Saturday, August 23, 2014
Batting Order Primer
?MGL gives us a primer on the batting order. And then does a random check of each team's batting order.
The obvious one is what we expect: the teams that are most at odds with the "simple optimal" order is that teams put below average hitters in the 2-hole.
But he also notes that just using the "simple optimal" order is not much different, overall, than what teams are doing right now! That is, you can't just use a simple algorithm, and think you'll improve anything, since you may be right just as often as you are wrong. You have to give each team a very personalized touch, and on top of that, you need to run simulations because there are many interactive effects that simple rules just can't capture well enough.
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• 2014/08/27
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