blue solid line reflects the blood-pool period, where tracking is more difficult and sometimes unreliable. (<b>D</b>) Motion vector constructed by DDMC in the Z-direction of the second half of a stress acquisition.</p>
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<p>Flowchart of the methodological process for the acquisition of final variables and formal statistical analysis of the data.</p>
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<p>BA analysis of LAD rest-MBF values in the paired comparison of QPET and 4DM. Note how the bias (mean error) [black solid line], range of limits of agreement (LoA) [black dotted line], and minimal detectable change (MDC) are not modified in a significant extent by the use of ISMC (<b>B</b>) or DDMC (<b>C</b>) when compared to the original NMC approach (<b>A</b>).</p>
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<p>BA analysis of regional stress-MBF values in the paired comparison of QPET and 4DM. Note how the bias (mean error) [black solid line] is modified in a significant extent by the use of ISMC (<b>B</b>) or DDMC (<b>C</b>), when compared to the original NMC approach (<b>A</b>). It is important to notice how the range of the limits of agreement (LoA) [black dotted lines] and minimal detectable change (MDC) are reduced considerably when using MC tools.</p>
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<p>BA analysis of global CFR values in the paired comparison of QPET and 4DM. Note how the bias (mean error) [black solid line] becomes closer to the zero mean difference line after the use of ISMC (<b>B</b>) or DDMC (<b>C</b>) when compared to the original NMC approach (<b>A</b>). Note how the range in limits of agreement (LoA) [black dotted lines] and minimal detectable change (MDC) are also reduced considerably when using MC tools.</p>
Full article ">
18 pages, 2489 KiB  
Article
Stormwater Treatment in Future Tropical and Sub-Tropical Climates
by Lawrence Mills, Benjamin Taylor, Raj Sharma and Shameen Jinadasa
Water 2025, 17(5), 715; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17050715 - 28 Feb 2025
Viewed by 172
Abstract
Stormwater treatment systems play an integral part in achieving sustainable urban development. The performance of these systems is likely to be impacted by potential changes in climatic patterns, including precipitation. This project investigates the simulated impacts of climate change on the performance of [...] Read more.
Stormwater treatment systems play an integral part in achieving sustainable urban development. The performance of these systems is likely to be impacted by potential changes in climatic patterns, including precipitation. This project investigates the simulated impacts of climate change on the performance of stormwater treatment systems used as a part of Water-Sensitive Urban Design (WSUD). Townsville and the Gold Coast of Queensland, Australia, were selected for the study to investigate tropical and sub-tropical climates experienced by cities across the globe adjoining sensitive coastal environments such as wetlands and coral reefs. The daily precipitation output projected by Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) climate models was downscaled to pluviograph input into the Model for Urban Improvement Conceptualisation (MUSIC). The treatment performance of bioretention systems and constructed wetlands was variable across both locations, with some models showing little to no change or improvement. Worsening of treatment performance was more prominent in the tropical climate, with numerous models reaching a decline of up to 16%. However, the highest observed reduction from a single model output occurred in the sub-tropical climate location. To make the WSUD treatment system effective under the future climate scenarios, physical modification is necessary to increase the treatment area or depth. Increasing the area in the worst-case scenario could incur a cost increase of 20% to 30% and present challenges due to development constraints. Increasing the depth could be a viable alternative for bioretention systems but is likely impractical for constructed wetlands. Full article
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Figure 1
<p>(<b>top</b>) Comparison of baseline rainfall data with historical precipitation record of 1986–2005 for Gold Coast: (<b>a</b>) monthly mean precipitation; (<b>b</b>) baseline mean monthly wet period; (<b>c</b>) baseline mean monthly dry period. (<b>bottom</b>) Comparison of baseline rainfall data with historical precipitation record of 1986–2005 for Townville: (<b>d</b>) monthly mean precipitation; (<b>e</b>) baseline mean monthly wet period; (<b>f</b>) baseline mean monthly dry period.</p>
Full article ">Figure 1 Cont.
<p>(<b>top</b>) Comparison of baseline rainfall data with historical precipitation record of 1986–2005 for Gold Coast: (<b>a</b>) monthly mean precipitation; (<b>b</b>) baseline mean monthly wet period; (<b>c</b>) baseline mean monthly dry period. (<b>bottom</b>) Comparison of baseline rainfall data with historical precipitation record of 1986–2005 for Townville: (<b>d</b>) monthly mean precipitation; (<b>e</b>) baseline mean monthly wet period; (<b>f</b>) baseline mean monthly dry period.</p>
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<p>(<b>top</b>) GCM-forecasted rainfall data for Townsville, with ranges excluding median: (<b>a</b>) annual rainfall distribution; (<b>b</b>) annual maximum dry period; (<b>c</b>) annual maximum wet period; MPI = Max Planck Institute Earth System Model, NOR = Norwegian Earth System Model. (<b>bottom</b>) GCM-forecasted rainfall data for Gold Coast, with ranges excluding median: (<b>d</b>) annual rainfall distribution; (<b>e</b>) annual maximum dry period; (<b>f</b>) annual maximum wet period; MPI = Max Planck Institute Earth System Model, NOR = Norwegian Earth System Model.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2 Cont.
<p>(<b>top</b>) GCM-forecasted rainfall data for Townsville, with ranges excluding median: (<b>a</b>) annual rainfall distribution; (<b>b</b>) annual maximum dry period; (<b>c</b>) annual maximum wet period; MPI = Max Planck Institute Earth System Model, NOR = Norwegian Earth System Model. (<b>bottom</b>) GCM-forecasted rainfall data for Gold Coast, with ranges excluding median: (<b>d</b>) annual rainfall distribution; (<b>e</b>) annual maximum dry period; (<b>f</b>) annual maximum wet period; MPI = Max Planck Institute Earth System Model, NOR = Norwegian Earth System Model.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) TN reduction achieved for treatment train across all models—Townsville. (<b>b</b>) TN reduction achieved for treatment train across all models—Gold Coast.</p>
Full article ">
21 pages, 3286 KiB  
Article
A Concept for On-Road Inter-Laboratory Correlation Exercises with Portable Emission Measurement Systems (PEMS)
by Maria Trikka, Sara Valentini, Giulio Cotogno, Pierluigi Canevari, Anastasios Melas, Michaël Clairotte, Marcos Otura García and Barouch Giechaskiel
Processes 2025, 13(3), 702; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13030702 - 28 Feb 2025
Viewed by 233
Abstract
Portable emission measurement systems (PEMS) are used onboard vehicles to determine the on-road real driving emissions of the vehicles for research or regulatory purposes. The assessment of a PEMS is carried out in a laboratory comparing it with laboratory grade systems (i.e., validation [...] Read more.
