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Sunday, December 08, 2013

Lists, lists, lists

These results require much greater context.

First, the understanding that RE24 likely has a correlation of .99 if you simply did RA9 - lgRA9.  RA9 is runs allowed per 9IP.  You could do ERA - lgERA as well.

So, once you realize that RE24 is simply RA9 relative to league average, as a differential, the problems become obvious.  A run in 1998 is alot easier to come by than in 1968.  What you should do is DIVIDE RA9 by the lgRA9.  Which, basically, is ERA+.

And if you did ERA+, we see that Pedro is #1.  But, that by itself doesn't allow us to make any CONCLUSIONS as to who is the best.  That list was simply a list, and it should be treated as a list.

Many of the comments here seem to impugn RE24, when the fact is that RE24 is simply a tool that was not properly used.


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