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Tangotiger Blog

A blog about baseball, hockey, life, and whatever else there is.

Tuesday, July 09, 2013

Value of non-guaranteed contract

People make a big deal that MLB has guaranteed contracts.  But, this comes at a price.  Suppose that the CBA allowed for teams and players to determine how much contracts are guaranteed if at all, on one-by-one basis.  The Phillies signed Cliff Lee to a 5/120 deal, guaranteed.  But, what if the Phillies had the right to walk away after each year.  How would Cliff Lee's contract have looked like?  Well, instead of signing 5/120, he might have signed a 5/150 deal.  Or, what if in allowing the Phillies to walk away, they had to pay two-thirds of the remaining value of the contract?  Well, now, Lee might have signed a 5/130 deal.?  And if it was one-third of the remaining value?  Maybe it would be a 5/140 deal. (All numbers for illustration purposes only.)

The point is that there's a premium the player pays in order to get that guaranteed contract.  It's not a cost-less benefit. Tyler exemplifies this point tremendously with this illustration

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July 09, 2013
Value of non-guaranteed contract