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21 pages, 6490 KiB  
Article
Uncertainty Modelling of Groundwater-Dependent Vegetation
by Todd P. Robinson, Lewis Trotter and Grant W. Wardell-Johnson
Land 2024, 13(12), 2208; https://doi.org/10.3390/land13122208 - 17 Dec 2024
Viewed by 239
Abstract
Groundwater-dependent vegetation (GDV) is threatened globally by groundwater abstraction. Water resource managers require maps showing its distribution and habitat preferences to make informed decisions on its protection. This study, conducted in the southeast Pilbara region of Western Australia, presents a novel approach based [...] Read more.
Groundwater-dependent vegetation (GDV) is threatened globally by groundwater abstraction. Water resource managers require maps showing its distribution and habitat preferences to make informed decisions on its protection. This study, conducted in the southeast Pilbara region of Western Australia, presents a novel approach based on metrics summarising seasonal phenology (phenometrics) derived from Sentinel-2 imagery. We also determined the preferential habitat using ecological niche modelling based on land systems and topographic derivatives. The phenometrics and preferential habitat models were combined using a framework that allows for the expression of different levels of uncertainty. The large integral (LI) phenometric was capable of discriminating GDV and reduced the search space to 111 ha (<1%), requiring follow-up monitoring. Suitable habitat could be explained by a combination of land systems and negative topographic positions (e.g., valleys). This designated 13% of the study area as requiring protection against the threat of intense bushfires, invasive species, land clearing and other disturbances. High uncertainty represents locations where GDV appears to be absent but the habitat is suitable and requires further field assessment. Uncertainty was lowest at locations where the habitat is highly unsuitable (87%) and requires infrequent revisitation. Our results provide timely geospatial intelligence illustrating what needs to be monitored, protected and revisited by water resource managers. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Geospatial Data in Landscape Ecology and Biodiversity Conservation)
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<p>Study area located on the southeastern boundary of the Pilbara bioregion in the arid zone of Australia. Elevation was sourced from the SRTM mission. Arid zone is based on Zomer et al. [<a href="#B42-land-13-02208" class="html-bibr">42</a>]. The Pilbara bioregion is based on the IBRA (2012) version 7 dataset [<a href="#B41-land-13-02208" class="html-bibr">41</a>]. Land system abbreviations are defined in <a href="#land-13-02208-t0A2" class="html-table">Table A2</a>.</p>
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<p>(<b>A</b>) Groundwater-dependent vegetation species appear as “green islands” in the background in contrast to the saltbush (<span class="html-italic">Atriplex</span> sp.) in the foreground, which has no groundwater dependence. (<b>B</b>) Example of a healthy <span class="html-italic">Eucalyptus victrix</span> with a health rating of 5 (see text). (<b>C</b>) Example of a <span class="html-italic">E. calmuldulensis</span> with a health rating of 4 due to some leaf loss on lower limbs. (<b>D</b>) Example of a healthy <span class="html-italic">Melaleuca argentea</span>. (<b>E</b>) <span class="html-italic">Acacia</span> species, which are common vadophytes in the uplands. (<b>F</b>) Dead mature <span class="html-italic">M. argentea</span> tree. (<b>G</b>) Dead <span class="html-italic">E. calmuldulensis</span>.</p>
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<p>Illustration of the phenometrics extracted from the Sentinel time series. See <a href="#land-13-02208-t001" class="html-table">Table 1</a> for definitions.</p>
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<p>Correlation matrix with individual area under the curve (AUC) statistics for (<b>A</b>) phenometric variables defined in <a href="#land-13-02208-t001" class="html-table">Table 1</a> and (<b>B</b>) DEM derivatives (CON = convexity, TPI = topographic position index, SWI = SAGA wetness index) used in ecological niche modelling.</p>
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<p>Response curves for each of the retained variables of (<b>A</b>) the large integral, where MAVI is expressed as an 8-byte integer. The probability of GDV increases with higher values of the large integral. (<b>B</b>) The topographic position index showing the probability of GDV increases when it is negative. (<b>C</b>) Land systems showing the majority of GDV samples are found within the “River” land system (RGERIV) with a minor association with the “Newman” land system (RGENEW). See <a href="#land-13-02208-t0A2" class="html-table">Table A2</a> for other definitions.</p>
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<p>Groundwater-dependent vegetation model results. (<b>A</b>) The BELIEF map, which represents locations in support of GDV presence. Thresholding GDV is delineated in blue. (<b>B</b>) The DISBELIEF map, which represents locations in support of GDV absence. (<b>C</b>) The PLAUSIBILITY map, which illustrates potential GDV habitat that needs protection. Suggested habitat for protection is delineated in purple. (<b>D</b>) The BELIEF INTERVAL map, where high belief intervals present an opportunity for further sampling to reduce uncertainty.</p>
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<p>Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves illustrating the true and false-positive rates overall threshold values. Chosen thresholds are shown in blue and purple and correspond to the models of (<b>A</b>) belief and (<b>B</b>) plausibility, respectively, and relate to the delineations in the same colour in <a href="#land-13-02208-f006" class="html-fig">Figure 6</a>.</p>
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34 pages, 23866 KiB  
Article
Experimental and Numerical Investigations of Crest-Fixed Corrugated Steel Claddings Under Wind Uplift Loading at Elevated Temperatures
by Lisa Pieper and Mahen Mahendran
Fire 2024, 7(12), 473; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire7120473 (registering DOI) - 12 Dec 2024
Viewed by 357
Abstract
The 2019–2020 Black Summer bushfire in Australia is a good example of the frequent and severe bushfires (wildfires) observed around the world in recent years. Fire-enhanced winds and fire–wind interactions during those bushfire events have caused increased wind velocities in the vicinity of [...] Read more.