Portable emission measurement systems (PEMS) are used onboard vehicles to determine the on-road real driving emissions of the vehicles for research or regulatory purposes. The assessment of a PEMS is carried out in a laboratory comparing it with laboratory grade systems (i.e., validation test). This procedure is described in the European Commission Regulation (EU) 2017/1151 and there are limits that must be respected (permissible tolerances). A few inter-laboratory studies evaluated PEMS in the laboratories of different institutes. However, there are no on-road inter-laboratory studies of PEMS because there is no reference instrument available and the source (i.e., emissions of the vehicle) fluctuates significantly due to the variation of the trip characteristics, driver behavior, and environmental conditions, making meaningful evaluation challenging. Here, we present a concept of how such inter-laboratory studies could take place. The concept is that a ‘reference PEMS’ is evaluated first in the laboratory of one of the participating institutes. Then, the ‘reference PEMS’, with a reference vehicle (optionally) is sent to the other institutes to compare their ‘test PEMS’ with the ‘reference PEMS’ on-road. The difference (absolute or relative) of the two PEMS, corrected for any ‘bias’ of the ‘reference PEMS’, is used for the assessment of the ‘test PEMS’ (i.e., comparison with the permissible tolerances) or any statistical analysis (e.g., z-scores). Ideally, the selected reference PEMS should have negligible ‘bias’ (e.g., due to calibration uncertainties, drift), and for this reason, a thorough investigation at the beginning of the exercise is highly recommended. A statistical analysis can be made to confirm if there is bias. Using the differences (absolute or relative) of PEMS, the source (vehicle emissions) variability is cancelled out. The differences can then be compared with the permissible tolerances of the regulation, but up to 40% higher deviations should still be acceptable. We demonstrate the concept with experiments in our institute. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Engine Combustion and Emissions)
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Figure 1
<p>Experimental setup: laboratory (<b>left</b>) and on-road (<b>right</b>).</p>
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<p>Measurements of NOx with PEMS: (<b>a</b>) Laboratory: differences of PEMS from laboratory equipment LABS (Equation (1a,b)). The asterisk indicates tests with vehicle V1. (<b>b</b>) On-road: differences of PEMS from reference PEMS A (Equation (2)).</p>
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<p>PEMS assessment. (<b>a</b>) The assessment of PEMS in the laboratory and on the road. First blue bars are laboratory validation results (Equation (1a,b)). Second orange bars are the on-road differences corrected with the reference PEMS validation results (Equation (4b)); third columns are the on-road PEMS differences (Equation (2)). Error bars give min-max values. Dotted lines give the permissible tolerance defined in the regulation, applicable only for the validation tests (i.e., PEMS vs. LABS, blue columns), while dashed lines give the extended tolerances applicable only to PEMS comparisons (orange and grey columns). (<b>b</b>) NOx real time concentrations during the first 4000 s of an on-road trip. The arrow indicates ignition of the engine. High concentrations have been cut out to focus on the low concentrations.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Measurements of CO with PEMS: (<b>a</b>) Laboratory: differences of PEMS from laboratory equipment LABS (Equation (1)). The asterisk indicates tests with vehicle V1. (<b>b</b>) On-road: differences of PEMS from reference PEMS A (Equation (2)).</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>PEMS assessment. (<b>a</b>) The assessment of PEMS in the laboratory and on the road. First blue bars are validation results (Equation (1a,b)). Second orange bars are the on-road differences corrected with the reference PEMS validation results (Equation (4b)); third, columns are the on-road PEMS differences (Equation (2)). Error bars give min-max values. Dotted lines give the permissible tolerance defined in the regulation for the validation tests (i.e., PEMS vs. LABS), while the extended tolerances are not plotted. (<b>b</b>) CO real time concentrations during the first 5 min of an on-road trip. The arrow indicates ignition of the engine. High concentrations have been cut out to focus on the low concentrations.</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>Measurements of CO<sub>2</sub> with PEMS: (<b>a</b>) Laboratory: differences of PEMS from laboratory equipment LABS (Equation (A1)). The asterisk indicates tests with vehicle V1. (<b>b</b>) On-road: differences of PEMS from reference PEMS A (Equation (A2)).</p>
Full article ">Figure 7
<p>PEMS assessment. (<b>a</b>) The assessment of PEMS in the laboratory and on the road. First blue bars are validation results (Equation (A1)). Second orange bars are the on-road differences corrected with the reference PEMS validation results (Equation (A4b)); third columns are the on-road PEMS differences (Equation (A2)). Error bars give min-max values. Dotted lines give the permissible tolerance defined in the regulation for the validation tests (i.e., PEMS vs. LABS), while dashed lines give the extended tolerances applicable only to PEMS comparisons (orange and grey columns). (<b>b</b>) CO<sub>2</sub> real time concentrations during the first and last 300 s of a worldwide harmonized light vehicle test cycle (WLTC).</p>
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<p>Measurements of PN with PEMS: (<b>a</b>) Laboratory: differences of PEMS from laboratory equipment LABS (Equation (A1)). The asterisk indicates tests with vehicle V1. (<b>b</b>) On-road: differences of PEMS from reference PEMS A (Equation (A2b)).</p>
Full article ">Figure 9
<p>PEMS assessment. (<b>a</b>) The assessment of PEMS in the laboratory and on the road. First blue bars are validation results (Equation (A1)). Second orange bars are the on-road differences corrected with the reference PEMS validation results (Equation (A4b)); third columns are the on-road PEMS differences (Equation (A2)). Error bars give min-max values. Dotted lines give the permissible tolerance defined in the regulation for the validation tests (i.e., PEMS vs. LABS), while the extended tolerances are not plotted. (<b>b</b>) PN real time concentrations.</p>
Full article ">
39 pages, 12565 KiB  
Article
Integrating Land Use/Land Cover and Climate Change Projections to Assess Future Hydrological Responses: A CMIP6-Based Multi-Scenario Approach in the Omo–Gibe River Basin, Ethiopia
by Paulos Lukas, Assefa M. Melesse and Tadesse Tujuba Kenea
Climate 2025, 13(3), 51; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli13030051 - 28 Feb 2025
Viewed by 272
Abstract
It is imperative to assess and comprehend the hydrological processes of the river basin in light of the potential effects of land use/land cover and climate changes. The study’s main objective was to evaluate hydrologic response of water balance components to the projected [...] Read more.
It is imperative to assess and comprehend the hydrological processes of the river basin in light of the potential effects of land use/land cover and climate changes. The study’s main objective was to evaluate hydrologic response of water balance components to the projected land use/land cover (LULC) and climate changes in the Omo–Gibe River Basin, Ethiopia. The study employed historical precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature data from meteorological stations, projected LULC change from module for land use simulation and evaluation (MOLUSCE) output, and climate change scenarios from coupled model intercomparison project phase 6 (CMIP6) global climate models (GCMs). Landsat thematic mapper (TM) (2007) enhanced thematic mapper plus (ETM+) (2016), and operational land imager (OLI) (2023) image data were utilized for LULC change analysis and used as input in MOLUSCE simulation to predict future LULC changes for 2047, 2073, and 2100. The predictive capacity of the model was evaluated using performance evaluation metrics such as Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), the coefficient of determination (R2), and percent bias (PBIAS). The bias correction and downscaling of CMIP6 GCMs was performed via CMhyd. According to the present study’s findings, rainfall will drop by up to 24% in the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s while evapotranspiration will increase by 21%. The findings of this study indicate that in the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s time periods, the average annual Tmax will increase by 5.1, 7.3, and 8.7%, respectively under the SSP126 scenario, by 5.2, 10.5, and 14.9%, respectively under the SSP245 scenario, by 4.7, 11.3, and 20.7%, respectively, under the SSP585 scenario while Tmin will increase by 8.7, 13.1, and 14.6%, respectively, under the SSP126 scenario, by 1.5, 18.2, and 27%, respectively, under the SSP245 scenario, and by 4.7, 30.7, and 48.2%, respectively, under the SSP585 scenario. Future changes in the annual average Tmax, Tmin, and precipitation could have a significant effect on surface and subsurface hydrology, reservoir sedimentation, hydroelectric power generation, and agricultural production in the OGRB. Considering the significant and long-term effects of climate and LULC changes on surface runoff, evapotranspiration, and groundwater recharge in the Omo–Gibe River Basin, the following recommendations are essential for efficient water resource management and ecological preservation. National, regional, and local governments, as well as non-governmental organizations, should develop and implement a robust water resources management plan, promote afforestation and reforestation programs, install high-quality hydrological and meteorological data collection mechanisms, and strengthen monitoring and early warning systems in the Omo–Gibe River Basin. Full article
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Figure 1
<p>The study area map comprises meteorological stations, streamflow gauging stations, and stream networks.</p>
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<p>The general flowchart of the study comprises data input, preprocessing and processing, and outputs.</p>
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<p>Historical and projected LULC patterns of 2007, 2016, 2023, 2047, 2073, and 2100 in the Omo–Gibe River Basin.</p>
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<p>CMIP6 GCM selection procedure.</p>
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<p>Mean annual maximum temperature for the baseline (1985–2014), SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 scenarios (2023–2100) considering the 95% confidence level in the OGRB.</p>
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<p>Mean annual minimum temperature for the baseline (1985–2014), SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 scenarios (2023–2100) considering the 95% level of confidence in the OGRB.</p>
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<p>Mean annual minimum temperature for the baseline (1985–2014), SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 scenarios (2023–2100) considering the 95% level of confidence in the OGRB.</p>
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<p>Anomalies of mean annual Tmax and Tmin for five CMIP6 models (<b>a</b>,<b>b</b>), and model ensemble mean for Tmax (<b>c</b>) and for Tmin (<b>d</b>) for the base historical period (1985–2014).</p>
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<p>Mean annual precipitation for the observed (1985–2022), SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 scenarios (2023–2100) from five CMIP6 ensemble GCMs considering the 95% confidence level.</p>
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<p>Mean annual precipitation for the observed (1985–2022), SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 scenarios (2023–2100) from five CMIP6 ensemble GCMs considering the 95% confidence level.</p>
Full article ">Figure 8 Cont.
