Monday, July 29, 2013
Time Value of Money
What's the difference between these two salary payouts?
2014 | $ 30 | $ 10 |
2015 | $ 27 | $ 13 |
2016 | $ 24 | $ 16 |
2017 | $ 21 | $ 19 |
2018 | $ 18 | $ 22 |
2019 | $ 15 | $ 25 |
2020 | $ 12 | $ 28 |
2021 | $ 9 | $ 31 |
TOT | $ 156 | $ 164 |
Now, does one salary structure make one more trade-able than the other? No! Because you simply trade enough dollars to make the two equals. If you sign a player to start at 30MM$ and go down by 3MM$ a year, you are probably roughly following a pay-for-play, so that at any point, you are neither backloading nor frontloading the deal, beyond the expected performance. But, if you start the guy at 10MM$, you are heavily backloading the deal. You are deferring salary. How much? Well, that first year, you deferred 20MM$. And the second year, you deferred 14MM$. If you trade this player after two years (and if his performance followed the normal decline), you'd have to throw in the present-value equivalent of those 34MM$ that you deferred.
The only advantage that one has over the other is with respect to luxury tax or other shelter-type plans. From the perspective of the fan or the player, it's totally irrelevant. That Bobby Bonilla is still getting paid doesn't mean anything.
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