The 2019–2020 Black Summer bushfire in Australia is a good example of the frequent and severe bushfires (wildfires) observed around the world in recent years. Fire-enhanced winds and fire–wind interactions during those bushfire events have caused increased wind velocities in the vicinity of a bushfire front. This can lead to a premature failure of the building envelope, making it vulnerable to ember attack and direct flame contact. In Australia, crest-fixed cold-formed steel (CFS) claddings are commonly used for buildings in bushfire-prone areas because of their non-combustibility. Therefore, this study investigated the pull-through failure behaviour of corrugated CFS claddings under wind uplift/suction loading at elevated temperatures, simulating fire-enhanced winds during a bushfire by means of experimental and numerical studies. Experimental results showed a negligible influence of the thermal expansion of the cladding system on the pull-through failure behaviour, while a significant decrease in pull-through capacity was observed with increasing temperatures. Suitable finite element models were developed, validated and used in a detailed numerical parametric study. Based on the findings from these studies, a design equation was proposed for the pull-through capacity of the crest-fixed corrugated claddings at elevated temperatures. Full article
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<p>Damage to the building envelope caused by fire–wind interaction during the 2009 Black Saturday bushfire [<a href="#B4-fire-07-00473" class="html-bibr">4</a>].</p>
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<p>Pull-through failures of crest-fixed CFS claddings: (<b>a</b>) local plastic dimpling of corrugated cladding and (<b>b</b>) splitting failure of trapezoidal cladding.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Overall test set-up and (<b>b</b>) loading system.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Screw arrangement and (<b>b</b>) 15 kN load cells attached to the critical screws underneath the cladding.</p>
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<p>Locations of laser sensors and load cells on the corrugated cladding specimen.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Movable frame and insulation layers between cladding and heating blanket and (<b>b</b>) test set-up for elevated temperature tests.</p>
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<p>Locations of thermocouples on the surface of the corrugated cladding.</p>
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<p>Validation of the load–deflection curve at ambient temperature.</p>
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<p>Load–deflection curves at ambient temperature.</p>
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<p>Local dimpling failure at the central support at (<b>a</b>) ambient temperature, (<b>b</b>) 200 °C, (<b>c</b>) 400 °C and (<b>d</b>) localised failure at the critical screw fastener.</p>
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<p>Displacement versus temperature curves at 400 °C.</p>
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<p>Load versus temperature curves at 200 °C and 400 °C.</p>
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<p>Overall applied load-deflection curves.</p>
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<p>Midspan line-loading FE model of corrugated cladding. Note: Different screw labelling compared with the test set-up in <a href="#fire-07-00473-f005" class="html-fig">Figure 5</a>.</p>
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<p>Boundary conditions and load application of (<b>a</b>) the corrugated FE model, (<b>b</b>) the screw head and washer and (<b>c</b>) at the screw fastener hole.</p>
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<p>Mesh of the midspan line-load FE model of corrugated cladding.</p>
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<p>FE model of corrugated cladding subject to uniform pressure loading.</p>
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<p>Load–deflection curves based on (<b>a</b>) the overall applied load from the line-load FE models and (<b>b</b>) the critical screw fastener load in the line-load FE model.</p>
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<p>Comparison of the localised dimpling failure around the critical screw fastener at (<b>a</b>) ambient temperature, (<b>b</b>) 200 °C and (<b>c</b>) 400 °C.</p>
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<p>Load–deflection curves of the critical screw in the large-scale FE model.</p>
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<p>Stress distribution at the pull-through failure of corrugated cladding at 600 °C.</p>
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<p>Influence of Young’s modulus on the pull-through capacity.</p>
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<p>Influence of pitch on the pull-through capacity.</p>
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<p>Influence of crest height on the pull-through capacity.</p>
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<p>Influence of radius on the pull-through capacity.</p>
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<p>Influence of span on the pull-through capacity.</p>
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<p>Load reduction factors from uniform pressure loading and line-loading FE models and line-load and small-scale tests.</p>
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17 pages, 759 KiB  
Article
Better Be Ready! Evacuation Experiences During a Bushfire Emergency
by Carina C. Anderson, Susan F. Rockloff, Lucinda P. Burton, Victoria R. Terry, Sally K. Jensen, Anne T. Nolan and Peter C. Terry
Fire 2024, 7(12), 458; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire7120458 - 5 Dec 2024
Viewed by 552
Abstract
This paper reports on research undertaken for the Building Resilience for Bushfire-Affected Communities in Noosa Shire project, funded by the Australian Government. Being evacuated from a home in the path of a bushfire can be traumatic. Therefore, it is important for evacuees to [...] Read more.
This paper reports on research undertaken for the Building Resilience for Bushfire-Affected Communities in Noosa Shire project, funded by the Australian Government. Being evacuated from a home in the path of a bushfire can be traumatic. Therefore, it is important for evacuees to have safe places to stay, both physically and psychologically. Using a qualitative approach, we aimed to (a) understand the experiences of people who were displaced from their homes and sheltered at evacuation centres during the Noosa Shire bushfires and (b) understand what support is needed during disasters, such as bushfires, to help create positive experiences for future evacuees. Twelve participants displaced by bushfires in Noosa, Australia, in 2019 recalled their experiences in semi-structured interviews (conducted in 2022–2023). Inductive thematic analysis using NVivo 13 identified three themes that can inform government and public disaster preparation and response: planning, support, and communication. Findings from this study centred around building community resilience and offer valuable insights for organising disaster evacuation processes and evacuation centres on a broader scale. For individuals, it involves planning optimal evacuation routes, gathering necessary personal items, feeling safe and calm in evacuation centres, and receiving regular and accurate communication from authorities during disaster events. Full article
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<p>Bureau of Meteorology rainfall map showing unprecedented dry conditions and widespread decline in rainfall across Australia in 2019. (Image available under Creative Commons Attribution CC-BY 3.0 AU Deed 3.0).</p>
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<p>Diagrammatic representation of the core theme Building Community Resilience informed by Planning, Support, and Communication.</p>
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23 pages, 8345 KiB  
Article
Daily PM2.5 and Seasonal-Trend Decomposition to Identify Extreme Air Pollution Events from 2001 to 2020 for Continental Australia Using a Random Forest Model
by Nicolas Borchers-Arriagada, Geoffrey G. Morgan, Joseph Van Buskirk, Karthik Gopi, Cassandra Yuen, Fay H. Johnston, Yuming Guo, Martin Cope and Ivan C. Hanigan
Atmosphere 2024, 15(11), 1341; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15111341 - 8 Nov 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 829
Abstract
Robust high spatiotemporal resolution daily PM2.5 exposure estimates are limited in Australia. Estimates of daily PM2.5 and the PM2.5 component from extreme pollution events (e.g., bushfires and dust storms) are needed for epidemiological studies and health burden assessments attributable to [...] Read more.
Robust high spatiotemporal resolution daily PM2.5 exposure estimates are limited in Australia. Estimates of daily PM2.5 and the PM2.5 component from extreme pollution events (e.g., bushfires and dust storms) are needed for epidemiological studies and health burden assessments attributable to these events. We sought to: (1) estimate daily PM2.5 at a 5 km × 5 km spatial resolution across the Australian continent between 1 January 2001 and 30 June 2020 using a Random Forest (RF) algorithm, and (2) implement a seasonal-trend decomposition using loess (STL) methodology combined with selected statistical flags to identify extreme events and estimate the extreme pollution PM2.5 component. We developed an RF model that achieved an out-of-bag R-squared of 71.5% and a root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 4.5 µg/m3. We predicted daily PM2.5 across Australia, adequately capturing spatial and temporal variations. We showed how the STL method in combination with statistical flags can identify and quantify PM2.5 attributable to extreme pollution events in different locations across the country. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Air Quality)