<p>Mean annual precipitation for the observed (1985–2022), SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 scenarios (2023–2100) from five CMIP6 ensemble GCMs considering the 95% confidence level.</p>
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<p>Mean annual precipitation anomalies of five CMIP6 models (<b>a</b>) and model ensemble mean (<b>b</b>) for the base historical period (1985–2014).</p>
Full article ">Figure 9 Cont.
<p>Mean annual precipitation anomalies of five CMIP6 models (<b>a</b>) and model ensemble mean (<b>b</b>) for the base historical period (1985–2014).</p>
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<p>Streamflow changes (<b>a</b>–<b>h</b>) in the observed and simulated data for the calibration (1995–2012) and validation periods (2013–2019).</p>
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<p>Streamflow changes (<b>a</b>–<b>h</b>) in the observed and simulated data for the calibration (1995–2012) and validation periods (2013–2019).</p>
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<p>Streamflow changes (<b>a</b>–<b>h</b>) in the observed and simulated data for the calibration (1995–2012) and validation periods (2013–2019).</p>
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<p>Effects of LULC changes on surface runoff during the 2020s (<b>left</b>), 2050s (<b>middle</b>), and 2080s (<b>right</b>) in the OGRB.</p>
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<p>Effects of LULC changes on evapotranspiration during the 2020s (<b>left</b>), 2050s, and 2080s in the OGRB.</p>
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<p>Effects of LULC changes on groundwater recharge during the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s in the OGRB.</p>
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<p>Effects of climate change on surface runoff (mm) in the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s from five CMIP6 GCMs under SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 in the OGRB.</p>
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<p>Effects of climate change on evapotranspiration (mm) in the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s from five CMIP6 GCMs under SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 in the OGRB.</p>
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<p>Effects of climate change on groundwater recharge (mm) in the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s from five CMIP6 GCMs under SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 in the OGRB.</p>
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<p>Effects of LULC and climate changes on surface runoff (mm) in the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s from five CMIP6 GCMs under SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 in the OGRB.</p>
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<p>Effects of LULC and climate changes on evapotranspiration (mm) in the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s from five CMIP6 GCMs under SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 in the OGRB.</p>
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<p>Effects of LULC and climate changes on groundwater recharge (mm) in the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s from five CMIP6 GCMs under SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 in the OGRB.</p>
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19 pages, 5377 KiB  
Article
Agroclimatic Indicator Analysis Under Climate Change Conditions to Predict the Climatic Suitability for Wheat Production in the Upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia
by Wondimeneh Leul Demissew, Tadesse Terefe Zeleke, Kassahun Ture, Dejene K. Mengistu and Meaza Abera Fufa
Agriculture 2025, 15(5), 525; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture15050525 - 28 Feb 2025
Viewed by 238
Abstract
Agricultural productivity is significantly influenced by climate-related factors. Understanding the impacts of climate change on agroclimatic conditions is critical for ensuring sustainable agricultural practices. This study investigates how key agroclimatic variables—temperature, moisture conditions, and length of the growing season (LGS)—influence wheat suitability in [...] Read more.
Agricultural productivity is significantly influenced by climate-related factors. Understanding the impacts of climate change on agroclimatic conditions is critical for ensuring sustainable agricultural practices. This study investigates how key agroclimatic variables—temperature, moisture conditions, and length of the growing season (LGS)—influence wheat suitability in the Upper Blue Nile Basin (UBNB), Ethiopia. The Global Agroecological Zones (GAEZ) methodology was employed to assess agroclimatic suitability, integrating climate projections from Climate Models Intercomparison Project v6 (CMIP6) under shared socioeconomic pathway (ssp370 and ssp585) scenarios. The CMIP6 data provided downscaled projections for temperature and precipitation, while the GAEZ framework translated these climatic inputs into agroclimatic indicators, enabling spatially explicit analyses of land suitability. Projections indicate significant warming, with mean annual temperatures expected to rise between 1.13 °C and 4.85 °C by the end of the century. Precipitation levels are anticipated to increase overall, although spatial variability may challenge moisture availability in some regions. The LGS is projected to extend, particularly in the southern and southeastern UBNB, enhancing agricultural potential in these areas. However, wheat suitability faces considerable declines; under ssp585, the highly suitable area is expected to drop from 24.21% to 13.31% by the 2080s due to thermal and moisture stress. This study highlights the intricate relationship between agroclimatic variables and agricultural productivity. Integrating GAEZ and CMIP6 projections provides quantified insights into the impacts of climate change on wheat suitability. These findings offer a foundation for developing adaptive strategies to safeguard food security and optimize land use in vulnerable regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ecosystem, Environment and Climate Change in Agriculture)
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<p>Conceptual framework.</p>
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<p>Mean annual daily mean temperature in the UBNB. The top panel shows the baseline period (1981–2010), and the middle and bottom panels display changes under ssp370 and ssp585 scenarios, respectively.</p>
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<p>Mean annual precipitation in the UBNB. The top panel shows the baseline period (1981–2010), and the middle and bottom panels display changes under ssp370 and ssp585 scenarios, respectively.</p>
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<p>Mean annual temperature sum (TS10) above 10 °C for the UBNB. The top panel represents the baseline period (1981–2010), while the middle and bottom panels illustrate changes in TS10 under ssp370 and ssp585 scenarios, respectively.</p>
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<p>Spatial distribution of humidity indices (HIs) in the UBNB. The top panel shows the baseline period (1981–2010), and the middle and bottom panels depict changes in HIs under ssp370 and ssp585 scenarios, respectively.</p>
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<p>Spatial distribution of the GSL in the UBNB. The top panel represents the baseline period (1981–2010), while the middle and bottom panels show changes in GSL under ssp370 and ssp585 scenarios, respectively.</p>
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<p>Spatial distribution of wheat suitability classes in the UBNB under three scenarios: (1) the baseline period (1981–2010), (2) the ssp370 scenario, and (3) the ssp585 scenario. Each panel clearly delineates areas classified from very suitable to not suitable, based on agroclimatic constraints and high agricultural input conditions in a rainfed system.</p>
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20 pages, 4133 KiB  
Article
Paradoxical Response to Neoadjuvant Therapy in Undifferentiated Pleomorphic Sarcoma: Increased Tumor Size on MRI Associated with Favorable Pathology
by Mariam H. Goreish, Nicolò Gennaro, Laetitia Perronne, Gorkem Durak, Amir A. Borhani, Hatice Savas, Linda Kelahan, Ryan Avery, Kamal Subedi, Tugce Agirlar Trabzonlu, Ulas Bagci, Baris Turkbey, Spyridon Bakas, Sean Sachdev, Ronen Sumagin, Borislav A. Alexiev, Pedro Hermida de Viveiros, Seth M. Pollack and Yuri S. Velichko
Cancers 2025, 17(5), 830; https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers17050830 - 27 Feb 2025
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Abstract
Background/Objectives: To correlate size changes in undifferentiated pleomorphic sarcoma (UPS) on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) after neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy (nCRT) with pathological response, risk of local recurrence, and therapeutic regimens. Methods: This retrospective study analyzed clinical, pathological, and imaging data from [...] Read more.
