Search Results (191)

The current study aims to model the South African crude oil prices using the hybrid of Box-Jenkins autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and Neural Networks (NNs). This study introduces a hybrid approach to forecasting methods aimed at resolving the issues of lack of precision in forecasting. The proposed methodology includes two models, namely, hybridisation of ARIMA with artificial neural network (ANN)-based Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) and ARIMA with general regression neural network (GRNN) to model both linear and nonlinear simultaneously. The models were compared with the base ARIMA model. The study utilised monthly time series data spanning from January 2021 to March 2023. The formal stationarity test confirmed that the crude oil price series is integrated of order one, I(1). For the linear process, the ARIMA (2,1,2) model was identified as the best fit for the series and successfully passed all diagnostic tests. The ARIMA-ANN-based ELM hybrid model outperformed both the individual ARIMA model and the ARIMA-GRNN hybrid. However, the ARIMA model also showed better performance than the ARIMA-GRNN hybrid, highlighting its strong competitiveness compared to the ARIMA-ANN-based ELM model. The hybrid models are recommended for use by policy makers and practitioners in general. Full article

In order to solve the problems of frequent pressure fluctuations caused by frequent action of the unloading valve of the pump station and serious hydraulic shock due to the variable amount of fluid used in the hydraulic support system of the coal mining face and the irregularity of the load suffered by the system, a pump–valve cooperative multi-mode stabilizing control method based on a digital unloading valve was proposed. Firstly, a prototype of a digital unloading valve under high-pressure and high water-based conditions was developed, and a digital control scheme was proposed to control the pilot valve by a servo motor to adjust the system pressure in real time. Then, an experimental platform for simulating the hydraulic bracket and a co-simulation model was constructed, and the validity of the co-simulation model was verified through experiments. Secondly, a collaborative multi-mode pressure stabilization control method for the pump valve based on a GRNN (General Regression Neural Network) was established to control the flow and pressure output of the emulsion pumping station according to the actual working conditions. Finally, numerical research and experimental verification were carried out for different working conditions to prove the effectiveness of this method. The results showed that the proposed pressure stabilization control method could adaptively adjust the working state of the digital unloading valve and the liquid supply flow of the emulsion pump station according to the working condition of the hydraulic support, effectively reducing the frequency and amplitude of the system pressure fluctuations and making the system pressure more stable. Full article

Blurriness is troublesome in digital images when captured under different illumination imaging conditions. To obtain an accurate blurred image quality assessment (IQA), a machine learning-based objective evaluation method for image sharpness under different illumination imaging conditions is proposed. In this method, the visual saliency, color difference, and gradient information are selected as the image features, and the relevant feature information of these three aspects is extracted from the image as the feature value for the blurred image evaluation under different illumination imaging conditions. Then, a particle swarm optimization-based general regression neural network (PSO-GRNN) is established to train the above extracted feature values, and the final blurred image evaluation result is determined. The proposed method was validated based on three databases, i.e., BID, CID2013, and CLIVE, which contain real blurred images under different illumination imaging conditions. The experimental results showed that the proposed method has good performance in evaluating the quality of images under different imaging conditions. Full article

The forests and grasslands in the U.S. are vulnerable to global warming and extreme weather events. Current satellites do not provide historical vegetation density images over the long term (more than 50 years), which has restricted the documentation of key ecological processes and their resultant responses over decades due to the absence of large-scale and long-term monitoring studies. We performed point-by-point regression and collected data from 391 tree-ring plots to reconstruct the annual normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) time-series maps for the contiguous U.S. from 1850 to 2010. Among three machine learning approaches for regressions—Support Vector Machine (SVM), General Regression Neural Network (GRNN), and Random Forest (RF)—we chose GRNN regression to simulate the annual NDVI with lowest Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and highest adjusted R2. From the Little Ice Age to the present, the NDVI increased by 6.73% across the contiguous U.S., except during some extreme events such as the Dust Bowl drought, during which the averaged NDVI decreased, particularly in New Mexico. The NDVI trend was positive in the Northern Forest, Tropical Humid Forest, Northern West Forest Mountains, Marin West Coast Forests, and Mediterranean California, while other ecoregions showed a negative trend. At the state level, Washington and Louisiana had significantly positive correlations with temperature (p < 0.05). Washington had a significantly negative correlation with precipitation (p < 0.05), whereas Oklahoma had a significantly positive correlation (p < 0.05) with precipitation. This study provides insights into the spatial distribution of paleo-vegetation and its climate drivers. This study is the first to attempt a national-scale reconstruction of the NDVI over such a long period (151 years) using tree rings and machine learning. Full article

