Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Race for 2nd place in AL Cy Young
With Felix now running away with it, and with Tanaka out of it, it's now a race for 2nd place. ? Lester, Garrett Richards, Price, Kazmir, Kluber, almost-rookie Gray, Sale, Darvish all a shot at it (figure 10% each), with Scherzer, and Buehrle still in it (5% each).
The astute reader will have added that up to 90%. Where does the other 10% come from? Well, Felix! He's probably at 80-90% to win this thing, and 10% to finish second, with just injuries getting in the way. This means Felix has as much chance of finishing second in the Cy Young race as anyone else. Heck, he might even be the most likely to finish first and the most likely to finish second.
As aspiring saberist can run the simulations and report on the results.
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