Background/Objectives: To correlate size changes in undifferentiated pleomorphic sarcoma (UPS) on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) after neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy (nCRT) with pathological response, risk of local recurrence, and therapeutic regimens. Methods: This retrospective study analyzed clinical, pathological, and imaging data from 39 biopsy-proven UPS subjects. Four readers measured the tumor dimensions before and after nCRT, including two perpendicular axial diameters and the longest coronal/sagittal diameter. Three cross-sectional areas and bounding volume were also calculated. Responders (pR) were defined as having ≤10% viable cells and non-responders (pNR) as having more. Inter-reader agreement was evaluated using Kendall’s concordance coefficient. Changes in tumor size were compared between pR and pNR using one-way ANOVA and Tukey’s HSD test for multiple comparisons of means. Results: pR showed a greater increase in size across all measurements compared to pNR. For the longest axial diameter, the mean increase was 30% ± 35% for pR and 14% ± 31% for pNR, with a mean difference (pR-pNR) of 16% (95% CI: 6–27%, p = 0.003). In tumors treated with radiotherapy alone, pR exhibited larger size increases in all dimensions compared to pNR. In contrast, in the chemoradiation group, pR showed a slight increase, while pNR generally shrank, although these differences did not reach statistical significance. Notably, pNR with local recurrence exhibited a reduction in all tumor dimensions compared to pNR without local recurrence. Conclusions: This exploratory study suggests that tumor size changes may predict pathological response and local recurrence after nCRT in UPS; however, the small sample size limits the generalizability of these findings. Full article
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<p>Flowchart for UPS subject inclusion and exclusion.</p>
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<p>A 77-year-old woman with marked treatment response (pR), diagnosed with UPS with FNCLCC Grade III. (<b>A</b>) Pre-treatment core biopsy. The H&amp;E-stained pathology slide shows abundant viable tumor cells colored dark purple (×100 magnification). (<b>B</b>) Contrast-enhanced fat-saturated T1-w MRI shows a heterogeneous, enhancing mass deep-seated in the right posterior compartment of the thigh. (<b>C</b>) Post-radiotherapy (5000 cGy/25 fractions) resection specimen. H&amp;E-stained pathology slide (×40 magnification) shows tumor bed with marked treatment effect and 0% viable tumor. (<b>D</b>) Contrast-enhanced fat-saturated T1-w MRI showed a moderate increase in size compared to baseline and large, central areas of non-enhancing tissue, likely necrotic or hemorrhagic areas. Increase in maximum tumor diameter was +43%, +26%, and +21% in X, Y, and Z directions. (<b>E</b>) A 65-year-old woman with mild treatment response (pNR). Pre-treatment core biopsy. H&amp;E pathology slide (×40 magnification) shows a spindle cell and pleomorphic cell population, diagnostic of UPS (Grade II). (<b>F</b>) Contrast-enhanced fat-saturated T1-w MRI shows a round-shaped deep-seated mass in the right posterior thigh, with small central areas of non-enhancing tissue. (<b>G</b>) Post-radiotherapy (5000 cGy/25 fractions) resection specimen. Tumor area with focal treatment effect (necrosis, chronic inflammation, and fibrosis), approximately 60% viable tumor. Hematoxylin–eosin stain, (×100 magnification). (<b>H</b>) Contrast-enhanced fat-saturated T1-w MRI showed a moderate increase in size compared to baseline. Increase in maximum tumor diameter was +41%, +23%, and +15% in X, Y, and Z.</p>
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<p>Percentage change in tumor sizes across the main axes (X, Y, and Z) for both therapies and within each therapeutic subgroup, including radiotherapy and chemoradiation, for responders (pR) and non-responders (pNR). Each plot shows a <span class="html-italic">p</span>-value for the mean difference (pR-pNR) between responders and non-responders, calculated using Tukey’s HSD test.</p>
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<p>Percentage change in tumor sizes across the main axes (X, Y, and Z) for responders and non-responders, comparing patients with and without recurrence. Each plot shows a p-value for the mean difference between patients with (Yes) and without (No) recurrence, calculated using Tukey’s HSD test.</p>
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<p>Upper row: A 71-year-old woman diagnosed with UPS (Grade II) in her right forearm. Upper row: Pre-treatment MRI shows a superficial, oval-shaped mass characterized by irregular margins and intense contrast-enhancement. After unsuccessful nCRT (viable cells 80%), size did not change significantly, nor the contrast-enhancement. Three years after surgical excision with margins of excision negative for tumor, an irregular area of nodular contrast-enhancement within the surgical bed was described at imaging. It was then confirmed histologically to be a recurrent UPS (Grade III), and the patient underwent re-excision. Lower row: An 84-year-old woman diagnosed with UPS (Grade III) in her left anterior thigh. Pre-treatment MRI shows a deep-seated round-shaped mass characterized by intense enhancement. After successful nCRT (viable cells &lt;1%), the lesion did not show any enhancement areas but a slight increase in size likely due to hemorrhagic and necrotic content. The surgery was successful, with margins of resection negative for malignancy. Sixteen months after resection, a local recurrence was clinically suspected. After imaging and core-needle biopsy, final diagnosis of locally recurrent UPS (Grade III) was confirmed, and surgery was rescheduled.</p>
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<p>ROC curves illustrating the performance of different tumor size change cutoffs in predicting (<b>A</b>,<b>B</b>) response to radiotherapy and (<b>C</b>,<b>D</b>) recurrence among non-responders. The optimal cutoff (solid black dot) for each ROC curve was determined by maximizing the product of sensitivity and specificity.</p>
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20 pages, 2789 KiB  
Article
Evaluating Interlaboratory Variability in Wastewater-Based COVID-19 Surveillance
by Arianna Azzellino, Laura Pellegrinelli, Ramon Pedrini, Andrea Turolla, Barbara Bertasi, Sandro Binda, Sara Castiglioni, Clementina E. Cocuzza, Fabio Ferrari, Andrea Franzetti, Maria Giovanna Guiso, Marina Nadia Losio, Marianna Martinelli, Antonino Martines, Rosario Musumeci, Desdemona Oliva, Laura Sandri, Valeria Primache, Francesco Righi, Annalisa Scarazzato, Silvia Schiarea, Elena Pariani, Emanuela Ammoni, Danilo Cereda and Francesca Malpeiadd Show full author list remove Hide full author list
Microorganisms 2025, 13(3), 526; https://doi.org/10.3390/microorganisms13030526 - 27 Feb 2025
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Abstract
Wastewater-based environmental surveillance enables the monitoring of SARS-CoV-2 dynamics within populations, offering critical epidemiological insights. Numerous workflows for tracking SARS-CoV-2 have been developed globally, underscoring the need for interlaboratory comparisons to ensure data consistency and comparability. An inter-calibration test was conducted among laboratories [...] Read more.
Wastewater-based environmental surveillance enables the monitoring of SARS-CoV-2 dynamics within populations, offering critical epidemiological insights. Numerous workflows for tracking SARS-CoV-2 have been developed globally, underscoring the need for interlaboratory comparisons to ensure data consistency and comparability. An inter-calibration test was conducted among laboratories within the network monitoring SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater samples across the Lombardy region (Italy). The test aimed to evaluate data reliability and identify potential sources of variability using robust statistical approaches. Three wastewater samples were analyzed in parallel by four laboratories using identical pre-analytical (PEG-8000-based centrifugation) and analytical processes (qPCR targeting N1/N3 and Orf-1ab). A two-way ANOVA framework within Generalized Linear Models was applied, and multiple pairwise comparisons among laboratories were performed using the Bonferroni post hoc test. The statistical analysis revealed that the primary source of variability in the results was associated with the analytical phase. This variability was likely influenced by differences in the standard curves used by the laboratories to quantify SARS-CoV-2 concentrations, as well as the size of the wastewater treatment plants. The findings of this study highlight the importance of interlaboratory testing in verifying the consistency of analytical determinations and in identifying the key sources of variation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 Employing Wastewater)
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<p>Workflow followed by the laboratories during the interlaboratory ring test (created in BioRender. <a href="https://BioRender.com/b09r836" target="_blank">https://BioRender.com/b09r836</a>, accessed 14 February 2025).</p>
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<p>Linearized relationships of the log-transformed concentrations (g.c./μL) across the laboratories responsible for the analytical phase. Full regression statistics for the linear relationship depicted in the chart are provided in <a href="#app1-microorganisms-13-00526" class="html-app">Table S1</a>.</p>
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<p>Log-transformed detections of N1 gene fragment copies/µL concentration: differences among laboratories concerning the analytical and pre-analytical phases. Full regression statistics for the linear relationship depicted in the chart are provided in <a href="#app1-microorganisms-13-00526" class="html-app">Table S2</a>.</p>
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<p>Log-transformed detections of N3 gene fragment copies/µL concentration: differences among laboratories concerning the analytical and pre-analytical phases. Full regression statistics for the linear relationship depicted in the chart are provided in <a href="#app1-microorganisms-13-00526" class="html-app">Table S3</a>.</p>
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<p>Log-transformed detections of ORF1ab gene fragment copies/µL concentration: differences among laboratories concerning the analytical and pre-analytical phases. Full regression statistics for the linear relationship depicted in the chart are provided in <a href="#app1-microorganisms-13-00526" class="html-app">Table S4</a>.</p>
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<p>Model estimated marginal means of the log-transformed detections of ORF gene fragments: it can be observed that Lab2 shows the most significant variability with respect to the other laboratories and with respect to the WWTP.</p>
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<p>Linear relationships of the log-transformed gene copy values and Cq for the three gene fragments (N1, N3, and ORFab) of the two different RT-PCR systems (e.g., AgPath and QuantaBio).</p>
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<p>Interlaboratory comparison of standard curves before (<b>upper chart</b>) and after (<b>lower chart</b>) the harmonization process.</p>
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12 pages, 1451 KiB  
Article
Does the Phase-One Functional Therapy Increase the Risk of an External Apical Root Resorption Following the Phase-Two Fixed Orthodontic Treatment? A Pilot Study
by Sara Eslami, Jakob Stuhlfelder, Suh-In Rhie, Sarah Bühling, Mauricio Gonzalez Balut, Ludovica Nucci, Abdolreza Jamilian and Babak Sayahpour
Dent. J. 2025, 13(3), 95; https://doi.org/10.3390/dj13030095 - 24 Feb 2025
Viewed by 123
Abstract
Background: This retrospective study aimed to analyze the frequency and extent of apical root resorptions (EARR) during orthodontic treatment in the upper and lower incisors, as well as lower molars, using orthopantomograms (OPG). Potential influencing factors such as age, gender, root shape, [...] Read more.