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<p>Summarized methods.</p>
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<p>Australian State/Territories with 185 PM monitoring stations (black dots), and climate (temperature/humidity) zones as defined by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (<a href="http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/maps/averages/climate-classification/" target="_blank">http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/maps/averages/climate-classification/</a> (accessed on 15 September 2024)). NT = Northern Territory, QLD = Queensland, NSW = New South Wales, ACT = Australian Capital Territory, TAS = Tasmania, VIC = Victoria, SA = South Australia, WA = Western Australia.</p>
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<p>R-squared between predicted and observed PM<sub>2.5</sub>: (<b>A</b>) out of bag—daily, (<b>B</b>) testing set—daily, (<b>C</b>) training set—daily, (<b>D</b>) complete dataset—daily, (<b>E</b>) complete dataset—monthly, and (<b>F</b>) complete dataset—annual. NOTE: dashed red line represents the identity function.</p>
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<p>Correlation (Pearson’s) between predicted and observed PM<sub>2.5</sub> for each monitoring site.</p>
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<p>PM<sub>2.5</sub> prediction results (μg/m<sup>3</sup>): (<b>a</b>) mean PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations Jan 2001–June 2020, (<b>b</b>) standard deviation (SD) of PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations Jan 2001–June 2020, (<b>c</b>) Population-weighted mean PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentration by financial year 2001–2020 and State/Territory. (*) A financial year starts on July 1 and ends on June 30 (i.e., the 2001 financial year runs from 1 July 2001 to 30 June 2002).</p>
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<p>Example of extreme air pollution days identified with 95th percentile and 2SD remainder flags for: (<b>A</b>,<b>B</b>) Launceston 2005–2007 showing three winter smoke seasons and the 2006/2007 bushfire season, (<b>C</b>,<b>D</b>) Darwin 2011–2013 showing impact on smoke during three dry seasons, and (<b>E</b>,<b>F</b>) Sydney July 2017 to June 2020 showing three winter smoke seasons and the devastating 2019/2020 Black summer bushfires. NOTES: (1) For comparison purposes, panels (<b>E</b>,<b>F</b>) <span class="html-italic">y</span>-axis do not show values above 50 µg/m<sup>3</sup>. (2) For illustration purposes “seasonal + trend” and “2SD remainder + seasonal + trend” time series have been smoothed, and probable smoke days flagged with these.</p>
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8 pages, 757 KiB  
Reply
Conservation Agendas and the Denial of History. Reply to Penna, I. and Feller, M.C. Comments on “Laming et al. The Curse of Conservation: Empirical Evidence Demonstrating That Changes in Land-Use Legislation Drove Catastrophic Bushfires in Southeast Australia. Fire 2022, 5, 175”
by Michael-Shawn Fletcher, Anthony Romano, Simon Connor, Alice Laming, S. Yoshi Maezumi, Michela Mariani, Russell Mullett and Patricia S. Gadd
Fire 2024, 7(11), 391; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire7110391 - 30 Oct 2024
Viewed by 1372
Abstract
This is a reply to the comments of Penna [...] Full article
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<p>Quantifying the differences in tree/shrub cover using aerial photography and GIS. (<b>a</b>) 1969 aerial photograph CAD7011-134 (16 January 1969) over Snowy River National Park [<a href="#B34-fire-07-00391" class="html-bibr">34</a>]. (<b>b</b>) Focus area of the 1969 aerial photograph CAD7011-134 (16 January 1969) (~37°29.392′ S, 148°20.544′ E) [<a href="#B34-fire-07-00391" class="html-bibr">34</a>]. (<b>c</b>) Raster result of inferred canopy cover change between 1969 and 1986 aerial photographs. The darker the colour (green), the greater the shift between light-frequency band inferred canopy cover between the 1969 and 1986 aerial photographs. Raw aerial photographs were processed in Adobe Photoshop 2023 to standardise the two photographs before quantifying temporal changes in ArcGIS Pro 3.1.0 [<a href="#B28-fire-07-00391" class="html-bibr">28</a>,<a href="#B29-fire-07-00391" class="html-bibr">29</a>,<a href="#B30-fire-07-00391" class="html-bibr">30</a>,<a href="#B31-fire-07-00391" class="html-bibr">31</a>,<a href="#B32-fire-07-00391" class="html-bibr">32</a>,<a href="#B33-fire-07-00391" class="html-bibr">33</a>]. (<b>d</b>) 1986 aerial photograph CAD2822-209 (29 January 1986) over Snowy River National Park [<a href="#B34-fire-07-00391" class="html-bibr">34</a>]. (<b>e</b>) Focus area of the 1986 aerial photograph CAD7011-134 (16 January 1969) (~37°29.392′ S, 148°20.544′ E) [<a href="#B34-fire-07-00391" class="html-bibr">34</a>]. (<b>f</b>) Frequency distribution plot of the magnitude of change (%) and the proportion of inferred canopy change (%) within the study area presented in (<b>c</b>). Table insert demonstrates the magnitude of change and proportion of pixels, with 88.10% of pixels demonstrating &gt; 20% of inferred canopy cover change between 1969 and 1986.</p>
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18 pages, 6929 KiB  
Article
Characterising the Chemical Composition of Bushfire Smoke and Implications for Firefighter Exposure in Western Australia
by Kiam Padamsey, Adelle Liebenberg, Ruth Wallace and Jacques Oosthuizen
Fire 2024, 7(11), 388; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire7110388 - 28 Oct 2024
Viewed by 1011
Abstract
This study evaluates bushfire smoke as a workplace hazard for firefighters by characterising its chemical composition and potential health risks in Western Australia. Portable Fourier Transform Infrared (FTIR) spectrometry was used to measure airborne chemical concentrations at prescribed burns across five regions, including [...] Read more.
This study evaluates bushfire smoke as a workplace hazard for firefighters by characterising its chemical composition and potential health risks in Western Australia. Portable Fourier Transform Infrared (FTIR) spectrometry was used to measure airborne chemical concentrations at prescribed burns across five regions, including peat (acid sulphate) fire events. Samples were collected during both flaming and smouldering phases, as well as in perceived “clear” air resting zones. Results indicated that carbon monoxide (CO) was the dominant gas, reaching concentrations of 205 ppm at the fire front, followed by nitrogen monoxide (26 ppm) and methane (19 ppm). Peat fires produced distinct profiles, with ammonia (21.5 ppm) and sulphur dioxide (9.5 ppm) concentrations higher than those observed in typical bushfires. Smouldering phases emitted higher chemical concentrations than flaming phases 75% of the time. Even clear air zones contained measurable chemicals, with CO levels averaging 18 ppm, suggesting that firefighters are not free from exposure during rest periods. These findings highlight the need for fit-for-purpose respiratory protective equipment (RPE) and improved rest protocols to minimise exposure. The study underscores the importance of comprehensive health monitoring programs for firefighters to mitigate long-term health risks. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Patterns, Drivers, and Multiscale Impacts of Wildland Fires)
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<p>Scenes at a typical burn.</p>
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<p>The principal researcher in full wildland PPE collecting data inside a smouldering area of Jarrah Forest.</p>
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<p>The dense vegetation of Blackwood Forest.</p>
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<p>Manjimup peat fire, pictured with the Gasmet Technology DX4040.</p>
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<p>The sandy soils and low-lying vegetation of Wilbinga, pictured with the DBCA commencing a prescribed burn.</p>
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<p>The laterite soils and kwongan heathland of Badgingarra.</p>
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<p>The tall, open canopies and sparse groundcover of the Julimar region.</p>
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<p>The ten most prevalent chemicals present in bushfire smoke, reported in parts per million (ppm).</p>
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<p>The tenth to nineteenth most prevalent gases in general bushfire smoke reported in ppm.</p>
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<p>The ten most prevalent chemicals present in peat fire smoke, reported in ppm.</p>
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<p>Mean concentration of chemicals present inside prescribed burn smoke across five unique ecoregions in WA expressed as parts per million (ppm). * Sulphur dioxide concentration at Manjimup was 9.5 ppm.</p>
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<p>Comparison of the mean chemical emissions across the flaming and smouldering phases of prescribed burns across four different prescribed burns (ppm).</p>
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36 pages, 9570 KiB  
Article
Random Forest Spatial-Temporal and State Space Models to Assess the Impact of Bushfire-Induced Aerosol Events on Ozone Depletion in Australia
by Irene Hudson, Phillip Pedro-Suvorov and Servet Kocak
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(21), 9825; https://doi.org/10.3390/app14219825 - 28 Oct 2024
Viewed by 898
Abstract
Serious concerns exist that the increasing frequency of fires may delay the recovery of ozone given increasing temperatures due to climate change. Australian bushfires from September 2019 to February 2020 were catastrophic. A random forest spatial-temporal (RF sp) analysis using satellite data to [...] Read more.
