Friday, May 10, 2013
Cloning players
In response to a reader at Bill's site, I offer:
I think the reader was asking the following: You have two players of drastically different skillsets, but if surrounded by 8 typical MLB players, will have the same overall effect (i.e., both teams will score an identical number of runs). But, if you surround each of these players with 8 clones of each, which team will score more runs?
So, I took two players with the following OBP/SLG profiles: .386/.306 and .293/.473. Both players have the same 1.8*OBP+SLG values, which is a simple way to get equivalency (assuming they play with 8 typical MLB players). A team of these high-walk, low-HR players scored 10% more runs than the low-walk, high-HR players.
I think the reason is obvious: if you have a team of all-HR hitters, who are they going to drive in? It really kills the value of their HR.?
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