The paper presents research related to coastal observation using a camera and LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) mounted on an unmanned surface vehicle (USV). Fusion of data from these two sensors can provide wider and more accurate information about shore features, utilizing the synergy effect and combining the advantages of both systems. Fusion is used in autonomous cars and robots, despite many challenges related to spatiotemporal alignment or sensor calibration. Measurements from various sensors with different timestamps have to be aligned, and the measurement systems need to be calibrated to avoid errors related to offsets. When using data from unstable, moving platforms, such as surface vehicles, it is more difficult to match sensors in time and space, and thus, data acquired from different devices will be subject to some misalignment. In this article, we try to overcome these problems by proposing the use of a point matching algorithm for coordinate transformation for data from both systems. The essence of the paper is to verify algorithms based on selected basic neural networks, namely the multilayer perceptron (MLP), the radial basis function network (RBF), and the general regression neural network (GRNN) for the alignment process. They are tested with real recorded data from the USV and verified against numerical methods commonly used for coordinate transformation. The results show that the proposed approach can be an effective solution as an alternative to numerical calculations, due to process improvement. The image data can provide information for identifying characteristic objects, and the obtained accuracies for platform dynamics in the water environment are satisfactory (root mean square error—RMSE—smaller than 1 m in many cases). The networks provided outstanding results for the training set; however, they did not perform as well as expected, in terms of the generalization capability of the model. This leads to the conclusion that processing algorithms cannot overcome the limitations of matching point accuracy. Further research will extend the approach to include information on the position and direction of the vessel. Full article

This paper explores advanced machine learning approaches to enhance the prediction accuracy of compressive strength (CoS) in geopolymer composites (GePC). Geopolymers, as sustainable alternatives to Ordinary Portland Cement (OPC), offer significant environmental benefits by utilizing industrial by-products such as fly ash and ground granulated blast furnace slag (GGBS). The accurate prediction of their compressive strength is crucial for optimizing their mix design and reducing experimental efforts. We present a comparative analysis of two hybrid models, Harris Hawks Optimization with Random Forest (HHO-RF) and Sine Cosine Algorithm with Random Forest (SCA-RF), against traditional regression methods and classical models like the Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), General Regression Neural Network (GRNN), and Radial Basis Function (RBF). Using a comprehensive dataset derived from various scientific publications, we focus on key input variables including the fine aggregate, GGBS, fly ash, sodium hydroxide (NaOH) molarity, and others. Our results indicate that the SCA-RF model achieved a superior performance with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.562 and a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.987, compared to the HHO-RF model, which obtained an RMSE of 1.742 and an R² of 0.982. Both hybrid models significantly outperformed traditional methods, demonstrating their higher accuracy and reliability in predicting the compressive strength of GePC. This research underscores the potential of hybrid machine learning models in advancing sustainable construction materials through precise predictive modeling, paving the way for more environmentally friendly and efficient construction practices. Full article