Serious concerns exist that the increasing frequency of fires may delay the recovery of ozone given increasing temperatures due to climate change. Australian bushfires from September 2019 to February 2020 were catastrophic. A random forest spatial-temporal (RF sp) analysis using satellite data to detect an association between Australian bushfires and stratosphere ozone on the local depletion of ozone in the vicinity of fires in three regions of Australia (Pacific Ocean, Victoria, NSW) has shown a significant reduction in ozone attributable to aerosols from fires. By intervention analysis, increases in aerosols in all three regions were shown to have a significant and ongoing impact 1–5 days later on reducing ozone (p < 0.0001). Intervention analysis also gave similar periods of aerosol exceedance to those found by Hidden Markov models (HMMs). HMMs established a significant and quantifiable decline in ozone due to bushfire-induced aerosols, with significant lags of 10–25 days between times of aerosol exceedance and subsequent ozone level decline in all three regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue AI-Enhanced 4D Geospatial Monitoring for Healthy and Resilient Cities)
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<p>(<b>left</b>) NASA measurements of aerosols optical thickness over April 2019. (<b>right</b>) NASA measurements of aerosols’ optical thickness over December 2020.</p>
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<p>(<b>A</b>) Ammonium sulfate particles containing soot (marked by the small arrows) and fly-ash spheres (marked by the bold arrow in the lower-right corner). (<b>B</b>) In a typical branching soot aggregate; the arrows point to a carbon film that connects individual spherules within the aggregate. (<b>C</b>) Fly-ash spheres. Source: [<a href="#B12-applsci-14-09825" class="html-bibr">12</a>].</p>
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<p>Pathway for smoke particles from intense bushfires to enter the stratosphere and for those same particles to, in turn, lead to ozone depletion. Source: [<a href="#B26-applsci-14-09825" class="html-bibr">26</a>].</p>
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<p>Schematic of ozone levels ozone within a column of air from the Earth’s surface (0 km) to the top of the atmosphere (&gt;35 km). Taken from <a href="https://csl.noaa.gov/assessments/ozone/2018/twentyquestions/" target="_blank">https://csl.noaa.gov/assessments/ozone/2018/twentyquestions/</a>, accessed on 30 June 2023.</p>
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<p>Outline of the map of Australia showing the locations of the three regions. The regions in order from top to bottom: Region 1 (Blue), Region 2 (Red) and Region 3 (Green). The checkerboard shading pattern identifies the study area.</p>
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<p>Observed from data of daily gridded aerosol values plot of entire study area over the 20 days from 3 November 2019.</p>
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<p>Observed from data of daily gridded ozone values plot of entire study area over the 20 days from 3 November 2019.</p>
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<p>Time series plot of Total Sum Ozone for each region.</p>
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<p>Time series plot of Total Sum Aerosol for each region.</p>
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<p>Graphical models associated with extensions to the basic HMM. (<b>A</b>) state sequence with a memory order of 2. (<b>B</b>) influence of covariate <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mi>z</mi> <mn>1</mn> </msub> <mo>,</mo> <mo>…</mo> <mo>,</mo> <msub> <mi>z</mi> <mi>T</mi> </msub> </mrow> </semantics></math> on state dynamics. (<b>C</b>) observations depending on both states and previous observations. (<b>D</b>) bivariate observation sequence, conditionally independent given the states. Source: [<a href="#B72-applsci-14-09825" class="html-bibr">72</a>].</p>
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<p>Spatial-temporal predictions of daily gridded ozone values over 20 days from 3 November 2019.</p>
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<p>Spatial-temporal predictions of daily gridded ozone values over 20 days from 1 December 2019.</p>
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<p>Spatial-temporal predictions of daily gridded ozone values over 20 days from 20 January 2020.</p>
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<p>Quantile prediction intervals of daily gridded ozone values over 20 days from 3 November 2019.</p>
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<p>Quantile prediction intervals of daily gridded ozone values over 20 days from 1 December 2019.</p>
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<p>Quantile prediction intervals of daily gridded ozone values over 20 days from 20 January 2020.</p>
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<p>CPs for TSA and TSO for Region 1 (Pacific Ocean) as shown by vertical grey dashed lines.</p>
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<p>CPs for TSA and TSO for Region 2 (Vic) as shown by vertical grey dashed lines.</p>
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<p>CPs for TSA and TSO for Region 3 (NSW) as shown by vertical grey dashed lines.</p>
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<p>HMM bivariate state changes in total sum ozone time-series with respect to total sum aerosol time-series as a covariate for Region 3.</p>
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<p>Summary of the BinSeg CPs and the HMM derived CPs. In the RHS table, the O columns show the ozone CP (day) based on HMM without covariate adjustment. The A columns show the ozone CP (day) for HMMs with aerosol as a covariate.</p>
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<p>Detected Change Points for Total Sum Ozone (Region 3).</p>
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<p>Intervention Analysis Output for Region 3 with Model R3.</p>
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<p>Detected Change Points for Total Sum Ozone (Region 1).</p>
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<p>Intervention Analysis Output for Region 1.</p>
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<p>Detected Change Points for Total Sum Ozone (Region 2).</p>
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<p>Intervention Analysis Output for Region 2.</p>
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<p>HMM bivariate state changes in total sum ozone time-series with respect to total sum aerosol time-series as a covariate for Region 1.</p>
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<p>HMM bivariate state changes in total sum ozone time-series with respect to total sum aerosol time-series as a covariate for Region 2.</p>
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20 pages, 19130 KiB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Analysis of Land Use and Land Cover Dynamics of Dinderesso and Peni Forests in Burkina Faso
by Alphonse Maré David Millogo, Boalidioa Tankoano, Oblé Neya, Fousseni Folega, Kperkouma Wala, Kwame Oppong Hackman, Bernadin Namoano and Komlan Batawila
Geomatics 2024, 4(4), 362-381; https://doi.org/10.3390/geomatics4040019 - 4 Oct 2024
Viewed by 817
Abstract
The sustainable management of protected areas has increasingly become difficult due to the lack of updated information on land use and land cover transformations caused by anthropogenic pressures. This study investigates the spatiotemporal dynamics of the Dinderesso and Peni classified forests in Burkina [...] Read more.
The sustainable management of protected areas has increasingly become difficult due to the lack of updated information on land use and land cover transformations caused by anthropogenic pressures. This study investigates the spatiotemporal dynamics of the Dinderesso and Peni classified forests in Burkina Faso from 1986 to 2022. First, a data driven method was adopted to investigate these forests degradation dynamics. Hence, relevant Landsat images data were collected, segmented, and analyzed using QGIS SCP plugin Random Forest algorithm. Ninety percent of the overall adjusted classification accuracies were obtained. The analysis also showed significant degradation and deforestation with high wooded vegetation classes such as clear forest and wooded savannah (i.e., tree savannah) converging to lower vegetation classes like shrub savannah and agroforestry parks. A second investigation carried out through surveys and field trips revealed key anthropogenic drivers including agricultural expansion, demographic pressure, bad management, wood cutting abuse, overexploitation, overgrazing, charcoal production, and bushfires. These findings highlight the critical need for better management to improve these protected areas. Full article
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<p>Dinderesso and Peni classified forest location.</p>
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<p>Landsat land use land cover assessment and household heads survey flowchart.</p>
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<p>Land uses land cover classes in Dinderesso and Peni classified forests.</p>
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<p>Land use land cover map of Dinderesso classified forest in 1986, 2006, 2010, 2016, and 2022.</p>
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<p>Land use land cover map of Peni classified forest in 1986, 2006, 2010, 2016, and 2022.</p>
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<p>Land use land cover change in the classified forest of Dinderesso in 1986, 2006, 2010, 2016, and 2022.</p>
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<p>Land use land change in the classified forest of Peni in 1986, 2006, 2010, 2016, and 2022.</p>
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<p>Anthropogenic drivers of Dinderesso and Peni classified forests degradation and deforestation.</p>
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<p>Dinderesso classified forest degradation and deforestation drivers.</p>
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<p>Peni classified forest degradation and deforestation drivers.</p>
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12 pages, 2387 KiB  
Article
Preliminary Assessment of Tunic Off-Gassing after Wildland Firefighting Exposure
by Kiam Padamsey, Adelle Liebenberg, Ruth Wallace and Jacques Oosthuizen
Fire 2024, 7(9), 321; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire7090321 - 14 Sep 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 629
Abstract
Evidence has previously shown that outer tunics (turnout coats) worn by firefighters at structural fires are contaminated with harmful chemicals which subsequently off-gas from the material. However, there is limited research on whether this phenomenon extends to wildland firefighter uniforms. This pilot study [...] Read more.