Background: This retrospective study aimed to analyze the frequency and extent of apical root resorptions (EARR) during orthodontic treatment in the upper and lower incisors, as well as lower molars, using orthopantomograms (OPG). Potential influencing factors such as age, gender, root shape, type of orthodontic appliance, and treatment duration were examined as well. Methods: A total of 57 patients who completed their treatment at the orthodontic department of the Goethe University of Frankfurt between 2011 and 2018 were included in the study. These patients had a combined total of 570 teeth, which were divided into two groups. Group 1 consisted of 20 patients (average age at T0: 10.1 ± 1.2 years old) received a one-phase fixed orthodontic treatment using passive self-ligating Damon bracket system (average duration of 2.1 years ± 6 months), while group 2 consisted of 37 patients (average age at T0: 12.4 ± 2.8 years old) underwent a two-phase therapy, which involved a phase-one functional therapy (average duration of 1.7 years ± 6 months) prior to the phase-two fixed orthodontic treatment with the Damon system (average duration of 1.5 ± 4 months) with a total treatment time of 3.2 years ± 7 months. To determine the extent of post-treatment root resorption of the upper and lower incisors, as well as the first lower molars, crown–root ratio was calculated for each tooth using the pre- and post-treatment OPGs. Additionally, each tooth was assigned a degree of resorption according to the Levander and Malmgren classification. The inter-group comparisons were conducted using the Wilcoxon Mann–Whitney U test. Spearman’s correlation analysis was used to assess the relationship between age, treatment duration, and EARR. The association between gender, root morphology, and EARR was evaluated using the Wilcoxon Mann–Whitney U test. For nominally scaled variables, the Chi-square test was used. The statistical significance was set at p < 0.05. Results: No statistically significant differences were seen between groups 1 and 2 regarding the degree of root resorption (p = 0.89). The study found that the average root resorption for all examined teeth was −5.14%, indicating a slight reduction in the length of the tooth roots after orthodontic treatment. However, no significant differences were observed concerning gender, age, type of orthodontic appliance or treatment duration. Comparisons between upper and lower jaws also did not yield statistically significant differences. The majority of teeth in the study exhibited a normal root shape. The short root length and a pipette formed roots were significantly associated with a higher risk of root resorption (p = 0.001). Conclusions: The study’s findings suggest that the two-phase orthodontic treatment does not increase the risk of EARR compared to one-phase therapy significantly. Some degree of root resorption occurred as a result of orthodontic treatment in both groups. Notably, abnormal root forms were identified as influential factors that could help predict the likelihood of root resorption following orthodontic treatment. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Dentistry in the 21st Century: Challenges and Opportunities)
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<p>Root-shape scoring system.</p>
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<p>Root-resorption grading system.</p>
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<p>The measurement of crown and root length of tooth 21 on the panoramic radiograph.</p>
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<p>The distribution of external apical root resorption (EARR) stratified based on the root morphology grading system.</p>
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24 pages, 7152 KiB  
Article
Benchmarking Uninitialized CMIP6 Simulations for Inter-Annual Surface Wind Predictions
by Joan Saladich Cubero, María Carmen Llasat and Raül Marcos Matamoros
Atmosphere 2025, 16(3), 254; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16030254 - 23 Feb 2025
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Abstract
This study investigates the potential of uninitialized global climate projections for providing 12-month (inter-annual) wind forecasts in Europe in light of the increasing demand for long-term climate predictions. This is important in a context where models based on the past climate may not [...] Read more.
This study investigates the potential of uninitialized global climate projections for providing 12-month (inter-annual) wind forecasts in Europe in light of the increasing demand for long-term climate predictions. This is important in a context where models based on the past climate may not fully account for the implications for climate variability of current warming trends, and where initialized 12-month forecasts are still not widely available (i.e., seasonal forecasts) and/or consolidated (i.e., decadal predictions). To this aim, we use two types of simulations: uninitialized climate projections from CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6) and initialized 6-month seasonal forecasts (ECMWF’s SEAS5), using the latter as a benchmark. All the predictions are bias-corrected with five distinct approaches (quantile delta mapping, empirical quantile mapping, quantile delta mapping, scaling bias-adjustment and a proprietary quantile mapping) and verified against weather observations from the ECA&D E-OBS project (684 weather stations across Europe). It is observed that the quantile-mapping techniques outperform the other bias-correction algorithm in adjusting the cumulative distribution function (CDF) to the reference weather stations and, also, in reducing the mean bias error closer to zero. However, a simple bias -correction by scaling improves the time-series predictive accuracy (root mean square error, anomaly correlation coefficient and mean absolute scaled error) of CMIP6 simulations over quantile-mapping bias corrections. Thus, the results suggest that CMIP6 projections may provide a valuable preliminary framework for comprehending climate wind variations over the ensuing 12-month period. Finally, while baseline methods like climatology could still outperform the presented methods in terms of time-series accuracy (i.e., root mean square error), our approach highlights a key advantage: climatology is static, whereas CMIP6 offers a dynamic, evolving view of climatology. The combination of dynamism and bias correction makes CMIP6 projections a valuable starting point for understanding wind climate variations over the next 12 months. Furthermore, using workload schedulers within high-performance computing frameworks is essential for effectively handling these complex and ever-evolving datasets, highlighting the critical role of advanced computational methods in fully realizing the potential of CMIP6 for climate analysis. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue High-Performance Computing for Atmospheric Modeling)
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<p>Location of the weather stations from the ECA&amp;D non-blended dataset for wind-speed observations. The number of years of observations is represented as an icon. The locations are extracted from the ECA&amp;D dataset.</p>
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<p>Example of the 2D histogram containing the MBE in the x-axis and the KS test in the y-axis. The green delimited area (bias closer to 0 and small KS distance) stresses the best-performing bias-correction algorithm.</p>
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<p>Scheme of the processing carried out in this study by means of high-performance computing (HPC).</p>
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<p>Gaussian density 2D histogram containing KS statistic (x-axis) and MBE (y-axis) density for each of the CMIP6 CP in the 684 weather stations evaluated. The bias-correction DQM is represented by subplot (<b>a</b>), EQM is represented by subplot (<b>b</b>), QDM is represented by subplot (<b>c</b>), SCA is represented by subplot (<b>d</b>) and GSK is represented by subplot (<b>e</b>).</p>
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<p>Normalized 2D histogram containing the KS statistic (x-axis) and MBE (y-axis) concentration for the 684 weather stations evaluated with the SEAS5 seasonal forecast. The bias-correction DQM is represented by subplot (<b>a</b>), EQM is represented by subplot (<b>b</b>), QDM is represented by subplot (<b>c</b>), SCA is represented by subplot (<b>d</b>) and GSK is represented by subplot (<b>e</b>).</p>
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<p>Accuracy in terms of root mean square error (RMSE) for the monthly averages of each CMIP6 model simulation and for the SEAS5 seasonal forecast; the fliers of the boxplots are represented in its mean value to guarantee readability. The 227 CMIP6 simulations are shown in part (<b>a</b>), while the ensemble-averaged SEAS-V from ECWMF is shown in part (<b>b</b>).</p>