Visually Impaired Persons (VIPs) have difficulty in recognizing vehicles used for navigation. Additionally, they may not be able to identify the bus to their desired destination. However, the bus bay in which the designated bus stops has not been analyzed in the existing literature. Thus, a guidance system for VIPs that identifies the correct bus for transportation is presented in this paper. Initially, speech data indicating the VIP’s destination are pre-processed and converted to text. Next, utilizing the Arctan Gradient-activated Recurrent Neural Network (ArcGRNN) model, the number of bays at the location is detected with the help of a Global Positioning System (GPS), input text, and bay location details. Then, the optimal bay is chosen from the detected bays by utilizing the Experienced Perturbed Bacteria Foraging Triangular Optimization Algorithm (EPBFTOA), and an image of the selected bay is captured and pre-processed. Next, the bus is identified utilizing a You Only Look Once (YOLO) series model. Utilizing the Sub-pixel Shuffling Convoluted Encoder–ArcGRNN Decoder (SSCEAD) framework, the text is detected and segmented for the buses identified in the image. From the segmented output, the text is extracted, based on the destination and route of the bus. Finally, regarding the similarity value with respect to the VIP’s destination, a decision is made utilizing the Multi-characteristic Non-linear S-Curve-Fuzzy Rule (MNC-FR). This decision informs the bus conductor about the VIP, such that the bus can be stopped appropriately to pick them up. During testing, the proposed system selected the optimal bay in 247,891 ms, which led to deciding the bus stop for the VIP with a fuzzification time of 34,197 ms. Thus, the proposed model exhibits superior performance over those utilized in prevailing works. Full article

The application of machine learning and deep learning in air pollution management is becoming increasingly crucial, as these technologies enhance the accuracy of pollution prediction models, facilitating timely interventions and policy adjustments. They also facilitate the analysis of large datasets to identify pollution sources and trends, ultimately contributing to more effective and targeted environmental protection strategies. Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC), a major metropolitan area in southern Vietnam, has experienced a significant rise in air pollution levels, particularly PM_2.5, in recent years, creating substantial risks to both public health and the environment. Given the challenges posed by air quality issues, it is essential to develop robust methodologies for predicting PM_2.5 concentrations in HCMC. This study seeks to develop and evaluate multiple machine learning and deep learning models for predicting PM_2.5 concentrations in HCMC, Vietnam, utilizing PM_2.5 and meteorological data over 911 days, from 1 January 2021 to 30 June 2023. Six algorithms were applied: random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), support vector regression (SVR), artificial neural network (ANN), generalized regression neural network (GRNN), and convolutional neural network (CNN). The results indicated that the ANN is the most effective algorithm for predicting PM_2.5 concentrations, with an index of agreement (IOA) value of 0.736 and the lowest prediction errors during the testing phase. These findings imply that the ANN algorithm could serve as an effective tool for predicting PM_2.5 concentrations in urban environments, particularly in HCMC. This study provides valuable insights into the factors that affect PM_2.5 concentrations in HCMC and emphasizes the capacity of AI methodologies in reducing atmospheric pollution. Additionally, it offers valuable insights for policymakers and health officials to implement targeted interventions aimed at reducing air pollution and improving public health. Full article

Water quality early warning is a key aspect in industrial recirculating aquaculture systems for high-density shrimp farming. The concentrations of ammonia nitrogen and nitrite in the water significantly impact the cultured animals and are challenging to measure in real-time, posing a substantial challenge to water quality early warning technology. This study aims to collect data samples using low-cost water quality sensors during the industrial recirculating aquaculture process and to construct predictive values for ammonia nitrogen and nitrite, which are difficult to obtain through sensors in the aquaculture environment, using data prediction techniques. This study employs various machine learning algorithms, including General Regression Neural Network (GRNN), Deep Belief Network (DBN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Support Vector Machine (SVM), to build predictive models for ammonia nitrogen and nitrite. The accuracy of the models is determined by comparing the predicted values with the actual values, and the performance of the models is evaluated using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) metrics. Ultimately, the optimized GRNN-based predictive model for ammonia nitrogen concentration (MAE = 0.5915, MAPE = 28.95%, RMSE = 0.7765) and the nitrite concentration predictive model (MAE = 0.1191, MAPE = 29.65%, RMSE = 0.1904) were selected. The models can be integrated into an Internet of Things system to analyze the changes in ammonia nitrogen and nitrite concentrations over time through aquaculture management and routine water quality conditions, thereby achieving the application of recirculating aquaculture system water environment early warning technology. Full article