Evidence has previously shown that outer tunics (turnout coats) worn by firefighters at structural fires are contaminated with harmful chemicals which subsequently off-gas from the material. However, there is limited research on whether this phenomenon extends to wildland firefighter uniforms. This pilot study aimed to explore if the tunics of volunteer bushfire and forestry firefighters in Western Australia off-gas any contaminants after exposure to prescribed burns or bushfires, and whether there is a need to explore this further. Nine tunics were collected from firefighters following nine bushfire and prescribed burn events, with a set of unused tunics serving as a control. Chemical analysis was performed on these tunics to assess levels of acrolein, benzene, formaldehyde, and sulphur dioxide contamination. The assessment involved measuring chemical off-gassing over a 12 h period using infrared spectrometry. Tunics worn by firefighters appear to adsorb acrolein, benzene, formaldehyde, and sulphur dioxide from bushfire smoke and these contaminants are emitted from firefighting tunics following contamination at elevated concentrations. Further investigation of this research with a larger study sample will be beneficial to understand this phenomenon better and to determine the full extent and range of chemical contaminants absorbed by all firefighter clothing. Full article
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<p>Summary of acrolein off-gassing from fire-fighting tunics.</p>
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<p>Summary of benzene off-gassing from firefighting tunics.</p>
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<p>Summary of formaldehyde off-gassing from firefighting tunics.</p>
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<p>Summary of sulphur dioxide off-gassing from firefighting tunics.</p>
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19 pages, 3020 KiB  
Article
Assessing the Provisioning of Ecosystem Services Provided by the Relics Forest in Togo’s Mono Biosphere Reserve
by Kokouvi Gbétey Akpamou, Somiyabalo Pilabina, Hodabalo Egbelou, Kokou Richard Sewonou, Yvonne Walz, Luca Luiselli, Gabriel H. Segniagbeto, Daniele Dendi and Kouami Kokou
Conservation 2024, 4(3), 486-504; https://doi.org/10.3390/conservation4030030 - 10 Sep 2024
Viewed by 968
Abstract
In most Sub-Saharan African countries, such as Togo, forest ecosystems provide ecosystem services to the local population. These ecosystem services are of vital importance to the local populations, who depend on the benefits derived from their use to meet their socio-economic needs. The [...] Read more.
In most Sub-Saharan African countries, such as Togo, forest ecosystems provide ecosystem services to the local population. These ecosystem services are of vital importance to the local populations, who depend on the benefits derived from their use to meet their socio-economic needs. The permanent dependence of these populations on ecosystem services is a major factor accelerating the degradation of natural resources, which are already under pressure from climatic factors. The present study assesses the provisioning of ecosystem services provided by the relics forest in the southeast region of the Mono Biosphere Reserve in Togo. Individual interviews and group discussions were carried out with 420 households in fourteen villages around the reserve to identify the current uses of woody species. The results show that 100% of the respondents cited plant species, such as Mitragyna inermis, Lonchocarpus sericeus, and Diospyros mespiliformis, as used for wood. Species, such as Mimusops andogensis and Triplohiton scleroxylon, were cited as exclusively used for wood by 94% and 86%, respectively. Other species, such as Vitex doniana and Dialium guineense, in addition to their use for wood (93% and 70%), were cited, respectively, by 97% and 98% of respondents as used for fruit, and by 82% and 90% for their leaves. The heavy daily use of these species compromises their sustainability. An analysis of Sorensen’s similarity index, according to gender, age, ethnic group, and sector of activity, revealed a variation in this index ranging from 0.6 to 1, reflecting households’ knowledge of the use of these seven species. The local populations are already feeling the effects of the low availability of these commonly used species. According to them, the depletion of these resources is caused mainly by agricultural clearing, illegal logging, and bushfires. Full article
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<p>Location of Togo’s Mono Biosphere Reserve.</p>
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<p>Location of TMBR villages surveyed.</p>
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<p>Principal component analysis (PCA) of the matrix, for 7 woody species X 6 use categories.</p>
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<p>Local people’s knowledge of woody species.</p>
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<p>Availability of woody species over the last ten (10) years.</p>
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<p>Sought-after organ parts of seven most commonly used woody species.</p>
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<p>Uses of seven woody species.</p>
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<p>Reasons for the disappearance of woody species.</p>
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16 pages, 278 KiB  
Article
Individual Resilience and Disaster-Specific Adaptation and Resilience Following a Bushfire Event in Regional Queensland
by Susan F. Rockloff, Carina C. Anderson, Lucinda P. Burton, Victoria R. Terry, Sally K. Jensen, Anne Nolan and Peter C. Terry
Sustainability 2024, 16(16), 7011; https://doi.org/10.3390/su16167011 - 15 Aug 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1349
Abstract
Natural disasters such as bushfires are a test of individual and group resilience, and in extreme cases, threaten the sustainability of communities. Bushfires have long been common in Australia, although anthropogenic climate change has exacerbated their prevalence and severity. The aim of the [...] Read more.
Natural disasters such as bushfires are a test of individual and group resilience, and in extreme cases, threaten the sustainability of communities. Bushfires have long been common in Australia, although anthropogenic climate change has exacerbated their prevalence and severity. The aim of the present study was to assess the individual resilience and disaster-specific adaptation and resilience of community members in the wake of a bushfire event. Using a quantitative, cross-sectional design, an adult community sample of 165 residents of Noosa Shire in regional Queensland, Australia completed the 25-item Connor-Davidson Resilience Scale (CD-RISC©) and the 43-item Disaster Adaptation and Resilience Scale (DARS). Mean scores for the CD-RISC© indicated significantly greater resilience (p < 0.001) than reported previously for a large Australian community cohort. Similarly, the DARS scores indicated significantly greater adaptation and resilience (p < 0.001) than that of a comparable cohort in the USA. The two oldest groups of residents (66+ years and 51–65 years) reported significantly greater adaptation and resilience than the group of younger residents (≤50 years; p < 0.001). The study findings provide the Noosa Shire community with an objective baseline from which they can assess the efficacy of future resilience-building initiatives and, more broadly, offer a valuable point of reference for future disaster-related research. Full article
15 pages, 8036 KiB  
Article
Global Warming Impacts on Southeast Australian Coastally Trapped Southerly Wind Changes
by Lance M. Leslie, Milton Speer and Shuang Wang
Climate 2024, 12(7), 96; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli12070096 - 1 Jul 2024
Viewed by 1417
Abstract
Coastally trapped southerly wind changes are prominent during southeast Australia’s warm season (spring and summer). These abrupt, often gale force, wind changes are known locally as Southerly Busters (SBs) when their wind speeds reach 15 m/s. They move northwards along the coast, often [...] Read more.
