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Tangotiger Blog

A blog about baseball, hockey, life, and whatever else there is.

Monday, July 29, 2013

Time Value of Money

What's the difference between these two salary payouts?

2014  $  30  $   10
2015  $  27  $   13
2016  $  24  $   16
2017  $  21  $   19
2018  $  18  $   22
2019  $  15  $   25
2020  $  12  $   28
2021  $   9  $   31
TOT  $ 156  $  164
If you said ZERO, go to the head of the class.  If you presume a 3% annual discount rate?, both will cost you 144MM$ to finance today.  You could structure it to start at 30MM$ and go down by 3MM$ a year, or you could structure it to start at 10MM$ and go up by 3MM$ a year.  Or you could give the player the whole 144MM$ as a signing bonus and no salary afterwards.

Now, does one salary structure make one more trade-able than the other?  No!  Because you simply trade enough dollars to make the two equals.  If you sign a player to start at 30MM$ and go down by 3MM$ a year, you are probably roughly following a pay-for-play, so that at any point, you are neither backloading nor frontloading the deal, beyond the expected performance.  But, if you start the guy at 10MM$, you are heavily backloading the deal.  You are deferring salary.  How much?  Well, that first year, you deferred 20MM$.  And the second year, you deferred 14MM$.  If you trade this player after two years (and if his performance followed the normal decline), you'd have to throw in the present-value equivalent of those 34MM$ that you deferred.

The only advantage that one has over the other is with respect to luxury tax or other shelter-type plans.  From the perspective of the fan or the player, it's totally irrelevant.  That Bobby Bonilla is still getting paid doesn't mean anything.

(8) Comments • 2013/07/30 • Finances

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July 29, 2013
Time Value of Money