The production of vanadium nitrogen alloys (VNs) is a chemical reaction process carried out in a closed pusher plate kiln, making real-time monitoring of key parameters challenging. Traditional methods for controlling process parameters are insufficient to meet the demands of production control. And the current production line heavily depends on workers’ experience and operates with a relatively low level of automation. In order to solve the above problems, this paper proposes a method for monitoring, predicting, and online controlling the production process parameters of VNs based on digital twins. Firstly, the process parameter affecting quality in the production process is experimentally selected as the target for prediction and control. Then, the ISSA-GRNN (Improved Sparrow Search Algorithm-Generalized Regression Neural Networks) fusion prediction model is constructed to predict the optimal values and intervals for the process parameter of movement interval. Finally, a digital twin system is developed to integrate the fusion prediction model to achieve real-time monitoring and online control of the production line. And the superiority of the algorithm and the feasibility of online control are verified through experiments. This paper achieves accurate prediction and online control of parameters in the VNs production process and has reduced reliance on workers’ production experience. Additionally, it has effectively lowered energy consumption and failure rates, facilitated the transition from traditional kiln production to intelligent production, and thereby supported sustainable development. Full article

The growing demand for sustainable materials has significantly increased interest in biocomposites, which are made from renewable raw materials and have excellent mechanical properties. The use of machine learning (ML) can improve our understanding of their mechanical behavior while saving costs and time. In this study, the mechanical behavior of innovative biocomposite sandwich structures under quasi-static out-of-plane compression was investigated using ML algorithms to analyze the effects of geometric variations on load-bearing capacities. A comprehensive dataset of experimental mechanical tests focusing on compression loading was employed, evaluating three ML models—generalized regression neural networks (GRNN), extreme learning machine (ELM), and support vector regression (SVR). Performance indicators such as R-squared (R²), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE) were used to compare the models. It was shown that the GRNN model with an RMSE of 0.0301, an MAE of 0.0177, and R² of 0.9999 in the training dataset, and an RMSE of 0.0874, MAE of 0.0489, and R² of 0.9993 in the testing set had a higher predictive accuracy. In contrast, the ELM model showed moderate performance, while the SVR model had the lowest accuracy with RMSE, MAE, and R² values of 0.5769, 0.3782, and 0.9700 for training, and RMSE, MAE, and R² values of 0.5980, 0.3976 and 0.9695 for testing, suggesting that it has limited effectiveness in predicting the mechanical behavior of the biocomposite structures. The nonlinear load-displacement behavior, including critical peaks and fluctuations, was effectively captured by the GRNN model for both the training and test datasets. The progressive improvement in model performance from SVR to ELM to GRNN was illustrated, highlighting the increasing complexity and capability of machine learning models in capturing detailed nonlinear relationships. The superior performance and generalization ability of the GRNN model were confirmed by the Taylor diagram and Williams plot, with the majority of testing samples falling within the applicability domain, indicating strong generalization to new, unseen data. The results demonstrate the potential of using advanced ML models to accurately predict the mechanical behavior of biocomposites, enabling more efficient and cost-effective development and optimization processes in the field of sustainable materials. Full article

Today, the field of biomedical engineering spans numerous areas of scientific research that grapple with the challenges of intelligent analysis of small datasets. Analyzing such datasets with existing artificial intelligence tools is a complex task, often complicated by issues like overfitting and other challenges inherent to machine learning methods and artificial neural networks. These challenges impose significant constraints on the practical application of these tools to the problem at hand. While data augmentation can offer some mitigation, existing methods often introduce their own set of limitations, reducing their overall effectiveness in solving the problem. In this paper, the authors present an improved neural network-based technology for predicting outcomes when analyzing small and extremely small datasets. This approach builds on the input doubling method, leveraging response surface linearization principles to improve performance. Detailed flowcharts of the improved technology’s operations are provided, alongside descriptions of new preparation and application algorithms for the proposed solution. The modeling, conducted using two biomedical datasets with optimal parameters selected via differential evolution, demonstrated high prediction accuracy. A comparison with several existing methods revealed a significant reduction in various errors, underscoring the advantages of the improved neural network technology, which does not require training, for the analysis of extremely small biomedical datasets. Full article