Coastally trapped southerly wind changes are prominent during southeast Australia’s warm season (spring and summer). These abrupt, often gale force, wind changes are known locally as Southerly Busters (SBs) when their wind speeds reach 15 m/s. They move northwards along the coast, often producing very large temperature drops. SBs exceeding 21 m/s are severe SBs (SSBs). SBs have both positive and negative impacts. They bring relief from oppressively hot days but can cause destructive wind damage, worsen existing bushfires, and endanger aviation and marine activities. This study assesses the impacts of global warming (GW) and associated climate change on SBs and SSBs, using observational data from 1970 to 2022. Statistical analyses determine significant trends in annual frequency counts of SBs and SSBs, particularly during the accelerated GW period from the early–mid-1990s. It was found that the annual combined count of SBs and SSBs had increased, with SSBs dominating from 1970 to 1995, but SB frequencies exceeded SSBs from 1996 to 2023. The ascendency of SB frequencies over SSBs since 1996 is explained by the impact of GW on changes in global and local circulation patterns. Case studies exemplify how these circulation changes have increased annual frequencies of SBs, SSBs, and their combined total. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Coastal Hazards under Climate Change)
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<p>Australian Bureau of Meteorology mean sea level pressure (MSLP) archived analysis showing contours of manually plotted observations, (<b>a</b>) at 0200 UTC 20 November 1972, before the SB passage, (<b>b</b>) at 0200 UTC 21 November 1972, after the SB passage. The wind direction changes from northwesterly in Sydney (left panel), to southerly (right panel) as the ridging moves up the east coast.</p>
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<p>Himawari-8 satellite at 0600 UTC, 7 October 2021, showing satellite-derived wind vectors close to the surface. Note the marked delineation between NW winds before the SB and southerly winds after the passage of the SB at the coast through Sydney. Half-length yellow wind barbs indicate from 3 to 7 knots and full-length wind barbs indicate from 8 to 12 knots.</p>
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<p>Mean sea level pressure (MSLP) analysis, (<b>a</b>) on 26 December 2021 00 UTC, before the SB passage, (<b>b</b>) on 26 December 2021 12 UTC, after the SB passage. The wind direction changes from northwesterly in Sydney (left panel), to southerly (right panel).</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) SB and SSB frequencies October to March 1970–1971 to 2022–2023. Blue and red lines are the SBs and SSBs, respectively. Blue and red dashed lines represent the linear trends in the SBs and SSBs. Note the steady increase in SBs from the mid-1990s. (<b>b</b>) Frequency of all SBs (SBs plus SSBs) October to March 1970–1971 to 2022–2023. Frequency is indicated by open, blue circles. The dashed red line is the linear trend.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) SB and SSB frequencies October to March 1970–1971 to 2022–2023. Blue and red lines are the SBs and SSBs, respectively. Blue and red dashed lines represent the linear trends in the SBs and SSBs. Note the steady increase in SBs from the mid-1990s. (<b>b</b>) Frequency of all SBs (SBs plus SSBs) October to March 1970–1971 to 2022–2023. Frequency is indicated by open, blue circles. The dashed red line is the linear trend.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) The 1970–1971 to 2022–2023 frequency distribution of SB maximum gust strength values (15.0–20 m/s). Increasing numbers of the same maximum gust strength value within an October to March period are shown by the increasing size of the open circles, enumerated in the legend. (<b>b</b>) The 1970–1971 to 2022–2023 frequency distribution of SSB maximum gust strength values (21.0–maximum recorded value, m/s). Increasing numbers of the same maximum gust strength value within an October to March period are shown by the increasing size of the open circles, enumerated in the legend. (<b>c</b>) The 1970–1971 to 2022–2023 total frequency distribution of maximum gust strength values (21.0–maximum recorded value, m/s). Increasing numbers of the same maximum gust strength value within an October to March period are shown by the increasing size of the open circles, enumerated in the legend.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) The 1970–1971 to 2022–2023 frequency distribution of SB maximum gust strength values (15.0–20 m/s). Increasing numbers of the same maximum gust strength value within an October to March period are shown by the increasing size of the open circles, enumerated in the legend. (<b>b</b>) The 1970–1971 to 2022–2023 frequency distribution of SSB maximum gust strength values (21.0–maximum recorded value, m/s). Increasing numbers of the same maximum gust strength value within an October to March period are shown by the increasing size of the open circles, enumerated in the legend. (<b>c</b>) The 1970–1971 to 2022–2023 total frequency distribution of maximum gust strength values (21.0–maximum recorded value, m/s). Increasing numbers of the same maximum gust strength value within an October to March period are shown by the increasing size of the open circles, enumerated in the legend.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) The 1970–1971 to 2022–2023 frequency distribution of SB maximum gust strength values (15.0–20 m/s). Increasing numbers of the same maximum gust strength value within an October to March period are shown by the increasing size of the open circles, enumerated in the legend. (<b>b</b>) The 1970–1971 to 2022–2023 frequency distribution of SSB maximum gust strength values (21.0–maximum recorded value, m/s). Increasing numbers of the same maximum gust strength value within an October to March period are shown by the increasing size of the open circles, enumerated in the legend. (<b>c</b>) The 1970–1971 to 2022–2023 total frequency distribution of maximum gust strength values (21.0–maximum recorded value, m/s). Increasing numbers of the same maximum gust strength value within an October to March period are shown by the increasing size of the open circles, enumerated in the legend.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Southern Hemisphere NOAA/PSL MSLP anomalies (hPa) October to March 1997–2023, (<b>b</b>) South Hemisphere NOAA/PSL MSLP anomalies (hPa) October to March 1971–1996.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Shows the 30 min plots of wind speeds (m/s, blue lines) and wind gusts (m/s, grey lines) for the passage of the southerly buster through Sydney on 20 November 1973. The orange line is the wind direction in degrees. The maximum wind gust is 27 m/s at approximately 0600 UTC. (<b>b</b>) Shows the 30 min plots of MSLP (green line) and temperature (red line) for the passage of the southerly buster through Sydney on 20 November 1973. The precise passage time is shown by the vertical black arrow at approximately 0600 UTC.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Shows the 30 min plots of wind speeds (m/s, blue lines) and wind gusts (m/s, grey lines) for the passage of the southerly buster through Sydney on 20 November 1973. The orange line is the wind direction in degrees. The maximum wind gust is 27 m/s at approximately 0600 UTC. (<b>b</b>) Shows the 30 min plots of MSLP (green line) and temperature (red line) for the passage of the southerly buster through Sydney on 20 November 1973. The precise passage time is shown by the vertical black arrow at approximately 0600 UTC.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Shows the 30 min plots of wind speeds (m/s, blue lines) and wind gusts (m/s, grey lines) for the passage of the southerly buster through Sydney on 31 January 2019. The orange line is the wind direction in degrees. The maximum wind gusts of about 23–25 m/s occurred during the period at approximately 0645–0900 UTC. (<b>b</b>) Shows the 30 min plots of MSLP (green line) and temperature (reed line) for the passage of the southerly buster through Sydney on 31 January 2019. The precise passage time is shown by the vertical black arrow at approximately 0640 UTC.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Shows the 30 min plots of wind speeds (m/s, blue lines) and wind gusts (m/s, grey lines) for the passage of the southerly buster through Sydney on 31 January 2019. The orange line is the wind direction in degrees. The maximum wind gusts of about 23–25 m/s occurred during the period at approximately 0645–0900 UTC. (<b>b</b>) Shows the 30 min plots of MSLP (green line) and temperature (reed line) for the passage of the southerly buster through Sydney on 31 January 2019. The precise passage time is shown by the vertical black arrow at approximately 0640 UTC.</p>
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24 pages, 37691 KiB  
Article
African Lovegrass Segmentation with Artificial Intelligence Using UAS-Based Multispectral and Hyperspectral Imagery
by Pirunthan Keerthinathan, Narmilan Amarasingam, Jane E. Kelly, Nicolas Mandel, Remy L. Dehaan, Lihong Zheng, Grant Hamilton and Felipe Gonzalez
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(13), 2363; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16132363 - 27 Jun 2024
Viewed by 1160
Abstract
The prevalence of the invasive species African Lovegrass (Eragrostis curvula, ALG thereafter) in Australian landscapes presents significant challenges for land managers, including agricultural losses, reduced native species diversity, and heightened bushfire risks. Uncrewed aerial system (UAS) remote sensing combined with AI [...] Read more.