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<p>Accuracy in terms of anomaly correlation coefficient (ACC; from −100 to 100) for the yearly averages of each CMIP6 model simulation and for the SEAS5 seasonal forecast; the fliers of the boxplots are represented in their mean value to guarantee readability. The 227 CMIP6 simulations are shown in part (<b>a</b>), while the ensemble-averaged SEAS-V from ECWMF is shown in part (<b>b</b>).</p>
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<p>Accuracy in terms of mean scaled error (MASE) for the yearly averages of each CMIP6 model simulations and for the SEAS5 seasonal forecast; the fliers of the boxplots are represented in its mean value to guarantee readability. The 227 CMIP6 simulations are shown in part (<b>a</b>), while the ensemble-averaged SEAS-V from ECWMF is shown in part (<b>b</b>).</p>
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<p>Best-performing CMIP6 simulation for a number of weather stations in terms of RMSE (subfigure (<b>a</b>))/ACC (subfigure (<b>b</b>))/MASE (subfigure (<b>c</b>)) and its average error (between brackets). Only CMIP6 simulations that are the most accurate in more than 5 weather stations are displayed.</p>
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<p>(Top map) Best-performing bias-corrected model (CMIP6 vs. SEAS5 SFS) for each validated station, and (bottom map) best-performing bias-correction algorithm regardless of the model. The three time-series metrics (RMSE—subfigure (<b>a</b>), ACC—subfigure (<b>b</b>), MASE—subfigure (<b>c</b>)) are displayed for each map.</p>
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17 pages, 987 KiB  
Article
Acute Effect of a Single Functional Neurology Intervention on Muscular Trigger Point
by Jorge Rey-Mota, Guillermo Escribano-Colmena, Athanasios A. Dalamitros, Rodrigo Yáñez-Sepúlveda, David Martín-Caro Álvarez, Eduardo Navarro Jimenez and Vicente Javier Clemente-Suárez
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(5), 2293; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15052293 - 20 Feb 2025
Viewed by 264
Abstract
Background: Myofascial trigger points (MTrPs) are hyperirritable spots in skeletal muscle associated with pain and dysfunction, often impacting individuals’ quality of life. Various interventions, such as dry needling and manual therapy, have shown limited effects in addressing these conditions. This study aimed to [...] Read more.
Background: Myofascial trigger points (MTrPs) are hyperirritable spots in skeletal muscle associated with pain and dysfunction, often impacting individuals’ quality of life. Various interventions, such as dry needling and manual therapy, have shown limited effects in addressing these conditions. This study aimed to assess the effectiveness of a functional neurology intervention in reducing pain and improving muscle function in patients with MTrPs in the upper trapezius muscle. We hypothesized that a single session of functional neurology intervention would significantly increase the pressure pain threshold (PPT) and improve peripheral vascular response in individuals with myofascial trigger points compared to a control group. Methods: A randomized controlled trial (RCT) was conducted with 63 participants randomly assigned to an experimental (receiving functional neurology treatment) or control group. Pre- and post-treatment assessments were conducted, and both intra- and inter-group comparisons were performed using algometry to measure the PPT and infrared thermography to analyze peripheral vascular response. Data were analyzed using dependent and independent t-tests with statistical significance set at p < 0.05. Results: The experimental group demonstrated a significant 46.4% increase in PPT, while the control group showed negligible changes. Thermographic analysis indicated improved peripheral blood flow in the experimental group, reflected by increased skin temperatures and reduced thermal anomalies. No significant differences were observed between the groups at baseline. Conclusions: A single session of functional neurology intervention significantly reduced pain and improved muscle function in patients with MTrPs. These findings suggest that functional neurology offers a promising non-invasive alternative to traditional treatments, with potential implications for more rapid and sustained therapeutic outcomes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Applied Biosciences and Bioengineering)
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<p>CONSORT flow diagram.</p>
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<p>Thermographic analysis of anterior and posterior views.</p>
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20 pages, 1863 KiB  
Article
Quantifying the Effects of Climate Change on Aircraft Take-Off Performance at European Airports
by Jonny Williams, Paul D. Williams, Federica Guerrini and Marco Venturini
Aerospace 2025, 12(3), 165; https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace12030165 - 20 Feb 2025
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Abstract
This work uses state-of-the-art climate model data at 30 European airport locations to examine how climate change may affect summer take-off distance required—TODR—and maximum take-off mass—MTOM—for a 30-year period centred on 2050 compared to a historical baseline (1985–2014). The data presented here are [...] Read more.
This work uses state-of-the-art climate model data at 30 European airport locations to examine how climate change may affect summer take-off distance required—TODR—and maximum take-off mass—MTOM—for a 30-year period centred on 2050 compared to a historical baseline (1985–2014). The data presented here are for the Airbus A320; however, the methodology is generic and few changes are required in order to apply this methodology to a wide range of different fixed-wing aircraft. The climate models used are taken from the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) and span a range of climate sensitivity values; that is, the amount of warming they exhibit for a given increase in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations. Using a Newtonian force-balance model, we show that 30-year average values of TODR may increase by around 50–100 m, albeit with significant day-to-day variability. The changing probability distributions are quantified using kernel density estimation and an illustration is provided showing how changes to future daily maximum temperature extremes may affect the distributions of TODR going forward. Furthermore, it is projected that the 99th percentile of the historical distributions of TODR may by exceeded up to half the time in the summer months for some airports. Some of the sites studied have runways that are shorter than the distance required for a fully laden take-off, which means they must reduce their payloads as temperatures and air pressures change. We find that, relative to historical mean values, take-off payloads may need to be reduced by the equivalent of approximately 10 passengers per flight, as these significant increases (as high as approximately 60%) show a probability of exceeding historical extreme values. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Air Traffic and Transportation)
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<p>The 30 airports considered in this work. See <a href="#aerospace-12-00165-t0A1" class="html-table">Table A1</a> and <a href="#aerospace-12-00165-t0A2" class="html-table">Table A2</a> for more information.</p>
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<p>Angles and forces involved in TODR calculation; <math display="inline"><semantics> <mi>θ</mi> </semantics></math> is the angle between the runway and the local horizontal plane and <math display="inline"><semantics> <mi>ϕ</mi> </semantics></math> is the take-off angle between the flight path and the runway.</p>
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<p>TODR as a function of mass for the Gratton et al. [<a href="#B4-aerospace-12-00165" class="html-bibr">4</a>] study and for the the calculations presented here. Manufacturer values are also shown. Calculations were performed under ISA conditions and mean sea level. The numerical data from the open-access Gratton et al. study can be found in Table 1, Supplementary Material #2.</p>
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<p>Pseudocode description of the steps used to calculate the MTOM.</p>
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<p>Distributions of TODR for Heathrow airport and UKESM1-0-LL in JJA for a fully laden A320 aircraft (78,000 kg). Data that are more than 1.5 times the inter-quartile range from the median are explicitly shown.</p>
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<p>As for <a href="#aerospace-12-00165-f005" class="html-fig">Figure 5</a> but for the ACCESS-ESM1-5 model and Brussels Airport (for JJA and a fully laden mass of 78,000 kg).</p>
