Sunday, March 03, 2024
NaiveWAR and VictoryShares
In my spare time, I'm working on an open-source WAR, that I call NaiveWAR. Those of you who have been following me know some of the background on NaiveWAR, notably that it is tied (indirectly to start with) to Win/Losses of teams (aka The Individualized Won/Loss Records). My biggest failing in developing the WAR framework was not also providing the mechanism for W/L at the same time. That will be rectified.
The most important part of all this is that it's all based on Retrosheet data, and everyone would be able to recreate what I do. And it would be totally transparent, with plenty of step by step discussion, so everyone can follow along. I was also thinking of potentially using this as a way to teach coders SQL. That's way out in the distance, still have to work things out, but just something I've been thinking about as I'm coding this. I even have the perfect name for this course, which I'll divulge if/when this comes to fruition.
Interestingly, RallyMonkey, who is the progenitor of the WAR you see on Baseball Reference seems to be embarking on a somewhat similar campaign. You can see alot of the overlap, with tying things to W/L records, with the emphasis on Retrosheet. The important part of doing that is we'd be able to do it EACH way, with/without tying it to W/L, so you can see the impact, at the seasonal, and career, level. In some respects, he'll go further than I will with regards to fielding, mostly because I have so little interest in trying to make sense of that historical data, given the level of access Statcast provides me. But also partly because by me not doing it, it opens the doors for the Aspiring Saberists to make their mark, that somewhere between my presentation and Rally's presentation, they'll find that inspiration.
All to say: I dunno what I'm trying to say!