Precipitation water vapor (PWV) is an important parameter in numerical weather forecasting and climate research. However, existing PWV adjustment models lack comprehensive consideration of seasonal and geographic factors. This study utilized the General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) algorithm and Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) PWV in China to construct and evaluate European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Atmospheric Reanalysis (ERA5) PWV adjustment models for various seasons and subregions based on meteorological parameters (GMPW model) and non-meteorological parameters (GFPW model). A linear model (GLPW model) was established for model accuracy comparison. The results show that: (1) taking GNSS PWV as a reference, the Bias and root mean square error (RMSE) of the GLPW, GFPW, and GMPW models are about 0/1 mm, which better weakens the systematic error of ERA5 PWV. The overall Bias of the GLPW, GFPW, and GMPW models in the Northwest (NWC), North China (NC), Tibetan Plateau (TP), and South China (SC) subregions is approximately 0 mm after adjustment. The adjusted overall RMSE of the GLPW, GFPW, and GMPW models of the four subregions are 0.81/0.71/0.62 mm, 1.15/0.95/0.77 mm, 1.66/1.26/1.05 mm, and 2.11/1.35/0.96 mm, respectively. (2) The accuracy of the three models is tested using GNSS PWV, which is not involved in the modeling. The adjusted overall RMSE of the GLPW, GFPW, and GMPW models in the four subregions are 0.89/0.85/0.83 mm, 1.61/1.58/1.27 mm, 2.11/1.75/1.68 mm and 3.65/2.48/1.79 mm, respectively. As a result, the GFPW and GMPW models have better accuracy in adjusting ERA5 PWV than the linear model GLPW. Therefore, the GFPW and GMPW models can effectively contribute to water vapor monitoring and the integration of multiple PWV datasets. Full article

In order to solve the problem of unstable fluid supply pressure and serious impact caused by the complicated and changeable working condition of a fully mechanized mining face in coal mines and the sluggish response of the fluid supply system to the fluid demand for the hydraulic support, a control method based on online updating generalized regression neural network (GRNN) was proposed. Firstly, the simulated hydraulic support test platform and co-simulation model were built. Secondly, The optimal flow dataset of steady-pressure fluid supply under different working conditions is calculated by simulation. Furthermore, the GRNN prediction model was established by using dataset and online updating learning technology to predict the optimal fluid supply flow according to environmental parameters. Finally, the optimal flow control method of online updating GRNN was established, and numerical research and experimental verification were also carried out in different working conditions. The results indicated that the proposed control method could track the working conditions of the working face in real time and adjusted the fluid supply flow of the emulsion pump station adaptively, which effectively alleviated the pressure fluctuation and pressure shock, and the system pressure was more stable, meeting the demand of steady-pressure fluid supply on the working face. Full article

The optimisation of electric vehicle battery boxes while preserving their structural performance presents a formidable challenge. Many studies typically involve fewer than 10 design variables in their optimisation processes, a deviation from the reality of battery box design scenarios. The present study, for the first time, attempts to use sensitivity analysis to screen the design variables and achieve an efficient optimisation design with a large number of original design variables. Specifically, the sensitivity analysis method was proposed to screen a certain number of optimisation variables, reducing the computational complexity while ensuring the efficiency of the optimisation process. A combination of the Generalised Regression Neural Network (GRNN) and the Non-Dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II) was employed to construct surrogate models and solve the optimisation problem. The optimisation model integrates these techniques to balance structural performance and weight reduction. The optimisation results demonstrate a significant reduction in battery box weight while maintaining structural integrity. Therefore, the proposed approach in this study provides important insights for achieving high-efficiency multi-objective optimisation of battery box structures. Full article