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<p>Normalised histograms (bars) kernel density estimation plots (lines) of TODR (<b>right</b>) and 24 h daily maximum temperature (<b>left</b>) for the historical period (<b>bottom</b>) and for increasing forcing, which increases in the vertical direction; historical (<b>g</b>,<b>h</b>), SSP1-2.6 (<b>e</b>,<b>f</b>), SSP3-7.0 (<b>c</b>,<b>d</b>), SSP5-8.5 (<b>a</b>,<b>b</b>). Data are for London Heathrow airport (ICAO code EGLL) in JJA using the UKESM1-0-LL climate model. The arrows are guides to the eye, indicating increased greenhouse gas forcing.</p>
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<p>Take-off distance (<b>a</b>) and maximum take-off mass (<b>b</b>) as a function of the maximum temperature in the last 24 h, and (symbol size, colour/hue) surface air pressure for Rome Ciampino airport in JJA using the UKESM1-0-LL model. The short, blue lines attached to the axes show each data points that further illustrate the individual parameter values.</p>
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<p>Ensemble spread of the probability of exceeding the 99th percentile of the historical distribution of TODR, JJA. Outliers (over 1.5 times the inter-quartile range of each distribution) are shown by circles. The maximum <span class="html-italic">y</span>-axis value is 1.05 times the highest value of any of the ‘whiskers’ shown. The individual subfigures (<b>a</b>–<b>z</b>,<b>A</b>–<b>D</b>) are for each airport considered and the ICAO codes for each site are shown in the top line of the respective inset boxes.</p>
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<p>Runway lengths for each airport considered and the runway length calculated for the maximum-rated mass of the Airbus A320 using the International Standard Atmosphere. The airports that have runways shorter than or very close to the TODR for the maximum-rated mass are indicated in red and with raised ICAO codes. Those with longer runways, which will likely not be affected as temperatures increase, are indicated in blue.</p>
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<p>Additional weight restrictions in terms of number of passengers (‘pax’) relative to the respective historical value for four short-runway airports (<b>columns</b>) and three future emissions scenarios (<b>rows</b>). The sites considered are Chios (<b>a</b>,<b>e</b>,<b>i</b>), Pantelleria (<b>b</b>,<b>f</b>,<b>j</b>), San Sebastian (<b>c</b>,<b>g</b>,<b>k</b>) and Rome Ciampino (<b>d</b>,<b>h</b>,<b>l</b>) with the forcing increasing downwards.</p>
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<p>Number of days in which weight restrictions exceed the 99th percentile of historical values. The sites considered are Chios (<b>a</b>,<b>e</b>,<b>i</b>), Pantelleria (<b>b</b>,<b>f</b>,<b>j</b>), San Sebastian (<b>c</b>,<b>g</b>,<b>k</b>) and Rome Ciampino (<b>d</b>,<b>h</b>,<b>l</b>) with the forcing increasing downwards.</p>
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<p>Probability density function of take-off weight restrictions relative to the historical value for each airport—Chios, Pantelleria, San Sebastian and Rome Ciampino—and emissions scenario (historical, dark grey; SSP1-2.6, pink; SSP3-7.0, green; SSP5-8.5, red). Negative values show restrictions below the respective historical mean, and hence the integral—i.e., the probability of occurrence—of the historical curve is symmetric at around zero. The smaller inset axes shows the 99th percentile values of the curves in the larger, main axes in terms of passenger equivalent weight for the historical (‘H’), and future SSP forcings (1,3,5).</p>
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<p>As in <a href="#aerospace-12-00165-f013" class="html-fig">Figure 13</a> but showing the inter-model variability, ±1 standard deviation for Chios (<b>a</b>,<b>e</b>,<b>i</b>), Pantelleria (<b>b</b>,<b>f</b>,<b>j</b>), San Sebastian (<b>c</b>,<b>g</b>,<b>k</b>), and Ciampino (<b>d</b>,<b>h</b>,<b>l</b>).</p>
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14 pages, 7641 KiB  
Article
Accuracy Assessment of Ocean Tide Models in the Eastern China Marginal Seas Using Tide Gauge and GPS Data
by Junjie Wang and Xiufeng He
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(3), 395; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13030395 - 20 Feb 2025
Viewed by 261
Abstract
Accurate ocean tide models are required to remove tidal loading effects in geophysical research. Beyond a mere intercomparison, the accuracy of eight modern global models (DTU10, EOT20, FES2014b, FES2022b, GOT4.10c, HAMTIDE11a, OSU12, TPXO10-atlas-v2) and one regional model (NAO99Jb) was assessed in the eastern [...] Read more.
Accurate ocean tide models are required to remove tidal loading effects in geophysical research. Beyond a mere intercomparison, the accuracy of eight modern global models (DTU10, EOT20, FES2014b, FES2022b, GOT4.10c, HAMTIDE11a, OSU12, TPXO10-atlas-v2) and one regional model (NAO99Jb) was assessed in the eastern China marginal seas (ECMSs) using geodetic measurements. This involved rigorous comparisons with the tidal constant measurements at 65 tide gauges and with the GPS-measured M2 vertical ocean tide loading (OTL) displacements at 22 sites. The selected models showed significant disagreements close to the coasts of eastern China and the western Korean Peninsula, where the largest discrepancy for the M2 constituent could exceed 30 cm. However, EOT20 and FES2014b provided relatively close results, differing by only about 15 cm in Hangzhou Bay. EOT20 compared more favourably than the others to the tidal constant measurements, with a root sum square (RSS) of 11.1 cm, and to the GPS-measured M2 vertical OTL displacements, with a root mean square (RMS) of 0.49 mm. In addition, to differentiate between ocean tide models with subtle discrepancies when comparing them with the OTL measurements, consideration of the asthenospheric anelasticity effect was necessary. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Physical Oceanography)
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Figure 1
<p>The M<sub>2</sub> cotidal map and bathymetry across the ECMSs based on the FES2014b ocean tide model and the ETOPO 1′ grid, respectively. The black lines represent the contours of equal amplitude with an interval of 30 cm. The white contour lines indicate the phase lag with a contour interval of 45°. The phase lag is zero on the dotted line, with the white arrow indicating the direction of increasing phase lag.</p>
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<p>The M<sub>2</sub> phasor differences between the nine selected ocean tide models.</p>
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<p>The M2 phasor differences between the measured and the modelled tidal constants for (<b>a</b>) DTU10, (<b>b</b>) EOT20, (<b>c</b>) FES2014b, (<b>d</b>) FES2022b, (<b>e</b>) GOT4.10c, (<b>f</b>) HAMTIDE11a, (<b>g</b>) NAO99Jb, (<b>h</b>) OSU12, (<b>i</b>) TPXO-atlas-v2. The circles and squares represent the tide gauges from the JODC and UHSLC and Zhang [<a href="#B39-jmse-13-00395" class="html-bibr">39</a>], respectively. Differences larger than 50 cm are labelled with their precise values.</p>
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<p>The RMS and RSS values (in centimetres) when comparing the tide gauge measurements and the individual ocean tide model.</p>
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<p>The phasor differences between the GPS-measured M<sub>2</sub> vertical OTL displacements and the predictions computed using the aPREM_M2 Green’s function for (<b>a</b>) DTU10, (<b>b</b>) EOT20, (<b>c</b>) FES2014b, (<b>d</b>) FES2022b, (<b>e</b>) GOT4.10c, (<b>f</b>) HAMTIDE11a, (<b>g</b>) NAO99Jb, (<b>h</b>) OSU12, (<b>i</b>) TPXO-atlas-v2. Differences larger than 2 mm are labelled with their precise values.</p>
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<p>The ranking of the ocean tide models according to the RMS agreements between the GPS-measured and the predicted M2 vertical OTL displacements using aPREM_M2 and PREM Green’s functions, respectively.</p>
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23 pages, 16814 KiB  
Article
A New Method for Automatic Glacier Extraction by Building Decision Trees Based on Pixel Statistics
by Xiao Liu, Hongyi Cheng, Jiang Liu, Xianbao Su, Yuchen Wang, Bin Qiao, Yipeng Wang and Nai’ang Wang
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(4), 710; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17040710 - 19 Feb 2025
Viewed by 133
Abstract
Automatic glacier extraction from remote sensing images is the most important approach for large scale glacier monitoring. Commonly used band calculation indices to enhance glacier information are not effective in identifying shadowed glaciers and debris-covered glaciers. In this study, we used the Kolmogorov–Smirnov [...] Read more.
