Win Expectancy
Based on Actual 2010-2015 Run Expectancy
© Tangotiger
Percentage of times a MLB team (2010-2015) is expected to win a game, from each game state (inning, score, base, out).
From the perspective of the HOME team.
Technical Note: I used the Actual 2010-2015 Run Expectancy chart and simply ran it for every game state, recursively. All data based on Retrosheet. All errors mine.
Based on Actual 2010-2015 Run Expectancy