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The Book 2016: Week 3

Change is in the air. Book bounces back from poor first week. Eagles 7.5 point dog at VT.

By John Fidler
Meet the new boss, same as the old boss
Meet the new boss, same as the old boss
Marvin Gentry-USA TODAY Sports

Unlike a traditional power poll, it is inevitable that there will be major shifts in our College Football Playoff Committee style ranking system from week to week.  We now have two weeks or really two data points to compare and as mentioned last week, this poll is not necessarily who is the best team, but rather whose body of work through two weeks is the best.

After this week though, the polls, whether they be our CFP committee style, our power rankings, the Massey composite rankings or the Sagarin rankings, all agree, the Alabama Crimson Tide are #1.  The Tide's week one win over USC was good enough for #6 in the ranking system, but what we are saying here is that Bama's two week body of work with wins over USC and Western Kentucky, is the best resume out there.

Bama is followed by Wisconsin, Texas and Arkansas.

The power poll that feeds into this ranking system is more what you might expect out of the Top 25 or the other polls and currently has Alabama at #1, followed by Ohio State, Florida State and Michigan.

With several big games this week, such as Alabama-Ole Miss, Ohio State-Oklahoma and Michigan State-Notre Dame, you can expect fairly seismic shifts in this each week.  Eventually what should happen is that teams with undefeated records will actually be rated lower than those with one loss, etc as the opposition the record was compiled against will be inferior.

BC looks to notch its first ACC win since 2014 at Virginia Tech, the Hokies coming off the emotional loss to Tennessee in the Battle at Bristol.  The Book favors Tech in this one, with the Eagles a 7.5 point underdog.

Speaking of the Vegas spread, the Book enjoyed a solid bounce back week after the disaster of week one, with a 27-19 record, good for 58.7 winning percentage.

Enjoy the games and Go Eagles!

Note:  the Massey composite rankings are as of Tuesday night, September 13.

CFP COMMITTEE STYLE RANKING
RANK TEAM RECORD MASSEY SAGARIN
1 Alabama Crimson Tide 2-0 1 1
2 Wisconsin Badgers 2-0 9 17
3 Texas Longhorns 2-0 31 25
4 Arkansas Razorbacks 2-0 15 27
5 Florida State Seminoles 2-0 3 4
6 Houston Cougars 2-0 7 24
7 Tennessee Volunteers 2-0 8 10
8 Clemson Tigers 2-0 4 12
9 Texas A&M Aggies 2-0 19 9
10 West Virginia Mountaineers 2-0 30 32
11 Georgia Bulldogs 2-0 21 48
12 Central Michigan Chippewas 2-0 50 72
13 Arizona State Sun Devils 2-0 36 31
14 Utah Utes 2-0 25 34
15 Ohio State Buckeyes 2-0 2 2
16 Pittsburgh Panthers 2-0 41 38
17 Boise State Broncos 2-0 28 26
18 Army Black Knights 2-0 78 67
19 East Carolina Pirates 2-0 56 56
20 Wake Forest Demon Deacons 2-0 68 73
21 San Diego State Aztecs 2-0 34 51
22 Louisville Cardinals 2-0 12 11
23 Florida Gators 2-0 24 18
24 Western Michigan Broncos 2-0 46 47
25 Stanford Cardinal 1-0 5 5
26 Iowa Hawkeyes 2-0 16 13
27 Nebraska Cornhuskers 2-0 27 22
28 Washington Huskies 2-0 11 8
29 Southern Miss Golden Eagles 2-0 59 76
30 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 2-0 49 42
31 Michigan Wolverines 2-0 6 3
32 Indiana Hoosiers 2-0 61 62
33 Cincinnati Bearcats 2-0 52 57
34 Minnesota Golden Gophers 2-0 58 60
35 Toledo Rockets 2-0 33 39
36 Oregon Ducks 2-0 22 33
37 South Florida Bulls 2-0 37 40
38 Navy Midshipmen 2-0 38 61
39 Colorado Buffaloes 2-0 51 41
40 Texas State Bobcats 1-0 98 114
41 Baylor Bears 2-0 13 19
42 Miami-Florida Hurricanes 2-0 35 29
43 USC Trojans 1-1 26 21
44 Georgia Southern Eagles 2-0 45 80
45 Maryland Terrapins 2-0 69 71
46 Air Force Falcons 2-0 64 69
47 BYU Cougars 1-1 40 44
48 North Carolina Tar Heels 1-1 23 28
49 Auburn Tigers 1-1 29 20
50 South Alabama Jaguars 1-1 86 104
51 Tulsa Golden Hurricane 1-1 72 75
52 Michigan State Spartans 1-0 17 35
53 Marshall Thundering Herd 1-0 53 66
54 Memphis Tigers 1-0 48 77
55 Wyoming Cowboys 1-1 104 112
56 Appalachian St. Mountaineers 1-1 47 59
57 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 1-1 42 54
58 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1-1 20 15
59 UCLA Bruins 1-1 39 14
60 South Carolina Gamecocks 1-1 76 65
61 TCU Horned Frogs 1-1 32 23
62 Vanderbilt Commodores 1-1 77 55
63 LSU Tigers 1-1 14 7
64 Oklahoma Sooners 1-1 10 6
65 Texas-El Paso Miners 1-1 105 109
66 SMU Mustangs 1-1 102 101
67 California Golden Bears 1-1 55 58
68 Penn State Nittany Lions 1-1 54 43
69 Troy Trojans 1-1 82 88
70 Missouri Tigers 1-1 66 53
71 Ole Miss Rebels 1-1 18 16
72 UCF Knights 1-1 110 87
73 Florida Atlantic Owls 1-1 108 108
74 Kansas State Wildcats 0-1 63 46
75 Bowling Green Falcons 1-1 79 97
76 Idaho Vandals 1-1 113 117
77 Hawaii Warriors 1-2 123 122
78 ULM Warhawks 1-1 124 126
79 Rutgers Scarlet Knights 1-1 87 94
80 Virginia Tech Hokies 1-1 57 50
81 Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 1-1 112 111
82 Nevada Wolf Pack 1-1 90 93
83 Mississippi St. Bulldogs 1-1 44 45
84 Syracuse Orange 1-1 85 84
85 Boston College Eagles 1-1 73 49
86 Akron Zips 1-1 91 110
87 Charlotte 49ers 1-1 126 128
88 Ball State Cardinals 1-1 101 103
89 UNLV Rebels 1-1 106 91
90 Illinois Fighting Illini 1-1 80 74
91 Fresno State Bulldogs 1-1 109 100
92 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 1-1 67 82
93 Texas Tech Red Raiders 1-1 62 37
94 Colorado State Rams 1-1 92 106
95 Utah State Aggies 1-1 84 81
96 New Mexico State Aggies 1-1 116 123
97 Arizona Wildcats 1-1 70 68
98 Purdue Boilermakers 1-1 95 89
99 N.C. State Wolfpack 1-1 60 36
100 Oregon State Beavers 0-1 96 79
101 Eastern Michigan Eagles 1-1 128 127
102 Tulane Green Wave 1-1 103 107
103 Ohio University Bobcats 1-1 83 86
104 Old Dominion Monarchs 1-1 111 116
105 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 1-1 88 78
106 Connecticut Huskies 1-1 81 90
107 Duke Blue Devils 1-1 75 63
108 San Jose State Spartans 1-1 94 99
109 Oklahoma State Cowboys 1-1 43 30
110 North Texas Mean Green 1-1 127 124
111 Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners 1-1 120 120
112 Kansas Jayhawks 1-1 119 102
113 Temple Owls 1-1 71 70
114 New Mexico Lobos 1-1 100 98
115 Massachusetts Minutemen 0-2 118 105
116 Iowa St. Cyclones 0-2 107 92
117 Arkansas State Red Wolves 0-2 89 96
118 Kentucky Wildcats 0-2 98 83
119 Virginia Cavaliers 0-2 93 85
120 FIU Panthers 0-2 121 125
121 Northern Illinois Huskies 0-2 97 95
122 Washington State Cougars 0-2 65 52
123 Buffalo Bulls 0-1 115 118
124 Rice Owls 0-2 114 113
125 Northwestern Wildcats 0-2 74 64
126 Miami-Ohio Redhawks 0-2 122 115
127 Georgia State Panthers 0-2 117 119
128 Kent State Golden Flashes 0-2 125 121