Automatic glacier extraction from remote sensing images is the most important approach for large scale glacier monitoring. Commonly used band calculation indices to enhance glacier information are not effective in identifying shadowed glaciers and debris-covered glaciers. In this study, we used the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test as the theoretical basis and determined the most suitable band calculation indices to distinguish different land cover classes by comparing inter-sample separability and reasonable threshold range ratios of different indices. We then constructed a glacier classification decision tree. This approach resulted in the development of a method to automatically extract glacier areas at given spatial and temporal scales. In comparison with the commonly used indices, this method demonstrates an improvement in Cohen’s kappa coefficient by more than 3.8%. Notably, the accuracy for shadowed glaciers and debris-covered glaciers, which are prone to misclassification, is substantially enhanced by 108.0% and 6.3%, respectively. By testing the method in the Qilian Mountains, the positive prediction value of glacier extraction was calculated to be 91.8%, the true positive rate was 94.0%, and Cohen’s kappa coefficient was 0.924, making it well suited for glacier extraction. This method can be used for monitoring glacier changes in global mountainous regions, and provide support for climate change research, water resource management, and disaster early warning systems. Full article
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<p>Distribution of mountains where the sampling sites are located.</p>
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<p>Distribution of spectral digital numbers (DNs) from seven land cover samples. The colored dot indicates the DNs in the land cover sample that was stretched to its maximum value during image pre-processing.</p>
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<p>The conceptual model diagram for land cover classification evaluation metrics.</p>
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<p>Cumulative distribution functions for <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>S</mi> <mi>W</mi> <mi>I</mi> <mi>R</mi> <mn>1</mn> <mo>−</mo> <mi>S</mi> <mi>W</mi> <mi>I</mi> <mi>R</mi> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math> (<b>a</b>,<b>b</b>), <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>B</mi> <mi>l</mi> <mi>u</mi> <mi>e</mi> <mo>−</mo> <mi>S</mi> <mi>W</mi> <mi>I</mi> <mi>R</mi> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math> (<b>c</b>,<b>d</b>), <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>S</mi> <mi>T</mi> <mo>−</mo> <mi>B</mi> <mi>l</mi> <mi>u</mi> <mi>e</mi> </mrow> </semantics></math> (<b>e</b>,<b>f</b>) and <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mrow> <mrow> <mi>R</mi> <mi>e</mi> <mi>d</mi> </mrow> <mo>/</mo> <mrow> <mi>S</mi> <mi>W</mi> <mi>I</mi> <mi>R</mi> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </mrow> </mrow> </semantics></math> (<b>g</b>,<b>h</b>) in Landsat 8 (<b>a</b>,<b>c</b>,<b>e</b>,<b>g</b>) and 5 (<b>b</b>,<b>d</b>,<b>f</b>,<b>h</b>). The red dotted line is the threshold determined in this study.</p>
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<p>Decision tree for remote sensing image pixel classification (<b>a</b>) and schematic diagram of glacier extraction multi-temporal algorithm (<b>b</b>). Thresholds for Landsat 8 images are shown outside of parentheses, and thresholds for Landsat 5 images are shown in parentheses.</p>
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<p>Glacier area in the Qilian Mountains. The blue area shows the glacier area in the Qilian Mountains from 2013 to 2017 extracted using this method, the thin line shows the glacier distribution data in 2015, and the brightness of the background color indicates the number of images participating in the calculation at that location. (<b>a</b>–<b>d</b>) represent four different regions in the Qilian Mountains.</p>
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<p>ROC curves of the results of glacier extraction using four methods. The red line shows the ROC curves of the methods in this study, and the gray line shows the other three methods. (<b>b</b>) shows a local zoom of (<b>a</b>).</p>
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<p>Comparison of glacier extraction results from four methods. The red line represents the RGI data, and the blue areas indicate the extracted glacier results.</p>
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13 pages, 3040 KiB  
Article
Development and Application of a UPLC–MRM–MS Method for Quantifying Trimethylamine, Trimethylamine-N-Oxide, and Related Metabolites in Individuals with and Without Metabolic Syndrome
by Mohammed E. Hefni and Cornelia M. Witthöft
Separations 2025, 12(2), 53; https://doi.org/10.3390/separations12020053 - 18 Feb 2025
Viewed by 274
Abstract
Trimethylamine-N-oxide (TMAO) is associated with various chronic diseases. TMAO is a downstream oxidative metabolite of trimethylamine (TMA) that is generated by the gut microbiota from dietary choline, carnitine, and betaine. Current analytical methods predominantly target TMAO only, due to the challenge of efficiently [...] Read more.
Trimethylamine-N-oxide (TMAO) is associated with various chronic diseases. TMAO is a downstream oxidative metabolite of trimethylamine (TMA) that is generated by the gut microbiota from dietary choline, carnitine, and betaine. Current analytical methods predominantly target TMAO only, due to the challenge of efficiently extracting and quantifying TMA. The present study demonstrates a simple and rapid UPLC–MRM–MS method for concurrent quantification of TMAO, TMA, and related precursors (choline, betaine, and various carnitines) following a methanol extraction from plasma and derivatization using iodoacetonitrile (IACN). Pure methanol resulted in a higher extractability of TMA (up to two-fold) compared to both pure acetonitrile and various methanol/acetonitrile mixtures. The quantification method showed high linearity within the tested range of 0.0625–100 μmol/L (determination coefficient > 0.999) and an intra- (n = 3) and inter-day (n = 9) precision of 2–8% along with an average recovery of above 94% for all metabolites (TMAO, TMA, choline, betaine, L-carnitine, acetyl-L-carnitine, and propionyl-L-carnitine). The method’s applicability was confirmed through a comparison of TMAO and its precursor concentrations in plasma samples of overnight-fasted subjects with (n = 12) and without (n = 21) metabolic syndrome. Full article
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Graphical abstract
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<p>The effect of different methanol/acetonitrile mixtures (<span class="html-fig-inline" id="separations-12-00053-i001"><img alt="Separations 12 00053 i001" src="/separations/separations-12-00053/article_deploy/html/images/separations-12-00053-i001.png"/></span> 100:0, <span class="html-fig-inline" id="separations-12-00053-i002"><img alt="Separations 12 00053 i002" src="/separations/separations-12-00053/article_deploy/html/images/separations-12-00053-i002.png"/></span> 90:10, <span class="html-fig-inline" id="separations-12-00053-i003"><img alt="Separations 12 00053 i003" src="/separations/separations-12-00053/article_deploy/html/images/separations-12-00053-i003.png"/></span> 50:50, <span class="html-fig-inline" id="separations-12-00053-i004"><img alt="Separations 12 00053 i004" src="/separations/separations-12-00053/article_deploy/html/images/separations-12-00053-i004.png"/></span> 10:90, <span class="html-fig-inline" id="separations-12-00053-i005"><img alt="Separations 12 00053 i005" src="/separations/separations-12-00053/article_deploy/html/images/separations-12-00053-i005.png"/></span> 0:100) as extraction solvents on the extractability of TMAO and related metabolites (µmol/L) from plasma (<span class="html-italic">n</span> = 5 replicates). Different letters a–d indicate significant differences, ns, not significant.</p>
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<p>Typical total ion chromatogram and MRM spectrum (positive ionization mode) of methylamines in a plasma sample. The concentrations (μmol/L) were as follows: 0.5 for trimethylamine, 2.1 for trimethylamine-N-oxide, 9.7 for choline, 46.7 for betaine, 4.6 for acetyl-L-carnitine, 0.4 for propionyl-L-carnitine, and 37.4 for L-carnitine.</p>
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<p>Coefficients of determination of added trimethylamine (TMA), trimethylamine-N-oxide (TMAO), choline, betaine, L-carnitine, acetyl-L-carnitine, and propionyl-L-carnitine to a plasma sample (<span class="html-italic">n</span> = 3). The intercept of linearity lines is not at zero due to baseline concentrations of methylamines in the unspiked sample (TMA 0.4, TMAO 1.9, choline 10.6, betaine 41.9, acetyl-L-carnitine 4.8, L-carnitine 30.6, and propionyl-L-carnitine 0.3 µmol/L).</p>
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