The prevalence of the invasive species African Lovegrass (Eragrostis curvula, ALG thereafter) in Australian landscapes presents significant challenges for land managers, including agricultural losses, reduced native species diversity, and heightened bushfire risks. Uncrewed aerial system (UAS) remote sensing combined with AI algorithms offer a powerful tool for accurately mapping the spatial distribution of invasive species and facilitating effective management strategies. However, segmentation of vegetations within mixed grassland ecosystems presents challenges due to spatial heterogeneity, spectral similarity, and seasonal variability. The performance of state-of-the-art artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms in detecting ALG in the Australian landscape remains unknown. This study compared the performance of four supervised AI models for segmenting ALG using multispectral (MS) imagery at four sites and developed segmentation models for two different seasonal conditions. UAS surveys were conducted at four sites in New South Wales, Australia. Two of the four sites were surveyed in two distinct seasons (flowering and vegetative), each comprised of different data collection settings. A comparative analysis was also conducted between hyperspectral (HS) and MS imagery at a single site within the flowering season. Of the five AI models developed (XGBoost, RF, SVM, CNN, and U-Net), XGBoost and the customized CNN model achieved the highest validation accuracy at 99%. The AI model testing used two approaches: quadrat-based ALG proportion prediction for mixed environments and pixel-wise classification in masked regions where ALG and other classes could be confidently differentiated. Quadrat-based ALG proportion ground truth values were compared against the prediction for the custom CNN model, resulting in 5.77% and 12.9% RMSE for the seasons, respectively, emphasizing the superiority of the custom CNN model over other AI algorithms. The comparison of the U-Net demonstrated that the developed CNN effectively captures ALG without requiring the more intricate architecture of U-Net. Masked-based testing results also showed higher F1 scores, with 91.68% for the flowering season and 90.61% for the vegetative season. Models trained on single-season data exhibited decreased performance when evaluated on data from a different season with varying collection settings. Integrating data from both seasons during training resulted in a reduction in error for out-of-season predictions, suggesting improved generalizability through multi-season data integration. Moreover, HS and MS predictions using the custom CNN model achieved similar test results with around 20% RMSE compared to the ground truth proportion, highlighting the practicality of MS imagery over HS due to operational limitations. Integrating AI with UAS for ALG segmentation shows great promise for biodiversity conservation in Australian landscapes by facilitating more effective and sustainable management strategies for controlling ALG spread. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensing for Management of Invasive Species)
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<p>Overview of the study methodology, illustrating the key steps in data acquisition, data preprocessing, pixel-wise labeling, multispectral-based prediction, and multispectral and hyperspectral comparison.</p>
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<p>Map of the study sites. Site 1 and Site 2 correspond to Bunyan sites, while Site 3 and Site 4 correspond to Cooma sites, located in in New South Wales, Australia.</p>
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<p>Illustration of quadrat species diversity at Bunyan and Cooma sites.</p>
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<p>Labeled polygons of three randomly selected quadrats from Sites 1 and 4, along with their corresponding close-up images.</p>
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<p>Spectral signature differences for spectral indices.</p>
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<p>Modelling and augmentation of data points during ALG model development.</p>
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<p>Custom CNN model architecture for MS-based ALG segmentation. For MS and HS comparison, the third dimension of the first layer captures the channel depth, which is 5 for MS and 448 for HS imagery. The remaining dimensions are unchanged.</p>
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<p>U-Net architecture used for ALG classification.</p>
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<p>Multispectral-based prediction maps of three quadrats from test sites using the models developed from the combined seasonal dataset. The filled black regions represent the ALG.</p>
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<p>The ground truth and the predicted ALG proportion from the Bunyan test site (flowering) using the models developed from the combined seasonal dataset.</p>
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<p>The ground truth and the predicted ALG proportion from the Cooma test site (vegetative) using the models developed from the combined seasonal dataset.</p>
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<p>Multispectral-based segmented ALG spatial distribution map of test sites. (<b>a</b>) Cooma site; (<b>b</b>) Bunyan site. The hashed black polygon represents the ALG detected region.</p>
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<p>The ground truth and the predicted ALG proportion of the quadrats from the test region of Site 2 by the custom CNN model.</p>
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<p>Comparison of multispectral and hyperspectral imagery-based models prediction maps of three quadrats from test sites. The filled black regions represent the ALG.</p>
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21 pages, 12213 KiB  
Article
A 3D Numerical Model to Estimate Lightning Types for PyroCb Thundercloud
by Surajit Das Barman, Rakibuzzaman Shah, Syed Islam and Apurv Kumar
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(12), 5305; https://doi.org/10.3390/app14125305 - 19 Jun 2024
Viewed by 914
Abstract
Pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) thunderclouds, produced from extreme bushfires, can initiate frequent cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning strikes containing extended continuing currents. This, in turn, can ignite new spot fires and inflict massive harm on the environment and infrastructures. This study presents a 3D numerical thundercloud model [...] Read more.
Pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) thunderclouds, produced from extreme bushfires, can initiate frequent cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning strikes containing extended continuing currents. This, in turn, can ignite new spot fires and inflict massive harm on the environment and infrastructures. This study presents a 3D numerical thundercloud model for estimating the lightning of different types and its striking zone for the conceptual tripole thundercloud structure which is theorized to produce the lightning phenomenon in pyroCb storms. More emphasis is given to the lower positive charge layer, and the impacts of strong wind shear are also explored to thoroughly examine various electrical parameters including the longitudinal electric field, electric potential, and surface charge density. The simulation outcomes on pyroCb thunderclouds with a tripole structure confirm the presence of negative longitudinal electric field initiation at the cloud’s lower region. This initiation is accompanied by enhancing the lower positive charge region, resulting in an overall positive electric potential increase. Consequently, negative surface charge density appears underneath the pyroCb thundercloud which has the potential to induce positive (+CG) lightning flashes. With wind shear extension of upper charge layers in pyroCb, the lightning initiation potential becomes negative to reduce the absolute field value and would generate negative (−CG) lightning flashes. A subsequent parametric study is carried out considering a positive correlation between aerosol concentration and charge density to investigate the sensitivity of pyroCb electrification under the influence of high aerosol conditions. The suggested model would establish the basis for identifying the potential area impacted by lightning and could also be expanded to analyze the dangerous conditions that may arise in wind energy farms or power substations in times of severe pyroCb events. Full article
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Active fire and (<b>b</b>) lightning strike observations on Black Saturday, 7 February 2009 [<a href="#B11-applsci-14-05305" class="html-bibr">11</a>].</p>
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<p>PyroCb thunderclouds exhibit the following: (<b>a</b>) a tripole structure characterized by a prevailing upper positive (UP) charge layer, a prominent middle negative (MN) and a minor lower positive (LP) charge layers, accompanied by an extra negative screening layer (SC) positioned at the top, and (<b>b</b>) the effect of wind shear to create the titled structure.</p>
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<p>The vertical profile of the pyroCb thundercloud model (in xz plane) exhibits a tripole charge structure under two different conditions: (<b>a</b>) without LP charge enhancement (configuration 1) and (<b>b</b>) with increased LP charge region (configuration 2).</p>
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<p>Plots of the distributions of electric potential (<b>a1</b>,<b>a2</b>) and the changes in the electric field (<b>b1</b>,<b>b2</b>) for configurations 1 and 2 of the tripole structure-based pyroCb thundercloud, respectively.</p>
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<p>Graphs depicting the electric potential <span class="html-italic">V</span> (MV) are shown at the point of maximum field where the initiation of flash is marked with an “x” (<b>a1</b>,<b>a2</b>). The longitudinal electric field <math display="inline"><semantics> <msub> <mi>E</mi> <mi>z</mi> </msub> </semantics></math> (kV/m) for two different thundercloud configurations is also illustrated in (<b>b1</b>,<b>b2</b>).</p>
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<p>Plots of surface charge density <math display="inline"><semantics> <mi>σ</mi> </semantics></math> for: (<b>a</b>) configuration 1 and (<b>b</b>) configuration 2 to identify probable CG lightning types in pyroCb thunderclouds. Detailed views of the temporal changes in <math display="inline"><semantics> <mi>σ</mi> </semantics></math> on Earth’s surface (<math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>x</mi> <mi>y</mi> </mrow> </semantics></math> plane) are presented for two tripole charge configurations.</p>
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<p>Vertical cross-sectional representation of pyroCb thunderclouds incorporating the wind shear extension of SC and UP charge layers when (<b>a</b>) <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>d</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math>, (<b>b</b>) <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>d</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>4</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math>, and (<b>c</b>) <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>d</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>8</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math> km.</p>
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<p>With the wind shear extension of SC and UP charge layers, projections of potential (<b>a1</b>–<b>a3</b>) and electric field (<b>b1</b>–<b>b3</b>) distributions in the conceptual pyroCb thundercloud.</p>
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<p>Graphs showing the electric potential <span class="html-italic">V</span> (MV) at maximum field point of pyroCb thundercloud (<b>a1</b>–<b>a3</b>) and its corresponding longitudinal electric field <math display="inline"><semantics> <msub> <mi>E</mi> <mi>z</mi> </msub> </semantics></math> (kV/m) (<b>b1</b>–<b>b3</b>) under the effect of wind shear. The symbol “x” in (<b>a1</b>–<b>a3</b>) represents the flash initiation point, and the red-dashed dotted line in (<b>b1</b>–<b>b3</b>) indicates the initiation threshold field.</p>
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<p>Plots of surface charge density <math display="inline"><semantics> <mi>σ</mi> </semantics></math> (<b>a</b>–<b>c</b>) for a pyroCb thundercloud under the effect of wind shear.</p>
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<p>Figures illustrating (<b>a1</b>–<b>c1</b>) the electric potential <span class="html-italic">V</span> (MV) at maximum field point, and (<b>a2</b>–<b>c2</b>) the longitudinal electric field <math display="inline"><semantics> <msub> <mi>E</mi> <mi>z</mi> </msub> </semantics></math> (kV/m) for pyroCb thundercloud with wind shear extension values of (<b>a</b>) <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>d</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math>, (<b>b</b>) <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>d</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>4</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math> and (<b>c</b>) <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>d</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>8</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math> km. The threshold field value of initiation is shown by red dash-dotted lines.</p>
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<p>Variations in surface charge density <math display="inline"><semantics> <mi>σ</mi> </semantics></math> in pyroCb for aerosol concentrations: <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>N</mi> <mo>=</mo> </mrow> </semantics></math> 1000 cm<sup>−3</sup> (<b>a1</b>–<b>c1</b>) and 5000 cm<sup>−3</sup> (<b>a2</b>–<b>c2</b>) in the presence of wind shear.</p>
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<p>Variations in surface charge density <math display="inline"><semantics> <mi>σ</mi> </semantics></math> in pyroCb for aerosol concentrations: <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>N</mi> <mo>=</mo> </mrow> </semantics></math> 10,000 cm<sup>−3</sup> (<b>a1</b>–<b>c1</b>) and 20,000 cm<sup>−3</sup> (<b>a2</b>–<b>c2</b>).</p>
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22 pages, 3815 KiB  
Review
A Review of Leaf-Level Flammability Traits in Eucalypt Trees
by Nicolas Younes, Marta Yebra, Matthias M. Boer, Anne Griebel and Rachael H. Nolan
Fire 2024, 7(6), 183; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire7060183 - 28 May 2024
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 2126
Abstract
With more frequent and intense fires expected under future climate conditions, it is important to understand the mechanisms that control flammability in Australian forests. We followed a systematic review approach to determine which physical traits make eucalypts leaves more or less flammable. Specifically, [...] Read more.
With more frequent and intense fires expected under future climate conditions, it is important to understand the mechanisms that control flammability in Australian forests. We followed a systematic review approach to determine which physical traits make eucalypts leaves more or less flammable. Specifically, we reviewed 20 studies that covered 35 eucalypt species across five countries and found that leaf water content, leaf area (LA), and specific leaf area (SLA) are the main drivers of leaf flammability. These traits are easy and straightforward to measure, while more laborious traits (e.g., volatile organic compounds and structural carbohydrates) are seldom measured and reported. Leaf flammability also varies with species, and, while the biochemistry plays a role in how leaves burn, it plays a minor role in fire behaviour at landscape scales. This review highlights the range of different protocols used to measure flammability and leaf water content, warranting caution when comparing traits and results between studies. As a result, we propose a standardised protocol to measure leaf water content and advocate for long-term measurements of leaf traits and flammability. This study not only contributes to the understanding of how and why eucalypt leaves burn but also encourages research into the relative importance of traits in influencing flammability and provides a guide for selecting traits that can be monitored using satellite images to inform fire management policies and strategies. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Distribution of native eucalypt forests and woodlands in Australia (green), and the calculated extent of different fires between September 2019 and June 2020 (brown), including prescribed and low-intensity fires. Insets show regions where large areas of native eucalypt forests and woodlands burned during the 2019–2020 fire season. Sources: distribution of eucalypts [<a href="#B20-fire-07-00183" class="html-bibr">20</a>], burned extent [<a href="#B28-fire-07-00183" class="html-bibr">28</a>].</p>
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<p>Workflow used to identify and select the literature records on leaf-level traits that influence eucalypt flammability.</p>
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<p>Summary of the studies considered in this review. Panel (<b>A</b>) shows the species used in all studies. Panel (<b>B</b>) shows the leaf traits measured in all studies, where different colors represent the five groups analysed in <a href="#sec3-fire-07-00183" class="html-sec">Section 3</a>.</p>
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<p>Summary of the leaf-level traits that make eucalypt leaves more or less flammable.</p>
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<p>Drivers of flammability and fire behaviour and spread depend on the spatial and temporal scale of assessment. Remote sensing tools to monitor vegetation also change with scale.</p>
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