THE ACC/CFP RANKINGS
RANK TEAM REC MASSEY SAGARIN
1 Florida State 2-0 3 4
2 Clemson 2-0 4 12
3 Pittsburgh 2-0 41 38
4 Wake Forest 2-0 68 73
5 Louisville 2-0 12 11
6 Georgia Tech 2-0 49 42
7 Miami 2-0 35 29
8 North Carolina 1-1 23 28
9 Virginia Tech 1-1 57 50
10 Syracuse 1-1 85 84
11 Boston College 1-1 73 49
12 North Carolina State 1-1 60 36
13 Duke 1-1 75 63
14 Virginia 1-1 93 85

Records shown against the Vegas spread (starting next week) utilize the Danny Sheridan opening line.  The spreads below are ones created by the Book.

Week Record:  Won 27 Lost 19 Tied 0 .587 winning percentage
Season Record:  Won 39 Lost 47 Tied 1 .454 winning percentage


NATIONAL/ACC SPREADS
FAVORITE SPREAD UNDERDOG
Houston 5.8 at Cincinnati
Baylor 28.3 at Rice
at BYU 0.7 UCLA
Miami FL 8.4 at Appalachian St
at Wisconsin 44.1 Georgia St
at Louisville 0.4 Florida St
at Tennessee 31.9 Ohio
at Georgia Tech 5.9 Vanderbilt
at Connecticut 2.1 Virginia
at Michigan 19.3 Colorado
at Nebraska 9.8 Oregon
Alabama 10.9 at Mississippi
at Oklahoma St 3.3 Pittsburgh
South Florida 12.8 at Syracuse
at Virginia Tech 7.5 Boston College
at NC State 23.6 Old Dominion
at LSU 16.0 Mississippi St
at Auburn 2.3 Texas A&M
at Notre Dame 11.3 Michigan St
Ohio St 3.5 at Oklahoma
at Northwestern 3.2 Duke
at Stanford 11.6 USC
Texas 5.5 at California

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